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Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: [email protected]
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Page 1: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction

PresentorDr. Md. Ayub Ali

Professor

Department of Statistics

University of Rajshahi

Rajshahi 6205

Email: [email protected]

Page 2: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Outline

• Definition• Stages in Child Growth• Morphometrics • Growth Chart• Growth Indices• Biological Parameters• Growth Models• Growth Failure• Conclusion

Page 3: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Definition of Growth

A physical change, usually resulting from either an increase in cell number or cell size.

Page 4: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Stages in Child GrowthChild Development

Boys Girls

Early childhood : up to 7 years up to 6–7 years

Later childhood : 7 to 12 years 7 to 10 years

Adolescence : 12 to 15 years 10 to 13 years

Puberty : 15 to 16 years 13 to 14 years

Page 5: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Stages in Child Growth

months)lunar 10 to2 (from ...... Fetus

weeks)8 to2 (from .............. Embryo

weeks)first two (the ............... Ovum

Prenatal

Page 6: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Stages in Child Growth

years) 60(after ................................................................Senility

years) 60 to20 - 18 (from ...............................................Maturity

years) 20or 18 to13 (from girls

years) 20 to14 (from ...... boys ............................. eAdolescenc

years) 13 (around girls

years) 14 (around boys .................................................Puberty

years) 15 - 12 to10 - 9 (from girls

years) 16 - 13 to10 - 9 (from boys ... Late

years) 10or 9 to6 (from ............... Middle

years) 6 to1 (from ...........................Early

............... Childhood

year) 1 to weeks2 (fromInfancy

weeks)first two (the Neonatal ....................................Infancy

Postnatal

Page 7: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Morphometrics (Length)

• Body Height (or Recumbent Length), Sitting Height, Estimated Leg Length, Thigh Length, Calf Length, Arm Span, Shoulder-Elbow Length, Elbow-Wrist Length, Hand Length, Forearm-Hand Length, Head Height, Head Length, etc.

Page 8: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Morphometrics (Breadth)

• Biacromial Breadth, Chest Breadth, Chest Depth, Biiliac Breadth, Bitrochanteric Breadth, Knee Breadth, Ankle Breadth, Elbow Breadth, Wrist Breadth, Head Breadth, etc.

Page 9: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Morphometrics (Circumference)

• Head Circumference, Minimal Neck Circumference, Shoulder Circumference, Chest Circumference, Weist Circumference, Abdominal Circumference, Hip (Buttock) Circumference, Proximal Thigh Circumference, Mid-Thigh Circumference, Distal-Thigh Circumference, Calf Circumference, Ankle Circumference, Arm Circumference,

Page 10: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Charts

• Look at any class picture, and you'll see kids of the same age in all shapes and sizes. Some kids look tiny next to their peers, while others literally stand head and shoulders above their classmates.

• As easy as it is to make these comparisons and to draw conclusions about what you see, the reality is that kids grow at their own pace. Big, small, tall, short — there is a wide range of healthy shapes and sizes among children.

• Genetics, gender, nutrition, physical activity, health problems, environment, hormones, and lifestyle factors like nutrition and physical activity all influence a child's height and weight. And many of these factors can vary widely from family to family.

• So how does a doctor figure out whether a child's height and weight measurements are "normal"? Whether he or she is developing on track? Whether any health problems are affecting growth?

• A doctor uses growth charts to help answer those questions. Here are some facts about growth charts and what they say about a child's health.

Page 11: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Why Do Doctors Use Growth Charts?

• Growth charts are a standard part of any checkup, and they show health care providers how kids are growing compared with other kids of the same age and gender. They also allow doctors and nurses to see the pattern of kids' height and weight gain over time, and whether they're developing proportionately.

• Let's say a child was growing along the same pattern until he was 2 years old, then suddenly started growing at a much slower rate than other kids. That might indicate a health problem. Doctors could see that by looking at a growth chart.

Page 12: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

If a Growth Chart Shows a Different Pattern, Is There a Problem?

• Not necessarily. The doctor will interpret the growth charts in the context of the child's overall well-being, environment, and genetic background.

• Is the child meeting other developmental milestones? • Are there other signs that a child is not healthy? • How tall or heavy are the child's parents and siblings? • Was the child born prematurely? • Has the child started puberty earlier or later than

average? • These are all factors that the doctor will use to help

understand the numbers on the growth chart.

Page 13: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Are All Kids Measured on One Growth Chart?

• No. Girls and boys are measured on different growth charts because they grow in different patterns and at different rates.

• And one set of charts is used for babies, from birth to 36 months.

• Another set of charts is used for kids ages 2 to 20 years old.

• Also, special growth charts are used for children with certain conditions, such as Down syndrome.

Page 14: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Commonly used standard growth charts include

• Ages birth to 36 months (3 years):Boys' length- and weight-for-ageGirls' length- and weight-for-ageGirls' head circumference-for-age and weight-for-lengthBoys' head circumference-for-age and weight-for-length

• Ages 2 to 20 years:Girls' stature- and weight-for-ageBoys' stature- and weight-for-ageGirls ' weight-for-stature (height)Boys' weight-for-stature (height)

Page 15: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

What Measurements Are Put on Growth Charts?

• Up until the time babies are 36 months old, doctors measure weight, length, and head circumference.

• With older kids, doctors measure weight, height, and body mass index (BMI). It's important to look at and compare weight and height measurements to get a full picture of a child's growth.

Page 16: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Why Is Head Circumference Measured?

• In babies, head circumference (the distance around the largest part of the head) can provide clues about brain development. If a baby's head is bigger or smaller than most other kids' or the head circumference stops increasing or increases quickly, it may indicate a problem.

• For example, an unusually large head may be a sign of hydrocephalus, a buildup of fluid inside the brain. A head that's smaller than average may be a sign that the brain is not developing properly or has stopped growing.

Page 17: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

What Are Percentiles?

• Percentiles are measurements that show where a child is compared with others. On the growth charts, the percentiles are shown as lines drawn in curved patterns.

• When doctors plot a child's weight and height on the chart, they see which percentile line those measurements land on.

• The higher the percentile number, the bigger a child is compared with other kids of the same age and gender, whether it's for height or weight; the lower the percentile number, the smaller the child is. For example, if a 4-year-old boy's weight is in the 10th percentile, that means that 10% of boys that age weigh less than he does and 90% of 4-year-old boys weigh more.

Page 18: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

What's the Ideal Percentile for My Child?

• There is no one ideal number. Healthy children come in all shapes and sizes, and a baby who is in the 5th percentile can be just as healthy as a baby who is in the 95th percentile.

• Ideally, each child will follow along the same growth pattern over time, growing in height and gaining weight at the same rate, with the height and weight in proportion to one another. This means that usually a child stays on a certain percentile line on the growth curve. So if our 4-year-old boy on the 10th percentile line has always been on that line, he is continuing to grow along his pattern, which is a good sign.

Page 19: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

What Could Signal a Problem?

A few different growth chart patterns might signal a health problem, such as:

• When a child's weight or height percentile changes from a certain pattern it's been following. For example: If height and weight consistently are on the 60th percentile line until a child is 5 years old, then the height has dropped to the 30th percentile at age 6, that might indicate that there's a growth problem because the child is not following his or her previous growth pattern. Many kids may show changes in growth percentiles at certain points in development, when it's normal for growth rates to vary more from child to child. This is particularly common during infancy and puberty.

Page 20: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

What Could Signal a Problem?

• When kids don't get taller at the same rate at which they're gaining weight. Let's say a boy's height is in the 40th percentile and his weight is in the 85th percentile. (So he's taller than 40% of kids his age, but weighs more than 85% of kids his age.) That might be a problem. On the other hand, if he's in the 85th percentile for height and weight and follows that pattern consistently over time, that usually means that he's a normal child who's just larger than average.

Page 21: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Chart Explained

• While all children grow at different rates, there are some guidelines that can help you identify if your child falls within the normal range, or if you need to be at all concerned.

Page 22: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Typical Growth Rates for Children

• One of the stages of child development that parents eagerly anticipate is the first year of a child’s life. This is a time of rapid physical growth and development when noticeable changes are seen from week to week. Infants tend to grow approximately 10 inches in this year, and have usually tripled their birth weight by the time they reach their first birthday. Because this stage is characterized by such rapid growth, parents often get somewhat concerned when this growth drastically slows down in the years to follow.

Page 23: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Typical Growth Rates for Children

• Even more concerning is that this decrease in growth rate often coincides with a slump in appetite as the body does not need as much energy. And so it is not uncommon for parents to suddenly become concerned as first their child loses interest in food with a decreased appetite, and now it seems they have stopped growing!

Page 24: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Typical Growth Rates for Children

• This fairly drastic decline in growth rate is normal and you can expect to see a decline as your infant enters the toddler years. From the age of 2 to 3 years you can expect your child to grow fairly steadily at a rate of about 2 inches per year all the way until adolescence. Keep in mind that this growth may happen during growth spurt intervals and is not a steady rate for many children.

Page 25: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Stature for Bangladeshi Male Children, n=<162(Data from Rajshahi District)

Page 26: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Stature for Bangladeshi Female Children, n=<134

Page 27: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Sitting Height for Bangladeshi Male Children

Page 28: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Sitting Height for Bangladeshi Female Children

Page 29: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Weight for age of Bangladeshi Male Children

Page 30: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Weight for age of Bangladeshi Female Children

Page 31: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

BMI for Bangladeshi Male Children

Page 32: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

BMI for Bangladeshi Female Children

Page 33: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Chest Circumference for Bangladeshi Male Children

Page 34: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Chest Circumference for Bangladeshi Female Children

Page 35: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Head Circumference for Bangladeshi Male Children

Page 36: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Regional Difference in Growth(Data from Jessore District)

Page 37: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Regional Difference in Growth(Data from Jessore District)

Page 38: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Regional Difference in Growth(Data from Jessore District)

Page 39: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Regional Difference in Growth(Data from Jessore District)

Page 40: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Quetelet’s Index (1836) or Bouchard’s Index (1897):

(cm.)Height

(gr.)Weight

540 = Obese 290 = Emaciated400 = Normal 200 = Starving360 = Thin

Growth Indices

Livi’s Weight-Height Index (1898):

(cm.) Stature

(gr.)Weight 100 3

(cm.) Stature

(gr.)Weight 1000 3

(cm.) Stature

100(gr.)Weight 3

Rohrer’s Body Build Index (1908):

(cm.) Height

100 (gr.)Weight 3

Page 41: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Index of Morphological Equilibrium:

subject of weight lTheoretica

100 subject of weight Real mequilibriu calmorphologi ofIndex

Superior morphological value = 120 and over.

Optimum morphological value = 109 to 119.

Average morphological value = 90 to 108.

Inferior morphological value = 84 to 94.

Very low morphological value = 83 and under.

Manouvrier’s Index of Body Build (Indice Skelique):

height Sitting

100 height Siting -height Standing

Brachyskelia ……….…… Below 85

Mesatyskelia ……….…… [85, 90)

Macroskelia …..………… 90 and over

Page 42: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Cormic Index:

Stature

100 height Sitting

Brachycormic ..…….…… Below 51Metriocormic ...…….…… [51, 53)Macrocormic ....………… 53 and over

Pirquet’s Index of Body Build (Pelidisi):

 

Malnutrition ..……...…… Up to 95Normal nutrition …...…… 95 to 100Overfed …….....………… 100 and over

Page 43: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Demeny’s Vital Index:

(kg.)Weight

(cc.)capacity Vital

Spehl’s Vital Index:

(cm.) Stature

(kg.) Weight (cc.)capacity Vital

Up to 1000 = Very weak

1000 to 1100 = Weak

1200 to 1400 = Average

1500 to 1700 = Sturdy

1800 to 2000 = Very sturdy

Page 44: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Narroe chest ..……...…… Up to 51Average chest ... …...…… 51.1 to 55.9Wide chest …....………… 56.0 and over

Brugsch’s Chest-Stature Index:

Stature

100 ncecircumfereChest

Pignet’s Coefficient of Robusticity:

2

exhalationat ncecircumfereChest inhalationat ncecircumfereChest Weight - Stature

Under 10 = Very sturdy11 to 15 = Sturdy16 to 20 = Good21 to 25 = Average26 to 30 = Weak31 to 35 = Very weakOver 35 = Poor

Page 45: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

 

Page 46: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

BMI

Page 47: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Be careful about BMI

Page 48: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.
Page 49: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Biological Parameters

• Age at take-off (for Early Childhood)• Age at take-off (for Mid-Childhood)• Age at take-off (for Adolescent)• Age at Peak Velocity (for Early Childhood)• Age at Peak Velocity (for Mid-Childhood)• Age at Peak Velocity (for Adolescent)• Age at Final Stature• Stature at take-off (for Early Childhood)• Stature at take-off (for Mid-Childhood)• Stature at take-off (for Adolescent)• Stature at Peak Velocity (for Early Childhood)• Stature at Peak Velocity (for Mid-Childhood)• Stature at Peak Velocity (for Adolescent)• Final Stature• Velocity at take-off (for Early Childhood)• Velocity at take-off (for Mid-Childhood)• Velocity at take-off (for Adolescent)• Velocity at Peak Velocity (for Early Childhood)• Velocity at Peak Velocity (for Mid-Childhood)• Velocity at Peak Velocity (for Adolescent)• Velocity at Final Stature

Page 50: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Biological Parameters

Page 51: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Model

• Gompertz and the logistic growth model (Merrell 1931, Deming 1957, Marubini et. al. in 1971)

• Jenss model (Jenss and Bayley, 1937)• Count model (Count (1943, Tanner et. al., 1956; Israelsohn,

1960, Wingerd, 1970; and Mata, 1978)• Double logistic model (Bock et al., 1973• PB models (Preece and Baines, 1978; Billiwicz and Mc Gregor,

1982; Bogin et al., 1990; Bogin et al., 1992; Brown and Townsend, 1982; Byard et al., 1993; Cameron et al., 1982; Guo et al., 1992; Hauspie, 1980; Hauspie et al., 1980a; Hauspie et al., 1980b; Jolicoeur et al., 1988; Jolicoeur et al., 1991; Jolicoeur et al., 1992; Ledford and Cole, 1998; Mirwald et al., 1981; Qin et al., 1996; Tanner et al., 1982; Zemel and Johnston, 1994)

Page 52: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Model• ICP model (Karlberg, 1987)• Reed models (Berkey and Reed, 1987)• SSC model (Shohoji and Sasaki, 1987; Berkey, 1982;

Cole, 1993 Kanefuji and Shohoji, 1990; Shohoji and Sasaki, 1987; Ledford and Cole, 1998)

• JPPS model (Jolicoeur et al., 1988)• JPA-1 and JPA-2 model (Jolicoeur et al., 1992)• Modified ICP model (Johnson, 1993)• BTT model (Bock et al., 1994)• Kernel’s (non-parametric) model (Gasser et al., 1985;

Gasser, Sheehy & Largo, 2001)• Wavelet model (Fujii and Yamamoto, 1995)

Page 53: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Gompertz Growth model

 

 

Page 54: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Logistic Growth Model

 

btae

KPY

1

 

Page 55: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Jenss growth model

 

tcctaay oo 11 exp

 

Page 56: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Count growth model

 

)ln(21 tataay o

 

Page 57: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Double Logistic growth model

 

22

1

11

1

exp1exp1 ctb

af

ctb

ay

 

Page 58: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

PB growth model

 

tsts

hhhtH

o 1

211 expexp

2),(

 

Page 59: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

ICP growth model

A Childhood component: This component starts during the first year of life having a slowly decelerating course and continuing until end of growth. A second degree polynomial function explained this component and this polynomial function could be written could be written as:

An Infancy component: This component assumed to start during fetal life with a rapidly decelerating course ceasing at 3 – 4 years of age and also it was explained by an exponential function:

2tctbay ccc

Vp

p

ttb

ay

exp1

A Puberty component: This component representing the additional growth induced by puberty and accelerating up to age at peak velocity (age = ), then decelerating until the end of the growth (age = ). A logistic function represented this component and that function was:

 

Page 60: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

ICP growth model 

Page 61: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Reed growth model

 

2)ln(

t

E

t

DtCBtAy

 

The second-order Reed model

Page 62: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

SSC growth model

Shohoji and Sasaki (1987) described a growth model, which has six parameters. It can be written as:

Where t is postnatal age, y(t) is stature at age , A is adult stature, W(t) is a weighting function given by , f(t) is a function of stature in infancy given by and is a error.

)](1)[()()( tWtftAWty

)}](exp{exp[)( tGBtW

tEDtCtf log)(

)](exp)(exp[1 tGBtGBP Let

)exp(2 FtEDtCAP

)exp(3 FtEFDP

321

)(WPPBP

t

ty

Velocity :

Page 63: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

JPPS growth modelA seven-parameter model was described by Jolicoeur et al. (1988) and written as:

321

321

1

11)(

CCC

D

t

D

t

D

tAty

 

Let iC

i iD

tQ

3

11 1

13

12

iC

i ii

i

D

t

D

CQ

23

123

1

iC

i ii

ii

D

t

D

CCQ

21

2)(

Q

AQ

t

ty

Velocity:

Acceleration:

31

2231

2

2 2)(

Q

QQQA

t

ty

Page 64: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

JPA-1 and JPA-2 Model

JPA-1 is the nickname of the model in equation (1) and JPA-2 is the nickname of the model in equation (2). The models JPA-1 retains the theoretically desirable quality of passing through the origin with respect to total age while, JPA-2 fits human stature data better than all other asymptotic models proposed till 1991 (Jolicoeur et al., 1992).

32

3211 1log

1exp)(

CC

e D

t

D

t

D

tC

Aty

321

321

1

11)(

CCC

D

Et

D

Et

D

EtAty

…(1)

…(2)

Page 65: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Let

JPA-1 and JPA-2 Model

32

32111 1log

CC

e D

t

D

t

D

tCR

1

33

3

1

22

2

1

11

12

32

1

CC

D

t

D

C

D

t

D

C

D

t

D

CR

2

323

33

2

222

22

2

12

1

13

3211

1

CC

D

t

D

CC

D

t

D

CC

D

t

D

CR

2

1

2exp)(

R

RA

dt

ty

21

231

2231

2

2

exp2)(

R

R

R

RRRA

t

ty

Velocity:

Acceleration:

Page 66: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Let

Velocity:

Acceleration:

JPA-1 and JPA-2 Model

iC

i iD

EtQ

3

11 1

13

12

iC

i ii

i

D

Et

D

CQ

23

123

1

iC

i ii

ii

D

Et

D

CCQ

21

2)(

Q

AQ

t

ty

31

2231

2

2 2)(

Q

QQQA

t

ty

Page 67: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Modified ICP model

  Vip

piCCi ttb

atbay

exp1

Page 68: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

BTT growth model

321

33

3

22

2

1

1

exp1exp1exp1 ddd ctb

a

ctb

a

tb

ay

33333

33

22222

22

11111

11

111111

)(333

)(222

)(111

ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ee

ebda

ee

ebda

ee

ebda

t

y

Velocity:

Acceleration:

2

21

2)(11

21

)(11

2

21

2)(211

2

2

11111

11

11111

11

11111

11

111111 ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ee

beda

ee

beda

ee

beda

t

y

2

22

2)(22

22

)(22

2

22

2)(222

22222

22

22222

22

22222

22

111111 ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ee

beda

ee

beda

ee

beda

2

23

2)(33

23

)(33

2

23

2)(233

33333

33

33333

33

33333

33

111111 ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ctbdctb

ctb

ee

beda

ee

beda

ee

beda

 

Page 69: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Non-parametric growth model

• Kernel model• Wavelet model• Functional Growth model

Page 70: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Failure

Page 71: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Symptoms of Growth Failure in Children

• The child's height, weight, and head circumference do not progress normally according to standard growth charts.

• Physical skills, such as rolling over, sitting up, standing, or walking, are slow to develop.

• Social and mental skills are delayed.• The development of secondary sexual

characteristics (for example, men's facial hair, women's breasts) is delayed in adolescents.

Page 72: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Causes of Growth Failure

• Malnutrition• Diseases and disorders: Chronic diseases and systemic disorders

that involve the nervous, circulatory, or gastrointestinal systems may be a cause of growth failure. Diseases or disorders involving the liver, kidneys, lungs, or connective tissue may also be a cause.

• Psychosocial dwarfism: This is a disorder of short stature or growth failure and/or delayed puberty. This often occurs in association with emotional deprivation and/or child abuse and neglect.

• Syndromes: Growth failure can be a feature of genetic syndromes, such as Turner syndrome and Down syndrome. It can also be a part of other syndromes, such as Noonan syndrome, Russell-Silver syndrome, and Prader-Willi syndrome.

• Endocrine (hormonal): Endocrine causes include thyroid hormone deficiency (hypothyroidism), growth hormone deficiency, or other hormone disorders. Thyroid hormone is necessary for normal growth; in children with hypothyroidism, growth is extremely slow. Children with growth hormone deficiency have normal body proportions, but they may appear younger than their actual age.

Page 73: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Causes of Growth Failure

• Familial short stature: Children with this condition have parents with short stature. They have a normal growth velocity, and bone age is not delayed. They enter puberty at a normal time and often complete growth with a short adult height.

• Constitutional growth delay: Also called delayed puberty, children with constitutional growth delay have a normal birth weight, and their growth slows usually during the first year of life. From about age 3 to puberty, these children have an adequate growth velocity. Bone age is usually delayed, and puberty is late. Late puberty allows for more prepubertal growth, usually resulting in a normal adult height. Usually, children with constitutional growth delay do not show growth failure but a period of slow growth velocity occurs during the first year of life and just before puberty.

• Other: Growth failure may be related to intrauterine growth retardation (a condition in which children weigh less than 5 pounds at full term or who are small for gestational age if born preterm). Bone and cartilage disorders (called chondrodystrophies) may also be a cause of growth failure. Achondroplasia (one of the most common conditions that cause growth failure and short stature) is a genetic disorder of bone and cartilage. People with achondroplasia have a normal-sized trunk, short arms and short legs, and a slightly enlarged head with a prominent forehead. Adults with this condition are typically about 4 feet tall. There are other chondrodystrophies, such as hypochondroplasia, which are similar to achondroplasia but not as severe.

Page 74: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Exams and Tests

• thyroxine and thyroid-stimulating hormone tests, • serum electrolyte levels, • complete blood count and sedimentation rate, • insulin-like growth factor 1 and insulin-like growth factor

-- binding protein 3 tests, or a growth hormone stimulation test.

• An MRI of the head may be indicated in children with growth hormone deficiency to rule out a brain tumor.

• X-rays may be taken of the left wrist to compare with standard charts. This image can also be used to determine the child's bone age and growth potential.

Page 75: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Diagnosing a Growth Problem

• Your pediatrician or the staff at your community clinic will keep a check on your child’s development and growth, and so it is important to keep regular appointments so that any problems can be quickly spotted.

• While weight and height are predominantly guided by genetic factors, you should consider contacting a physician or endocrinologist (specialist in the area of growth disorders) if you suspect any serious problems or if your child’s growth rate seems to be drastically falling behind peers. Children tend to remain along a similar growth pattern, and if this pattern

Page 76: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Growth Charts and Body Mass Index

• Growth charts will help you to determine what percentile your child is at. For example if your child is in at the 50th percentile for height, it really means that for that age and gender, your child is taller than 50% of his or her peers and shorter than 50% of his or her peers. Keep in mind however, that these are merely rough guidelines and are generally not used as diagnostic tools.

Page 77: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Possible Signs of a Growth Problem in Children

• If your child's plotted percentile changes drastically. For example, if your child’s height was marked at the 70th percentile and has now moved down to the 20th or 10th percentile.

• Your child is plotted on the growth curve below the 3rd percentile.

• Consistently poor appetite and/or poor nutrition. • Chronic abdominal pain and/or diarrhea. • Marked weight loss or weight gain. • Delayed puberty. • A height very much below that predicted by the heights of

both parents.• If other dismorphic signs are present which can be indicative

of a chromosomal disorder.

Page 78: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Conclusion

• It is essential to make different growth charts for different age groups and for different ethnic groups.

• Different indices may be calculated for better understanding of the segmental growth process.

• Appropriate Growth model should be found out for detecting different growth parameters. And for this—

Page 79: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Conclusion

• A project (for collecting longitudinal data) may be started.

• Growth failure should be addressed timely for taking proper initiative.

• Growth enemies should be under controlled.

Page 80: Child Growth in Bangladesh: An Introduction Presentor Dr. Md. Ayub Ali Professor Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi Rajshahi 6205 Email: ayubali67@yahoo.comayubali67@yahoo.com.

Thank you very much

for your kind attention


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