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Chapter 11 Fundamental Analysis

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    J B GUPTA CLASSES98184931932, [email protected],

    www.jbguptaclasses.com

    Copyright: Dr JB Gupta

    Chapter 11Chapter 11Chapter 11Chapter 11Fundamental analysisFundamental analysisFundamental analysisFundamental analysis

    Chapter IndexChapter IndexChapter IndexChapter Index

    The Concept of Fundamental Analysis Valuation of Goodwill Valuation of Shares P E Ratio Accounting Ratios

    Prices of the securities in the stock exchange keep on fluctuating. The investors

    and other operators are always interested in buying the shares at lower prices

    and selling them at higher prices to make profit. To achieve this objective, they

    estimate the share price.

    Fundamental Analysis is the process of finding the intrinsic value or worth of a

    share. It is the study of a companys fundamentals with the aim of determining its

    exact worth. The process is based on analyzing the information that is

    fundamental to the company. Fundamental analysis focuses on creating a

    portrait of a company, identifying the intrinsic or fundamental value of its shares

    and buying or selling the stock based on that information.1 The investments

    made on the basis of fundamental analysis carry less risk if the time horizon of

    the investment is long.

    The share should be purchased if it is being traded in the market below its

    intrinsic value, it should be sold if it is traded in the market at a price above its

    intrinsic value. Suppose the intrinsic value of a share is Rs.200, the fundamental

    analyst suggests buying it if it is being traded in the market below Rs.200; sale is

    recommended if it is traded above Rs.200.

    1Investopedia.com

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    Fundamental analysis involves three types of analysis:

    (i) Economic Analysis(ii) Industry Analysis(iii) Company analysis

    Fundamental analysis performed by the investors or their investment advisors. It

    is difficult for the ordinary investors to perform the analysis. Hence, generally it

    is carried by the consultants who are experts in this filed.

    There are two investment philosophies followed by the experts:

    (i) Top down philosophy. and

    (ii) Bottom up philosophy.

    Top down philosophy follows the following investment process (a) First consider

    the macro-factors i.e. the state of economy; invest in the economy that is strong

    and growing (b) then, consider the industry; invest in the industry which is

    expected to outperform other industries (c) finally, consider the company; invest

    in the company which is expected to be best in the industry.

    Bottom up philosophy gives maximum weight to the company i.e. a bottom-up

    investor considers the financial health, products, supply and demand, and other

    aspects of a company's performance over a given period of time. Using this

    approach the portfolio manager pay less attention to the economy as a whole, or

    to the prospects of the industry a company is in.

    Economic Analysis: Corporate performance is very much influenced by macro-level

    economic factors. Positive factors increase the worth of the shares as such factors have

    positive impact on the performance of the company. These factors are: Monsoon, interestrates, GDP growth, foreign exchange rates, inflation, public debts, budgetary deficits,taxation policy, balance of trade, savings rate etc.

    Economic analysis is performed not only from the point of national economy but also

    from the point of view of the global economy particularly when the company is operating

    at global level.

    Industry Analysis: Industry analysis gives an investor a deeper understanding of

    a company's financial prospectus. The purpose of this analysis is to identity the

    companies which are expected to provide good returns to the investors. It is a

    study of demand and supply of the industrys products. Industry analysis should

    be done from global prospective. The main study in industry analysis is the

    phase through which the industry is passing. There are four stages in any

    through which every industry has to pass _ (a) Innovation stage (ii) expansion

    stage (iii) stagnation stage and (iv) Declining stage. Industry analysis is quite

    important part of the fundamental analysis. For example, when the industry is

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    passing through expansion stage, not only the leaders but even the laggards

    report good performance.

    Company AnalysisCompany AnalysisCompany AnalysisCompany Analysis: There are two parts of company analysis:

    (i) Non-Financial analysis: This includes analysis of leadership, top management,

    corporate governance, corporate vision, corporate policies, relationship with

    different stakeholders and competitive advantage/disadvantage.

    (ii) Financial Analysis: Financial analysis means analysis of financial statements

    using the accounting ratios.

    VALUATION OF GOODWILLVALUATION OF GOODWILLVALUATION OF GOODWILLVALUATION OF GOODWILL

    Valuation of goodwill is an important step of valuation of shares. Hence before

    discussing the valuation of shares, lets understand the concept of valuation of

    goodwill.

    Goodwill is defined as super profit earning capacity of the business.

    Goodwill = Super profit x No. of years of purchase. Hence, before we calculate the

    value of goodwill, lets understand these two terms (i) super profit, and (ii) No. of

    years of purchase2.

    Super profit = Future Maintainable Profit Normal Profit.Future Maintainable ProfitFuture Maintainable ProfitFuture Maintainable ProfitFuture Maintainable Profit

    Buyer of goodwill is interested in future profits of the concern. Hence, for

    determining value of goodwill, we estimate future maintainable profit on the

    basis of following points :

    (i) Take profits for a few years of past. We take profit for such number of

    years as reveals the future trend of the profit e.g., if the profit has

    clear trend we may take profit only for three years but if there is no

    clear trend, we may take profit for 4 to 7 years.

    (ii) Eliminate the effect of non-trade items. For example:

    Income from investment of surplus funds.(iii) Eliminate the effect of abnormal items, for example, loss on account of

    strike, flood, etc., abnormal profit on account of war, etc.

    (iv) Eliminate the effect of such items which occurred in the past but which

    are not likely to take place in the future.

    (v) Take average of profits. If the profits have clear trend, take weighted

    2The concept of number of years of purchase is not required for SFM paper. It is given in

    Appendix A for those who are interested in learning it.

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    average, otherwise take simple average.

    (vi) Take effect of such transactions into consideration which did not take

    place in past but which would take place in future.

    (vii) Consider Income-Tax.

    Normal profit = Average capital employed x Normal Rate

    Capital employed, here, means owners investment in trade assets

    (excluding goodwill) of the business.

    Open. Cap. Emp. + Closing Cap. Emp.

    Average Cap. Emp. =

    2

    If opening capital employed is not given in the question, we assume openingcapital employed is equal to closing capital employed minus current year post

    tax profit. Hence average capital employed:

    (Closing C.E. Current Year Post Tax Profit) + Closing C.E.

    =

    2

    = Closing C.E. Half of Current Year Post Tax profit.

    Goodwill = Super profit x No. of years of purchase.

    Q. No. 1 :Q. No. 1 :Q. No. 1 :Q. No. 1 : Negotiation is going on for transfer of X Ltd. on the basis of the

    balance sheet and the additional information as given below:

    Balance Sheet of X Ltd. as on 31st March, 1988

    Share capital (Rs.10

    fully paid up )

    10.00,000 Goodwill 1,00,000

    Reserve and surplus 4,00,000 Land and building 3,00,000

    Creditors 3,00,000 Plant and machinery 8,00,000

    Trade Investments 1,00,000

    Stock 2,00,000

    Debtors 1,50,000

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    Cash and bank 50,000

    17,00,000 17,00,000

    Profit before tax for 1987-88 amounted to Rs. 6,00,000 including Rs. 10,000 as

    interest on investment. However, and additional amount of Rs. 50,000 p.a. shall

    be required to be spent for smooth running of the business.

    Market values of land & buildings and plant & machinery are estimated at Rs.

    9,00,000 and Rs. 10,00,000 respectively. In order to match the above figures

    further depreciation to the extent of Rs. 40,000 should be taken into

    consideration. Income-tax rate may be taken at 50 per cent. Return on capital at

    the rate of 10 per cent post tax may be considered normal for this business at

    the present stage.It has been agreed that 4 years purchase of super profit shall be

    taken as value of goodwill for the purpose of the deal. Value the Goodwill.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    Working notes:

    (i) Closing capital employed

    Land and building

    Plant and machinery

    Trade investment

    Stock

    Drs.Cash

    9,00,000

    10,00,000

    1,00,000

    2,00,000

    1,50,00050,000

    Crs. -3,00,000

    21,00,000

    (ii) Average capital employed : 21,00,000 (1/2) (3,00,000) = 19,50,000

    (iii) Normal profit : 19,50,000 x 0.10 = 1,95,000

    (ii) Future maintainable profit:

    PBT 6,00,000

    Depreciation - 40,000

    Additional expenses 50,000

    Tax -2,55,000

    2,55,000Super profit = 2,55,000 -195,000 = 60,000

    Goodwill = 2,40,000

    Q. No. 2 :Q. No. 2 :Q. No. 2 :Q. No. 2 : Given below is the Balance Sheet of S Ltd. as on 31.3.2008

    Liabilities Rs. Lakhs Assets Rs. Lakhs

    Share capital Land & Buildings 40

    (Shares of Rs. 10) 100 Plant & Machinery 80

    Reserves and Surplus 40 Investments 10

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    Creditors 30 Stock 20

    Debtors 15

    Cash & bank 5

    170 170

    You are required to work out the value of the Companys goodwill considering

    the following information: (((( AdaptedAdaptedAdaptedAdapted May, 2008)May, 2008)May, 2008)May, 2008)

    (i) Profit for the current year Rs. 64 lakhs includes Rs. 4 lakhsextraordinary income and Rs. 1 lakh income from investments of surplus

    funds; such surplus funds are unlikely to recur.

    (ii) In subsequent years, additional advertisement expenses of Rs. 5 lakhsare expected to be incurred each year.

    (iii) Market value of Land and Building and Plant and Machinery have beenascertained at Rs. 96 lakhs and Rs. 100 lakhs respectively. This will

    entail additional depreciation of Rs. 6 lakhs each year.

    (iv) Effective Income-tax rate is 30%.AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    Valuation of Goodwill:

    Assumptions:

    (i) Profit of Rs.64Lakhs is pre- tax.(ii)Additional depreciation of Rs.6Lakhs will be allowed for tax purposes.

    FUTURE MAINTAINABLE PROFIT : (Rs.)

    Current profit 64Lakhs

    Extraordinary Income ( non-recurring) _ 4Lakhs

    Investment Income ( non- recurring,) - 1Lakhs

    Advertising - 5.00Lakhs

    Depreciation - 6.00 Lakhs

    ----------

    48.00 Lakhs

    Less tax - 14.40 L

    Future maintainable profit 33.60 L--------------------------------------

    Closing capital employed (Rs.)

    Plant, land and building 196.00 Lakhs

    Investment (assumed as non-trade investment) nil

    Working Capital 10.00 Lakhs

    ----------

    206.00 Lakhs

    -----------

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    Average capital employed:

    : Closing capital employed 0.50 of current year post tax profit

    : 206 Lakhs 0.50(44.80Lakhs) = 183.60Lakhs

    Normal profit = 183.60 L x 0.15 = Rs.27.54Lakhs

    Super profit = 33.60 27.54 = 6.06Lakhs

    AssumingAssumingAssumingAssuming the number of years of purchase to be 5, goodwill =

    6.06 x 5 = 30.30 Lakhs

    VALUATIONVALUATIONVALUATIONVALUATION OF SHARESOF SHARESOF SHARESOF SHARES

    Valuation of sharesValuation of sharesValuation of sharesValuation of shares is another important step of valuation of business. Hence

    before discussing the valuation of business, lets understand the concept of

    valuation of shares. There are three important methods of valuation of shares:

    (a) Book value method (b) Market value method (c) Fair value method. Fair

    value = Average of Book value and Fair value.

    (a) Book value(a) Book value(a) Book value(a) Book value / Balance-sheet value / Net asset value of share: (Accountants

    refer this value as intrinsic value)

    Book value method assumes liquidation (without liquidation expenses) i.e., we

    find the amount that the holder of one equity share will get if the company goes

    into liquidation. It is obtained by dividing (current value of all assets including

    goodwill and non-trade-assets minus outside liabilities minus Preference

    shareholders claim) by number of equity shares.

    Q. No.3(a):Q. No.3(a):Q. No.3(a):Q. No.3(a): Find the Book value per equity share using the data of Q.No.1

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer: Closing capital employed + goodwill

    Value per equity share = ------------------------------------

    No. of equity shares

    21,00,000 + 2,40,000

    = ------------------ = Rs.23.40

    1,00,000

    Q. No.3(b):Q. No.3(b):Q. No.3(b):Q. No.3(b): Find the Book value per equity share using the data of Q.No.2

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer :

    Net asset value of the equity share =

    [Goodwill + closing Capital employed + Investments]/ No. of Equity shares

    = (30.30L + 206L + 10L) / 10L = Rs.24.63

    Value based on earning capacity =

    [Future maintainable profit /Ke]/ No. of equity shares

    [33.60Lakhs /0.15] / 10L = Rs. 22.40

    Fair value =

    Average of net asset value and value based on earning capacity

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    = [24.63 + 22.40] / 2 = Rs. 23.52

    Q. No. 3 (c) :Q. No. 3 (c) :Q. No. 3 (c) :Q. No. 3 (c) : From the balance sheet of India Trading Company Limited as at 31st

    March, 2008, the following figures have been extracted:

    Share Capital

    9% Preference Share capital (Rs.100)

    10,000 E. shares of Rs.10 Each fully paid

    10,000 E. shares of Rs.10 Each Rs. 5 paid

    10,000 E. shares of Rs.10 Each Rs. 2.50 paid

    Rs.

    3,00,000

    1,00,000

    50,000

    25,000

    Reserve and Surplus:

    General Reserve

    Profit and Loss account

    4,75,000

    2,00,000

    50,000

    7,25,000

    On a revaluation of assets on 31st March, 2008, it was found that they had

    appreciated by Rs. 75,000 over their book value in the aggregate.

    The articles of association of the company provide that in case of liquidation,

    preference shareholders would have a further claim to 10 per cent of the surplus

    assets, if any.

    You are required to determine the value of the business through the values of

    preference shares and equity shares assuming that a liquidation of the company has

    to take place on 31st March, 2008, and that the expenses of winding up are nil.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    Valuation of shares

    Rs.

    Book value of assets

    Appreciation

    Total

    Less Paid up capital

    Surplus assets

    7,25,000

    75,000

    8,00,000

    4,75,000

    3,25,000

    Share of preference shareholders in Surplus assets 32,500

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    Share of equity shareholders in surplus assets 2,92,500

    Share per equity share in surplus assets:

    2,92,500/30,000

    9.75

    Share per pref. share in surplus assets : 32,500/3,000 10.83

    Value per preference share : 100 + 10.83 = 110.83

    Value per equity share (Rs.10 paid ) : 10 + 9.75 = 19.75

    Value per equity share (Rs.5 paid ) : 5 + 9.75 = 14.75

    Value per equity share (Rs.2.50 paid ) : 2.50 + 9.75 = 12.25

    ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION:ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION:ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION:ALTERNATIVE SOLUTION:

    Valuation of shares

    Rs.

    Book value of assets

    Appreciation

    Notional call

    Total

    Less Paid up capital

    Surplus assets

    7,25,000

    75,000

    1,25,000

    9,25,,000

    6,00,000

    3,25,000

    Share of preference shareholders in Surplus assets 32,500

    Share of equity shareholders in surplus assets 2,92,500

    Share per equity share in surplus assets: 2,92,500/30,000 9.75

    Share per pref. share in surplus assets : 32,500/3,000 10.83

    Value per preference share : 100 + 10.83 = 110.83

    Value per equity share (Rs.10 paid ) : 10 + 9.75 = 19.75

    Value per equity share (Rs.5 paid ) : 19.75 -5.00 = 14.75

    Value per equity share (Rs.2.50 paid ) : 19.75 7.50 = 12.25

    (b) Market Value / yield value method(b) Market Value / yield value method(b) Market Value / yield value method(b) Market Value / yield value method

    This method assumes business as a going concern. Under this two approaches

    are there: (i) based on dividend, and (ii) based on EPS. Based on dividend, two

    approaches are there, one is based on actual constant dividend (this method is

    also called as divided yield method) and the other is based.

    D

    MP (based on constant div.) =

    Ke

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    Ke is also referred as normal rate of return on equity shares.

    MP ( based on dividend growing at constant rate) :

    D1

    = ----------------

    Ke - g

    Ke is also referred as normal rate of return on equity shares.

    E.P.S.

    MP (based on EPS) =

    Ke

    Ke is also referred as normal rate of return on equity shares.

    (This method is also called as PE method as PE is reciprocal of Ke i.e. Normal

    rate)

    The value of the share depends upon future EPS/ dividend. (The basic principle

    of the share valuation is that the market always discounts the future). Hence, we

    should take dividend per share / EPS of coming year and not that of past year.

    (Tutorial note: In case there is no specific requirement of the question: WEshould apply the above mentioned methods in the following orders of preference:

    (i) Growth based method (ii) EPS based method (iii) Constant dividend based

    method)

    Q. No.4 :Q. No.4 :Q. No.4 :Q. No.4 : Mind Tree Ltd. belongs to an industry in which equity shares sell at par

    on the basis of 10 per cent dividend yield provided the net tangible assets of the

    company are 240 per cent of the paid up equity capital and provided that the total

    distribution of profit does not exceed 55 per cent of the profits. The dividend

    rate fluctuates from year to year in the industry. The balance sheet of Mind Tree

    Ltd. stood as follows on 31.3.2005:Liabilities Amount Assets Amount

    9% Preference share

    Capital (Rs.100) 4,00,000

    Goodwill 3,00,000

    Equity Share capital

    (Rs.100) 10,00,000

    FA less Depreciation 14,00,000

    P & L account 4,00,000 Investments 3,50,000

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    8% Debentures 1,00,000 CA 4,30,000

    Current liabilities 6,00,000 Preliminary Expenses 20,000

    25,00,000 25,00,000

    The company has been earning on the average Rs.3,00,000 as profit after

    debenture interest but before tax which may be taken at 30 per cent. The rate of

    dividend on equity shares has been maintained at 15 per cent in the past year

    and is expected to be maintained. Determine the value of equity shares.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    Note 1Note 1Note 1Note 1

    Net tangible assets:

    FA 18,00,000Investment 3,50,000

    CA 4,30,000

    Debentures -1,00,000

    CL -6,00,000

    PSC -4,00,000

    Net Tangible assets 14,80,000

    Paid up equity capital = 10, 00, 000

    Net Tangible assets as a % of paid up equity capital=

    (14,80,000/10,00,000)x100 = 148%

    It is less than 240 % (which is bench mark for the industry). It is a negative

    feature of the Mind Tree as compared of industry. It should result in reduction of

    value of Mind Tree Ltd. For this purpose, we should raise the normal rate of

    Mind Tree Ltd.

    Note 2Note 2Note 2Note 2

    PBT

    Less tax

    3,00,000

    -90,000

    PAT 2,10,000

    Preference Dividend - 36,000E. Dividend (10%)2 -100000

    Retained profit 74,000

    Retained profit is less than 45 % of profit. Lower retained profit means lower

    growth in future. It is a negative feature of the Mind Tree Ltd. as compared of

    industry. It should result in reduction of value of Mind Tree Ltd. For this

    purpose, we should raise the normal rate of Mind Tree Ltd.

    Estimation of normal rate of return :

    Normal rate of the industry 10%

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    Adjustment for lower asset backing +1%

    Adjustment for lower retained profit +1%

    Adjustment for constant dividend -1%

    Normal rate for Mind Tree 11%

    Dividend per share

    MP of equity share of Mind Tree = ------------------

    Normal rate

    15

    = ----------x 100

    11

    Rs.= 136.36

    P E ratioP E ratioP E ratioP E ratio (also known as P E(also known as P E(also known as P E(also known as P E MultipleMultipleMultipleMultiple))))

    P/E is the ratio of a companys share price to its EPS. It is a core measure of a

    companys share price in relation to its EPS. To calculate the P/E, we simply

    take the current price of the share of a company and divide it by its EPS. For

    example, if the current price of a shares Rs.100 and its EPS is 8, we conclude

    that the Price Earning ratio is 12.50.

    P/E states that how many years it would take for us to recover our investment

    amount from the earnings that the company generates. For example, if we buy

    the equity shares of a company for Rs.100 and its EPS is Rs.12.50, it would take

    us 8 years to recover our investment. (The PE ratio is 8). PE ratio is also defined

    as the payback period of the investment in the equity shares.

    It is perhaps the most common and widely used tool of valuation of equity shares.

    The P/E ratio is a much better indicator of the value of a share than the market

    price alone.A share's price is an arbitrary number and is not capable of deciding

    whether the share is under-valued or overvalued. As prices alone do not show

    the total picture of a companys share, they must be measured against the EPS to

    help investors to understand how "expensive" or cheaper a particular share is.

    An Example :

    A B

    Market price equity share Rs. 1,000 Rs.100

    Suppose both the companies belong to the same industry. Which share is

    overvalued? We cannot decide on the basis of only above data. On the face of it

    appears that As share is over-priced. Lets study some more details about these

    companies:

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    A B

    EAT Rs. 50 Crores Rs. 80 Crores

    No. of equity shares 5m 160m

    EPS 100 5

    PE ratio 10 20

    The above analysis shows that for each rupee of EPS of A, the investor has to

    pay only Rs.10; it is Rs. 20 in case of B. Other things remaining the same, As

    share is cheaper. Suppose the industrys PE multiple is 15, As share is

    undervalued and Bs share is overvalued. By examining P/E ratios, investors can

    make a much more accurate comparison between the values of two different

    shares. In our example above, a quick look at the P/E ratios for Company A (P/E

    of 10) and Company B (P/E of 20) reveals that Company A is clearly a better buy

    (other things remaining unchanged) despite the fact that its price is higher.

    The P/E is sometimes referred to as an investors sentiments indicator. As the PE

    ratio goes up, it indicates that the investors sentiment is that the companys

    future is bright. Higher PE ratio, more the investors are paying and therefore

    they expect higher growth. The high PE ratio indicates that the market has high

    hopes for the companys future. Higher PE ratio can be justified when high

    growth rate is really expected and is sustainable. Sometimes, the PE ratio is high

    on account of speculative reasons or purely on the basis of sentiments. In that

    case, the investment should be avoided.

    A falling PE ratio is an indication that the share is out of favour by the investors.A low PE ratio means a no-confidence vote by the investors, investors are not

    taking interest in the shares. Value investing (founded by Prof. Benjamin GrahamBenjamin GrahamBenjamin GrahamBenjamin Graham3333

    and followed by his student Warren Buffet) suggests that the longterm investors

    should search for such low PE shares which are fundamentally strong. Warren

    has made fortunes using this approach.

    Three types of PE ratios:

    (i) Trailing PE ratio: in this case the EPS of last year is considered.(ii) Current PE ratio: In this case the estimated EPS of current/coming

    year is considered. The term PE ratio refers to current PE ratio. It is

    widely used for share valuation purposes as it is the future earnings

    that determines the value of the shares and not the past earnings.

    (iii) Forward PE ratio: In this case, the average estimated EPS , based on anumber of future years, is considered. This is not quite popular as it is

    difficult to accurately estimate the future profits for so many years.

    3The Concept of PE ratio was used for the first time Prof. Graham.

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    High or low PE ratio: For deciding whether a shares price earning ratio is

    high or low, we should consider two factors:

    (i) Growth: If growth rate is higher and it is sustainable, the Higher PEratio may be justified, other wise not.

    (ii) Industrys PE ratio: Industrys PE ratio can guide us in decidingwhether a shares PE ratio is high or Low. Suppose an industrys PE

    ratio is 10 and a companys PE ratio is 8, we can say that the PE ratio

    of the company is low. The investor should search the reasons for the

    low PE ratio. If it is low due to fundamental reasons (low demand for

    the companys products, ineffective hangmen etc), the investment

    should not me made. If it is low due to speculative reasons, the

    investment may be made.

    (iii) Companys own historical PE ratio : A companys PE ratio widelydifferes with its historical PE ratios, we should find it s reasons todecide whether the PE ratio is justified or not.

    Limitations : There are various limitations of the PE ratios:

    (i) These ratios are based on accounting profits. The profits for differentyears/ companies may not be comparable on account of different

    accounting policies.

    (ii) Many interpretations : There can be many interpretations of the PE ratio. Forexample, a high PE ratio is justified during Bull Run assuming that the reason

    for the high PE ratio is expected high growth; the same ratio can also be

    interpreted as speculative on the assumption that the growth is not sustainable.

    The investors should not base their decisions on the PE ratio alone. Such

    decisions require a great deal more than understanding PE ratio.

    Q. No.5 :Q. No.5 :Q. No.5 :Q. No.5 : Both Madhav Ltd and Murari Ltd belong to music industry

    Madhav Murari

    Net Tangible assets to paid up equity share

    capital

    240 148

    Pay out ratio 0.60 0.66

    Dividend per share Rs.54 Rs.66

    Market value per share Rs. 225 ?

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer :Assumption : the dividend per share is expected dividend per share

    EPS of Madhav = Rs.90

    Ke = EPS/Market price = 90/225m = 40%

    EPS of Murari = 100

    Calculation of Ke of Murari

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    Ke of Madhav 40%

    Adjustment for lower asset backing +2%

    Adjustment for lower retained profit +2%

    Normal rate of return ( Ke) of Murari 44%

    Market price per share of Murari = 100 / 0.44 = 227.27

    Q. No.Q. No.Q. No.Q. No. 6666: From the following Trial Balance for the year ending 31 March 2007 and

    other relevant information, determine the value of the business on the basis of values

    of equity shares of Bhakti Ltd as on 1st

    April, 2007 assuming the PE ratio to be 10.

    Dr. Cr.

    Fixed Assets (CP) 1,00,000

    E. Share Capital (Rs.10) 3,00,000Reserve and Surplus 1,80,000

    Provision for Depreciation 30,000

    Purchase /sales 8,00,000 10,00,000

    Opening stock 1,00,000

    Salaries 80,000

    Rent and rates 11,000

    Fixed selling expenses 10,000

    Variable selling expenses 9,000

    Drs./Crs. 2,60,000 80,000

    Bank 2,10,000

    Bad debts 10,000Total 15,90,000 15,90,000

    Stock is Rs.1,50,000 as on 31 March, 2007.

    Depreciation is provided at 10 per cent p.a. on cost price, Rs.10,000 worth of fixed

    assets is to be added during the middle of 2007. During the year ended 31st

    march,

    2008 : (i) Sales are likely to go up by 10 per cent at the same price (ii) The purchase

    price may go up by 2 per cent (iii) Stock holding is likely to increase by Rs.65,000

    (iv) Bad debts are expected to go up by 50 per cent (v) Salaries and fixed selling

    expenses are likely to grow up by 10 per cent and 5 per cent respectively and (vi)

    the Variable selling expenses are estimated to be higher by 10 per cent per unit,

    Ignore tax.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    (i) Year ended 31st

    March, 2007:

    Cost of goods sold (COGS) : 7,50,000

    Sales : 10,00,000

    COGS : 75 % of sales

    (ii) Year ended 31st

    March, 2008:

    Sales : 11,00,000

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    COGS (had there been no change in cost) : 8,25,000

    There would have been two parts of this amount:

    (i) COGS (opening stock) : 1,50,000(ii) COGS (current period purchase) : 6,75,000As the cost has increased by 2%, the COGS for the year 31.3.2008:

    1,50,000 + 6,75,000(1.02) = 8,38,500

    Profit and Loss account for the year ended 31.3.2008

    COGS

    Depreciation

    Salaries

    F. Selling exp.

    Rent and ratesBad debts

    Variable selling expenses

    NP

    8,38,500

    10,750

    88,000

    10,500

    11,00015,000

    10,890

    1,15,360

    11,00,000

    Sales 11,00,000

    --------

    11,00,000

    EPS = 1,15,360 / 30,000 = 3.8453

    Market price of the share: E1 x PE ratio = 3.8453 x 10 = Rs.38.45

    Q. No.Q. No.Q. No.Q. No. 7777 Balance sheet of A Ltd. as on 31.12.2004 was as under:

    Liabilities Amount Assets Amount

    ESC (Rs.10 each) 5,00,000 Land and Building 2,00,000

    9% PSC 1,00,000 Plant & machinery 4,00,000

    Reserves 3,00,000 Stock 2,50,000

    Creditors 2,00,000 Drs. 2,10,000

    Bank 40,000

    Total 11,00,000 Total 11,00,000

    Profit and dividend in last several years were as under:

    Year PBT Equity Dividend

    2004 Rs.3,20,000 18%

    2003 Rs.2,50,000 15%

    2002 Rs.2,20,000 12%

    Managerial remuneration is likely to go up by Rs. 20,000 p.a. Income-tax may be

    provided at 30 per cent. Normal rate of return is 10%. Find the value of equity

    shares on the basis of EPS.

    Answer:Answer:Answer:Answer:

    Weighted average PBT: [(220000x1) + (250000X2) +(320000X3)] / 6

    ==== 2,80,000

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    Increase in remuneration = -20,000

    2,60,000

    Tax - 78,000

    EAT 1,82,000

    Pref. dividend - 9,000

    Profit for equity shareholders 1,73,000

    EPS =1,73,000 / 50,000 = 3.46

    MP of equity share = 3.46/0.10 = 34.60

    Q. No. 8Q. No. 8Q. No. 8Q. No. 8:::: The capital structure of a company on 31st March, 2005 was as follows :

    Rs.

    Equity share capital (Rs. 10) 5,00,000

    11% Preference capital 3,00,000

    12% Debentures 4,00,000

    Reserves 3,00,000

    The company on an average, earns a profit of Rs. 4 Lakhs annually before deduction

    of interest on debentures and income tax which works out to 45%.

    The normal return of equity shares of companies similarly placed is 15% provided:

    (a) The profit after tax covers the fixed interest and fixed dividends at least fourtimes.

    (b) Equity capital and reserves are 150% of debentures and preference capital.(c) Yield on shares is calculated at 60%of profits distributed and 5% on

    undistributed profits.

    The company has been paying regularly an equity dividend of 18%. Ascertain thevalue of equity shares of the company. (NOV, 2003)(NOV, 2003)(NOV, 2003)(NOV, 2003)

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer::::

    Working note (i) Profit before interest and tax = 4,00,000

    Debenture interest = -48,000

    PBT = 3,52,000

    Tax -1,58,400

    PAT 1,93,600

    Debenture interest 48,000

    Profit after tax before interest before pref. dividend 2,41,600

    Fixed interest and fixed dividend cover = (2,41,600) / (48000+33000) =2.98.The interest and dividend cover should be at least 4. Lower cover indicates towards

    risk for equity shareholders and this enhances the normal rate for them.

    Working note (ii)

    Equity and reserves as % of Debentures and Preference capital:

    [(8,00,000)/(7,00,000)]x100 = 114

    Lower % (as compared to standard of 150) of equity and reserves to debentures and

    preference capital points towards higher degree of financial gearing. This enhances

    the financial risk of the business and in turn increases the normal rate for equity

    shareholders.

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    Main answer: Normal rate of the industry : 15%

    Adjustment for lower interest and dividend cover: + 0.25%

    Adjustment for Lower % of equity and reserves

    to debentures and preference capital : +0.25

    Normal rate for the company 15.50%

    (60% of 90,000) + (5% of 70,600)

    Actual yield = -------------------------- x 100 = 11.506 %

    5,00,000

    Value of equity share = (11.506 / 15.50) x 10 = Rs. 7.42.

    Value of business = (50,000 x 7.42) + 300000 + 400000 = 10,71,000

    QQQQ. No.9. No.9. No.9. No.9 Following Financial data are available for PQR for the year 2008:

    Rs. Lakhs

    8% Debentures 125

    10% Bonds (2007) 50

    Equity shares ( Rs. 10 Each) 100

    Reserve and Surplus 300

    Total assets 600

    Assets turnover ratio 1.1

    Effective interest rate 8%Effective tax rate 40%

    Operating margin 10%

    Dividend pay out ratio 16.67%

    Current market price of the share Rs.14

    Required rate of return of the

    investors.

    15%

    You are required to :

    (i0 Draw the Income statement for the year.

    (ii) Calculate its sustainable growth rate.

    (iii) Calculate the fair price of the companys share using dividend discount

    model.

    (iv) What is your opinion on investment in the companys share at current market

    price? (Nov. 2009(Nov. 2009(Nov. 2009(Nov. 2009))))

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    Assets turnover = 1.10 Total assets 600 Sales 660

    Income statement for the year ended 31sr Dec. 2008 (Rs. Lakhs)

    EBIT 66

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    Interest -16

    EBT 50

    Tax -20

    EAT 30

    EPS 30L/10L = 3.

    Dividend per share 3. x 0.16667 = 0.50

    Return on equity shareholders fund = 30/ (100 + 300) =7.50%

    Ratio of Retained EPS to EPS = 0.83333

    Sustainable growth rate = 0.83333 x .075 = 6.25% %

    0.50(1.0625) 0.53125Equilibrium value of share = --------------- = ---------- = 6.07

    0.15 0.0625 0.0875

    The share is overpriced. Investment is not recommended.

    [Net profit in the above chart refers to EBIT.

    ACCOUNTING RATIOSACCOUNTING RATIOSACCOUNTING RATIOSACCOUNTING RATIOS

    Ratio is the relationship between two figures. Accounting ratio is the relationship

    between two accounts figures. An absolute figures generally conveys no

    meaning. Hence, the ratios. Five categories of Accounting Ratios: (i) Solvency

    Ratios, (ii) Profitability Ratios, (iii) Activity Ratios, (iv) Financial Leverage Ratios

    (v) Share valuation ratios

    SOLVENCY RATIOSSOLVENCY RATIOSSOLVENCY RATIOSSOLVENCY RATIOS

    The term solvency refers to ability of meeting liabilities. Solvency ratios may be

    studied in two parts: (i) Short-term solvency ratio, and (ii) Long-term solvency

    ratio.

    ShortShortShortShort----term Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratios

    Short-term solvency refers to ability of meeting current liabilities, in time, out of

    current assets. Hence short-term solvency ratios are based on current assets

    and current liabilities. Two important ratios are calculated to study the short-

    term solvency of a firm.

    Current Assets

    Current Ratio =

    Current Liabilities

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    This ratio is also known as working capital ratio, net capital assets ratio,

    current assets ratio. Current assets include cash, bank, marketable securities,

    debtors, stock, bills receivable, short-term loans and advances (given by the

    firm) and prepaid expenses. Current liabilities include creditors, bills payable

    outstanding expenses, incomes received in advance, bank overdraft and

    provisions.

    The current ratio measures the ability of the firm to meet its current

    liabilities. Current assets get converted into cash in the operational cycle of the

    firm and provide the funds needed to pay the current liabilities. Apparently,

    higher the current ratio greater short-term solvency. Generally 2 : 1 is said to be

    ideal current ratio but actually what should be the ideal ratio for a concern

    depends upon nature of its activities. Lets have two cases. One is the case of

    Indian. Railways (I.R.). I.R. generally sell their services on cash basis (not on

    credit basis), i.e., before travelling you have to pay for tickets, freight is alsogenerally paid in advance. I.R. gets staff services and other supplies on credit

    basis (staff members are paid their salaries at the end of month, coal and other

    supplies are obtained on credit basis). Thus I.R. purchases on credit and sells for

    cash. In this situation, they can do well with lower current ratio (say for Example

    1.50, a ratio less than 1 : 1 would certainly be undesirable in any industry as at

    least some safety margin is required to protect the interest of current liabilities).

    Lets have another case of a wholesale cloth merchant who purchases goods

    from manufacturers on cash basis and sell to retailers on credit basis. He can do

    well only with a higher current ratio (say for example : 2.50).

    Quick Ratio or Acid Test or Liquidity RatioQuick Ratio or Acid Test or Liquidity RatioQuick Ratio or Acid Test or Liquidity RatioQuick Ratio or Acid Test or Liquidity Ratio

    While calculating the current ratio, we overlook the composition of current

    assets. (A firm with a high proportion of current assets in the form of cash and

    receivable is more liquid than one with a higher proportion of current assets in

    the form of inventories even though both the firms have the same current ratio).

    This impairs the usefulness of current ratio. Hence we need some other ratios

    which may overcome this defect. The other ratio is quick ratio. Quick ratio is a

    rigorous measure of a firms short-term solvency.

    Quick Assets

    Quick Ratio =

    Quick Liabilities

    The ratio is also known as liquid ratio or acid test. Quick assets refer to

    highly liquid assets. In such assets (quick assets) we include all current assets

    except inventories (finished, semi-finished and raw materials) and prepaid

    expenses. The exclusion of inventory is based on the reasoning that it is not

    easily and readily convertible into cash. Prepaid expenses by their very nature

    are not available to pay off current debts (they merely reduce the amount of cash

    required in one period because of payment in a prior period). Quick liabilities

    refer to such current liabilities which would mature for payment quickly. As

    PRACTICALLY bank overdraft does not mature for payment quickly, it is

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    excluded from current liabilities to get quick liabilities. (By bank overdraft not

    maturing quickly, we mean that generally in practical life, firms do not clear their

    bank overdrafts. If they clear one bank overdraft, they raise the other bank

    overdraft). The ideal quick ratio is said to be 1 : 1 (Alternative approach: Instead

    of quick liabilities, we take current liabilities).

    LongLongLongLong----term Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratiosterm Solvency Ratios

    Long-term solvency refers to the firms ability of meeting long-term liabilities.

    Financial institutions, etc. which provide funds to the firms for long period, are

    interested in long-term solvency of the firms. Long-term solvency of a firm

    depends upon two factors (i) Owners investment in the firm, (ii) profits earned

    by it. We shall be studying five ratios to test the long-run solvency of a concern.

    The first of these five tests the owners investment and the other four test the

    profit earning capacity.

    Equity Equity

    Equity Ratio = or

    Total Assets Total Liabilities

    Equity means owners funds or shareholders funds. In case of a company,

    equity means ESC + PSC + R&S P&L A/c Dr. Balance Misc. Exp.. By total

    assets we mean fixed assets plus investments plus current assets; loans and

    advances. By total liabilities we mean E.S.C. + P.S.C. + (R&S minus P&L Dr.

    Balance Misc. Exp.) + Secured Loans + Unsecured Loans + Current Liabilities

    & Provisions.

    Equity serves as a protector for outside liabilities. If the company goes intoliquidation, firstly the losses have to be met by equity, the outside liabilities have

    to bear the loss only if the amount of loss is more than amount of equity. Hence,

    stronger the equity, safer the outside liabilities. Hence, our comment about this

    ratio is : Higher the ratio, safer the outside liabilities. Suppose there are two

    companies A Ltd. and B Ltd. Both have assets of Rs. 10,00,000 each. A has

    equity of Rs. 3,00,000 and outside liabilities of Rs. 7,00,000. B has equity of

    Rs. 7,00,000 and outside liabilities of Rs. 3,00,000. Outside liabilities are safer in

    case of Bwhere they are safe even if loss of Rs. 7,00,000. In case of A, outside

    liabilities would be in trouble as soon as the loss would cross Rs. 3,00,000

    danger mark.

    Interest Coverage RatioInterest Coverage RatioInterest Coverage RatioInterest Coverage Ratio

    It is obtained by dividing the Profit Before Interest and Tax by Annual Interest

    Payments. This ratio measures firms interest burden as compared to its profits.

    If the interest is small proportion of profit earned by the firm, they would bear

    interest burden easily and hence there is every possibility that the firm would be

    solvent in long-run. If interest is large portion of profit, the possibility of firms

    being solvent in future is reduced. The comment on the ratio is: Higher, Better.

    This ratio is also called fixed charge cover.

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    Debt Service Coverage RatioDebt Service Coverage RatioDebt Service Coverage RatioDebt Service Coverage Ratio

    This ratio is obtained through division of Sum of cash profit and interest by

    Sum of Annual Loan Repayment and Interest. Higher the ratio, safer the outsideliabilities are.

    Return onReturn onReturn onReturn on EquityEquityEquityEquity

    It is obtained by dividing profit after interest and tax before dividend by

    Equity. This ratio measures the profitability of the concern from the point of

    view of owners. Comment: Higher, Better because higher ratio will result in more

    possibility of solvency in long-run.

    Return on Capital EmployedReturn on Capital EmployedReturn on Capital EmployedReturn on Capital Employed

    It is obtained by dividing Profit Before Interest before Tax by CapitalEmployed. Capital employed means equity plus long-term debt. The ratio

    provides a test of profitability in relation to long-term funds. It provides insight

    into how efficiently the long-run funds are used. Higher the ratio, better it is.

    Higher ratio indicates more efficient use of capital employed which helps the firm

    in being solvent in long-run.

    PROFITABILITY RATIOSPROFITABILITY RATIOSPROFITABILITY RATIOSPROFITABILITY RATIOS

    (i) Return on equity (as studied above)

    (ii) Return on capital employed (as studied above)

    (iii) Gross Profit Ratio = Gross Profit/Sales

    (iv) Net Profit Ratio = Net Profit/Sales

    (v) Operating Profit Ratio = Operating Profit/Sales

    Operating profit means profit before interest and tax, i.e., this profit is

    before non-operating items like income from non-trade investments, profit/loss

    on sale of fixed asset, etc. This profit is also referred to as EBIT (earnings

    before interest and tax). By non-trade investments we mean such investments

    which are not required for smooth running of business. These are made just

    because the firm has surplus funds. When the firm will need funds for business

    purchases, such investments would be converted into cash. On the other hand,

    trade investments are such investments which are required for smooth running of

    the business. For example, investments in subsidiary company, investment in

    such company from which we get raw materials, investment in company of which

    we have dealership or agency, investments for replacement of fixed assets,

    investments for repayment of debentures, etc. Comment for all five ratios

    discussed above : Higher, Better.

    ACTIVITY RATIOSACTIVITY RATIOSACTIVITY RATIOSACTIVITY RATIOS

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    (i) Stock turnover Rati(i) Stock turnover Rati(i) Stock turnover Rati(i) Stock turnover Ratio or Inventory Turnover Ratioo or Inventory Turnover Ratioo or Inventory Turnover Ratioo or Inventory Turnover Ratio

    This ratio is obtained by dividing Cost of goods sold by average stock. Cost

    of goods sold means sales minus gross profit. Average stock means average ofopening and closing finished stocks. The ratio indicates how fast inventory is

    sold, i.e., how many times the stock has to be replaced. For example, if the ratio

    is 6, it means stock has to be replaced six times, i.e., goods are sold within 2

    months of their purchase. If the ratio is 12 it means a stock has to be replaced 12

    times, i.e., goods are sold within one month of their purchase. It is clear from the

    above example that higher the ratio, better it is.

    The ratio is also calculated as inventory holding period, by the following

    formula :

    Average Stock

    360Cost of Goods Sold

    For financial analysis purpose, we generally take 360 days in a year. When

    calculated by the above formula, we will get the number of days within which the

    goods are sold, i.e., stock has to be replaced. If in place of 360, we take 12, we

    get stock holding period in month, if we take 52, we get stock holding period in

    weeks. When the ratio is calculated as inventory holding period, the comment is

    lower the ratio, (i.e., lower the stock holding period), better it is.

    Alternative approach for calculating this ratio is that instead of cost of goods

    sold, we take sales.

    (ii) Debtors Turnover Ratio/Debtors Velocity(ii) Debtors Turnover Ratio/Debtors Velocity(ii) Debtors Turnover Ratio/Debtors Velocity(ii) Debtors Turnover Ratio/Debtors Velocity

    This ratio is obtained by dividing Net Credit Sales by Average Receivables.

    Net credit sales means total credit sales minus sales return out of credit sales.

    Average receivables mean average of Opening Debtors and B/R and Closing

    Debtors and B/R. The ratio measures how rapidly the debtors are collected. In

    other words, the ratio indicates the time-lag between credit sales and cash

    collection. For example, if the ratio is 6, it indicates that net credit sales are six

    times of debtors, i.e., the debtors realize in 2 months period. If the ratio is 12, it

    indicates that the debtors realize in one month period. As is clear from these two

    examples that higher the ratio better it is.

    The ratio can also be calculated as average collection period by using the

    following formula:

    Average Receivable

    360

    Net Credit Sales

    When calculated this way, the ratio will give average collection period and the

    comment would be: Lower, Better.

    (iii) Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio(iii) Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio(iii) Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio(iii) Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio

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    Sales

    Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio =

    Net Fixed Assets

    The term net fixed assets means cost of fixed assets minus depreciation

    charged so far. The ratio measures the efficiency with degree of efficiency in

    assets utilization and a low rate reflects inefficient use of such assets. The

    comment on the ratio is : Higher, Better.

    Sales

    Working Capital Turnover Ratio =

    Working Capital

    The ratio measures the efficiency with which working capital is issued.

    Comment: Higher, Better.

    FINANCIAL LEVERAGE RFINANCIAL LEVERAGE RFINANCIAL LEVERAGE RFINANCIAL LEVERAGE RATIOSATIOSATIOSATIOS

    Financial leverage refers to the tendency of disproportionate change in earning

    per share (E.P.S.) with change in earning before Interest and tax (EBIT), i.e., EPS

    changes at a higher rate than rate of change in EBIT. If EBIT increases, EPS in-

    creases at higher rate. If EBIT decreases, EPS decreases at higher rate. This

    happens if the concern has fixed interest and fixed dividend bearing funds. Fixed

    interest bearing funds refer to debentures/long-term loans. Fixed dividend

    bearing funds refer to preference share capital. Suppose a company has 10 per

    cent debentures of Rs. 10,00,000. Tax 50 per cent. It has 1,00,000 equity shares

    of Rs. 10 each. Suppose its EBIT increased from Rs. 5,00,000 to Rs. 5,50,000 (10per cent increase).

    EBIT 5,00,000 5,50,000

    Interest 1,00,000 1,00,000

    Earnings before tax (EBT)4,00,000 4,50,000

    Tax 2,00,000 2,25,000

    Earnings after tax (EAT)2,00,000 2,25,000

    E.P.S. 2.00 2.25

    0.25

    Percentage increase in E.P.S. = 100 = 12.50

    2.00

    Thus when EBIT increased by 10 per cent, EPS increased by 12.50 per cent.

    This tendency of disproportionate change in E.P.S. (with change in EBIT) is

    known as financial leverage. Thus financial leverage indicates that the firm has

    fixed interest and fixed dividend bearing funds. Every firm must have non-fixed

    dividend capital (equity share Capital) also. Financial leaverage ratios study the

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    relationship between these two types of funds. There are two important ratios of

    this category:

    Debt (Long-term)Debt Equity Ratio :

    Equity

    Fixed Interest & Fixed Dividend Bearing Capital

    Captial Gear Ratio :

    Non-fixed Dividend Bearing Capital

    Fixed interest bearing capital includes debentures and long-term debts. Fixed

    dividend bearing capital means preference shares. There are two views

    regarding non-fixed dividend bearing capital. As per first view, non-fixed

    dividend bearing capital means equity share capital. As per second view non-

    fixed dividend bearing capital means equity shareholders funds. Equity

    shareholders funds = ESC + R&S minus P&L A/c. Dr. minus MISC Exp. Equity

    shareholders funds = Equity P.S.C.

    If the financial leaverage ratios are high, it is an indication that the firm is

    using cheaper source of finance. Debt is cheaper source of finance as interest

    payment results in income tax savings, preference share capital is also generally

    cheaper source of finance, because the rates of preference dividend are

    generally lower than the dividends expected by the equity shareholders. In this

    sense, we can say higher the ratio, better it is. But higher financial leverage

    ratios also indicate financial risk. (Interest on debt has to be paid even if profit is

    not there. If the company fails to pay interest, it may be forced to go intoliquidation). If operating profit falls, a company with higher financial leverage

    ratios will face difficulties because of the burden of interest and preference

    dividend. A company with lower financial ratios wont have much difficulties as

    its burden of interest and preference dividend is low.

    How to comment on financial leverage ratios? For this purpose we should find

    (A) ROCE (B) Pre-tax benefit cost of debt and Preference share capital. If A is

    less than B, financial leverage is undesirable; if A is more than B, financial

    leverage is desirable; if A is equal to B, then financial leverage is not beneficial

    and it may be avoided because why to take risk when it is not rewarding.

    SHARE VALUATION RATISHARE VALUATION RATISHARE VALUATION RATISHARE VALUATION RATIOSOSOSOS

    1. EPS:

    [Eat Pref. Dividend (including CDT on Preference Dividend)]

    No. of equity shares

    (Higher the ratio, better it is)

    2. Return on Equity: Please refer to Long-term solvency ratios

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    (Higher the ratio, better it is)

    3. P E Ratio: Market Price per share / EPS (Please the note on this ratio)

    4. Dividend Yield: Equity Dividend per share / Market price share

    (Comment on this ratio is made on the basis of Walter Model).

    5. Earnings Yield: EPS / Market price per share

    (Higher the ratio Better it is)

    6. Price To Book Value Ratio: Market price / Book value per share

    (Lower the ratio, better it is. Value investors use this ratio toidentify the potential investment opportunities)

    7. PE / Growth ratio: PE ratio / Prospective Growth rate

    (Lower the ratio, better it is. The lower ratio indicates that the

    investor is paying less for the futures growth.

    DUPONT CHARTDUPONT CHARTDUPONT CHARTDUPONT CHART

    Dupont company developed a chart to summarize the companys ratio analysis.

    This chart is known as Dupont Chart. This chart is helpful in showing the

    interaction between profit and capital employed (C.E.) turnover to derive return

    on capital employed (ROCE).

    ROCE

    Net Profit Ratio C.E. Turnover Ratio

    [Net profit in the above chart refers to EBIT]

    Net profit ratio = Net Profit Sales

    C.E. Turnover Ratio = Sales C.E.

    Net profit = Sales Cost of Sales

    C.E : .Fixed Assets + Working Capital

    Question o 10.

    From the following information, you are required to prefer a balance sheet:

    Current ratio 1.75 Liquid ratio 1.25

    Stock turnover ratio

    (Closing stock) 9

    Gross profit ratio 25%

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    Debt collection period 1.50 months

    Reserves and surplus to capital 0.20

    Turnover to fixed assets 1.20

    Capital gearing ratio 0.60

    Fixed assets to net worth 1.25

    Sales for the year Rs. 12,00,000

    Answer :

    Sales Rs. 12,00,000

    GP Rs.3,00,000

    Cost of goods sold Rs.9,00,000

    Closing stock Rs. 1,00,000

    Sales / FA = 1.20

    12,00,000 / FA = 1.20

    FA = 10,00,000

    FA/net worth =1.25

    Net worth = = Shareholders funds = 8,00,000

    [CA/ CL - QA/QL] = 1.75 1.25

    Assuming: No bank overdraft and no prepaid exp.

    CA CA - Stock---- - ---------------- = 0.50

    CL CL

    CA CA + Stock

    -------------------------- = 0.50

    CL

    1,00,000

    ------------ = 0.50

    CL

    CL = 2,00,000

    CA = 3,50,000

    Debtors = 12,00,000 x 1.50/12 = 1,50,000

    Stock = 1,00,000

    Other CAs = 3,50,000 1,00,000- 1,50,000 = 1,00,000

    FA + WC = Capital employed

    10,00,000 + 1,50,000 = 11,50,000

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    11,50,000 = Shareholders fund + Long-term borrowings

    11,50,000 = 8,00,000 + Long-term Borrowings

    Long-term borrowings = 3,50,000

    Let capital = x

    x + 0.20x = 8,00,000

    x = 6,66,667 = capital Reserve and surplus = 1,33,333

    LT Borrowings + PSC

    Capital gearing ratio = -------------------

    ESC

    3,50,000 + PSC

    0.60 = --------------------------

    6,66,667 PSCPSC = 31,250

    B/S as on .

    Liabilities :

    ESC

    PSC

    R & S

    Borrowings

    CL

    6,35,417

    31,250

    1,33,333

    3,50,000

    2,00,000

    Assets

    FA

    Debtors

    Stock

    Others

    10,00,000

    1,50,000

    1,00,000

    1,00,000

    Total 13,50,000 Total 13,50,000

    Question No. 11Question No. 11Question No. 11Question No. 11

    You are given the following figures worked out from the profit and loss

    account and balance sheet of Z Ltd. relating to the year 1974. Prepare the

    balance sheet.

    Fixed assets (net after writing off 30%) Rs. 10,50,000

    Fixed assets turnover ratio 2

    Finished goods turnover ratio 6

    Rate of gross profit to sales 25%

    Net profit (before interest) to sale 8%

    Fixed charges over (debenture interest 7%) 8

    Debt collection period 1 months

    Material consumed to sales 30%

    Stock of raw materials (in terms of number of

    months consumption) 8

    Current ratio 2.4

    Quick ratio 1.0

    Reserves to capital 0.20

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    SC

    R & S

    Borrowings

    CL

    11,93,750

    2,38,750

    3,00,000

    4,87,500

    FA

    Debtors

    Stock

    Finished

    Raw material

    Others

    10,50,000

    2,62,500

    2,62,500

    4,20,000

    2,25,000

    Total 22,20,000 Total 13,50,000

    Question o. 12

    You have asked by the management of The Wonderful Suppliers Ltd. to project a

    trading and profit & loss account and the balance sheet on the basis of the

    following estimated figures and ratios, for the next financial year ending March

    31, 1983:

    Gross profit Rs. 12,50,000Ratio of gross profit 25%

    Stock turnover ratio 5 times

    Average debt collection period 3 months

    Creditors velocity 3 months

    Current ratio 2

    Proprietary ratio (fixed assets to capital employed) 80%

    Capital gearing ratio (preference shares &

    debenture to Capital Employed) 30%

    Net profit to issued capital (equity) 10%

    Preference share capital to debentures 2Cost of sales consists of 50% for materials

    P&L and G.R. to issued capital (equity) 25%

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    GP = 12,50,000

    Sales = 50,00,000

    COGS = 37,50,000

    Stock Turnover ratio = COGS/Closing Stock

    5 = 37,50,000/Closing StockClosing Stock = 7,50,000

    Debtors =50,00,000 x 3/12 = Rs. 12,50,000

    Creditors = 37,50,000 x 0.50 x 3/12 = 4,68,750

    Closing Stock + Debtors

    Current ratio = ----------------------------------

    Creditors + Bank Overdraft

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    7,50,000 + 12,50,000

    2 = ---------------------------------

    4,68,750 + Bank Overdraft

    Bank overdraft = 5,31,250

    WC = Stock + Debtors Creditors Bank overdraft

    = 7,50,000 + 12,50,000 468750 5,31,250 = 10,00,000

    Capital Employed = FA + WC =

    1 = 0.80 + 0.20

    0.20 CE = WC

    0.20 CE = 10,00,000

    CE = 50,00,000

    Pref. shares and debentures = 30% of CE = 15,00,000Preference share capital = 10,00,000

    Debentures =5,00,000

    Equity shareholders fund = 50,00,000 -10,00,000 5,00,000 = 35,00,000

    Let issued capital equity = x

    X + 0.25 x = 35,00,000

    x = 28,00,000

    ESC = 28,00,000

    P&L and GR = 7,00,000

    Estimated Trading and Profit & Loss A/c 31.3.1983

    Cost of goods sold 37,50,000 Sales 50,00,000

    GP c/d 12,50,000

    Total 50,00,000 Total 50,00,000

    Expenses (Balancing

    figure)

    9,70,000 GP b/d 12,50,000

    NP (10% of ESC) 2,80,000

    Total 12,50,000 Total 12,50,000

    Estimated B/S as on 31.3.1983

    Liabilities :

    ESC

    PSC

    R & S

    Borrowings

    Creditors

    BO

    28,00,000

    10,00,000

    7,00,000

    5,00,000

    4,68,750

    5,31,250

    Assets

    FA

    Debtors

    Stock

    40,00,000

    12,50,000

    7,50,000

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    Total 60,00,000 Total 60,00,000

    Question No. 13Question No. 13Question No. 13Question No. 13

    Sunrise Limited has been in existence for two years. Summarised balance sheets

    as on 31st December, 1976 and 31st December, 1977 are given below:

    Balance SheetBalance SheetBalance SheetBalance Sheet

    Liabilities 1976 1977 Assets 1976 1977

    (Rs. in Lakhs) (Rs. in Lakhs)

    Equity shares of Fixed Assets

    Rs. 100 each 2.00 2.00 (Less:Dep.) 4.16 3.96Reserves 0.20 0.40 Stock 0.60 1.20

    Profit & Loss A/c 0.28 0.04 Debtors 0.80 1.60

    Loans on mortgage2.20 1.60 Cash and Bank

    Bank overdraft 0.40 Balance 0.60 0.04

    Creditors 0.60 1.80

    Provision for

    Taxation 0.68 0.26

    Proposed dividend0.20 0.30

    6.16 6.80 6.16 6.80

    You are also given the profit and loss account of the company for the two

    years.

    Profit and Loss AccountProfit and Loss AccountProfit and Loss AccountProfit and Loss Account

    1976 1977 1976 1977

    (Rs. in Lakhs) (Rs. in Lakhs)

    Interest on Loan .048 .096 Balance B/F 0.28

    Directors Remu- Profit for the year

    neration 0.20 0.60 after running

    Provision for costs & depre-

    Taxation 0.68 0.26 ciation 1.608 1.216

    Dividends 0.20 0.30

    Transfer to

    Reserve 0.20 0.20

    Balance C/F 0.28 0.04

    1.608 1.496 1.608 1.496

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    Total sales amounted to Rs. 12 lakhs in 1976 and Rs. 10 lakhs in 1977.

    Make a thorough overall analysis of this company.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    1976 1977

    1.408 0.616

    ROCE 100 = 30% 100 = 15.20%

    4.68 4.04

    1.408 0.616Net profit ratio 100 = 11.73% 100 = 6.16%

    12 10.00

    12 10

    C.E. Turnover ratio = 2.56 = 2.47

    4.68 4.04

    2.00 2.84

    Current ratio = 1.35 = 1.03

    1.48 2.76

    1.40 1.64Quick ratio = 0.95 = 0.69

    1.48 2.36

    12 10

    Stock turnover = 20 = 8.33

    0.60 1.20

    .80 1.60

    Av. Collection period 12 = .80 month 12 = 1.93 months

    12 10

    2.20 1.60

    D.E. Ratio = .89 = .66

    2.48 2.44

    68000 26000

    EPS = 34 = 13

    2000 2000

    10 15

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    P/O Ratio = .29 = 1.15

    34 13

    Working NotesWorking NotesWorking NotesWorking Notes

    1976 1977

    ESC 2.00 2.00

    Reserve 0.20 0.40

    P&L 0.28 0.04

    Equity 2.48 2.44

    Loan 2.20 1.60

    C. E. 4.68 4.04

    Comments on individual ratios:

    Return on capital employed has come down from 30% in 1976 to 15.20% in1977. This

    has been the result of two negative figures :

    (i) Decrease in Net Profit ratio ( from 11.73% in 1976 to 6.16% in 1977)

    (ii) Decrease in capital employed turnover from 2.56 in 1976 to 2.47 in 1977).

    The current ratio has come down from already low level of 1.35 in 1976 toserious level of 1.03 in 1977.The quick ratio has come down from 0.95 (

    Moderate level) to dangerous level of 0.69.

    Several reasons have been responsible for decline in working capital

    position like repayment of loan without raising long term funds, increasein dividend, three fold increase in directors remuneration.

    Stock turnover ratio has come down from 20 in 1978 to 8.33 in 1977indicating hat goods are moving very slowly.

    Average collection period has been increased from 0.80 month to 1.93months in 1977 indicating abnormal delay in collection from debtors.

    Debt equity ratio has declined from 0.89 to 0.66 because of repayment ofloan.

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    EPS has declined in tune with the net profit. Surprisingly there has beenextra-ordinary increase in payout ratio. The main payout ratio is greater

    than 1. This means that the company is paying out of accumulated profits

    as well.

    CRITICAL APPRAISAL

    (i) Decline in sales is a serious matter

    (ii) long-term funds should have been raised for redeeming the long-term debts

    (iii) Increase in dividend and directors remuneration should have been avoided.

    (iv) cash position ios alarming. Cash balance is only Rs.4,000 as against huge

    amount of liablities.

    OVERALL COMMENTS

    The overall performance of Sunrise Ltd during the year 1977 has been adverse.

    SUGGESTIONS FOR FUTURE

    (i) Increase in dividend and Directors remuneration may be rolled back(ii) Long term funds may be raised for strengthening the working capital(iii) The company may go for all out efforts for increasing the sales.

    Q. o. 14: The following information is taken from the accounts of Charu Ltd, for last

    year:

    Issued share capital

    10,00,000 ordinary shares of Re. 1 each, fully paid

    Secured Loan

    Rs. 2,50,000 8 per cent debenture

    Reserves

    Capital Redemption reserve Rs. 1,50,000

    General Revenue Rs. 7,50,000

    Profit and dividend

    Profit for the year Rs.6.0

    Ordinary dividend 10 per cent

    You are also told that the current market price of Charus ordinary shares is Rs. 3.20

    each.

    Calculate: (i) EPS, (ii) P.E. Ratio, (iii) Earning yield, (iv) Dividend yield, (v)

    Dividend cover.

    AnswerAnswerAnswerAnswer

    EPS = EAT / No of equity shares = 6,00,000 / 10,00,000 Re.0.60

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    PE ratio = Market price per share / EPS 3.20 / 0.60 5.33

    Earnings yield = EPS / Market price per share = 0.60/3.20 18.75%

    Dividend Yield=Dividend per share / Market price per share =0.10 /3.20 3.125%

    Dividend cover= Profit before dividend / Dividend = 6,00,000/1,00,000 6

    APPENDIX AAPPENDIX AAPPENDIX AAPPENDIX A

    No. of years of purchase depends up on 2 factors:

    (i) The period required to attain the profitability level of the business the goodwill

    of which we are going to value. Suppose we are going to value the goodwill of abusiness which is reporting the return on equity of 20%. Further assume that if we

    start a new business today, it will take us 5 years to achieve the 20% return on

    equity. Now the first factor on which the number of years depends is 5.

    (ii) Adjustment for nature of business :

    For making such adjustments, the businesses are classified into three categories:

    (a)Rat type business. These are the businesses of speculative nature i.e. thereare wide fluctuations in their operating results. In one year large amount of

    profit may be there, in the next year huge amount of loss may be there.

    Sale value of goodwill of such businesses is taken as zero as the buyercannot be assured of super profit.

    Adjustment factor for such businesses is taken as negative value of

    first factor. For example, if the first factor is 5, this factor is taken

    as -5 so that no. of year of purchase is zero; this results in zero

    value of goodwill.

    (b)Dog type business: Dog follows the owner. These are the

    businesses where goodwill is attached with the owner. As the owner

    will go , after selling the business, the goodwill will go with him. Hence,

    the buyer of the goodwill is not benefited much. In such cases, to keep

    the value of goodwill towards lower side, we taken adjustment factor asnegative, say -1, -2.etc.

    For example, if the first factor is five and the second factor is taken -1, the no. of

    years of purchase will be taken as 4.

    (c) Cat type business : Cat generally does not leave its area i.e. generally it does

    not follow the owner. These are businesses where goodwill is attached with the

    business and not with the owner. Even after the sale of the business, the goodwill

    stays with the business (in spite of new owners). Say for example, retail business.

    The buyer of the goodwill is benefited much by purchasing the goodwill. Hence, he

    is ready to pay higher price for the goodwill. Hence, the adjustment factor is taken

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    as positive, say +1, +2 etc. Suppose the first factor is five and the second factor

    is +2, the n umber of years of purchase is taken as 7.


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