DEMOGRAPHICS: SEPARATING MYTH FROM REALITY
IMPLICATIONS FOR BEST PRACTICES OF HISPANIC SERVING INSTITUTIONS
IN SCIENCE, MATH, ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY
PRESENTED BY:
BALTAZAR ARISPE Y ACEVEDO, J R.
ACEVEDO CONSULTING, INC. HOUSTON, TEXAS
TO:
THE NSF INVITATIONAL SYMPOSIUM
ESTRELLA MOUNTAIN COMMUNITY
COLLEGE AVONDALE, ARIZONA
APRIL 27, 2001
http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/map01.pdf
http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/phc-t1/tab03.pdf
http://www.usatoday.com/graphics/census2000/usnav/usnav.htm
TOP TEN STATESUS HISPANIC POPULATION
GROWTH PROJECTIONS (1995-2025)
State July, 1995 July, 2000 July, 2005 July, 2015 July, 2025
California 9,206,000 10,647,000 12,268,000 16,411,000 21,232,000
Texas 5,173,000 5,875,000 6,624,000 8,294,000 10,230,000
New York 2,541,000 2,805,000 3,071,000 3,664,000 4,309,000
Florida 1,955,000 2,390,000 2,845,000 3,828,000 4,944,000
Illinois 1,090,000 1,267,000 1,450,000 1,840,000 2,275,000
U.S. CENSUS BUREAU, MAY, 1995
TOP TEN STATESUS HISPANIC POPULATION
GROWTH PROJECTIONS (1995-2025)
State July, 1995 July, 2000 July, 2005 July, 2015 July, 2025
New Jersey 896,000 1,044,000 1,196,000 1,513,000 1,861,000
Arizona 868,000 1,071,000 1,269,000 1,641,000 2,065,000
New Mexico 657,000 736,000 821,000 1,011,000 1,241,000
Colorado 507,000 594,000 682,000 859,000 1,067,000
Massachusetts 355,000 437,000 524,000 719,000 934,000
U.S. CENSUS BUREAU, MAY, 1995
US HISPANIC POPULATIONGROWTH PROJECTIONS (1995-2025)
U.S. Census Bureau, May, 1995
Projected U.S. Population Growth, 1998-2050
Population (millions)
Population Group 1998 2000 2010 2030 2050 % of Total Population
Growth 1998-2050
Hispanic 30 31 41 66 97 24.6 223.3% White 223 226 240 269 295 74.9 32.3% Total U.S. Population 270 275 298 347 394 100 45.9%
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, P25-1130, 1999.
Median Age of U.S. Population
July 1999*
Group Age
Total U.S. Population 35.7 Male 34.5 Female 36.9
Hispanic 26.9 Male 26.4 Female 27.4
White, Non-Hispanic 38.0 Male 36.9 Female 39.2
* Based on projections by the U.S. Bureau of the Census (Pub No. P-25-1139).
Hispanic growth in the Valley of the Sun 1990-2000
Community 1990 Hispanics 2000 Hispanics Percent change Apache Junction 1,018 2,801 175.1% Avondale 8,271 16,589 100.6% Buckeye 1,389 2,396 72.5% Carefree 21 78 271.4% Cave Creek 152 263 73.0% Chandler 15,642 37,059 136.9% El Mirage 3,948 5,084 28.8% Fountain Hills 257 618 140.5% Gila Bend 743 1,042 40.2% Gilbert 3,382 13,026 285.2% Glendale 22,911 54,343 137.2% Goodyear 1,780 3,933 121.0% Guadalupe 3,971 3,782 -4.8% Litchfield Park 106 209 97.2% Mesa 31,357 78,281 149.6% Paradise Valley 237 364 53.6% Peoria 7,856 16,699 112.6% Phoenix 197,103 449,972 128.3% Queen Creek 784 1,294 65.1% Scottsdale 6,203 14,111 127.5% Sun City 191 383 100.5% Sun City West 33 154 366.7% Sun Lakes 66 112 69.7% Surprise 3,916 7,184 83.5% Tempe 15,430 28,473 84.5% Tolleson 3,308 3,878 17.2% Wickenburg 281 560 99.3% Youngtown 169 383 126.6%
Maricopa County 345,498 763,341 120.9%
THECB 11/ 2000
2030
36%
46%
10%8%
1990
25%
12%2%
61%
Anglo Hispanic Black Other
Changes in Makeupof the Texas Population
Source: Texas State Data Center
Projected Growth in School-Age Population, 1995-2050
School Age Population, (000), Ages 5-24
Population Group 1995 2000 2010 2030 2050 Growth
1995-2050
Hispanic 9,706 11,509 14,167 22,111 31,300 222.0%
White, Non-Hispanic 50,314 51,079 50,173 47,961 46,806 -6.6%
Total U.S. Population 74,077 78,053 82,635 92,203 105,346 42.0% Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1998
Educational Attainment in 1998 for Population Age 25 and Over
Percent Completed
Population Group
None to 4th Grade
5th to 8th
Grade
9th to 12th
Grade (No Diploma)
High School
Graduate
Some College
or Assoc. Degree
BA/BS or
More
Hispanic 9.3 19.3 15.9 26.8 17.6 11.0
Men 9.3 18.8 16.2 27.2 17.4 11.1
Women 9.2 25.8 15.7 26.4 17.9 10.9
White 1.5 5.7 9.0 33.9 24.8 25.0
Men 1.6 5.7 9.0 32.0 24.1 27.3
Women 1.5 5.7 9.0 36.6 25.4 22.8 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1998.
http://www.aauw.org/2000/latina.html
STATE OF TEXAS PUBLIC SCHOOL DATA 1998-1999 ACADEMIC YEAR
DROP-OUT PERCENTAGES : SEVEN LARGEST URBAN AREA
County Name Black White Hispanic Total
Bexar 46 28 50 44 Dallas 51 32 64 47 El Paso 41 26 43 40 Harris 49 32 60 46 Nueces 51 31 48 43 Tarrant 49 33 59 41 Travis 60 34 69 52
Total: State Percentages: Cumulative For All Counties
48 31 53 42
INTERCULTURAL DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH ASSOCIATION SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS ANNUAL ATTRITION SURVEY: 1999
http://www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/pdf/main2000/2001499.pdf
Table 5. Undergraduate Enrollment Trends among Hispanics and Whites (in thousands)
1980 1990 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Total 10,469.1
11,959.1
12,324.0
12,262.6
12,231.7
12,259.4
12,450.6
Men 4,997.4
5,379.8
5,483.7
5,422.1
5,401.1
5,411.1
5,468.5
Women 5,471.7
6,579.3
6,840.3
6,840.5
6,830.6
6,848.4
6,982.1 Hispanic
Total 433.1
724.6
918.1
968.3
1,012.0
1,065.6
1,125.9
Men 211.2
326.9
409.2
429.4
444.2
464.0
486.7
Women 221.8
397.6
508.9
538.9
567.8
601.6
639.3
White
Total 8,480.7
9,272.6
9,100.4
8,916.0
8,805.6
8,730.9
8,783.9
Men 4,054.9
4,184.4
4,067.0
3,963.1
3,918.1
3,890.7
3,899.3
Women 4,425.8
5,088.2
5,033.4
4,953.0
4,887.5
4,840.2
4,884.6 Percentage Distribution
Hispanic
Total 4.1 6.1 7.4 7.9 8.3 8.7 9.0
Men 4.2 6.1 7.5 7.9 8.2 8.6 8.9
Women 4.1 6.0 7.4 7.9 8.3 8.8 9.2
White
Total 81.0 77.5 73.8 72.7 72.0 71.2 70.6
Men 81.1 77.8 74.2 73.1 72.5 71.9 71.3
Women 80.9 77.3 73.6 72.4 71.6 70.7 70.0 Source: U.S. Department of Education, Digest of Education Statistics: 1998 and Fall Enrollment Survey 1997.
Median Annual Salaries of U.S. Scientists and Engineers
by Occupation, Degree Level and Ethnic ity, 1997
All Degrees Bache lor's Mas ter's PhD
His p.
Salary
OCCUPATION White His panic
As % of
White White His panic White His panic White His panic
All occupations $ 50,000 $ 44,000 88.0
$ 45,500 $40,000
$ 54,000 $ 50,000
$63,400 $ 55,000
S&E Occupations 55,000 50,000 90.9
53,000 49,500
60,000 55,000
62,000 55,900
Scientis ts 52,300 48,000 91.8
50,000 46,000
54,000 50,000
60,000 52,000
Computer/math scientis ts
56,800 53,000 93.3
55,000 50,000
61,000 59,500
65,000 55,000
Life /re la ted scientis ts 45,000 40,000 88.9
36,000 33,000
42,000 33,000
59,000 55,000
Phys ica l/re la ted scientis ts
50,000 41,300 82.6
42,800 34,000
52,000 47,500
66,000 58,400
Socia l/re la ted scientis ts 45,000 40,000 88.9
25,000 22,500
42,000 45,000
55,000 48,600
Engineers 60,000 54,000 90.0
56,700 52,000
65,000 58,500
73,900 66,100
Managers /adminis tra tors 64,000 55,000 85.9
60,000 49,500
70,000 60,000
85,000 65,000
Other Non-S&E occup. 40,000 36,000 90.0
35,000 30,200
42,000 39,000
53,000 52,000
Nationa l Science Founda tion, 1997 SESTAT Database .
http://www.childrensdefense.org/
statesdata.htm
