Date post: | 14-Dec-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | hunter-satterfield |
View: | 215 times |
Download: | 1 times |
Center for Urban Transportation Research | University of South Florida
Toward zero deaths: Who needs to do the heavy lifting?
(Motorcycle Crash Trend in Florida)
Chanyoung Lee, Ph.D.
2
Unprecedented Degree of Mobility
• “Motor vehicle travel is the primary means of transportation in the United States, providing an unprecedented degree of mobility. Yet for all its advantages, motor vehicle crashes are the leading cause of death for age 4 and every age 11 through 27 (based on 2009 data).”
NHTSA Traffic Safety Factshttp://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811753.pdf
3
Pandemic?
• CDC estimated that between about 2,500 and 6,000 2009 H1N1-related deaths occurred between April and October 17, 2009. The mid-level in this range was about 3,900 2009 H1N1-related deaths.
http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/estimates_2009_h1n1.htm
• In 2011, 32,367 people were killed in the estimated 5,338,000 police-reported motor vehicle traffic crashes
4
Toward Zero Deaths: A National Strategy on Highway Safety
• will be a data-driven effort focusing on identifying and creating opportunities for changing American culture as it relates to highway safety.
• will also focus on developing strong leadership and champions in the organizations that can directly impact highway safety through engineering, enforcement, education, emergency medical service (EMS), policy, public health, communications, and other efforts.
6
Indexed Traffic Crashes in Florida
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
Traffic Crashes Fatalities Total Injuries(# of Crashes/Fatalities/Injuries in 2003 = 1)
8
According to NHTSA,
• In 2011, 4,612 motorcyclists were killed in motor vehicle traffic crashes.
• Motorcycles made up 3 percent of all registered vehicles in the United States in 2011 and accounted for only 0.6 percent of all vehicle miles traveled. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811765.pdf
9
Motorcyclists Killed in Florida
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
100
200
300
400
500
600
227 252 274339
441521 517 502
376 350413 425
1924
30
26
36
29 33 30
2633
38 32
Operator Passenger
10
Indexed Injuries, Fatalities, and Crashes (2001–2012)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1.001.11
1.21
1.49
1.94
2.30 2.28 2.21
1.661.54
1.82 1.87
Indexed Motorcycle CrashesIndexed Motorcycle FatalitiesIndexed Motorcycle Injuries
Inde
xed
(200
1 =
1)
11
Indexed Crash Trend in Florida, 2003-2012
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8Traffic Fatalities
Motorcyclist Fatalities
Year
Inde
xed
(200
3=1)
12
Percent of Motorcycle Fatalities* and Crashes in All Traffic Crashes
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.3%
8.2% 8.8%9.6%
11.2%
13.5%
16.3%17.1%
17.8%
15.7% 15.7%
18.8% 18.8%The Percent of Motorcycle Crashes in Traffic Crashes
The Percent of Motorcycle Fatali-ties in Traffic Fatalities
*Operator Only
13
Percent of Fatal and Injury Crashes in Motorcycle Crashes
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0%
10.0%20.0%30.0%40.0%50.0%60.0%70.0%80.0%90.0%
100.0%
4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 4.8% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9%
88.5% 90.2% 90.0% 89.0% 89.4%97.5% 97.3% 97.8% 98.7% 99.0%
92.4% 92.2%
The Number of Motorcycle Fatalities / Total Motorcycle CrashesThe Number of Motorcycle Injuries / Total Motorcycle Crashes
14
Percent of Fatal and Injury Crashes in All Traffic Crashes
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8%
56.7% 57.1% 57.1% 56.3% 55.1% 53.6% 52.9% 52.7% 53.3% 53.0% 51.7%46.5%
Fatal Crashes Injury Crahes
15
At-Fault
• Motorcycle riders are particularly vulnerable, and are seen by drivers as taking greater risks than other road users.
• Public perception is that motorcycle riders are reckless and more likely to ride at higher speeds.
• On the other hand, many motorcycle riders believe that drivers need more education and should have a greater awareness of motorcycles on the road. These opposing perceptions logically raise the question of fault, especially in motorcycle-motor vehicle crashes.
16
Motorcycle Crash (2004-2012)
Single Vehicle Multiple Vehicles
Motorcycle at fault Motorcycle at fault
Other vehicleat fault
33.6 % 27.9 % 38.6 %
Single Vehicle Crash for passenger car > 13-15%
:27.9/66.5 = about 42% :38.6/66.5 = about 58%
19
Bike Types in Fatal Motorcycle Crashes
CRUISER SPORT OFF SCOOTER STANDARD TOURING N/A0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%45.9%
27.6%
0.8%
6.6%2.5% 3.8%
12.8%
44.0%
32.8%
1.1%5.8%
2.9% 2.5%
10.9%
2010 (366) 2011 (440) 2012 (448)
( ):Sample Size
20
Average Age of MC Operator in Fatal Motorcycle Crashes by Bike Type
CRUISER SPORT OFF SCOOTER STANDARD TOURING0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
50.3
29.8
41.136
49 49.1
2010 2011 2012 Average
Age
21
Number of Motorcyclists Killed by Age
Under 15 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2
67
106
69
84
69
35
61
91100
51
91
77
29
8
53
88
58 5867
33
6
2010 2011 2012
Num
ber o
f Mot
orcy
clist
s Kill
ed
22
Countermeasures that work
http://www.digitaltrends.com/cars/buying-your-first-motorcycle-everything-you-need-to-know/#!yHSN5
24
Motorcyclists
Licensed(Endorsed) Unlicensed(Unendorsed)
Formal training after endorsement
No formal training after endorsement
Formal training when endorsed
YES-YES YES-NO
No formal training when endorsed
NO-YES NO-NO
25
Formal Training vs. Endorsement
Formal training after endorsement
No formal training after endorsement Total
Formal training when endorsed
14%YES-YES
52%YES-NO
66%
No formal training whenendorsed
7%NO-YES
27%NO-NO
34%
Total 21% 79% 100%
Florida Motorcyclist Survey 2013
27
Florida was the one of first state to adopt a mandatory training law(July 2008)
• Florida was the first state to adopt a mandatory training law requiring all motorcyclists, regardless of age, to attend a motorcycle training course in order to obtain a motorcycle endorsement on their license.
• In addition, the mandatory training course is standardized across the state and follows the Motorcycle Safety Foundation’s (MSF) curricula for the Basic Rider Course (BRC).
• Furthermore, the Florida Rider Training Program (FRTP) monitors all course providers in the state to ensure they are upholding all MSF standards, including training sites, course structure, and instructor training.
28
Unendorsed Motorcyclists based on Crash Data
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
34.9% 35.2% 36.4% 35.5%32.8%
28.9%27.4% 27.8% 28.4% 28.5%
29
What is your position towards the reinstatement of a universal helmet law in Florida?
What is your opinion regarding the 2008 Florida Statue that requires all new riders to complete a basic training course in order to obtain a motorcycle endorsement?
Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose
72.7%
22.6%
3.4% 1.2%
27.5%21.4%
24.8% 26.2%
Mandatory Training Law
Universal Helmet Law
30
What made you decide to take the Basic Rider Course?
2011 2012 2013
Court order 3.7% 3.2% 1.8%
I am a new rider and want to have a motorcycle endorsement
64.3% 64.0% 65.4%
I have been riding and need a motorcycle endorsement
27.4% 26.0% 26.4%
I wanted to improve my skills 2.6% 4.6% 3.2%
Other 2.0% 2.2% 3.2%
Total100.0%
(543)100.0% (497)
100.0%(500)
31
Riding Experience Prior to Course
2011 2012 2013
Very experienced 13.7% 16.1% 11.7%
Somewhat experienced 40.6% 34.3% 32.4%
Somewhat inexperienced 19.3% 18.1% 22.1%
Very inexperienced (I have never ridden a motorcycle prior to the course)
26.4% 31.5% 33.8%
Total100%(539)
100% (496)
100% (497)
32
Would you recommend the MSF Basic Rider Course (BRC) to an experienced motorcyclist?
Response (488)
Yes 86.7%
No 13.3%
Very experienced
Response (57)
Yes 77.2%
No 22.9%
All
33
Would you consider taking the Experienced Rider Course (ERC)?
Motorcycle riding experience prior to taking the Basic Rider Course(BRC) YES
Very experienced 77.2%
Somewhat experienced 82.2%
Somewhat inexperienced 86.2%
Very inexperienced (I had never operated a motorcycle prior to the course) 87.5%Florida Rider Training Survey 2013
35
There are several motorcycle training courses for experienced riders. Would you consider attending one of these courses in the next 12 months?
I have re-cently taken
a training course for
riders
No Yes0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
7.0%
31.9%
61.1%
Florida Motorcyclist Survey 2013
36
Reason for Not Considering Experienced Rider Course (ERC)
Other
I am unsure of the types of courses that are offered
I don't feel that I would learn much
I don't have the time
Too expensive
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
18.1%
9.2%
32.8%
19.3%
20.3%
Florida Motorcyclist Survey 2013
37
Formal Training vs. Endorsement
Formal training after endorsement
No formal training after endorsement Total
Formal training when endorsed
14%YES-YES
52%YES-NO
66%
No formal training whenendorsed
7%NO-YES
27%NO-NO
34%
Total 21% 79% 100%
Florida Motorcyclist Survey 2013
38
Taking a training course after endorsement
• Required– Military
• Improving Skills– Sport Bike
• Built-in Culture in Motorcycle Club– GWRRA
• New Motorcycle– Trike
39
Conclusion
• No Sliver Bullet • PPE Use, Defensive Riding/Driving– Required– Motivation– Culture– Habit– Benefit– Price