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Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

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Interpreting Statistical Findings Probability – Alpha: level of chance occurrence (type I error) Typical: p
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Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues Statistical Issues in Research Planning in Research Planning and Evaluation and Evaluation C H A P T E R
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Page 1: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Chapter ??

7

Statistical Issues Statistical Issues in Research Planning and in Research Planning and

EvaluationEvaluation

C H A P T E R

Page 2: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Chapter Outline

• Probability• Meaningfulness• Power• Using information in the context of the

study• Reporting statistical data

Page 3: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Interpreting Statistical Findings

• Probability– Alpha: level of chance occurrence (type I error)

• Typical: p < .05 or p < .01• Varying alpha• Truth table

(continued)

Page 4: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Interpreting Statistical Findings (continued)

• Exact probability– Beta (type II error)

• Meaningfulness (effect size)• Confidence intervals• Power: probability of rejecting the null

hypothesis when it is false

Page 5: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Truth Table for the Null Hypothesis

Page 6: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Sampling for Null Hypothesis (Figure 7.2)

Page 7: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Estimating Effect Size

• Effect size represents the standardized difference between two means.

• Formula: ES = (M1 – M2) / s• ES allows comparison between studies using

different dependent variables because it puts data in standard deviation units.

• An effect size of 0 is no difference, 0.2 is small, 0.5 medium, and 0.8 large.

Page 8: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Effect Size Examples of 0.5s (Figure 9.1a)

Page 9: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Effect Size Examples of 1.0s(Figure 9.1b)

Page 10: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Effect Size Curve to EstimateSample Size When = .05 (Figure 7.3)

Page 11: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Effect Size Curve to EstimateSample Size When = .01 (Figure 7.4)

Page 12: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Context of the Study

How do findings from the study fit within the context of

• Theory• Practice

Page 13: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Planning Research

Information needed in planning• Alpha• Effect size• Power• Sample size

Page 14: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Using the Power Calculator WhenReading a Research Study

When reading research, often sample size, means, and standard deviations are supplied. You can calculate the effect size by the formula in chapter 7. Using this data and the Power Calculator at the Web site below, you can estimate the power to detect a difference or relationship.

www.stat.ubc.ca/~rollin/stats/ssize/n2.html

Page 15: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Using the Power Calculatorto Plan Research

If you are planning your own research, you can often estimate the effect size from other studies. By setting your alpha (say .05) and power (say .8), you can use the Power Calculator at the website below to estimate the sample size you need.

http://calculators.stat.ucla.edu/powercalc/

Page 16: Chapter ?? 7 Statistical Issues in Research Planning and Evaluation C H A P T E R.

Reporting Statistical Data(Summary From APA and APS)

• How was power analysis done?• Always report complications (screen your

data).• Select minimally statistical analyses.• Report p values of confidence intervals.• Report magnitudes of the effects.• Control multiple comparisons.• Report variability using standard deviations.• Report data to appropriate level.


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