Championing Young People’s Learning

London 14-19 Strategic Analysis

Transforming challenge into opportunity

Doug Norris

Championing Young People’s Learning

What is the Strategic Analysis?

Stage 1Analysis and Planning

Stage 2National and Local Commissioning Statements

Strategic Analysis

Stage 3Finalising Allocations

Stage 4Contracting and Funding

The Strategic Analysis is launched in May 2010 at the beginning of the commissioning process, which runs to August 2011. It informs

key outputs of the process including the drafting and finalising of both Local Commissioning Statements (Stages 1 and 2) and Local

Commissioning Plans (Stages 3 and 4).

Statistical basis for planning and commissioning education and training for young Londoners. Informed guide on the education, training and employment landscape for young people in London. Directly supports the commissioning process as set-out in the NCF. It should trigger further lines of enquiry and be used in conjunction with other data resources such as the YPLA National Core Dataset and MIDAS.

Championing Young People’s Learning

The London story• Jointly produced by YPLA and 14-19 RPG• Format specific to London• Regional level analysis with links to local authority

and national figures• Draft report released to local authorities on

Provider Gateway. Formal release in September• Key themes of Employer skills needs, Participation

and Achievement

Championing Young People’s Learning

SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

Championing Young People’s Learning

London Infrastructure Overview

£915m allocated to FE and school Sixth Form provision in 2010/11 376 providers funded to deliver 16-18 provision in 2010/11 Just over two thirds of 16-18 providers are School Sixth Forms and 15% are FE institutions Over £500m invested in 67 capital projects between 2004 and 2009 35 Academies funded in 2010

Championing Young People’s Learning

Pre-16 attainment

• GCSE 5A*-C (inc E&M) of 54% in 08/09 in line with national average• Improvement in all boroughs• Significant variation (43% to 68%); • Attainment gap a key issue…..

Attainment gap for 5 A*-C GCSE including Maths and English (2009)

Follow links provided in the report for

local authority level information0

10203040506070

%

2008

2009

Championing Young People’s Learning

London’s Economy

Workforce Approx 4.68 million workers 600,000 people self-employed

High correlation between qualifications and employability

88% employment rate for those qualified to degree, but

65% rate for those without Level 2

Employers and Young People London employers less likely

to recruit school/college leavers; and to say they are less well prepared for work.

Poor attitude or lack of motivation is a key issue

Championing Young People’s Learning

Who is in learning?

• 86% of 17 yr. olds in learning compared to 94% 16 yr. olds indicating a high drop-out rate

• School censuses indicate increase in Yr. 12 and 13 numbers- contrast to decrease projected by GLA and ONS

• 16-18 yr. olds in employment fell from 7.1% to 4.9% in Dec 2009

• Majority of learners on L3 courses

Championing Young People’s Learning

Who is not in learning?

14 boroughs have NEET levels above regional average of 5.3%

Significant borough variations in both NEET levels and cohort

Significant fall in participation at 17• especially for maintained schools from 16 to 17• 9% gap in London: above national av. since 2002• fall varies across London, from 13% to 2%, with over half of outer

London boroughs exceeding the regional average. • further exploration needed on why learners leave participation at 17

Championing Young People’s Learning

NEET by borough1 Barking and Dagenham

2 Barnet

3 Bexley

4 Brent

5 Bromley

6 Camden

7 City of London

8 Croydon

9 Ealing

10 Enfield

11 Greenwich

12 Hackney

13 Hammersmith and Fulham

14 Haringey

15 Harrow

16 Havering

17 Hillingdon

18 Hounslow

19 Islington

20 Kensington and Chelsea

21 Kingston upon Thames

22 Lambeth

23 Lewisham

24 Merton

25 Newham

26 Redbridge

27 Richmond upon Thames

28 Southwark

29 Sutton

30 Tower Hamlets

31 Waltham Forest

32 Wandsworth

33 Westminster

Championing Young People’s Learning

GCSE and A Level achievement

GCSE point scores below required minimum forsome L3 provision

• London av. is above the required minimum• 68 colleges and schools had students entering with scores

below the minimum

A-Level points score per candidate lowest in the country• 691.3 points compared to 739.1 nationally• Av. points score per student did improve by approx. a third of

a grade in 2008/09• Significant variation between outer and inner London

Championing Young People’s Learning

Level 2 / Level 3 achievement by 19

• Improved year on year and now exceeds the national average• Significant variation within London• Progress towards reducing the attainment gap also needs to be

looked at on a borough by borough basis

See Core Dataset and

MIDAS for

more information,

Including attainment

by eligibility

for free school meals40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

19 in 2004 19 in 2005 19 in 2006 19 in 2007 19 in 2008

%

Level 2 at 19 England

Level 2 at 19 London

Level 3 at 19 England

Level 3 at 19 London

Championing Young People’s Learning

What can I use it for?

• Regional overview of 14-19 landscape in London

• Robust evidence base to support the wider young people’s strategy for London

• Identify local issues against the regional picture and neighbouring boroughs

• Additional resource to MIDAS and Local Authority Core Datasets

• Identifying key areas for further exploration

• Also useful for……?

Championing Young People’s Learning

What do you think?

• Does it cover what you need to know?

• How can it/has it been used to inform planning?

• What local and regional issues need to be explored further?

• What do you like/dislike about the report?

• How widely has it been shared with your LA colleagues?