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1 CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY Craig Alexander Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist, The Conference Board of Canada November 2017
Transcript
Page 1: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

1

CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY

Craig AlexanderSenior Vice-President and Chief Economist The Conference Board of CanadaNovember 2017

2

bull The Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) will create jobs strengthen economic relations and boost trade and investment It covers

bull trade in goodsbull trade in servicesbull labour mobilitybull investment protectionbull intellectual property andbull government procurement

Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement

3

bull Helps to generate growth and jobs in EUbull Creates a level playing field in Canada for EU companies big and smallbull Lowers prices and widens choice for Europes consumersbull Cuts customs duties for exporters and importersbull Reduces some other costs for EU businessesbull Makes it easier for EU firms to sell services in Canada bull Allows EU firms to bid for Canadian public contracts bull Helps Europes rural communities market distinctive food and drinksbull Protects Europes innovators and artistsbull Recognizes each others professional qualifications bull Encourages Canadian companies to invest more in Europebull Protects peoples rights at work and the environment

European Benefits from CETA

4

bull Virtually all tariffs reduced for its exports Sectors that will benefit most include machinery amp electrical equipment motor vehicles amp parts optical amp medical equipment mineral fuels (including petroleum)

bull Scope to increase trade in services main services export from Finland to Canada is telecommunication services but opportunities in financial services as well

bull CETA will allow more Finnish professionals to practice in Canada including lawyers accountants architects and engineers

bull Finland access to Canadarsquos procurement market Finland has particular strengths in high-tech environmental protection and green energy

bull Finnish innovations copyrights and trademarks will enjoy same protection as in Europe when CETA fully implemented

bull CETA improves mobility for key personnel and there is framework for professional qualification recognition

bull CETA will make it easier for firms to invest as threshold for government review of investments raised to 15 billion euros It will also help to attract Canadian investment into Finland

Specific Gains for Finland from CETA

5

bull The provisional application of CETA means that the vast majority (+95) of components of the deal have come into effect

bull The areas not provisionally applied are primarily certain parts of the Investment and Financial Services Chapters This includes the section on investment protection and the related investment dispute settlement mechanism

bull Nevertheless the provisional application will help incent increased Canada-EU trade and investment It will also help increase awareness of opportunities in Europe broadly ndash not just EU

Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 2: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

2

bull The Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) will create jobs strengthen economic relations and boost trade and investment It covers

bull trade in goodsbull trade in servicesbull labour mobilitybull investment protectionbull intellectual property andbull government procurement

Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement

3

bull Helps to generate growth and jobs in EUbull Creates a level playing field in Canada for EU companies big and smallbull Lowers prices and widens choice for Europes consumersbull Cuts customs duties for exporters and importersbull Reduces some other costs for EU businessesbull Makes it easier for EU firms to sell services in Canada bull Allows EU firms to bid for Canadian public contracts bull Helps Europes rural communities market distinctive food and drinksbull Protects Europes innovators and artistsbull Recognizes each others professional qualifications bull Encourages Canadian companies to invest more in Europebull Protects peoples rights at work and the environment

European Benefits from CETA

4

bull Virtually all tariffs reduced for its exports Sectors that will benefit most include machinery amp electrical equipment motor vehicles amp parts optical amp medical equipment mineral fuels (including petroleum)

bull Scope to increase trade in services main services export from Finland to Canada is telecommunication services but opportunities in financial services as well

bull CETA will allow more Finnish professionals to practice in Canada including lawyers accountants architects and engineers

bull Finland access to Canadarsquos procurement market Finland has particular strengths in high-tech environmental protection and green energy

bull Finnish innovations copyrights and trademarks will enjoy same protection as in Europe when CETA fully implemented

bull CETA improves mobility for key personnel and there is framework for professional qualification recognition

bull CETA will make it easier for firms to invest as threshold for government review of investments raised to 15 billion euros It will also help to attract Canadian investment into Finland

Specific Gains for Finland from CETA

5

bull The provisional application of CETA means that the vast majority (+95) of components of the deal have come into effect

bull The areas not provisionally applied are primarily certain parts of the Investment and Financial Services Chapters This includes the section on investment protection and the related investment dispute settlement mechanism

bull Nevertheless the provisional application will help incent increased Canada-EU trade and investment It will also help increase awareness of opportunities in Europe broadly ndash not just EU

Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 3: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

3

bull Helps to generate growth and jobs in EUbull Creates a level playing field in Canada for EU companies big and smallbull Lowers prices and widens choice for Europes consumersbull Cuts customs duties for exporters and importersbull Reduces some other costs for EU businessesbull Makes it easier for EU firms to sell services in Canada bull Allows EU firms to bid for Canadian public contracts bull Helps Europes rural communities market distinctive food and drinksbull Protects Europes innovators and artistsbull Recognizes each others professional qualifications bull Encourages Canadian companies to invest more in Europebull Protects peoples rights at work and the environment

European Benefits from CETA

4

bull Virtually all tariffs reduced for its exports Sectors that will benefit most include machinery amp electrical equipment motor vehicles amp parts optical amp medical equipment mineral fuels (including petroleum)

bull Scope to increase trade in services main services export from Finland to Canada is telecommunication services but opportunities in financial services as well

bull CETA will allow more Finnish professionals to practice in Canada including lawyers accountants architects and engineers

bull Finland access to Canadarsquos procurement market Finland has particular strengths in high-tech environmental protection and green energy

bull Finnish innovations copyrights and trademarks will enjoy same protection as in Europe when CETA fully implemented

bull CETA improves mobility for key personnel and there is framework for professional qualification recognition

bull CETA will make it easier for firms to invest as threshold for government review of investments raised to 15 billion euros It will also help to attract Canadian investment into Finland

Specific Gains for Finland from CETA

5

bull The provisional application of CETA means that the vast majority (+95) of components of the deal have come into effect

bull The areas not provisionally applied are primarily certain parts of the Investment and Financial Services Chapters This includes the section on investment protection and the related investment dispute settlement mechanism

bull Nevertheless the provisional application will help incent increased Canada-EU trade and investment It will also help increase awareness of opportunities in Europe broadly ndash not just EU

Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 4: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

4

bull Virtually all tariffs reduced for its exports Sectors that will benefit most include machinery amp electrical equipment motor vehicles amp parts optical amp medical equipment mineral fuels (including petroleum)

bull Scope to increase trade in services main services export from Finland to Canada is telecommunication services but opportunities in financial services as well

bull CETA will allow more Finnish professionals to practice in Canada including lawyers accountants architects and engineers

bull Finland access to Canadarsquos procurement market Finland has particular strengths in high-tech environmental protection and green energy

bull Finnish innovations copyrights and trademarks will enjoy same protection as in Europe when CETA fully implemented

bull CETA improves mobility for key personnel and there is framework for professional qualification recognition

bull CETA will make it easier for firms to invest as threshold for government review of investments raised to 15 billion euros It will also help to attract Canadian investment into Finland

Specific Gains for Finland from CETA

5

bull The provisional application of CETA means that the vast majority (+95) of components of the deal have come into effect

bull The areas not provisionally applied are primarily certain parts of the Investment and Financial Services Chapters This includes the section on investment protection and the related investment dispute settlement mechanism

bull Nevertheless the provisional application will help incent increased Canada-EU trade and investment It will also help increase awareness of opportunities in Europe broadly ndash not just EU

Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 5: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

5

bull The provisional application of CETA means that the vast majority (+95) of components of the deal have come into effect

bull The areas not provisionally applied are primarily certain parts of the Investment and Financial Services Chapters This includes the section on investment protection and the related investment dispute settlement mechanism

bull Nevertheless the provisional application will help incent increased Canada-EU trade and investment It will also help increase awareness of opportunities in Europe broadly ndash not just EU

Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 6: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

6

bull CETA helps reinforce Canadarsquos position that international trade and investment brings benefits although a key new focus is progressive trade

bull Rising income inequality across the advanced world is a concern

bull The gains from trade and investment has not lifted all equally

bull Progressive trade agenda supports a more inclusive trade policymaking process to promote ambitions of SMEs and address inequalities that hold back the ability of women minorities and the poor to participate fully in and benefit from international trade

bull Progressive trade focus can generate more public support for greater trade and investment opportunities

Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 7: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

7

A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 8: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

8

-30

-20

-10

00

10

20

30

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Canadian Economy Delivers Strong Performance Canada real GDP per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 9: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

9

bull Canada had a recession in 200809 but itrsquos financial system remained solid

bull No banks failed and there was no government financial bailout World Economic Forum ranks Canada as having one of the soundest banking systems

bull Government fiscal balances were and remain healthy allowing significant government stimulus

bull Low inflation and well anchored inflation expectations allowed monetary stimulus without exceptional policies ndash like those of ECB

bull The recession reflected the global downturn that created an external shock Canada soon recovered It was then hit by global commodity correction in 2015 However economy has now adjusted and growth has rebounded

Robust Underlying Fundamentals

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 10: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Greece Japan Portugal Italy Spain UnitedKingdom

UnitedStates

India China Canada

Source International Monetary Fund

Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 11: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

11

Source Department of Finance

hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 12: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

12

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Consumer Price Index Bank of Canada Target

Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 13: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

13

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Unemployment Rate Natural Rate

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 14: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

14

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f 19f

Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 15: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

15

00

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17f 18f

Going Forward Shift from Domestic Growth towards Exports amp InvestmentReal personal consumption per cent change

Sources Statistics Canada The Conference Board of Canada

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 16: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

16

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

50100150200250300350400450500550600650700

Nominal trade index 1981=100 Trade as a share of GDP per cent

Source Statistics Canada

Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 17: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

17

Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets

FTAs in force bull Canada - EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) ndash September

21 2017 (provisional)bull Canada - Ukraine - August 1 2017bull Canada - Korea - January 1 2015bull Canada - Honduras - October 1 2014bull Canada - Panama - April 1 2013bull Canada - Jordan - October 1 2012bull Canada - Colombia - August 15 2011bull Canada - Peru - August 1 2009bull Canada - European Free Trade Association - July 1 2009bull Canada - Costa Rica - November 1 2002bull Canada - Chile - July 5 1997bull Canada - Israel - January 1 1997bull North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) - January 1 1994Source Global Affairs Canada

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 18: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

18

-10

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Benefits from Improving Global GrowthWorld real GDP per cent change

Source IMF

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 19: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

19

NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

76

10

8 3 3

US

Asia

Europe

Mexico amp S America

Rest of World

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 20: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

20

bull US protectionism a concern

bull NAFTA is 23 years old There is scope to modernize the deal to benefit of all countries

bull Canadarsquos greatest ally is the vast number of US businesses that will want to keep border open to mutual benefit North American supply chain too valuable to disrupt

NAFTA can be Modernized

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 21: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

21

US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent

Source Innovation Science and Economic Development Canada trade online database Conference Board of Canada

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 22: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

22

bull Canadian economy more diversified than many think Resource sector is 13 of economy Lotrsquos of opportunity to in wide array of products and services

bull Economic clusters are groups of firms and institutions that are located near one another and draw productive advantage from their mutual proximity and connections

bull Clusters are key drivers to economic growth and trade-oriented clusters serve markets beyond the region in which they are located

bull Famous US clusters include Wall Street Silicon Valley and Hollywood

bull Government of Canada looking to facilitate lsquosuper clustersrsquo

Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 23: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

23

Mining and Energy-Related Clusters

Edmonton

Calgary

Saskatoon

Regina

Sudbury

Saint John

St Johnrsquos

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 24: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

24

Manufacturing Clusters

Winnipeg

LondonHamilton

Oshawa

Windsor

Saguenay

Trois-Riviegraveres

Sherbrooke

Abbotsford

Montreacuteal

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 25: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

25

Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters

Vancouver

Kitchener-Waterloo

Toronto

Ottawa

Montreacuteal

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 26: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

26

Other Key Clusters

VictoriaTourism

AbbotsfordAgriculture

St Catharines-NiagaraTourism

TorontoFinance

Queacutebec CityInsurance

MonctonInsurance

HalifaxTransportation

MontreacutealManuf

VancouverTransportation

WinnipegTransportation

OshawaUtilities

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 27: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

27

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 28: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

28

Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

25

22

16

15

5

3 3

2 1 1 7 Aerospace

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Ores

Motor Vehicles

Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Plastics

Oil Seeds

Tools amp Cutlery

Other

$671Meuro450MShare of Cdn Exports 01

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 29: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

29

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)

758595

105115125135145155165

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Europe Asia N and S America

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 30: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

30

Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)

Sources Trade Data Online calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

23

11

9

9 8

7

6

6

3 2

16 Boilers Machinery amp Appliances

Motor Vehcles

Mineral Fuels amp Oils

Pharmaceutical Products

Paper

Electrical Machinery amp Equip

Medical amp Technical Instruments

Ores

Nickel

Rubber

Others

$572Meuro353MShare of Cdn Imports 02

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 31: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

31

Sources Statistics Canada calculations by The Conference Board of Canada

Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Canadian Direct Investment in Europe European Foreign Direct Investment in Canada

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 32: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

32

bull Canada is welcoming to business and investment The World Bank rates Canada as one of the easiest places to start a business Forbes and the Economist rank Canada as a leading location to do business

bull Being a small economy Canada lacks adequate domestic savings to meet all investment needs Hence Canada needs to attract foreign capital and provide a good experience to overseas investors

bull Over the last decade Canada has had the second largest foreign direct investment flows per capital in the G20 nations Since 2012 Inward FDI to Canada has been 54 of GDP highest in G7 and higher than the 29 G-7 average

bull Canadarsquos free trade agreements make it ideal as location to tap global markets

bull Canadian taxation makes investment attractive but one of its greatest strengths is the quality of the labour force

Many Business Advantages for Investment

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 33: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

33

Source OECD Statistics

Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes

20

25

30

35

40

45Canada US Mexico

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 34: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

34

Canada has a Highly Educated Workforcepercentage of the population aged 25-64 with post-secondary education in 2016

Source OECD

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 35: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

35

Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

Net immigration (000s left) Net immigration as a share of total population change (per cent right)

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 36: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

36

Sources Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada The Conference Board The Conference Board of Canada

Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism

627

241

118

14

In 2015 63 of immigrants to Canada fell under Economic Class

EconomicSponsored FamilyResettled Refugee amp Protected Person in CanadaAll Other Immigration

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 37: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

37

00 05 10 15 20 25 30

NL

NB

NS

PEI

Sask

Man

Que

Ont

BC

Alta

Sources The Conference Board of Canada Statistics Canada

Broad-based Growth in 2017 amp BeyondReal GDP per cent change 2017-22 basic prices $2007

Canada 21

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 38: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

38

bull CETA can help to boost growth and prosperity in Canada and EU if the opportunities are seized

bull Canada is a small economy with big potential It is a trade-friendly investment-friendly market and ideal platform for tapping North American Economy or beyond

bull Canada has strong fundamentals competitive corporate tax rates generous RampD tax incentives highly educated population highly tolerant and diverse population well anchored monetary policy sound fiscal finances

bull It is a modern-knowledge based economy Resources are still a key sector but so are other key clusters like ICT Finance and other advanced manufacturing and services

bull Canadarsquos economy is strengthening It is resisting the global shift towards protectionism leaning against inequality and building sustainable economic growth for the long-term

Key Messages

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39
Page 39: CETA: A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE, INVESTMENT AND ... · 3 • Helps to generate . growth . and . jobs in EU • Creates a . level playing field . in Canada for EU companies, big

conferenceboardca

CraigA_Eco

wwwtradecommissionergccaCETA website

  • CETA A CATALYST FOR INCREASED TRADE INVESTMENT AND PROSPERITY
  • Canadian-European Union Comprehensive Economic And Trade Agreement
  • European Benefits from CETA
  • Specific Gains for Finland from CETA
  • Provisional Launch of CETA to Bring Gains
  • Canada Champions a Progressive Trade Agenda
  • A Primer on Canadarsquos Economy amp Opportunities from CETA
  • Dia numero 8
  • Robust Underlying Fundamentals
  • Very Low Federal Government Debthellip Govrsquot net debt per cent of GDP 2017 estimates reporting gross debt
  • hellipAllowed Sustained Government Stimulus to Boost Growth amp Address InequalityFederal government balance public accounts basis $ billions
  • Low Inflation Facilitated Monetary Stimulusper cent change
  • RecoveryExpansion Led to Low Unemploymentper cent
  • Bank of Canada now Slowly Withdrawing Stimulus Reflecting Domestic StrengthBank of Canada Overnight Target Rate
  • Dia numero 15
  • Canada is a Trading Nationleft axis nominal trade index (exports + imports) 1981=100 right axis trade as a share of GDP per cent
  • Canada Free Trade Agreements Gives Preferential Access to Many Markets
  • Dia numero 18
  • NAFTA Renegotiation Critical as Canada Plugged into US Supply ChainsCanadian Merchandise Exports by Destination in 2016 per cent
  • NAFTA can be Modernized
  • US Protectionism Highlights Need to Diversify Trade GeographicallyShare of Canadian Exports by Destination Non-US Markets 2016 per cent
  • Canadian Economy is Diversified and Comprises Many Key Clusters
  • Mining and Energy-Related Clusters
  • Manufacturing Clusters
  • Information amp Communications Technology (ICT) Clusters
  • Other Key Clusters
  • Scope to Expand Exports to EuropeCanadian merchandise exports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Exports to Finland(share of top 10 goods and in 2016 per cent)
  • Imports from Europe Rising Canadian merchandise imports (Index 2007 = 100)
  • Canadian Goods Imports From Finland(share of top 10 goods in 2016 per cent)
  • Canada and Europe Direct Investment on the Rise(stocks C$ billions)
  • Many Business Advantages for Investment
  • Canada has Low Corporate Taxes Rates and Generous RampD Incentiveslarge business corporate income tax rate includes federal and provincialstate government taxes
  • Dia numero 34
  • Strong Support for Immigration and Diversity
  • Newcomers to Canada Contribute to the Economy and add to Multiculturalism
  • Dia numero 37
  • Key Messages
  • Dia numero 39

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