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EVALUATION OF THE OIL RESERVES
AND ASSESMENT OF THE
CONTINGENT AND PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES
OF CHELSEA OIL AND GAS LTD.
IN THE SURAT ASSETS, BOWEN/SURAT BASIN, AUSTRALIA
(As of March 31, 2013)
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Copies: Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. (5 copies)
Electronic (5 copies)
Sproule (1 copy)
Project No.: 4325.70684
Prepared For: Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Authors: Barrie F. Jose, P.Geoph., Project Leader
Philip W. Pantella, P.Eng.Suryanarayana Karri, P.Geoph.Alexey Romanov, P.Geo.
Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
Vladimir Torres Hernandez, M.Sc.Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
Exclusivity: This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of Chelsea Oil and GasLtd. It may not be reproduced, distributed, or made available to any othercompany or person, regulatory body, or organization without the knowledge
and written consent of Sproule, and without the complete contents of thereport being made available to that party.
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Table of Contents — Page 1
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Table of Contents
Introduction
Field Operations
Historical Data, Interests and Burdens
Evaluation Standards
Evaluation Procedures
Evaluation Results
BOE Cautionary Statement
Forward-Looking Statements
Exclusivity
Certification
Permit to Practice
Certificates
Summary
Table S-1 Summary of the Evaluation of the Oil Reserves of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd in Queensland, Australia
(As of March 31, 2013) after Income Taxes
Table S-1A Summary of the Evaluation of the Oil Reserves ofChelsea Oil and Gas Ltd in Queensland, Australia
(As of March 31, 2013) before Income Taxes
Table S-1B Summary of the Oil Contingent Resources of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd in Queensland, Australia
(As of March 31, 2013)
Table S-1C Summary of the Oil Prospective Resources of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd in Queensland, Australia
(As of March 31, 2013)
Table S-2 Summary of Selected Price Forecasts
(Effective March 31, 2013)
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Table S-3 Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Total Probable Plus Possible Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
Table S-3A Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Probable Undeveloped Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
Table S-3B Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Total Possible Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
Figure S-1 PL 18 and PL 280 (Surat Assets) Location Map
Figure S-2 Daily Company Gross Oil Production Forecast
Figure S-3 Annual Cash Flow (After Income Taxes)
Figure S-4 Net Present Values (After Income Taxes)
Discussion
1. General
2. Geoscience2.1 Regional Geology
2.2 Basin Development and Depositional History
2.3 Reservoir
2.4 Source Rock
3. Geophysics
3.1 Data Control
3.2 Fault Interpretation
3.3 Horizon Interpretation
3.4 Velocity Modeling
4. Petrophysical Evaluation5. Structural Mapping and Rock Volumes
6. Fluid Properties
7. Drill Stem Test
8. Reserves, Contingent and Prospective Resources Assignment
9. Pricing
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10. Operating and Capital Costs
11. Taxes and Royalties
Tables
Table D-1 Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Oil Technically
Recoverable Volumes of Chelsea Oil Australia PTY Ltd in
Queensland, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)
Table D-1A Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Contingent
Resources of Chelsea Oil Australia PTY Ltd in Queensland,
Australia (As of March 31, 2013)
Table D-1B Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Prospective
Resources of Chelsea Oil Australia PTY Ltd in Queensland,
Australia (As of March 31, 2013)
Table D-2 Estimates of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd in Queensland, Australia
(As of March 31, 2013) before Income Taxes
Table D-3 Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Total Probable Plus Possible Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
Table D-3A Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Probable Undeveloped Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
Table D-3B Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
Total Possible Reserves
Before and After Income Taxes
References
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Figures
Figure 1 Map of Eastern Australia Showing Locations of the
Bowen and Surat Basins Together with Adjacent Sedimentary
Basins
Figure 2 Location Map Showing the Geographic Distribution of Oil and
Gas in the
Bowen and Surat Basins
Figure 3 PL 18 and PL 280 (Surat Assets) Location Map
Figure 4 Bowen/Surat Basin Stratigraphic Column
Figure 5 Seismic Basemap with Wells, Block Areas and Fault Polygons
Figure 6 Seismic Basemap with Wells and Fault Polygons
Figure 7 Fault Framework from Interpreted Fault Sticks
Figure 8 Time Structure Map of Showgrounds
Figure 9 Depth Structure Map of Showgrounds
Figure 10 Thomby Creek Field - Seismic Line-SD87-4
Figure 11 Thomby Creek Field - Seismic Line-86B-4
Figure 12 Thomby Creek Field – Seismic Line-SD87-17A
Figure 13 McWhirter Field – Seismic Line-86B-24
Figure 14 McGregor Field – Seismic Line-86B-23
Figure 15 McGregor Field – Seismic Line-81B-3
Figure 16 Yellowbank Creek North Field – Seismic Line-85B-5
Figure 17 Yellowbank Creek Field – Seismic Line-78B-29
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Figure 18 Yellowbank Creek Field – Seismic Line-85B-6
Figure 19 Yellowbank Creek Field – Seismic Line-81B-2
Figure 20 Beardmore Field – Seismic Line-81T-21
Figure 21 Beardmore Field – Seismic Line-85-S2
Figure 22 3D Perspective View of Showgrounds Depth Structure Map
Figure 23 3D Perspective View of Base of Showgrounds Depth Structure
Map
Figure 24 Well Thomby Creek 2: Cementation Factor from Core Data
Figure 25 Thomby Creek-1 Well Logs
Figure 26 Top Showgrounds Sandstone Formation Depth Structure Map
Figure 27 Thomby Creek Field Volume Areas Assignment
Figure 28 McWhirter Field Volume Areas Assignment
Figure 29 Yellowbank Creek Field Volume Areas Assignment
Figure 30 Beardmore Field Volume Areas Assignment
Figure 31 Yellowbank Creek North Field Volume Areas Assignment
Figure 32 McGregor Field Volume Areas Assignment
Appendices
Appendix A DefinitionsAppendix B Prices
Appendix C Abbreviations, Units and Conversion Factors
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Introduction — Page 1
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Introduction
This report was prepared by Sproule International Limited (“Sproule”) at the request of Mr.
William Petrie, CEO, Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd (hereinafter referred to as "the Company" or
“Chelsea”). The effective date of this report is March 31, 2013, and it consists of an
evaluation of the hydrocarbon reserves and an assessment of the contingent and prospective
resource volumes associated with the Company’s interests in the Surat Assets (Petroleum
Leases 18 and 280) , located in the Bowen/Surat Basin, State of Queensland, Australia.
This report was prepared in April and May 2013 for the purpose of evaluating the Company’s
oil reserves and estimating the contingent and prospective resource volumes according to the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH) reserves and resources definitions that
are consistent with the standards of National Instrument 51-101. This report was prepared for
the Company’s corporate purposes.
This report is contained in one volume, comprising the following sections: Introduction,
Summary, Discussion, National Instrument 51-101, and Appendices. The Introduction
includes the summary of evaluation standards and procedures and pertinent author
certificates; the Summary includes high-level summaries of the evaluation; and the
Discussion includes general commentaries pertaining to the evaluation of the oil reserves,
contingent and prospective resources. The National Instrument 51-101 section presents Form
51-101F2 ― Report on Reserves Data by Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluator or
Auditor, and NI 51-101 formatted tables using Forecast Prices and Costs. Reserves
definitions, product price forecasts, abbreviations, units, and conversion factors are includedin Appendices A, B and C.
Field Operations
In the preparation of this evaluation, a field inspection of the properties was not performed by
Sproule. The relevant engineering data were made available by the Company or obtained
from public sources and the non-confidential files at Sproule. No material information
regarding the reserves evaluation would have been obtained by an on-site visit.
Historical Data, Interests and Burdens
1. All historical production, revenue and expense data, product prices actually received, and
other data that were obtained from the Company or from public sources were accepted as
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represented, without any further investigation by Sproule.
2. Property descriptions, details of interests held, and well data, as supplied by the
Company, were accepted as represented. No investigation was made into either the legal
titles held or any operating agreements in place relating to the subject properties.
3. Lessor and overriding royalties and other burdens were obtained from the Company. No
further investigation was undertaken by Sproule.
4. Sproule reserves the right to review all calculations made, referred to or included in this
report and to revise the estimates as a result of erroneous data supplied by the Company
or information that exists but was not made available to us, which becomes known
subsequent to the preparation of this report.
Evaluation Standards
This report has been prepared by Sproule using current geological and engineering
knowledge, techniques and computer software. It has been prepared within the Code of Ethics
of the Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (“APEGA”). This
report adheres in all material aspects to the “best practices” recommended in the COGE
Handbook, which are in accordance with principles and definitions established by the Calgary
Chapter of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers. The COGE Handbook is
incorporated by reference in National Instrument 51-101.
Evaluation Procedures
1. The Company provided Sproule with operating and capital budgets for the fields being
evaluated. In addition, a summary of economic parameters for use in the evaluation was
provided. The economic parameters were independently reviewed by Sproule to ensure
reasonableness.
2. The forecasts of product prices used in this evaluation were based on Sproule’s March 31,
2013 price forecasts. Further discussion is included in Appendix B.
3. Well abandonment and disconnect costs were included in this report at the entity level for
wells which have reserves assigned. No allowances for reclamation or salvage values were
made. No provision for abandonment or decommissioning of facilities or pipelines has
been included in this evaluation.
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4. The inclusion of future drilling locations and other future capital investments required a
positive before tax net present value at a 10 percent discount rate.
5.
For this evaluation, Sproule conducted economic analysis using the reserves evaluation
software Merak Peep (Peep). The functionality of the program is not the responsibility of
Sproule, and results were accepted as calculated by the model. Sproule’s responsibility is
limited to the quality of the data input and reasonableness of the outcoming results.
6. Tax pools were provided by the Company and have been included in the Reserves
Evaluation.
7. Contingent and Prospective oil resources were estimated and classified deterministically.
Contingent Resources are discovered and potentially recoverable, but currently sub-
commercial (contingencies may include economic legal, environmental, political and
regulatory matters or lack of market). Prospective Resources are undiscovered and
potentially recoverable.
Evaluation Results
1. The accuracy of reserves estimates and associated economic analysis is, in part, a
function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering and geological
interpretation and judgment. Given the data provided at the time this report was
prepared, the estimates presented herein are considered reasonable. However, theyshould be accepted with the understanding that reservoir and financial performance
subsequent to the date of the estimates may necessitate revision. These revisions may be
material.
2. The net present values of the reserves presented in this report simply represent
discounted future cash flow values at several discount rates. Though net present values
form an integral part of fair market value estimations, without consideration for other
economic criteria, they are not to be construed as Sproule’s opinion of fair market value.
3.
The dollar values presented throughout the report are in United States dollars, unlessotherwise stated.
4. Due to rounding, certain totals may not be consistent from one presentation to the next.
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BOE Cautionary Statement
BOEs (or McfGEs or other applicable units of equivalency) may be misleading, particularly if
used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 Mcf:1 bbl (or an McfGE conversion ratio of 1
bbl:6 Mcf) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Forward-Looking Statements
This report may contain forward-looking statements including expectations of future
production revenues and capital expenditures. Information concerning reserves may also be
deemed to be forward-looking as estimates involve the implied assessment that the reserves
described can be profitably produced in the future. These statements are based on current
expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual
results to differ from those anticipated. These risks include, but are not limited to: the
underlying risks of the oil and gas industry (i.e., corporate commitment, regulatory approval,
operational risks in development, exploration and production); potential delays or changes in
plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the
uncertainty of reserves estimations; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production; costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental factors; commodity prices;
and exchange rate fluctuation.
Exclusivity
This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. It may not be
reproduced, distributed, or made available to any other company or person, regulatory body,
or organization without the knowledge and written consent of Sproule, and without the
complete contents of the report being made available to that party.
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Certification
Report Preparation
This report entitled, “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of the Contingent and
Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets, Bowen/Surat Basin,
Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” was prepared by the following Sproule personnel:
_______________________________
Barrie F. Jose, P.Geoph.
Project Leader;
Vice President, Geoscience, International and
Partner
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
_______________________________
Philip W. Pantella, P.Eng.
Manager, Engineering and Partner
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
_______________________________
Suryanarayana Karri, P.Geoph.
Senior Petrophysicist; Supervisor,
Geoscience and Partner
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
_______________________________Alexey Romanov, P.Geo.
Petroleum Geologist and Partner
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
Origina Signe y Barrie F. Jose, P.Geop .
Original Signed by Philip W. Pantella, P.Eng.
Original Signed by Suryanarayana Karri, P.Geoph.
Origina Signe y A exey Romanov, P.Geo.
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_______________________________
Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
Petroleum Evaluator
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
______________________________
Vladimir Torres Hernandez, M.Sc.
Senior Geological Specialist and Associate
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
_______________________________
Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
Senior Petroleum Geophysical Specialist
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
Sproule Executive Endorsement
This report has been reviewed and endorsed by the following Executive of Sproule:
_______________________________
Greg D. Robinson, P.Eng.
Vice-President, International and Director
_22_/_05_/2013 dd/mm/yr
Permit to Practice
Sproule International Limited is a member of the Association of Professional Engineers and
Geoscientists of Alberta and our permit number is PO6151.
Original Signed by Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
Original Signed by Vladimir Torres Hernandez, M.Sc.
Original Signed by Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
Original Signed by Greg D. Robinson, P.Eng.
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Certificate
Barrie F. Jose, M.Sc., P.Geoph.
I, Barrie F. Jose, Vice-President, Geoscience, International and Partner of Sproule, 900, 140
Fourth Ave SW, Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degrees:
a. M.Sc. Geophysics (1979) University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C., Canada
b. B.Sc. (Honours) Geological Science with Physics (1977) Queens University, Kingston, ON,
Canada
2. I am a registered professional:
a. Professional Geophysicist (P.Geoph.) Province of Alberta, Canada
3. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicists (CSEG)
c. Society of Exploration Geophysicists (SEG)
d. Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists (CSPG)
e. American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
f. Petroleum Exploration Society of Great Britain (PESGB)
g. European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)
h. Indonesian Petroleum Association, Professional Division (IPA)
4. I am a qualified reserves evaluator and reserves auditor as defined in National Instrument
51-101.
5. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my geophysical
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
6. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Barrie F. Jose, P.Geoph.
Origina Signe y Barrie F. Jose, P.Geop .
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Certificate
Philip W. Pantella, B.Sc., P.Eng.
I, Philip W. Pantella, Manager, Engineering and Partner, of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth Ave SW,
Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degree:
a. B.Sc. Chemical Engineering (1972), University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan
2. I am a registered professional:
a. Professional Engineer (P.Eng.), Province of Alberta, Canada
3. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
4. I am a qualified reserves evaluator as defined in National Instrument 51-101.
5. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my engineering
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of theproperties.
6. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Philip W. Pantella, P.Eng.
Original Signed by Philip W. Pantella, P.Eng.
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Certificate
Suryanarayana Karri, M.Sc., P.Geoph.
I, Suryanarayana Karri, Supervisor, Geoscience, Senior Petrophysicist and Partner of Sproule,
900, 140 Fourth Ave SW, Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degrees:
a. M.Sc. Engineering Physics and Instrumentation (1983), Osmania University, Hyderabad, India
2. I am a registered professional:
a. Professional Geophysicist (P.Geoph.), Province of Alberta, Canada
3. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
c. The Society of Petrophysicists and Well Log Analysts (SPWLA)
d. Canadian Well Logging Society (CWLS)
4. I am a qualified reserves evaluator and reserves auditor as defined in National Instrument
51-101.
5. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my engineering
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
6. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Suryanarayana Karri, P.Geoph.
Origina Signe y Suryanarayana Karri, P.Geo
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Certificate
Alexey Romanov, Ph.D., P.Geo.
I, Alexey Romanov, Petroleum Geologist and Partner of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth Ave. SW,
Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degrees:
a. Ph.D. Eng. (2007), Kazan State Technological University, Kazan, Russia
b. M.Sc. Reservoir Evaluation and Management (2004), Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, UK
c. M.Sc. (Honours), Petroleum Geology (2003), Kazan State Technological University, Kazan,
Russia
2. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
b.. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
c. Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists (GSPG)
3. I am a qualified reserves evaluator as defined in National Instrument 51-101.
4. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my engineering
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and fromthe non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
5. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Alexey Romanov, Ph.D., P.Geo.
Original Signed by Alexey Romanov, P.Geo.
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Certificate
Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
I, Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng., Petroleum Evaluator of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth Ave. SW,
Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degree:
a. M.Eng. Petroleum Engineering (2012), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
b. B.Sc. (With Distinction), Petroleum Engineering (2003), Kazakh National Technical University,
Almaty, Kazakhstan
2. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my engineering
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
3. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
Original Signed by Irina Baiseitova, M.Eng.
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Certificate
Vladimir Torres, M.Sc.
I, Vladimir Torres, Senior Geological Specialist and Associate of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth Ave
SW, Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degrees:
a. M.Sc. Geology (1991), Azerbaijan State Oil Academy, Baku, Republic of Azerbaijan
b. M.Sc. Petroleum Geosciences (1997), Institut Francais du Petrole, Paris, France
2. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists (CSPG)c. American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
3. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my geological
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
4. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct orindirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Vladimir Torres, M.Sc.
Original Signed by Vladimir Torres, M.Sc.
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Certificate
Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
I, Mustafa Ali Malik, Senior Petroleum Geophysical Specialist of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth Ave
SW, Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degrees:
a. M.Sc. Geophysics (1998),Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
b. B.Sc. Physics (1995), University of Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan
2. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Society of Exploration Geophysicist (SEG)
c. Canadian Society of Exploration Geophysicist (CSEG)
d. Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
e. European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers (EAGE)
3. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my geophysical
knowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
4. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
Original Signed by Mustafa Ali Malik, M.Sc.
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Introduction — Page 14
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Certificate
Greg D. Robinson, B.Sc., P.Eng.
I, Greg D. Robinson, Vice-President, International and Director of Sproule, 900, 140 Fourth
Ave SW, Calgary, Alberta, declare the following:
1. I hold the following degree:
a. B.Sc. Civil Engineering (1978) University of Manitoba, Winnipeg MB, Canada
2. I am a registered professional:
a. Professional Engineer (P.Eng.) Province of Alberta, Canada
3. I am a member of the following professional organizations:
a. Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of Alberta (APEGA)
b. Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
c. Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (SPEE)
4. I am a qualified reserves evaluator and reserves auditor as defined in National Instrument
51-101.
5. My contribution to the report entitled “Evaluation of the Oil Reserves and Assessment of
the Contingent and Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. in the Surat Assets,
Bowen/Surat Basin, Australia (As of March 31, 2013)” is based on my engineeringknowledge and the data provided to me by the Company, from public sources, and from
the non-confidential files of Sproule. I did not undertake a field inspection of the
properties.
6. I have no interest, direct or indirect, nor do I expect to receive any interest, direct or
indirect, in the properties described in the above-named report or in the securities of
Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd.
Greg D. Robinson, P.Eng.
Origina Signe y Greg D. Ro inson, P.Eng.
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Summary — Page 1
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Summary
Tables S-1 and S-1A summarize our evaluation of the oil reserves of Chelsea Oil and Gas
Ltd., as of March 31, 2013, after and before Australian income taxes, respectively. Table S-
1B, presents the contingent oil resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd., as of March 31, 2013.
Prospective Resources of Chelsea Oil and Gas Ltd. are summarized in the Table S-1C. The
Company’s interests are located in the Petroleum Leases 18 and 280 (PL 18 and PL 280),
Bowen/Surat Basin, State of Queensland, Australia. Maps showing the location of the
Company’s Surat Assets are included as Figure S-1 and Figures 1 to 3 (located in the
Discussion section of the report).
The reserves definitions and ownership classification used in this evaluation are in
accordance with Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH) reserves definitions
and evaluation practices and procedures, which is compliant with Canadian National
Instrument 51-101.
No economic analyses were conducted for contingent and prospective resources.
The net present values of the reserves are presented in thousands of United States dollars
and are based on annual projections of net revenue, which were discounted at various
rates. These rates are 5, 10, 15 and 20 percent and undiscounted.
The price forecasts that formed the basis for the revenue projections in the evaluation were
based on Sproule’s March 31, 2013 pricing model. Table S-2 presents a summary ofselected forecasts.
Operating and Capital costs were escalated to the dates incurred at 1.5 percent per year.
Well abandonment and disconnect costs were included in this report at the entity level for
wells which have reserves assigned. No allowances for reclamation or salvage values were
made. No provision for abandonment or decommissioning of facilities or pipelines has been
included in this evaluation.
Summary forecasts of production and cash flow for the various reserves categories areincluded as Tables S-3 through S-3B. Figures S-2 through S-4 present the results of our
evaluation in graphical form.
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Table S-1
Gross Gross Net At 0% At 5.0% At 10.0% At 15% At 20%
Total Probable 140 140 125 4,470 4,100 3,773 3,484 3,226
Total Possible 261 261 231 5,267 4,593 4,023 3,540 3,129
Total Probable Plus Possible 401 401 356 9,738 8,693 7,796 7,024 6,356
Table S-1A
Gross Gross Net At 0% At 5.0% At 10.0% At 15% At 20%
Total Probable 140 140 125 5,767 5,187 4,692 4,267 3,898
Total Possible 261 261 231 11,608 9,665 8,129 6,900 5,905
Total Probable Plus Possible 401 401 356 17,374 14,852 12,821 11,166 9,803
Values may not add due to rounding.
Company After Income Taxes M$US
Oil (Mbbl)
Escalated Prices and Costs
(As of March 31, 2013)
Remaining Reserves
Chelsea Oil & Gas Ltd.
Block PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Net Present Values
Chelsea Oil & Gas Ltd.
Block PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Escalated Prices and Costs
Net Present Values
(As of March 31, 2013)
Remaining Reserves
Company Before Income Taxes M$US
Oil (Mbbl)
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(ac) (ft)(%)
(%) RB/STB Mbbls % Mbbls % Mbbls
Showground sandstone
12
2 0
2 3 467 5 23 70 16
34
979 10 98 73 72
* Not adjusted for economic cut-off
average working interest, based on the Company's working interest of 50% in PL 280 and 100% in PL 18
Values may not balance due to rounding
1. Contingent Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations
using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to
one or more contingencies. Contingent resources have an associated chance of development (economic, regulatory, market and facility, corporate
commitment or political risks). These estimates have not been risked for the chance of development. There is no certainty that any portion of
the contingent resources will be developed or, if developed, there is no certainty as to either the timing of such development or whether
it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
2. 1C estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed
the 1C estimate.
3. 2C estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be
greater or less than the 2C estimate.
4. 3C estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
exceed the 3C estimate.
5. The individual field contingent resources volumes were estimated deterministically and the arithmetic summation has been provided. Statistial aggregation has not
been considered.
Oil
FVF
Original Oil
In Place
Technical
RecoveryFactor *
- Cum Production -
Working
Interest**
Company
Technically
RecoverableOil*
Table S-1B
Total of McWhirter and Thomby Creek Fields
Production Licenses 18 and 280, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Contingent Resources (Unrisked)(1,5)
(As of March 31, 2013)Original
Technically
RecoverableOil *
Pool/Location
Drainage
Area Net Pay Porosity
Water
Saturation
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(ac) (ft)(%)
(%) RB/STB Mbbls % Mbbls % Mbbls
Showground sandstone
Low2
2,868 5 149 93 138
Best 34,504 10 441 89 393
High 4
6,884 15 1,064 84 897
* Not adjusted for economic cut-off
** average working interest, based on the Company's working interest of 50% in PL 280 and 100% in PL 18
Values may not balance due to rounding
1. Prospective Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered
accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a
chance of development. The reported resources have not been risked for either chance of discovery (geological chance of success) or
chance of development (economic, regulatory, market, facility, corporate commitment, or political risks). There is no certainty tha
any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and if discovered, there is no certainty as to either the timing of such
development or whether it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
2. Low estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate.
3. Best estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate.
4. High estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the High estimate.
5. The individual field prospective resources volumes were estimated deterministically and the arithmetic summation has been provided. Statistical aggregation
has not been considered. The summation of the unrisked prospect volumes may be misleading because it assumes success for each of the prospect entities.
The chance of this occurring is unlikely.
Original
Technically
RecoverableOil *
Pool/Location
Drainage
Area Net Pay Porosity
Water
Saturation
Oil
FVF
Original Oil
In Place
Working
Interest **
Company
Technically
RecoverableOil*
Table S-1C
Total of Beardmore, McGregor, McWhirter , Thomby Creek and Yellowbank Creek Fields
Production License 18/280, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Prospective Resources (Unrisked)(1,5)
(As of March 31, 2013)
Technical
RecoveryFactor *
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Summary
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Table S-2
Summary of Selected Price Forecasts
(Effective March 31, 2013)
Year
WTI Cushinga
Oklahoma
($US/bbl)
UK
Brentb
($US/bbl)
Historical
2008 99.59 97.06
2009 61.63 61.53
2010 79.43 79.48
2011 95.00 111.22
2012 94.19 111.44
Forecast
2013 3 mo. Actual 94.35 112.49
2013 9 mo. Estimate 92.85 109.60
2014 90.51 103.84
2015 87.69 99.17
2016 93.22 103.032017 96.96 106.65
2018 98.41 108.25
2019 99.89 109.87
2020 101.38 111.52
2021 102.91 113.20
2022 104.45 114.89
Escalation rate of 1.5% thereafter
Note:
a. 40 degrees API, 0.4% sulphurb. 38 degrees API, 1.0% sulphur c. International Petroleum Exchange British National Balancing Point
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3P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Probable Plus Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.38 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.38 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2020/04
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 17,374 9,738 1.56 0.9
5.0 14,852 8,693 1.49 0.9
10.0 12,821 7,796 1.43 0.9
15.0 11,166 7,024 1.37 0.9
20.0 9,803 6,356 1.32 0.9
25.0 8,669 5,775 1.27 0.9
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 46.4
AT Payout (yrs) 1.08 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.42 Gov't Take (%) 53.5
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 38,667 100.00 108.63
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 9,061 23.43 25.45
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 11,138 28.80 31.29
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 17,374 44.93 48.81
Less Income Tax 7,637 19.75 21.45 After Tax Cash Flow 10,452 27.03 29.36
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 401 401
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 401 401
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 10,472 10,472
Abandonment (M$US) 666 666Total (M$US) 11,138 11,138
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
10,054
13,100
9,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
0
263
340
239
133
72
39
8
0
1,094
0
876
1,134
798
444
239
130
27
0
3,647
72
1,634
2,256
1,816
1,307
975
797
203
0
9,061
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,186
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
10,472
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
666
0
666
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,096
5,629
4,817
3,281
1,550
627
-554
0
17,374
0
0
495
3,318
2,289
1,046
451
38
0
7,637
-72
2,096
5,134
1,500
992
504
176
-592
0
9,738
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Table S-3
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2P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Probable Undeveloped
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.46 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.46 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2017/07
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 5,767 4,470 1.48 1.1
5.0 5,187 4,100 1.43 1.1
10.0 4,692 3,773 1.39 1.1
15.0 4,267 3,484 1.35 1.1
20.0 3,898 3,226 1.31 1.1
25.0 3,576 2,997 1.27 1.0
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 57.2
AT Payout (yrs) 1.08 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.57 Gov't Take (%) 42.7
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 13,467 100.00 108.07
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 3,427 25.45 27.50
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 3,897 28.93 31.27
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 5,767 42.82 46.27
Less Income Tax 1,296 9.62 10.40 After Tax Cash Flow 4,496 33.38 36.08
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 140 140
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 140 140
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 3,684 3,684
Abandonment (M$US) 212 212Total (M$US) 3,897 3,897
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0
8,570
3,962
1,697
497
0
0
14,725
0
224
101
42
11
0
0
377
0
745
336
139
38
0
0
1,258
72
1,443
943
658
312
0
0
3,427
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
212
0
0
212
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,474
2,582
859
-77
0
0
5,767
0
0
709
461
126
0
0
1,296
-72
2,474
1,873
397
-202
0
0
4,470
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Table S-3A
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PS : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/02, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.34 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.34 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2020/04
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 11,608 5,267 1.60 0.8
5.0 9,665 4,593 1.53 0.8
10.0 8,129 4,023 1.46 0.8
15.0 6,900 3,540 1.39 0.8
20.0 5,905 3,129 1.33 0.7
25.0 5,093 2,778 1.27 0.7
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 40.9
AT Payout (yrs) 1.17 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.34 Gov't Take (%) 59.0
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 25,200 100.00 108.93
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 5,634 22.36 24.35
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 7,241 28.73 31.30
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 11,608 46.06 50.18
Less Income Tax 6,341 25.16 27.41 After Tax Cash Flow 5,957 23.64 25.75
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 261 261
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 261 261
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 6,787 6,787
Abandonment (M$US) 454 454Total (M$US) 7,241 7,241
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
1,484
9,138
7,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
0
39
239
198
122
72
39
8
0
717
0
131
798
659
406
239
130
27
0
2,389
0
190
1,314
1,159
996
975
797
203
0
5,634
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,501
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
6,787
0
0
0
0
-212
0
0
666
0
454
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-378
3,047
3,958
3,357
1,550
627
-554
0
11,608
0
0
-214
2,856
2,163
1,046
451
38
0
6,341
0
-378
3,260
1,102
1,194
504
176
-592
0
5,267
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Table S-3B
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70684
PL 18 and PL280 (Surat Assets) Location Map
http://w
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Figure S-2
70684
MCWHIRTER, THOMBY CREEK, YELLOWBANK CREEK NORTHDAILY COMPANY PRODUCTION FORECAST
GROSS OIL
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Figure S-3
70684
MCWHIRTER, THOMBY CREEK, YELLOWBANK CREEK NORTH
ANNUAL CASH FLOW (AFTER INCOME TAX)
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Figure S-4
70684
MCWHIRTER, THOMBY CREEK, YELLOWBANK CREEK NORTH
NET PRESENT VALUE (AFTER INCOME TAX)
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Discussion – Page 1
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Discussion
1. General
Petroleum Leases 18 and 280 (PL 18 and PL 280) are located approximately seven
kilometres south of the Silver Springs Gas field complex on the western flank of the Surat
Basin in southeastern Queensland, Australia. The oilfields in these leases were discovered
by Bridge Oil and later acquired by Brisbane Petroleum and Delbaere Associates in June
1993. The oil in all fields is accumulated in the Triassic Showgrounds Sandstones (Figure 4).
PL 18 with an area of 186 square kilometers contains the Thomby Creek Oil Field, McGregor
Field, Yellowbank Creek Field and Yellowbank Creek North Field.
PL 280 with an area of 91 square kilometers contains the Beardmore Field.
The McWhirter Field straddles the boundary between PL 18 and PL 280.
The Thomby Creek Oil field was discovered by Bridge oil in 1979 with 5 producing wells
being drilled to April 1981. These 5 wells produced 51.5 Mbbls of oil to May 1986 when the
field was suspended. Thomby Creek-5 well was put back on production in 1999 and shut-in
at the end of 2009. The cumulative oil production from the field was 58.6 Mbbls to March
31, 2013.
The Yellowbank Creek Oil Field was discovered by the Yellowbank Creek-2 well in 1982. Twomore wells, YBC-3 and YBC-4, were drilled in 1982. All three wells were shut in
(Yellowbank-2 in December 1993, Yellowbank-3 in March 2010, Yellowbank-4 in April 2006)
due to excessive water cut and they have remained shut-in. The cumulative oil production
from the three wells was 425 Mbbls.
Within the McWhirter Area (located in both PL 18 and PL 280), the McWhirter East-1 well
was drilled in November 1978 but only completed for production in December 1997. This
well produced 49.9 Mbbls to 2006. The McWhirter-1 discovery well had been plugged and
abandoned by Crusader in 1993, after producing 2,038 bbls. Two more dry holes were
drilled in the area (McWhirter-2 and Abbott-1).
The YBCN-1 well located in the Yellowbank Creek North area was drilled in August 1987 but
only completed for production in June 1993, producing 32.9 Mbbls until it was shut-in in
April 2004 due to high water cut.
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Three wells were drilled within the Beardmore Area (Beardmore-1, Beardmore-2 and
Beardmore Southwest-1A). The Beardmore-1 well was drilled in 1981 and three DSTs were
conducted. Mud cut oil was recovered at surface from the Showgrounds sandstone and the
Kuttung Formation. The Beardmore-2 well was drilled in 1987 and a DST flowed gas to
surface at a small rate. Several barrels of condensate/oil cut mud were retrieved during
circulation. Well Beardmore-SW 1A was drilled in 1982. Only mud was recovered during a
test of the Showgrounds sandstone formation.
The Company owns a 100-percent interest in Petroleum Lease 18 and a 50 percent interest
in Petroleum Lease 280. The remaining interests in the Petroleum Lease 280 are held by
Longreach Oil Ltd.
2. Geoscience
2.1 Regional Geology
The Bowen Basin was formed during the earliest Permian to Late Triassic time. It is a
narrow, elongate north–south trending basin, recognized as the northern element of the
Bowen-Gunnedah-Sydney basin system (Figure 1), with a length of 900 km extending from
Collinsville in Queensland to Moree in New South Wales. It covers a total area of just over
200,000 km2. The rocks in the Bowen Basin consist of Early Permian marine sediments, Late
Permian coal measures, Early Triassic red beds, and Middle Triassic terrigenous sediments
(Fielding et al. 1990).
The Bowen Basin consists of two main depocentres, the Taroom and Denison troughs
(Figure 1). The north-trending Taroom Trough is the largest and most easterly, containing
up to 9000 m of Permian and Triassic sediments and covers an area of approximately
50,000 km2 (Hawkins et al. 1992). It is bounded to the west by the Wunger Ridge, Roma
and Collinsville shelves and the Comet Ridge. Its eastern limit is the structural eastern
margin of the basin. To the west and separated from the Taroom Trough by the Comet
Ridge, the north-northwest trending Denison Trough is 320 km long and 60 km wide. It is
bounded on the west by the Nebine Ridge and Springsure Shelf and on the north and south
by the Capella and Roma Shelves, respectively.
The distribution of discovered oil and gas within the Bowen and Surat Basins is shown in
Figure 2. A more local map of the well and seismic control in the vicinity of PL 280 and PL
18 is provided in Figure 3.
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2.2 Basin Development and Depositional History
The stratigraphic sequence in the Bowen Basin is summarized in Figure 4. Various tectonic
models have been put forward to explain the origin of the Bowen Basin, usually involving
Permian extension and Triassic compression. In the compressional phase, extensional faults
were reversed and extensive erosion took place with up to 3,000–4,000 m of section lost
from some parts of the basin.
The evolution of the Bowen Basin commenced in the Late Carboniferous or Early Permian
through an initial rift formed by back-arc extension, followed by a mid-Permian sag phase
and then to a Late Permian-Middle Triassic foreland basin stage. Uplift, thrusting, and a
more fluvial environment existed in the Triassic with red bed deposition of the Rewan
Group. Reservoir sands are developed locally within the Rewan Group in the Taroom Trough
but are of poor quality.
Uplift in the west resulted in the alluvial quartzose deposits of the Clematis Group around
the Early-Middle Triassic boundary. The fluvial system of the Clematis Group extended over
the Denison Trough and into the Taroom Trough where it is represented along the
southwest margin by the principal petroleum reservoir, the Showgrounds Sandstone. This is
the primary reservoir target within the Company’s PL 18 and PL 280 leases. This succession
in the Taroom Trough is significantly thinner in the southern part of the trough than in its
maximum development in the north. A basin transgression in the south and west portions of
the Taroom Trough halted fluvial deposition and a widespread seal of the fine-grained
sediments of the Snake Creek Mudstone Member of the lower Moolayember Formation were
deposited. A return to dominantly alluvial systems in the Middle Triassic saw the depositionof the youngest Bowen Basin sequence, the upper Moolayember Formation. Up to 5,000 m
of Triassic sediments are preserved in the northern Taroom Trough.
2.3 Reservoir
The rocks in the Bowen Basin consist of Early Permian marine sediments, Late Permian coal
measures, Early Triassic red beds, and Middle Triassic terrigenous sediments (Fielding et al.
1990).
The Showgrounds Sandstone is the primary reservoir in the PL 18 and PL 280. The averageporosity is 16% and water saturation is approximately 44%. Permeability varies from 5 md
over the Yellowbank Creek North area to 300 md in the Yellowbank Creek area. The
Showgrounds Sandstone reservoir at Thomby Creek Field has an average permeability of 30
md.
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2.4 Source Rock
In the Denison Trough (Figure 1), gas-prone Type III source rocks of considerable potential
exist throughout the Permian succession with the marine Cattle Creek Formation and the
alluvial coal-bearing Reids Dome Beds constituting the most favorable source facies
(Jackson et al. 1980, Baker et al. 1991). The Taroom Trough and the Surat Basin can be
classified as a more oil-prone region than the Denison Trough, based on known discoveries
(Figure 2).
Hawkins et al. (1992) have concluded that the entire Permian to Triassic succession of the
Taroom Trough is dominated by Type III kerogen.
The Blackwater Group, particularly along the eastern and southern margins, contains
significant amounts of oil-prone kerogen while restricted source potential also exists in the
Back Creek Group (Figure 4).
Thomas et al. (1982) have interpreted the Blackwater Group to be within the oil window
throughout much of the Taroom Trough, whereas the Back Creek Group is overmature for
gas over much of the northern part of the Taroom Trough.
3. Geophysics
3.1 Data Control
Seismic control for PL 18 and PL 280 is through a 2D seismic grid of various vintages and
line spacing. In total 37 seismic lines were shot in these two blocks and seismic data is of
fair to good quality. Some mistie problems between different vintages were observed and
minimized prior to the horizon interpretation. In total, 30 wells, including dry holes, have
been drilled in the two blocks and production has been obtained from five oilfields. Most
wells were drilled either on or in close proximity to the 2D seismic control. The Company
has provided all the data related to 2D seismic, time horizons, well locations, well logs,
formation tops, and production profile data. Figure 5 and 6 show the base map with wells,
2D seismic and the interpreted fault polygons.
3.2 Fault Interpretation
A map and 3D perspective view of the fault framework developed by Sproule is shown in
Figure 7. The Showgrounds interval may be compartmentalized by these faults, and they
play a role in establishing areal extent of the fields and the associated reserves volumes.
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3.3 Horizon Interpretation
Due to the complexity of the area and presence of complex faults system, Sproule refined
the horizon picks provided by the Company for the Evergreen, Showgrounds and Basement
horizons. Sproule used these horizon interpretations for the velocity model and depth
conversion. Figures 8 and 9 show the time and depth structure maps of the Showgrounds
reservoir respectively.
Thomby Creek Field:
Figure 10 shows a strike line SD87-4, which passes through the wells Thomby Creek-3 and
Thomby Creek-5. The Thomby Creek Field is a subtle four-way dip anticlinal structure
transected by some local NNW-SSE trending faults. There are six wells drilled in the Thomby
Creek Field, of which five lie in the Company’s PL 18. The field is compartmentalized by
these faults, which affect the reservoir and its capacity to produce. Figure 10 shows three
interpreted horizons; Evergreen, Showgrounds Sandstone and Basement on east-west dip
profile SD87-4.
Figure 11 shows a north-south strike profile 86B-4 (NNE-SSW). This line passes through
the well Thomby Creek-6A.
Figure 12 provides another north-south strike profile SD87-17A over the crest of the field
passing through the Thomby Creek-6/6A, –2 and -1 wells.
McWhirter Field:
Figure 13 shows a NW-SE seismic line 86B-24 which passes through the McWhirter-1 well.
The seismic line shows the three interpreted horizons; Evergreen, Showgrounds and
Basement. The McWhirter structure is transected by a major north-south fault, indicated by
a light green fault on the seismic section.
McGregor Field:
Figure 14 shows the seismic line 86B-23 in the NW-SE direction. This lines passes through
the wells McGregor-1, Yellowbank Creek North-1 and Yellowbank Creek-1. The McGregor
Field is bounded by two SSW-NNE trending faults to the east and west of the McGregor-1
well. Figure 15 also shows a dip line 81B-3 in west-east direction across the McGregor Field
and north flank of the Yellowbank Creek North Field.
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Yellowbank Creek North Field:
Figure 16 shows a seismic line 85B-5, which passes through the well Yellowbank Creek
North-1. The field is a structural high, bounded by two north-south faults, as shown by a
white ellipsoid in Figure 16.
Yellowbank Creek Field:
Figure 17 shows the seismic line 78B-29 (E-W direction) passing through the Yellowbank
Creek-1 well, which was a dry hole and did not produce. The well was drilled very close to
the fault in a structurally low position.
Figure 18 shows the seismic line 85B-6 in west-east direction. This line passes through the
Yellowbank Creek-3 well, which was a producing well near the northern apex of the fault
block.
Two more producing oil wells, Yellowbank Creek-2 and Yellowbank Creek-4, were drilled and
the seismic line 81B-2 passes through these wells as shown in Figure 19. The structural high
is bounded by faults on all but the south side, and the two wells are drilled in two adjacent
fault blocks.
Beardmore Field:
Figure 20 shows seismic line 81T-21, which passes through the wells Beardmore-1 and
Beardmore-2. Beardmore-1 appears to have been drilled near the fault.
The Beardmore Southwest-1A well lies south of the seismic line 85-S2 (Figure 21). The field
is a four way dip structure which is bisected by a fault which runs through the middle of the
field. The fault lies to the east of the Beardmore 2 and Beardmore Southwest 1A wells.
3.4 Velocity Modeling
The horizon interpretation was mainly focused on the reservoir level marker, which is the
Showgrounds Sandstone. A velocity model was created from the available well tops in the
two blocks and the time structure surface, and used in the time to depth conversion.
A 3D perspective view of the Showgrounds Sandstone depth structure map is shown in
Figure 22, which honours the well tops. A Showgrounds-Base depth structure map was
created by an isochore, as shown in 3D perspective view in Figure 23.
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4. Petrophysical Evaluation
Sproule conducted a petrophysical analysis of the Showgrounds Formation in Thomby
Creek, Beardmore, McGregor, McWhirter, Yellowbank Creek and Yellowbank Creek North
Fields. The objective of the analysis was to estimate the porosity and water saturation for
the wells having open-hole log data to estimate the original hydrocarbon in place.
The main challenge was to gather the digital data of the wells. The Company supplied open
hole well log data in digital LAS files. However, the data interval did not include the
Showgrounds Formation which is the main target reservoir. Paper copies of the well logs
were either provided by the Company or downloaded from the government website covering
the Showgrounds Formation.
Log data from nineteen wells were analyzed manually, targeting the Showgrounds
Formation. For the majority of wells, the density log was used to calculate the total porosity
and where the density logs were not available the porosity was estimated from the sonic
log.
Since the Showgrounds Formation is mainly composed of sandstone, the matrix density was
set as 2.65 gm/cc and a value of 55 usec/foot was used as the sonic matrix travel time.
The Density porosity equation is:
Where: φe is the porosity from density log; ρb is the measured bulk density in gm/cc, ρma is
the matrix density in gm/cc and ρfl is the fluid density in gm/cc.
The Sonic porosity equation is:
Where: φe is the porosity; ∆Τ is the measured sonic travel time in usec/foot, ∆Τma is the
matrix travel time in usec/foot and ∆Τfl is the fluid travel time in usec/foot.
)(
)(
flma
bma
e ρ ρ
ρ ρ
φ −
−
=
)(
)(
ma fl
mae
DT DT
DT DT
−
−=φ
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The water saturation was estimated by using the Archie Equation, assuming the formation
to be clean (having low shale volume).
The values of a, m and n were respectively 1, 1.56 and 1.7. These values are supported by
core data from the Thomby Creek-2 well. An FRF-PHI cross plot was constructed and the
best fit gave a value of m=1.56 (Figure 24). The Rw of the Showgrounds Formation was
found to be between 0.49 ohmm and 0.577 ohmm at the reservoir temperature.
The following table summarizes the average reservoir parameters for the Showgrounds
Formation in the analyzed wells.
Average Reservoir Parameters for Showgrounds Sandstone Formation.
SNo
Well NameTopMD
BaseMD
Pay Average Rw
Feet Feet FeetRt
(OHMM)PHI
(V/V)Sw
(Archie)OHMM
1 Thomby Creek-1 6080 6110 30 55 0.097 0.530 0.49
2 Thomby Creek-2 6090 6119 29 40 0.115 0.546 0.49
3 Thomby Creek-3 6135 6152 17 19 0.164 0.612 0.49
4 Thomby Creek-4 6077 6084 7 29 0.133 0.577 0.49
5 Thomby Creek-5 6050 6085 35 70 0.109 0.412 0.496 Thomby Creek-6A 6099 6134 34 47 0.090 0.622 0.49
7 McGregor-1 6083 6096 13 100 0.109 0.384 0.62
8 Yellowbank Creek-1 6109 6122 13 30 0.127 0.646 0.572
9 Yellowbank Creek-2 6010 6024 14 60 0.170 0.331 0.577
10 Yellowbank Creek-3 6070 6089 20 65 0.133 0.358 0.49
11 Yellowbank Creek-4 6048 6066 18 30 0.170 0.452 0.49
12 Yellowbank Creek North-1 6114 6117 3 22 0.170 0.598 0.577
13 Beardmore SW-1A 5991 5996 5 50 0.061 0.949 0.577
14 Beardmore-1 6080 6095 15 20 0.230 0.478 0.577
15 Beardmore-2 6007 6014 7 45 0.162 0.410 0.57716 McWhirter East -1 6047 6056 10 55 0.197 0.304 0.577
17 McWhirter -1 6049 6055 7 70 0.152 0.336 0.577
18 McWhirter -2 6086 6096 10 8 0.152 1.000 0.577
19 Hollow Tree-1 5919 5923 4 25 0.160 0.586 0.577
n
m
Rt
aRwSw
/1
=
φ
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Figure 25 shows an example of the open hole log data across the Showgrounds Formation in
the Thomby Creek-1 well.
5. Structural Mapping and Rock Volumes
A single reservoir level (Showgrounds Sandstone) was mapped at this time. The reservoir
formation tops provided by the Company were reviewed and edited where necessary, and
used to control the top Showgrounds Formation depth structural map during the time to
depth conversion workflow. The top Showgrounds depth structure map is shown in Figure
26.
Isochores for the pay interval within the Showgrounds sandstone were calculated and used
to develop a base net reservoir structural map.
The rock volume between the top and the base reservoir surfaces and down to an oil water
contact, ODT or spill point level depth depending on the field or area, were used to
calculate the net rock volume (NRV). The STOOIP for the Showgrounds sandstone net
reservoir interval was calculated for each field by fault block and reserves or resources
category (Figures 27-31). A summary is shown in the following table.
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Fields Volumes Categorization
Field or Area Category Block CaseFluid Level
type
Depth Area GRV
m TVDSS acres acre ft
Thomby Creek
Reserve
A Possible
OWC -1588
70 1,160
BProbable 36 1,156
Possible 25 800
CProbable 14 393
Possible 25 824
D2C 14 334
3C 28 786
ProspectiveResource
Low 68 2,333
Best 128 4,300
High 221 5,392
McWhirter North
Reserve EastP10 Spill -1585 164 1,244
P90 ODT -1580 116 819
Reserve WestP10 Spill -1585 159 901
P90 ODT -1580 129 761
McWhirter South ProspectiveResource
High Spill -1585 220 1,431
Low ODT -1580 154 1,000
Yellowbank Creek
ReserveP10 Spill -1590 174 2,653
P90 ODT -1586.5 148 2,132
ProspectiveResource
High Spill -1590 82 1,199
Low ODT -1586.5 63 904
Yellowbank Creek North Reserve 3P OWC -1573 35 263.6
BeardmoreProspectiveResource
High Spill -1590 384 3,706
Low ODT -1579 131.8 761
6. Fluid Properties
Yellowbank Creek Field
Two surface fluid samples from wells Yellowbank Creek 3 and Yellowbank Creek 4 were
obtained during drillstem tests. API oil gravities of 53.5 and 45.5 degree were reported for
the Yellowbank Creek 3 and Yellowbank Creek 4 wells.
Yellowbank Creek North Field
One surface fluid sample from the Yellowbank Creek North 1 well was analyzed. An API oil
gravity of 55.3 degree was reported for this oil sample.
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Thomby Creek Field
The API gravity was obtained for surface samples of the reservoir fluid produced from the
Thomby Creek 2 and Thomby Creek 5 wells. The reported API oil gravity was variable in the
range of 49-50 degrees.
McWhirter Field
Laboratory PVT analyses were conducted on a downhole reservoir fluid sample from the
McWhirter 1 well. The results are summarized in the following table:
McWhirter Oil Properties
Well McWhirter 1
Oil density at standard conditions 52.5 deg API
Reservoir temperature 180 deg F
Initial reservoir pressure 2,200 psia
Initial formation volume factor 1.303 rb/stb
Oil viscosity at initial reservoir conditions 0.416 cp
Initial solution gas-oil ratio 357 scf/bbl
Saturation pressure 415 psia
Oil viscosity at saturation pressure 0.352 cp
Beardmore Field
An API oil gravity of 51.32 degrees was determined for a surface oil sample from the
Beardmore 2 well.
Considering the limited availability of complete reservoir fluid properties data, reservoir fluid
parameters typical for PL 18 area were used for the evaluation. These parameters are
presented in the following table:
Beardmore Oil Properties
Oil density at standard conditions 53.5 deg API
Reservoir temperature 170 deg F
Initial reservoir pressure 2,697 psia
Initial formation volume factor 1.323 rb/stb
Oil viscosity at initial reservoir conditions 0.428 cp
Initial solution gas-oil ratio 357 scf/bbl
Saturation pressure 652
psia
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7. Drill Stem Tests
Yellowbank Creek Field
Well Yellowbank Creek 2 tested 49 degree API oil at a rate of 1,536 barrels per day from the
Showgrounds zone (1,831-1,836.7 m) in April 1982.
Well Yellowbank Creek 3 tested oil at a rate of 509 barrels per day with a reported GOR of
200 ft3 /bbl from the Showgrounds zone (1,845-1,855 m) in August 1982 at a surface
flowing pressure of 181 psia.
DST 1 was conducted in the well Yellowbank Creek 4 over the Showgrounds interval 1,838-
1,888 m. KB. Only mud was recovered from the drill pipe when the DST tool was pulled. The
results of DST 1 were explained by mechanical problems with the packer. DST 2 was
conducted in the well Yellowbank Creek 4 over the interval of 1,825-1,888 m KB. Oil, water
and gas were recovered from the drill pipe but the well did not flow naturally.
Yellow Bank Creek North Field
The Showgrounds Sandstone (1,859.2-1,870 mKB) was tested in the well Yellowbank Creek
North 1 on August 5, 1987. No fluid was produced to surface. However, 10.8 bbls of oil and
15.2 bbls of water were recovered by reverse circulation. Pre-flow pressure data was used
in pressure analyses. The results of pressure transient analyses were provided by the
Company and are summarized in the following table:
Yellowbank Creek North 1 Buildup Analysis
Reservoir Pressure, psia 1,532.4
Permeability, mD 827
Apparent skin 60
The measured reservoir pressure of 1,532.4 psia was much lower than hydrostatic pressure
and the apparent pressure depletion of the reservoir was attributed to fluid production from
nearby fields.
Thomby Creek Field
Three DSTs were conducted in the Thomby Creek 1 well. During DST 1, the well tested oil
from the interval of 1,851-1,861 m. at 468 psia flowing pressure. The associated oil rate
was not reported. During DSTs 2 and 3, only water was tested from the deeper intervals of
1,861-1,863 m and 1,871-1,912 m.
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The Thomby Creek 2 well tested oil at the rate of 360 barrels per day from the interval of
1,856-1,868 m with an unstabilized flowing pressure of 180 psia.
The Thomby Creek 3 well tested only water from the interval of 1,866-1,877 m and the well
was abandoned.
During the DST conducted on the Thomby Creek 4 well, only gas was produced to the
surface at a rate too small to measure from the interval of 1,848-1,871 m. Some oil was
recovered during reverse circulation.
The Thomby Creek 5 well tested oil at a rate of 440 barrels per day from the interval of
1,845-1,856 m.
Three DSTs were run in the well Thomby Creek 6A, but only small amounts of mud were
recovered.
McWhirter Field
The McWhirter 1 well tested oil at a rate of 150 barrels per day from the interval of 1,837 to
1,847 m (Showgrounds Sandstone) at a flowing pressure of 410 psia increasing to 1,392
psia. The duration of the flow period was 89 minutes.
The Showgrounds sandstone was tested in the McWhirter East 1 well over the interval of
1,840-1,849.3 m. During the test, gas to surface was observed and 40 bbls of oil wasrecovered.
Beardmore Field
Three DSTs were run in the well Beardmore 1. Mud cut oil and water were recovered at
surface during DST-1 (1,850.1-1,858.4 m). Water and mud were recovered from DST’s 2
and 3.
During DST-1, across the interval of 1,828-1,835.5 m, conducted in the Beardmore 2 well,
only gas produced to the surface at a rate too small to measure. Some oil cut mud wasrecovered during reverse circulation. Only mud with traces of oil was recovered from the
tested interval of 1,827-1,840 m. (DST 2).
Drilling mud was recovered at the surface during the test of the Showgrounds (1,825.4-
1,836.1 m) in the well Beardmore Southwest 1.
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McGregor Field
Two DSTs were run in the well McGregor 1.
During DST-1, across the interval of 1,851.5-1,861.5 m of the McGregor 1 well, some gas
flowed to the surface, but no volume was reported. A bottom hole sample recovered from
the well consisted of 12 gallons of water and 5 gallons of oil.
For DST-2, across the interval 1,850.6-1,856.1 m, no gas to surface was reported and drill
pipe recovery was reported to be 103 m of water-cut mud.
The results of pressure transient analyses were provided by the Company and are
summarized in the following table:
McGregor 1 Buildup Analysis
DST-1 DST-2
Reservoir Pressure, psia 1,626 1,609
Permeability, mD 3 2-4
Apparent skin 9 12
The measured reservoir pressure of 1,626 psia was much lower than expected and the
reservoir pressure depletion was explained by the limited area of the pool.
8. Reserves, Contingent and Prospective Resources Assignment
The original oil in place associated with the oil reserves and contingent and prospective
resources were estimated volumetrically, as described in the preceding Section 5: Structural
Mapping and Rock Volumes. Reservoir rock and fluid property data were obtained from core
analyses, well logs and PVT data. Recovery factors were selected after reviewing the
performance of existing wells and by comparing the reservoir under study with published
information on analogous reservoirs that have more firmly established recovery factors from
extended production histories.
Table 1 presents the volumetric parameters used in the calculation of the volumes initially in
place and technically recoverable volumes (before the economic cut off). Summary TablesS-1 and S-1A present summaries of the reserves assigned to McWhirter, Thomby Creek and
Yellowbank Creek North fields after economic cut off with the before and after tax net
present values, respectively, for each reserves category.
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Economics have not been run on the contingent and prospective resources with the volumes
reported as being technically recoverable.
Thomby Creek Field
Probable and Probable plus Possible reserves as well as contingent and prospective
resources were assigned to the Showgrounds Sandstone Formation. Probable plus Possible
Reserves were initially assigned to the areas of blocks B and C. Later, under economic
analysis, it was found that the Probable technically recoverable volume assigned in block C
was not sufficient to support the cost of the proposed well and as a result, only Possible
reserves could be assigned. Possible reserves were also assigned to the area of block A.
Contingent 2C and 3C resources were assigned to the area of block D. Prospective
Resources were assigned to the southern portion of blocks C and D. The areal extent for the
assigned reserves and resources is shown in Figure 27.
A recovery factor of 10 percent was assigned for the reserves in blocks A and C and a
higher recovery factor of 20 percent was assigned for the reserves in block B in recognition
of the historic performance of the Thomby Creek-1 and -5 wells.
Recovery factors of 5 and 10 percent were assigned for 2C and 3C contingent resources
respectively. No 1C resources were assigned because of the current uncertainty with respect
to these resources.
Recovery factors of 2, 10 and 20 percent were assigned to the low, best and high
prospective resources cases, respectively. These recovery factors were interpreted from theperformance of existing wells. No reserves or resources were assigned to the previously
drilled wells because it was interpreted from production statistics that these reservoir
volumes had been depleted.
The cumulative oil production of the Thomby Creek field (wells 1, 2, 4 and 5) was 58.64
Mbbl to March 31, 2013. All wells have been shut–in since 2009.
McWhirter Field
Probable and Probable plus Possible reserves were assigned to the east area of theMcWhirter Field. No Contingent 1C resources were recognized because of the current
uncertainty with respect to these resources; but Contingent 2C and 3C resources were
assigned to the northern portion of the structure west of the fault and Prospective
Resources were assigned to the southern portion. The areal extent for the assigned reserves
and resources is shown in Figure 28.
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Discussion – Page 16
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A recovery factor of 25 percent was estimated for both Probable and Probable plus Possible
Reserves based on the performance of the McWhirter East 1 well.
The drilling of one vertical well was included in the probable area. Drilling of two vertical
wells was specified for the probable plus possible reserves category. An initial oil production
rate of 150 bpd was used in the forecast. Due to the absence of production history data
from the McWhirter Field, the estimate of the initial rate was based on the DST results from
the McWhirter 1 well.
Recovery factors of 5 and 10 percent were assigned to the 2C and 3C Contingent resources
cases, respectively, and again, no 1C Contingent resources were recognized because of
current uncertainties. Recovery factors of 2, 5 and 10 percent were assigned to the low,
best and high prospective resources cases, respectively. The assigned recovery factors for
the contingent and prospective resources were influenced by the performance of the
McWhirter 1 well. Total oil production from the McWhirter Field (wells 1 and East 1) was 52
Mbbl to 2006.
Yellowbank Creek Field
Prospective resources were assigned to the Showgrounds Sandstone Formation. Recovery
factors of 20, 30 and 40 percent were assigned for the low, best and high estimates,
respectively. These recovery factors were estimated based on the performance of the
currently shut in wells Yellowbank Creek 2, Yellowbank Creek 3 and Yellowbank Creek 4.
The areal extent for prospective resources is shown in Figure 29.
No reserves were assigned to the existing wells because it was interpreted from production
statistics that these reservoir volumes had been depleted, all production having ceased in
March 2010. The cumulative field oil production (wells 2, 3, and 4) was 425 Mbbls.
Yellow Bank Creek North Field
Proved (1P), Proved plus Probable (2P), and Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P)
technically recoverable volumes were initially assigned to the Showgrounds Sandstone
Formation with recovery factors of 30%, 40% and 50%, respectively. Under economicanalysis it was found that the technically recoverable volumes assigned at the 1P and 2P
certainty levels were not economic to develop with a new well and, accordingly, only
Possible reserves could be assigned. The areal extent for reserves is shown in Figure 31.
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The cumulative oil production from the Yellowbank Creek North-1 well was 32.9 Mbbl and
the well has been shut-in since 2004 due to high water cut.
The drilling of one vertical well was specified for the reserves evaluation. An initial oil
production rate of 40 bpd, estimated based on Yellowbank Creek North 1 well production
data, was used in our forecast for the possible case.
Beardmore Field
Prospective resources were assigned to the Showgrounds Sandstone Formation. Recovery
factors of 2, 5 and 10 percent were assigned for the low, best and high resources cases,
respectively. These recovery factors were estimated with consideration for the test results
of the Beardmore-1, Beardmore-2 and Beardmore-SW1 wells. The areal extent for the
assigned resources is shown in Figure 30.
McGregor Field
Prospective resources were assigned to the Showgrounds Sandstone Formation. Recovery
factors of 2, 5 and 10 percent were assigned for the low, best and high resources cases,
respectively. The areal extent for the assigned resources is shown in Figure 32.
9. Pricing
Sproule’s oil price forecast in effect on March 31, 2013 for Brent crude formed the basis forthe prices used in our evaluation of the Surat area oil reserves.
A negative price offset of 2.5 US$/bbl was applied to the Brent crude oil price forecast.
Transportation costs were included in the operating costs.
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10. Operating and Capital Costs
The Company provided estimates of investments and expenses required to develop and
operate the Thomby Creek, McWhirter and Yellowbank Creek North fields.
Costs of US$ 1.479 million and US$ 2.151 million were provided by the Company for drilling
and completing vertical and horizontal wells, respectively. The capital costs for developing
of Thomby Creek, McWhirter and Yellowbank Creek North fields are summarized in the
following table.
Gross Capital Expenditures, M$US(2013 Terms)
2P 3P
2014 2014 2015 2016
Drilling of 1 horizontal well in ThombyCreek Field (Block B)
2,151 2,151
Drilling of 1 horizontal well in ThombyCreek Field (Block C)
2,151
Drilling of 1 vertical well in Thomby CreekField (Block A)
1,479
Drilling of one vertical well in YellowbankCreek North Field
1,479 1,479
Drilling of one vertical well in McWhirterField (probable area)
1,479 1,479
Drilling of one vertical well in McWhirterField (possible area)
1,479
Total 5,109 5,109 3,630 1,479
Abandonment cost* 300 600
*Well abandonment and disconnect at cessation of production.
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The operating costs for Thomby Creek, McWhirter and Yellowbank Creek North fields are
summarized in the following table.
Operating Expenditures
(2013 Terms)
Cost Unit
Transportation cost $US/bbl 7
Administrative Cost M$US/yr 72
Insurance Cost M$US/yr 75
Petroleum Tenure Rent Cost M$US/yr 23
Power M$US/yr 50
Chemicals M$US/yr 10
Lubricants M$US/yr 10
Storage M$US/yr 75
Well interventions were scheduled at costs of US$ 105 thousand (vertical well) and US$ 120
thousand (horizontal well) per two years for each well.
Export tariffs were estimated at US$ 5.5 per barrel of oil.
Well abandonment and disconnect costs of $US 100 thousand per well were used. No
allowances for reclamation or salvage values were made.
Prices and costs were escalated at 1.5 percent annually.
11. Taxes and Royalties
Corporate income tax is applied at a rate of 30%. The Company has advised that their
outstanding tax loss carry forward, as of March 31, 2013, was AUD 1.65 million. AQueensland royalty of 10% and an over-riding royalty of 3% are applied to the value of
production after deducting costs associated with processing and transportation. Petroleum
Resource Rent Tax (PRRT) is applied to the taxable revenue at a rate of 40% after
applicable deductions that include the 10% Queensland royalty. A historical cost pool for
PRRT purposes of AUD 9.2 million has also been applied.
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(ac) (ft)(%)
(%) RB/STB Mbbls % Mbbls Mbbls Mbbls
Yellowbank Creek Field
Shut-in Wells: YBC-2, YBC-3, YBC-4 425 - -
Thomby Creek Field
Shut-in Wells: TC-1, TC-2, TC-5 57- -
Block A
Possible Undeveloped 70 17 11 50 1.323 373 10 37 37 37
Block B
Probable Undeveloped 36 32 11 50 1.323 372 20 74 74 74
Probable plus Possible Undeveloped 61 32 11 50 1.323 629 20 126 126 126
Block C
Possible Undeveloped 25 49 11 50 1.323 391 10 39 39 39
Total Thomby Creek Blocks A,B and C
Shut-in Wells: TC-1, TC-2, TC-5 57 -
Probable Undeveloped 372 20 74 74 74
Probable plus Possible Undeveloped 1,393 15 202 202 202
McWhirter Field ( East Area)
Proved (Shut-in well: McWhirter East 1 ) 50 - -
Probable Undeveloped 80 9 17 32 1.323 476 25 119 69 69
Probable plus Possible Undeveloped 170 7 17 32 1.323 867 25 217 167 167
Yellowbank Creek North Field
Shut-in Well: YBCN-1 33 -
Possible Undeveloped 45 8 17 60 1.323 135 50 68 35 35
TOTAL (Arithmetic)
Probable Undeveloped 848 23 193 143 143
Possible Undeveloped 1,547 19 294 261 261
Probable plus Possible Undeveloped 2,395 20 487 404 404
* Not adjusted for economic cut-off Values may not balance due to rounding
- Cumulative Production -
- Cumulative Production -
- Cumulative Production -
- Cumulative Production -
- Cumulative Production -
Gross Remaining
Technically
Recoverable Oil *
Company Remaining
Technically
Recoverable Oil *
Table D-1McWhirter, Thomby Creek and Yellowbank Creek North Fields
Production License 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, AustraliaVolumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Technically Recoverable Volumes
(As of March 31, 2013)
Pool/Location
Gross Original
Technically
Recoverable Oil
*
Technical
Recovery
Factor *
Original Oil
In Place
Oil
FVF
Drainage
Area
Water
Sat'nPorosityNet Pay
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(ac) (ft)(%)
(%) RB/STB Mbbls % Mbbls % Mbbls
Thomby Creek Field
Block D
1C2
0 0
2C3
14 24 11 50 1.323 107 5 5 100 5
3C4
42 27 11 50 1.323 360 10 36 100 36
McWhirter Field (West Area)
2 -
2C3 80 7 17 32 1.323 360 5 18 62 11
3C4
165 6 17 32 1.323 619 10 62 58 36
TOTAL (Arithmetic)5
2 -
2C3 467 5 23 70 16
3C4 979 10 98 73 72
Not adjusted for economic cut-off
** average working interest, based on the Company's working interest of 50% in PL 280 and 100% in PL 18
Values may not balance due to rounding
1. Contingent Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations
using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to
one or more contingencies. Contingent resources have an associated chance of development (economic, regulatory, market and facility, corporate
commitment or political risks). These estimates have not been risked for the chance of development. There is no certainty that any portion of
the contingent resources will be developed or, if developed, there is no certainty as to either the timing of such development or whether
it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
2. 1C estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed
the 1C estimate.
3. 2C estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be
greater or less than the 2C estimate.
4. 3C estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
exceed the 3C estimate.
5. The individual field contingent resources volumes were estimated deterministically and the arithmetic summation has been provided. Statistial aggregation has not
been considered.
- Cumulative Production -
Oil
FVF
Original Oil
In Place
Technical
RecoveryFactor *
1C (Shut-in Well: McWhirter 1)2
1C (Shut-in Wells)2
Gross Original
Technically
Recoverable Oil*
Working
Interest **
Company
Remaining
TechnicallyRecoverable Oil *
Table D-1A
McWhirter and Thomby Creek Fields
Production Licenses 18 and 280, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Contingent Resources (Unrisked)(1,5)
(As of March 31, 2013)
Pool/Location
Drainage
Area Net Pay Porosity
Water
Sat'n
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(ac) (ft)(%)
(%) RB/STB Mbbls % Mbbls % Mbbls
Beardmore Field (East Area)
Low 2132 6 21 46 1.323 511 2 10 50 5
Best 3225 8 21 46 1.323 1,128 5 56 50 28
High 4
384 10 21 46 1.323 2,491 10 249 50 125
McGregor Field
Low2 146 7 11 38 1.323 397 2 8 100 8
Best3
166 8 11 38 1.323 536 5 27 100 27
High 4333 8 11 38 1.323 1,010 10 101 100 101
McWhirter Field (West Area)
Low 2155 7 17 32 1.323 700 2 14 56 8
Best3
182 7 17 32 1.323 872 5 44 56 24
High 4
220 6.5 17 32 1.323 974 10 9756
54
Thomby Creek Field
Low2
68 34 11 50 1.323 750 2 15 100 15
Best 3128 34 11 50 1.323 1,382 10 138 100 138
High 4221 24 11 50 1.323 1,733 20 347 100 347
Yellowbank Creek Field
Low2
63 14 16 38 1.323 510 20 102 100 102
Best3
72 15 16 38 1.323 586 30 176 100 176
High 4
82 15 16 38 1.323 676 40 270 100 270
TOTAL (Arithmetic)5
Low 22,868 5 149 93 138
Best3
4,504 10 441 89 393
High 4
6,884 15 1,064 84 897
Not adjusted for economic cut-off
** average working interest, based on the Company's working interest of 50% in PL 280 and 100% in PL 18
Values may not balance due to rounding
1. Prospective Resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered
accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a
chance of development. The reported resources have not been risked for either chance of discovery (geological chance of success) or
chance of development (economic, regulatory, market, facility, corporate commitment, or political risks). There is no certainty that
any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and if discovered, there is no certainty as to either the timing of such
development or whether it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
2. Low estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate.
3. Best estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate.
4. High estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the High estimate.
5. The individual field prospective resources volumes were estimated deterministically and the arithmetic summation has been provided. Statistical aggregation
has not been considered. The summation of the unrisked prospect volumes may be misleading because it assumes success for each of the prospect entities.
The chance of this occurring is unlikely.
Oil
FVF
Original Oil
In Place
Technical
RecoveryFactor *
Gross Original
Technically
Recoverable Oil*
Working
Interest **
Company
Remaining
TechnicallyRecoverable Oil *
Table D-1B
Beardmore, McGregor, McWhirter, Thomby Creek and Yellowbank Creek Fields
Production Licenses 18 and 280, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Volumetric Reservoir Data and Estimates of Prospective Resources (Unrisked)(1,5)
(As of March 31, 2013)
Pool/Location
Drainage
Area Net Pay Porosity
Water
Sat'n
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(Mbbls) (%) (Mbbls) (Mbbls) (Mbbls) (%) (Mbbls) (Mbbls) 0%
Probable Undeveloped 848 22 190 50 140 100 140 125 5,767 5
Possible Undeveloped 1,547 19 294 33 261 100 261 231 11,608 9
Probable plus Possible Undeveloped 2,395 20 484 83 401 100 401 356 17,374 1
Notes:
* adjusted for economic cut-off
Values may not balance due to rounding
Technically Recoverable Volumes
Category
Original
Oil In Place
Recovery
Factor*
Original
Recoverable
Oil *
Cumulative
Production
to
March 31,
2013
Working
Interest
Table D-2Total of McWhirter, Thomby Creek and Yellowbank Creek North Fields
Production License 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia
Reserves and Net Present Values
As of March 31, 2013
Working
Interest
Gross
Oil
Volumes*
Working
Interest
Net
Oil
Volumes*
Gross
Remaining Oil
Volumes*
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3P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Probable Plus Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.38 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.38 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2020/04
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 17,374 9,738 1.56 0.9
5.0 14,852 8,693 1.49 0.9
10.0 12,821 7,796 1.43 0.9
15.0 11,166 7,024 1.37 0.9
20.0 9,803 6,356 1.32 0.9
25.0 8,669 5,775 1.27 0.9
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 46.4
AT Payout (yrs) 1.08 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.42 Gov't Take (%) 53.5
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 38,667 100.00 108.63
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 9,061 23.43 25.45
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 11,138 28.80 31.29
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 17,374 44.93 48.81
Less Income Tax 7,637 19.75 21.45 After Tax Cash Flow 10,452 27.03 29.36
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 401 401
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 401 401
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 10,472 10,472
Abandonment (M$US) 666 666Total (M$US) 11,138 11,138
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
10,054
13,100
9,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
0
263
340
239
133
72
39
8
0
1,094
0
876
1,134
798
444
239
130
27
0
3,647
72
1,634
2,256
1,816
1,307
975
797
203
0
9,061
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,186
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
10,472
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
666
0
666
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,096
5,629
4,817
3,281
1,550
627
-554
0
17,374
0
0
495
3,318
2,289
1,046
451
38
0
7,637
-72
2,096
5,134
1,500
992
504
176
-592
0
9,738
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3
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3P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Production DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Probable Plus Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
production detail 1
Date# of Oil
Wells
ProjectOil
Rate
Bbl/d
ProjOil
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
OilVolume
MSTB
CompanyNetOil
Volume
MSTB
OilPrice
$US/Bbl
# of GasWells
ProjectGasRate
mcf/d
ProjectGas
Volume
MMSCF
CompanyGross
GasVolume
MMSCF
CompanyNet
GasVolume
MMSCF $US/M2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0.0
2.0
4.86.0
5.9
5.0
4.4
4.0
0.0
---
0
259
353239
130
70
39
25
0
---
0
95
12987
47
26
14
3
0
401
0
95
12987
47
26
14
3
0
401
0
84
11478
42
23
13
3
0
356
112.10
106.34
101.67105.53
109.15
110.75
112.37
114.02
0.00
---
0.0
0.0
0.00.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
---
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
Production Details 2
Date
ProjectNGLRate
Bbl/d
ProjectNGL
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
NGLVolume
MSTB
CompanyNet
NGLVolume
MSTB
NGLPrice
$US/Bbl
ProjectBOERate
Bbl/d
ProjectBOE
Volume
MBOE
CompanyGross
BOEVolume
MBOE
CompanyNet
BOEVolume
MBOE
TotalProject
SalesRevenue
M$US
TotalCompany
SalesRevenue
M$US
B
$2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
---
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
---
0
259
353
239
130
70
39
25
0
---
0
95
129
87
47
26
14
3
0
401
0
95
129
87
47
26
14
3
0
401
0
84
114
78
42
23
13
3
0
356
0
10,054
13,100
9,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
0
10,054
13,100
9,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3
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3P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Revenue & Burden DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Probable Plus Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Revenue and Burden Detail All values are company interest unless specified otherwise
DateOil
Revenue
M$US
GasRevenue
M$US
NGLRevenue
M$US
TotalSales
Revenue
M$US
Fixed
M$US
VariableOil
M$US
Well Oil
M$US
VariableGas
M$US
WellGas
M$US
Processing
M$US
OilTransport
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
10,054
13,1009,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10,054
13,1009,217
5,165
2,836
1,593
350
0
42,314
72
338
499575
579
528
500
125
0
3,216
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
96
9899
101
102
104
35
0
636
0
1,200
1,6591,142
628
345
194
43
0
5,209
Revenue and Burden Detail 2
Date
SuratOver
RidingRoyalties
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
CashFlow
M$US
PRRT
M$US
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
CashFlow
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
263
340
239
133
72
39
8
0
1,094
0
876
1,134
798
444
239
130
27
0
3,647
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5,186
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
10,472
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
666
0
666
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,096
5,629
4,817
3,281
1,550
627
-554
0
17,374
0
0
0
1,647
1,366
649
266
38
0
3,965
0
0
495
1,670
923
397
185
0
0
3,672
-72
2,096
5,134
1,500
992
504
176
-592
0
9,738
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
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2P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Probable Undeveloped
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.46 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.46 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2017/07
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 5,767 4,470 1.48 1.1
5.0 5,187 4,100 1.43 1.1
10.0 4,692 3,773 1.39 1.1
15.0 4,267 3,484 1.35 1.1
20.0 3,898 3,226 1.31 1.1
25.0 3,576 2,997 1.27 1.0
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 57.2
AT Payout (yrs) 1.08 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.57 Gov't Take (%) 42.7
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 13,467 100.00 108.07
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 3,427 25.45 27.50
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 3,897 28.93 31.27
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 5,767 42.82 46.27
Less Income Tax 1,296 9.62 10.40 After Tax Cash Flow 4,496 33.38 36.08
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 140 140
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 140 140
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 3,684 3,684
Abandonment (M$US) 212 212Total (M$US) 3,897 3,897
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0
8,570
3,962
1,697
497
0
0
14,725
0
224
101
42
11
0
0
377
0
745
336
139
38
0
0
1,258
72
1,443
943
658
312
0
0
3,427
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
212
0
0
212
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,474
2,582
859
-77
0
0
5,767
0
0
709
461
126
0
0
1,296
-72
2,474
1,873
397
-202
0
0
4,470
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3A
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
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2P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Production DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Probable Undeveloped
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
production detail 1
Date# of Oil
Wells
ProjectOil
Rate
Bbl/d
ProjOil
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
OilVolume
MSTB
CompanyNetOil
Volume
MSTB
OilPrice
$US/Bbl
# of GasWells
ProjectGasRate
mcf/d
ProjectGas
Volume
MMSCF
CompanyGross
GasVolume
MMSCF
CompanyNet
GasVolume
MMSCF $US/M2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0.0
1.8
2.02.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
---
0
221
10744
21
0
0
---
0
81
3916
5
0
0
140
0
81
3916
5
0
0
140
0
71
3514
4
0
0
125
112.10
106.34
101.67105.53
109.15
0.00
0.00
---
0.0
0.0
0.00.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
---
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
Production Details 2
Date
ProjectNGLRate
Bbl/d
ProjectNGL
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
NGLVolume
MSTB
CompanyNet
NGLVolume
MSTB
NGLPrice
$US/Bbl
ProjectBOERate
Bbl/d
ProjectBOE
Volume
MBOE
CompanyGross
BOEVolume
MBOE
CompanyNet
BOEVolume
MBOE
TotalProject
SalesRevenue
M$US
TotalCompany
SalesRevenue
M$US
B
$2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
---
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
---
0
221
107
44
21
0
0
---
0
81
39
16
5
0
0
140
0
81
39
16
5
0
0
140
0
71
35
14
4
0
0
125
0
8,570
3,962
1,697
497
0
0
14,725
0
8,570
3,962
1,697
497
0
0
14,725
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3A
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/chelsea-surat-reserves-report-2013 62/110
2P : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Revenue & Burden DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Probable Undeveloped
Prod'n Start: 2014/01, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Revenue and Burden Detail All values are company interest unless specified otherwise
DateOil
Revenue
M$US
GasRevenue
M$US
NGLRevenue
M$US
TotalSales
Revenue
M$US
Fixed
M$US
VariableOil
M$US
Well Oil
M$US
VariableGas
M$US
WellGas
M$US
Processing
M$US
OilTransport
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0
8,570
3,9621,697
497
0
0
14,725
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
8,570
3,9621,697
497
0
0
14,725
72
325
343348
193
0
0
1,280
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
96
9899
59
0
0
352
0
1,023
502210
60
0
0
1,795
Revenue and Burden Detail 2
Date
SuratOver
RidingRoyalties
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
CashFlow
M$US
PRRT
M$US
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
CashFlow
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
Total
0
224
101
42
11
0
0
377
0
745
336
139
38
0
0
1,258
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
0
3,684
0
0
0
0
212
0
0
212
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-72
2,474
2,582
859
-77
0
0
5,767
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
709
461
126
0
0
1,296
-72
2,474
1,873
397
-202
0
0
4,470
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3A
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
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PS : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Economic SummaryBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/02, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Company DescriptionNet Revenue Net Expl Net Dev Net Opex
Company (% of Total) 91.34 0.00 100.00 100.00
Company (% of Contr) 100.00 0.00 100.00 100.00
Partner (% of Contr) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Contr 91.34 0.00 100.00 100.00
NOC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Model Austral ia Extended PRRT (2012) - 70684
Global Params SIL as of March 31, 2013Escalation Date 2013/01
Discount Date 2013/01
Economic Limit 2020/04
Company Economic IndicatorsDisc. Rate BT NPV AT NPV BT PIR AT P
(%) (M$US) (M$US) (fraction) (fraction
0 11,608 5,267 1.60 0.8
5.0 9,665 4,593 1.53 0.8
10.0 8,129 4,023 1.46 0.8
15.0 6,900 3,540 1.39 0.8
20.0 5,905 3,129 1.33 0.7
25.0 5,093 2,778 1.27 0.7
AT ROR (%) >800.00 Contr Take (%) 40.9
AT Payout (yrs) 1.17 NOC Take (%) 0.0
F&D ($US/BOE) 29.34 Gov't Take (%) 59.0
Company Economics (per Unit)(M$US) (%) ($US/BOE)
Net Revenue 25,200 100.00 108.93
Less:
Bonuses & Fees 0 0.00 0.00
Operating Costs 5,634 22.36 24.35
Tariffs 0 0.00 0.00
Prod & Asset Taxes 0 0.00 0.00
Capital Costs 7,241 28.73 31.30
Plus: Other Income/Expense 0 0.00 0.00
Before Tax Cash Flow 11,608 46.06 50.18
Less Income Tax 6,341 25.16 27.41 After Tax Cash Flow 5,957 23.64 25.75
Company Prod and InvestmentsProject Comp Gross Compan
Oil (MSTB) 261 261
Gas (MMSCF) 0 0
NGL (MSTB) 0 0
Tax (MSTB) - -
Total (MBOE) 261 261
Project Company
Acquisition (M$US) - 0
Exploration (M$US) 0 0
Development (M$US) 6,787 6,787
Abandonment (M$US) 454 454Total (M$US) 7,241 7,241
Economic Summary
Date
CompanySales
Revenue
M$US
SuratOver
RidingRoyalty
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
OperatingCosts
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US
PRRT&
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
Cash FlowTotal
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
1,484
9,138
7,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
0
39
239
198
122
72
39
8
0
717
0
131
798
659
406
239
130
27
0
2,389
0
190
1,314
1,159
996
975
797
203
0
5,634
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,501
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
6,787
0
0
0
0
-212
0
0
666
0
454
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-378
3,047
3,958
3,357
1,550
627
-554
0
11,608
0
0
-214
2,856
2,163
1,046
451
38
0
6,341
0
-378
3,260
1,102
1,194
504
176
-592
0
5,267
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3B
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/chelsea-surat-reserves-report-2013 64/110
PS : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Production DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/02, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
production detail 1
Date# of Oil
Wells
ProjectOil
Rate
Bbl/d
ProjOil
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
OilVolume
MSTB
CompanyNetOil
Volume
MSTB
OilPrice
$US/Bbl
# of GasWells
ProjectGasRate
mcf/d
ProjectGas
Volume
MMSCF
CompanyGross
GasVolume
MMSCF
CompanyNet
GasVolume
MMSCF $US/M2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0.0
0.3
2.84.0
4.8
5.0
4.4
4.0
0.0
---
0
38
246195
117
70
39
25
0
---
0
14
9071
43
26
14
3
0
261
0
14
9071
43
26
14
3
0
261
0
12
8063
38
23
13
3
0
231
0.00
106.34
101.67105.53
109.15
110.75
112.37
114.02
0.00
---
0.0
0.0
0.00.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
---
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
Production Details 2
Date
ProjectNGLRate
Bbl/d
ProjectNGL
Volume
MSTB
CompanyGross
NGLVolume
MSTB
CompanyNet
NGLVolume
MSTB
NGLPrice
$US/Bbl
ProjectBOERate
Bbl/d
ProjectBOE
Volume
MBOE
CompanyGross
BOEVolume
MBOE
CompanyNet
BOEVolume
MBOE
TotalProject
SalesRevenue
M$US
TotalCompany
SalesRevenue
M$US
B
$2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
---
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
---
0
38
246
195
117
70
39
25
0
---
0
14
90
71
43
26
14
3
0
261
0
14
90
71
43
26
14
3
0
261
0
12
80
63
38
23
13
3
0
231
0
1,484
9,138
7,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
0
1,484
9,138
7,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3B
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/chelsea-surat-reserves-report-2013 65/110
PS : <Unnamed Sensitivity>
Revenue & Burden DetailBlock PL 18, Surat Basin, Queensland, Australia - Total Possible
Prod'n Start: 2014/02, As Of: March 31, 2013. Escalated Prices and Costs
Revenue and Burden Detail All values are company interest unless specified otherwise
DateOil
Revenue
M$US
GasRevenue
M$US
NGLRevenue
M$US
TotalSales
Revenue
M$US
Fixed
M$US
VariableOil
M$US
Well Oil
M$US
VariableGas
M$US
WellGas
M$US
Processing
M$US
OilTransport
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
1,484
9,1387,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,484
9,1387,520
4,668
2,836
1,593
350
0
27,589
0
13
156227
386
528
500
125
0
1,936
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
00
42
102
104
35
0
283
0
177
1,157931
567
345
194
43
0
3,414
Revenue and Burden Detail 2
Date
SuratOver
RidingRoyalties
M$US
QueenslandRoyalty
M$US
Tariffs
M$US
Capital
M$US
Aband
M$US
CarbonTax
M$US
BeforeTax
CashFlow
M$US
PRRT
M$US
IncomeTax
M$US
After Tax
CashFlow
M$US2013(12)
2014(12)
2015(12)
2016(12)
2017(12)
2018(12)
2019(12)
2020(12)
2021(12)
Total
0
39
239
198
122
72
39
8
0
717
0
131
798
659
406
239
130
27
0
2,389
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,501
3,740
1,547
0
0
0
0
0
6,787
0
0
0
0
-212
0
0
666
0
454
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-378
3,047
3,958
3,357
1,550
627
-554
0
11,608
0
0
0
1,647
1,366
649
266
38
0
3,965
0
0
-214
1,209
798
397
185
0
0
2,375
0
-378
3,260
1,102
1,194
504
176
-592
0
5,267
05/08/20Peep 2010.1
Table D-3B
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/chelsea-surat-reserves-report-2013 66/110
References – Page 1
4325.70684.IB
J:\Chelsea Oil and Gas\Report\Chelsea Summary.doc
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Hawkins P.J., Jackson K.S., and Horvath Z. (1992) Regional geology, petroleum geology,
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Jackson K.S, Hawkins P.J. and Bennett A.J.R. (1980). Regional facies and geochemical
evaluation of the southern Denison Trough, Queensland. The APEA Journal 20, 143-58.
Summons Roger E., Zumberge John E., Boreham Christopher J., Bradshaw Marita T., Brown
Stephen W., Edwards Dianne S., Hope Janet M. and Johns Natalie (2002), Geoscience
Australia Canberra Geomark Research Houston, The Oils Of Eastern Australia Petroleum
Geochemistry And Correlation Volumes 1 and 2, Bowen-Surat And Cooper-Eromanga
Basins.
Thomas B.N. and Reiser R.F. (1968) The Geology of the Surat 1:250,000 Sheet Area,
Department of National Resources, Bureau of Mineral Resources, Geological Survey of
Queensland, Record 1968/56.
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References – Page 2
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Thomas B.M., Osborne D.G. and Wright A.J. (1982) Hydrocarbon habitat of the
Bowen/Surat Basin. The APEA Journal 22, 213-26.
Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, www.en.wikipedia.org
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Figure 1
70684
Map of Eastern Australia Showing Locations of theBowen and Surat Basins Together with Adjacent Sedimentary Basins
Summons et al (2002)
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Figure 2
70684
Location Map Showing the Geographic Distribution of Oil and Gas in theBowen and Surat Basins
Client Area
Summons et al (2002)
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70684
PL 18 and PL280 (Surat Assets) Location Map
PL 18
PL 280
http://w
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Figure 4
70684
Bowen/Surat Basin Stratigraphic Column
http://www.bountyoil.com/
Primary Reservoir Target
Source
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70684Seismic Basemap with Wells, Block Areas and Fault Poly
Block PL18Area = 185.5 KM
Block PL280Area = 90.6 KM2
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70684
Seismic Basemap with Wells and Fault Polygons
Block PL280
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70684
Fault Framework From Interpreted Fault Sticks
Block PL
Block PL280
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70684Time Structure Map of Showgrounds
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70684Depth Structure Map of Showgrounds
Yellowbank Creek
Yellowbank Creek North
Beardmore Field
McWhirter Field
Thomby Creek Field
McGregor Field
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70684Thomby Creek Field - Seismic Line-SD87-4
W
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70684
Thomby Creek Field - Seismic Line-86B-4
Evergreen
Showgrounds
Basement
NNE
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70684Thomby Creek Field – Seismic Line-SD87-17A
NNE
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70684McWhirter Field – Seismic Line-86B-24
NW
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70684McGregor Field – Seismic Line-86B-23
NW
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70684McGregor Field – Seismic Line-81B-3
W
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70684Yellowbank Creek North Field – Seismic Line-85B-5
Yellowbank Creek North-1
W
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70684Yellowbank Creek 1 Well - Seismic Line-78B-29
Yellowbank Creek-1W
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70684Yellowbank Creek Field – Seismic Line-85B-6
Yellowbank Creek-3
W
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70684Yellowbank Creek Field – Seismic Line-81B-2
W
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70684Beardmore Field – Seismic Line-81T-21
W
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70684
Beardmore Field – Seismic Line-85-S2
Beardmore Southwest-1AW
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70684
3D Perspective View of Showgrounds Depth Structure M
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70684
3D Perspective View of Base of Showgrounds Depth Structu
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Figure 24
70684
Well Thomby Creek 2: Cementation Factor from Core Data
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Figure 25
70684
Thomby Creek-1 Well Logs
S h o w g r o u
n d s S S T
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Figure 26
70684
Thomby Creek
McWhirter
YelowbankCreek North
Beardmore
YellowbankCreek
Top Showgrounds Sandstone Formation Depth Structure Map
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70684
Thomby Creek Field Volume Areas Assignment
OWC
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Figure 28
70684
McWhirter South
East
West
McWhirter North
ODT
Spill Point
Probable
Possible
2C
3C
Low
Best
High
PL280/PL18
McWhirter Field Volume Areas Assignment
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Figure 29
70684
ODT
Spill Point Low
BestHigh
Yellowbank Creek Field Volume Areas Assignment
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Figure 30
70684
Beardmore Field Volume Areas Assignment
ODT
Spill Point
Low
Best
High
PL280/PL18
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Figure 31
70684
MCGREGOR 1
YELLOWBANK CREEK 1
YELLOWBANK CREEK NORTH 1
- 1 5 7 3
- 1 5 7 3
- 1 5 7 3
- 1 5 7 3
- 1 5 7 3
697600 697800 698000 698200 698400 698600 698800 699000
697600 697800 698000 698200 698400 698600 698800 699000 6 9 3 0 4 0 0
6 9 3 0 6 0 0
6 9 3 0 8 0 0
6 9 3 1 0 0 0
6 9 3 1 2 0 0
6 9 3 1 4 0 0
6 9 3 1 6 0 0
6 9 3 1 8 0 0
6 9 3 2 0
0 0
6 9 3 2 2 0 0
6 9 3 2 4 0 0
6 9 3 2 6 0 0
6 9 3 2 8 0 0
6 9 3 3 0 0 0
6 9 3 0 4 0 0
6 9 3 0 6 0 0
6 9 3 0 8 0 0
6 9 3 1 0 0 0
6 9 3 1 2 0 0
6 9 3 1 4 0 0
6 9 3 1 6 0 0
6 9 3 1 8 0 0
6 9
3 2 0 0 0
6 9 3 2 2 0 0
6 9 3 2 4 0 0
6 9 3 2 6 0 0
6 9 3 2 8 0 0
6 9 3 3 0 0 0
0 100 200 300 400 500m
1:10240
Yellowbank Creek North Field Volume Areas Assignment
OWC
Possible
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Figure 32
70684
McGregor Field Volume Areas Assignment
MCGREGOR 1
YELLOWBANK CREEK 1
YELLOWBANK CREEK NORTH 1
- 1
5
-15 85
- 1 5 8 0
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 0
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 0
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 0
- 1 5 8 0
1 5 8 5
-1585
-1580
-1585
-15 8 0
- 1 5 8 5
- 1 5 8 0
- 1 5 8 5
697000 697200 697400 697600 697800 698000 698200 698400 698600 698800 699000
697000 697200 697400 697600 697800 698000 698200 698400 698600 698800 699000
6 9 3 1 0 0 0
6 9 3 1 2 0 0
6 9
3 1 4 0 0
6 9 3 1 6 0 0
6 9 3 1 8 0 0
6 9 3 2 0 0 0
6 9 3 2 2 0
0
6 9 3 2 4 0 0
6 9 3 2 6 0 0
6 9 3 2 8 0 0
6 9 3 3 0 0 0
6 9 3 3 2 0 0
6 9 3 3 4 0 0
6 9 3 3 6 0 0
6 9 3 3 8 0 0
6 9 3 4
0 0 0
6 9 3 4 2 0 0
6 9 3 1 0 0 0
6 9 3 1 2 0 0
6 9 3 1 4
0 0
6 9 3 1 6 0 0
6 9 3 1 8 0 0
6 9 3 2 0 0 0
6 9 3 2 2 0 0
6 9 3 2 4 0 0
6 9 3 2 6 0 0
6 9 3 2 8 0 0
6 9 3 3 0 0 0
6 9 3 3 2 0 0
6 9 3 3 4 0 0
6 9 3 3 6 0 0
6 9 3 3 8 0 0
6 9 3 4 0 0 0
6 9 3 4 2 0 0
0 100 200 300 400 500m
1:12824
Low
Best
High
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Appendix A — Page 1
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Appendix A — Definitions
The following definitions form the basis of our classification of reserves and values
presented in this report. They have been prepared by the Standing Committee on Reserves
Definitions of the Petroleum Society of the CIM (“CIM”), incorporated in the Society of
Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (“SPEE”) Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook
(“COGE Handbook”) and specified by National Instrument 51-101 (“NI 51-101”).
Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances
anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, from a given date forward, based
on:
• analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and engineering data;
• the use of established technology;
•
specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable,
and shall be disclosed; and
• a remaining reserve life of 50 years.
Reserves are classified according to the degree of certainty associated with the estimates.
1. Proved Reserves
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty
to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed
the estimated proved reserves.
2. Probable Reserves
Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered
will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
3. Possible Reserves
Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered thanprobable reserves. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable plus possible reserves. Possible
reserves have not been considered in this report.
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Other criteria that must also be met for the categorization of reserves are provided in
Section 5.5 of the COGE Handbook.
Each of the reserves categories (proved, probable, and possible) may be divided into
developed or undeveloped categories.
4. Developed Reserves
Developed reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing
wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a
low expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves
on production. The developed category may be subdivided into producing and non-
producing.
5. Developed Producing Reserves
Developed producing reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered
from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut in, they must have previously been on production, and
the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty.
6. Developed Non-Producing Reserves
Developed non-producing reserves are those reserves that either have not been on
production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date ofresumption of production is unknown.
7. Undeveloped Reserves
Undeveloped reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known
accumulations where a significant expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of
drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet
the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which
they are assigned.
In multi-well pools, it may be appropriate to allocate total pool reserves between the
developed and undeveloped categories or to subdivide the developed reserves for the
pool between developed producing and developed non-producing. This allocation should
be based on the estimator’s assessment as to the reserves that will be recovered from
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specific wells, facilities, and completion intervals in the pool and their respective
development and production status.
8. Levels of Certainty for Reported Reserves
The qualitative certainty levels contained in the definitions in Sections 1, 2 and 3 are
applicable to individual reserves entities, which refers to the lowest level at which
reserves estimates are made, and to reported reserves, which refers to the highest level
sum of individual entity estimates for which reserve estimates are made.
Reported total reserves estimated by deterministic or probabilistic methods, whether
comprised of a single reserves entity or an aggregate estimate for multiple entities,
should target the following levels of certainty under a specific set of economic
conditions:
a. There is a 90% probability that at least the estimated proved reserves will be
recovered.
b. There is a 50% probability that at least the sum of the estimated proved reserves
plus probable reserves will be recovered.
c. There is a 10% probability that at least the sum of the estimated proved reserves
plus probable reserves plus possible reserves will be recovered.
A quantitative measure of the probability associated with a reserves estimate isgenerated only when a probabilistic estimate is conducted. The majority of reserves
estimates will be performed using deterministic methods that do not provide a
quantitative measure of probability. In principle, there should be no difference between
estimates prepared using probabilistic or deterministic methods.
Additional clarification of certainty levels associated with reserves estimates and the
effect of aggregation is provided in Section 5.5.3 of the COGE Handbook. Whether
deterministic or probabilistic methods are used, evaluators are expressing their
professional judgement as to what are reasonable estimates.
9. Remaining Recoverable Reserves are the total remaining recoverable reserves
associated with the acreage in which the Company has an interest.
10. Company Gross Reserves are the Company’s working interest share of the remaining
reserves, before deduction of any royalties.
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11. Company Net Reserves are the gross remaining reserves of the properties in which
the Company has an interest, less all Crown, freehold, and overriding royalties and
interests owned by others.
12. Net Production Revenue is income derived from the sale of net reserves of oil, non-
associated and associated gas, and gas by-products, less all capital and operating costs.
13. Fair Market Value is defined as the price at which a purchaser seeking an economic
and commercial return on investment would be willing to buy, and a vendor would be
willing to sell, where neither is under compulsion to buy or sell and both are competent
and have reasonable knowledge of the facts.
14. Barrels of Oil Equivalent (BOE) Reserves – BOE is the sum of the oil reserves, plus
the gas reserves divided by a factor of 6, plus the natural gas liquid reserves, all
expressed in barrels or thousands of barrels. Equivalent reserves can also be expressed
in thousands of cubic feet of gas equivalent (McfGE) using a conversion ratio of 1 bbl:6
Mcf.
15. Oil (or Crude Oil) – a mixture consisting mainly of pentanes and heavier hydrocarbons
that exists in the liquid phase in reservoirs and remains liquid at atmospheric pressure
and temperature. Crude oil may contain small amounts of sulphur and other non-
hydrocarbons, but does not include liquids obtained from the processing of natural gas.
16. Gas (or Natural Gas) – a mixture of lighter hydrocarbons that exist either in thegaseous phase or in solution in crude oil in reservoirs, but are gaseous at atmospheric
conditions. Natural gas may contain sulphur or other non-hydrocarbon compounds.
17. Non-Associated Gas – an accumulation of natural gas in a reservoir where there is no
crude oil.
18. Associated Gas – the gas cap overlying a crude oil accumulation in a reservoir.
19. Solution Gas – gas dissolved in crude oil.
20. Natural Gas Liquids – those hydrocarbon components that can be removed from
natural gas as liquids including, but not limited to, ethane, propane, butanes, pentanes
plus, condensate, and small quantities of non-hydrocarbons.
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Appendix B — Page 1
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Appendix B — Prices (As of March 31, 2013)
Sproule’s short-term outlook for oil and gas prices adopts the NYMEX futures market for the
forecast period ending March 31, 2016. The forecast used in this evaluation was derived
as of March 31, 2013, and reflects the arithmetic average of the futures market at the
close of trading each day, for the month prior to the Termination of Trading date for an
April contract. The oil price forecasts are based on the NYMEX Division light, sweet (low-
sulphur) crude oil futures contract, which specifies the West Texas Intermediate crude as a
deliverable, and the gas price forecasts are based on the NYMEX Division Henry Hub natural
gas futures contract.
The NYMEX oil and gas futures prices are the foundation of Sproule’s energy pricing models
in the early years. This data is combined with Sproule’s assumptions respecting long-term
prices, inflation rates, and exchange rates, together with estimates of transportation costs
and prices of competing fuels, to forecast wellhead and plantgate prices for Canadian oil,
natural gas, and natural gas by-product production. The following paragraphs briefly
describe some of the key considerations included in Sproule’s long-term outlook for oil and
natural gas price forecasts.
Oil Prices
In the long term, the price of oil will be governed by supply and demand, and the degree
that OPEC is able to manage supply will be a major determinant in establishing oil prices for
the next 10 years. A strong demand for crude oil, instability in the Middle East, and the
increasing cost of exploration and development has served to increase the price of crude oilthroughout the world. In recognition of these factors, Sproule's long-term forecast has been
set at $90.00 US per barrel (2013 dollars).
The oil price forecasts set out in Table S-2 are based on a forecast of prices for West Texas
Intermediate crude at Cushing, Oklahoma. The price of this marker crude is expected to
directly reflect world oil prices over the forecast period. The UK Brent prices were forecast
based on historical pricing relationships to WTI. The actual wellhead price of oil will vary
with the quality of the crude and the cost of the transportation from the wellhead to the
trading hub.
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Appendix C — Abbreviations, Units and Conversion Factors
This appendix contains a list of abbreviations found in Sproule reports, a table comparing
Imperial and Metric units, and conversion tables used to prepare this report.
Abbreviations
AFE authority for expenditure
AOF absolute open flow
APO after pay out
Bg gas formation volume factor
Bo oil formation volume factor
bopd barrels of oil per day
bfpd barrels of fluid per day
BPO before pay out
BS&W basic sediment and water
BTU British thermal unit
bwpd barrels of water per day
CF casing flange
CGR condensate gas ratio
D&A dry and abandoned
DCQ daily contract quantity
DSU drilling spacing unit
DST drill stem testEOR enhanced oil recovery
EPSA exploration and production sharing agreement
FVF formation volume factor
GOR gas-oil ratio
GORR gross overriding royalty
GWC gas-water-contact
HCPV hydrocarbon pore volume
ID inside diameter
IOR improved oil recovery
IPR inflow performance relationshipIRR internal rate of return
k permeability
KB kelly bushing
LKH lowest known hydrocarbons
LNG liquefied natural gas
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LPG liquefied petroleum gas
md millidarcies
MDT modular formation dynamics tester
MPR maximum permissive rate
MRL maximum rate limitation
NGL natural gas liquids
NORR net overriding royalty
NPI net profits interest
NPV net present value
OD outside diameter
OGIP original gas in place
OOIP original oil in place
ORRI overriding royalty interest
OWC oil-water-contact
P1 proved
P2 probable
P3 possible
P&NG petroleum and natural gas
PI productivity index
ppm parts per million
PSU production spacing unit
PSA production sharing agreement
PSC production sharing contract
PVT pressure-volume-temperature
RFT repeat formation testerRT rotary table
SCAL special core analysis
SS subsea
TVD true vertical depth
WGR water gas ratio
WI working interest
WOR water oil ratio
2D two-dimensional
3D three-dimensional
4D four-dimensional1P proved
2P proved plus probable
3P proved plus probable plus possibleoAPI degrees API (American Petroleum Institute)
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Imperial and Metric Units
Imperial Units Metric Units
M (103) one thousand Prefixes k (103) one thousand
MM (106) Million M (106) million
B (109) one billion T (1012) one billion
T (1012) one trillion E (1018) one trillion
G (109) one milliard
in. Inches Length cm centimetres
ft Feet m metres
mi Mile km kilometres
ft2 square feet Area m2 square metres
ac Acres ha hectares
cf or ft3 cubic feet Volume m3 cubic metres
scf Standard cubic feet
gal Gallons L litres
Mcf Thousand cubic feet
Mcfpd Thousand cubic feet per day
MMcf million cubic feet
MMcfpd million cubic feet per day
Bcf billion cubic feet (109)
bbl Barrels m3 cubic metre
Mbbl Thousand barrels
stb stock tank barrel stm3 stock tank cubic metres
bbl/d barrels per day m3 /d cubic metre per day
bbl/mo barrels per month
Btu British thermal units Energy J joules
MJ/m3 megajoules per cubic metre (106)
TJ/d terajoule per day (1012)
oz ounce Mass g gram
lb pounds kg kilograms
ton ton t tonne
lt long tons
Mlt thousand long tons
psi pounds per square inch Pressure Pa pascals
kPa kilopascals (103)
psia pounds per square inch absolute
psig pounds per square inch gauge
°F degrees Fahrenheit Temperature °C degrees Celsius
°Rdegrees Rankine K Kelvin
M$ thousand dollars Dollars k$ thousand dollars
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Imperial and Metric Units (Cont’d)
Imperial Units Metric Units
sec second Time s second
min minute min minute
hr hour h hour
day day d day
wk week week
mo month month
yr year a annum
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Conversion Tables
Conversion Factors — Metric to Imperial
cubic metres (m3) (@ 15°C) x 6.29010 = barrels (bbl) (@ 60°F), water
m3 (@ 15°C) x 6.3300 = bbl (@ 60°F), Ethane
m3 (@ 15°C) x 6.30001 = bbl (@ 60°F), Propane
m3 (@ 15°C) x 6.29683 = bbl (@ 60°F), Butanes
m3 (@ 15°C) x 6.29287 = bbl (@ 60°F), oil, Pentanes Plus
m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C) x 0.0354937 = thousands of cubic feet (Mcf) (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F)
1,000 cubic metres (103m3) (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C) x 35.49373 = Mcf (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F)
hectares (ha) x 2.4710541 = acres
1,000 square metres (103m2) x 0.2471054 = acres
10,000 cubic metres (ha.m) x 8.107133 = acre feet (ac-ft)
m3 /103m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15° C) x 0.0437809 = Mcf/Ac.ft. (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F)
joules (j) x 0.000948213 = Btu
megajoules per cubic metre (MJ/m3) (@ 101.325 kPaa,
15°C)
x 26.714952 = British thermal units per standard cubic foot (Btu/scf)
(@ 14.65 psia, 60°F)
dollars per gigajoule ($/GJ) x 1.054615 = $/Mcf (1,000 Btu gas)
metres (m) x 3.28084 = feet (ft)
kilometres (km) x 0.6213712 = miles (mi)
dollars per 1,000 cubic metres ($/103m3) x 0.0288951 = dollars per thousand cubic feet ($/Mcf) (@ 15.025 psia) B.C.
($/103m3) x 0.02817399 = $/Mcf (@ 14.65 psia) Alta.
dollars per cubic metre ($/m3) x 0.158910 = dollars per barrel ($/bbl)
gas/oil ratio (GOR) (m3 /m3) x 5.640309 = GOR (scf/bbl)
kilowatts (kW) x 1.341022 = horsepower
kilopascals (kPa) x 0.145038 = psi
tonnes (t) x 0.9842064 = long tons (LT)
kilograms (kg) x 2.204624 = pounds (lb)
litres (L) x 0.2199692 = gallons (Imperial)
litres (L) x 0.264172 = gallons (U.S.)
cubic metres per million cubic metres (m3 /106m3) (C3) x 0.177496 = barrels per million cubic feet (bbl/MMcf) (@ 14.65 psia)
m3 /106m3 (C4) x 0.1774069 = bbl/MMcf (@ 14.65 psia)
m3 /106m3 (C5+) x 0.1772953 = bbl/MMcf (@ 14.65 psia)
tonnes per million cubic metres (t/106m3) (sulphur) x 0.0277290 = LT/MMcf (@ 14.65 psia)
millilitres per cubic meter (mL/m3) (C5+) x 0.0061974 = gallons (Imperial) per thousand cubic feet (gal (Imp)/Mcf)
(mL/m3) (C5+) x 0.0074428 = gallons (U.S.) per thousand cubic feet (gal (U.S.)/Mcf)
Kelvin (K) x 1.8 = degrees Rankine (°R)
millipascal seconds (mPa.s) x 1.0 = centipoise
8/10/2019 Chelsea Surat Reserves Report 2013
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Appendix C — Page 6
Conversion Tables (Cont’d)
Conversion Factors — Imperial to Metric
barrels (bbl) (@ 60°F) x 0.15898 = cubic metres (m3) (@ 15°C), water
bbl (@ 60°F) x 0.15798 = m3 (@ 15°C), Ethane
bbl (@ 60°F) x 0.15873 = m3 (@ 15°C), Propane
bbl (@ 60°F) x 0.15881 = m3 (@ 15°C), Butanes
bbl (@ 60°F) x 0.15891 = m3 (@ 15°C), oil, Pentanes Plus
thousands of cubic feet (Mcf) (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F) x 28.17399 = m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
Mcf (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F) x .02817399 = 1,000 cubic metres (103m3) (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
acres x 0.4046856 = hectares (ha)
acres x 4.046856 = 1,000 square metres (103m2)
acre feet (ac-ft) x 0.123348 = 10,000 cubic metres (104
m3
) (ha.m)
Mcf/ac-ft (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F) x 22.841028 = 103m3 /m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
Btu x 1054.615 = joules (J)
British thermal units per standard cubic foot (Btu/Scf) (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F) x .03743222 = megajoules per cubic metre (MJ/m3) (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
$/Mcf (1,000 Btu gas) x 0.9482133 = dollars per gigajoule ($/GJ)
$/Mcf (@ 14.65 psia, 60°F) Alta. x 35.49373 = $/103m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
$/Mcf (@ 15.025 psia, 60°F), B.C. x 34.607860 = $/103m3 (@ 101.325 kPaa, 15°C)
feet (ft) x 0.3048 = metres (m)
miles (mi) x 1.609344 = kilometres (km)
$/bbl x 6.29287 = $/m3 (average for 30°-50° API)
GOR (scf/bbl) x 0.177295 = gas/oil ratio (GOR) (m3 /m3)
horsepower x 0.7456999 = kilowatts (kW)
psi x 6.894757 = kilopascals (kPa)
long tons (LT) x 1.016047 = tonnes (t)
pounds (lb) x 0.453592 = kilograms (kg)