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CHINA CONSORTIUM
By Port Investor
Massive container, dry bulk, oil and liquids markets - representing an immense share of world throughput
New segments such as bio fuel and others in rapid development
Limited competition - many ports with one controlling port group
Strong interest with local governments to attract “multinationals”
Negotiated deals are the norm (vs open tender) Less competition for developments More deal flexibility
11 Of the worlds
20 biggest portsand 50+ large
“secondary” ports
>25% Of world container
throughput
>60% Of world ironore demand
CHINA IN THE WORLD TODAY(a few key numbers on the Chinese economy and its Port Sector)
1.3Billion people
10Trillion USD
PPP adjusted GDP
>400 Mill. tons
of crude oil demand + target to further
increase oil supply reserves
But tapping into this potential requires a significantly different approach than most take - it requires a new model that engages local stakeholders in a positive way. For investors just bringing money the window of opportunity may well have passed in China.
10%Consistent growth last 30 years – may overtake the US by
2030
Opportunities in the Chinese Port Sector
Deal
Leaddevelopment
Focusedmarket engagement
Market scanning and intelligence
1 - 5
10 - 50
100 - 500
1,000 – 5,000
Many believe they can avoid building the pyramid – it’s an illusion, the deals you get access to are only as good as your pipeline.
The deal pyramid illustrates a few key rules of the marketplace:
a) The quality of the output is determined by the input – poor market scanning and market intelligence leads to poor leads
b) The most valuable deal leads are created pro-actively through focused market engagement
c) Each deal lead requires a strong contact and engagement base to develop into an actual investment
d) Only a few of the potential market targets will end up as deals - without a substantial pipeline no investments or deals
Typical challenges in securing investments
Deal
Leaddevelopment
Focusedmarket engagement
Market scanning and intelligence No or little market intelligence available through desk research
Local presence required for any real insight – several sources
often required for verification
Multitude of local stakeholders including local government and port entities – wide engagement often req.
Any real engagement requires local relations and a real proposition to both
government and port
Actual leads eventuate from close dialogue and relation development – often very unstructured
Once into a stage of exploration of cooperation there is often presumed
exclusivity for a period
With the blessing of local partners and government, deals can be cut quickly
Many Chinese constituents like building on partnerships – one deal can lead to a
larger number of leads and deals
Challenges in the Chinese Port Sector
WHAT A group of operators, investors, and
developers many of which have world leading technology, experience and funding capability
Not a consortium in the traditional sense – there is no forced collaboration just collaboration opportunities in the many markets and sectors
WHY Combined leverage makes it possible to
create much more clout in the local markets
Complementary skill-sets from major port infrastructure fields that will allow synergies as each seek to develop in the market
We have been active in the Chinese port market for nearly a decade – the market and its constituents are well suited to engage with this form of “consortium”
The purpose of China Consortium
DEVELOPERS OPERATORSINVESTORS
Free ZoneMarine Infra.Construction
ContainerOil & LiquidDry Bulk
CONSORTIUM
Pension FundPrivate EquitySovereign Fund
CARGO OWNERS
Shipping linesPort industriesEnergy and resources
PORT PARTNERS
AsiaLatin AmericaMiddle East
Status and how to participate
We have cooperation with global as well as local Chinese operators, funds, developers, port groups and many others.
As development and collaboration opportunities emerge we involve clients that we have formalized cooperation with and (if relevant) parties that may benefit our existing client network for specific developments or acquisitions.
China Consortium is already in motion in several locations. If you would like to be part of it please contact us at [email protected] and we would be glad to discuss your needs and relevant scope for the Chinese infrastructure market. For more information about developing markets with Port Investor see appendix or go to:
www.port-investor.com/marketdevelopment
APPENDIXThe Chinese Port Markets
Appendix – Total market and bulk segment
515358%
85410%
95411%
153217%
4395%
China ports cargo type split by weight(mn tons in 2010)
Dry bulkLiquid bulkBreak bulkContainerRoll/Roll
China port bulk cargo category by weightMillion tons 2010Coal 1,646 Metal Ore 1,263 Construction material 1,204 Oil & Gas 712 Steel & Iron 391 Cement 187 None-metal Ore 185 Mechanical/Instrument 170 Grain 169 Chemical 159 Light industry and pharmaceutical 94 Wood 51
China >100 mn tons Ports in 2009million tons
Coal Metal Ore Construction material Grain Sum
Sea Ports
Ningbo-Zhoushan 62.3 140.9 33.5 6.5 243.2Qinhuangdao 206.8 19 1 2.5 229.3Tianjin 65 93.5 42.1 4.7 205.3Shanghai 79.2 66.7 12.9 1 159.8Tangshan 63.5 90.7 0.5 0.07 154.8 Rizhao 23.1 106.9 7.4 5.2 142.6Guangzhou 75.5 6.4 32.3 9.3 123.5Qingdao 16.4 100.7 0.02 3.8 120.9 Yingkou 22.7 32.6 7 5.5 67.8Beibu Gulf 27.4 28.2 1.4 6.4 63.4Lianyungang 12.8 41.8 2.8 5.5 62.9Dalian 10.3 28.1 2.6 15.9 56.9Xiamen 14.6 5.8 26.9 2.9 50.2Zhanjiang 4.7 35.1 4.8 1.3 45.9Yantai 13.2 26.1 0.7 2.2 42.2Shenzhen 4.5 14.4 3.8 16.3 39
River Ports
Suzhou 61.1 52.4 22.8 4.6 140.9Nantong 16.8 42.1 31.5 6.6 97Jiangyin 24.2 21.9 20.1 1.2 67.4Zhenjiang 16.6 30.7 16.4 0.8 64.5Huzhou 16.2 0.3 45.2 1.4 63.1Nanjing 18.5 25.4 4 2.1 50
In total throughput the Chinese port sector was nearing a total throughput of 9 billion tonnes in 2010 and a 17% growth over 2009. In total throughput the bulk markets fuelled by amongst others the continuing need for infrastructure development and energy the Chinese bulk sector represented the majority. Of the total market river ports represented 37%.
Appendix – Container ports
Shan
ghai
Shen
zhen
Ningbo+Zh
oushan
Guangzh
ou
Qingdao
Tianjin
Dalian
Xiamen
Lianyu
ngang
Yingk
ou0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
China Top 10 Container PortsThroughput 2008-2010
201020092008
K TE
U
118.481%
7.265%
20.3414%
China Container Throughput split 2010 (mn TEU)
Top 10 YangtzeThe rest
98.781%
5.75%
17.614%
China Container Throughput split 2009 (mn TEU)
Top 10 YangtzeThe rest
With a total throughput of about 144mn TEU China represented 28% of the world container port market in 2010. Whereas China in pure throughput numbers is dominated by big ports, of which 6 exceeded 10mn TEU in 2010, China has a large number of “secondary ports” with substantial development potential, we estimate at least 50 ports and many more single locations.
2005-2015 China refinery capacity
Total Capacity (1,000 tonnes) 324,490 478,000 504,800 696,800 Sinopec 163,500 50.4% 216,000 45.2% 237,800 47.1% 314,300 45.1%Petro China 119,390 36.8% 149,000 31.2% 154,000 30.5% 214,000 30.7%Cnooc 500 0.2% 32,100 6.7% 33,500 6.6% 56,000 8.0%Sinochem and others 41,100 12.7% 80,900 16.9% 79,500 15.7% 112,500 16.1%
2005 2009 2010 2015 E
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
China crudeoil consumption and production
Consumption Produced in China
Dependence for Import %
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010,0
00 TO
NS
China Oil Exp & Imp
Import Export
Appendix – Oil and liquid ports (1)
Appendix – Oil and liquid ports (2)Port ThroughputNingbo 宁波 80,542 Qingdao 青岛 65,080 Tianjin 天津 61,510 Dalian 大连 61,121 Taizhou 泰州 54,780 Zhoushan 舟山 45,034 Huizhou 惠州 39,642 Nanjing 南京 33,400 Shanghai 上海 25,295 Zhanjiang 湛江 23,890 Yingkou 营口 21,192 Quanzhou 泉州 (福建) 17,130 Yangpu 杨浦 15,600 Shenzhen 深圳 14,469 Laizhou (Shandaong) 莱州 14,000 Maoming 茂名(广东) 13,610 Beibu Gulf 北部湾 12,220 Zhuhai 珠海 12,100 Jinzhou 锦州 10,800 Nantong 南通 9,500 Qinhuangdao 秦皇岛 8,720 Guangzhou 广州 5,700 Notes: All figures represent 2010 throughput in 1,000 tonnes
SPR Locations PhaseCapacity for SPR (mill CBM)
Operator
Tianjin II 5 SinopecShanshan (Xinjiang) II 8 Petro ChinaZhoushan (Zhejiang) I & II 7.5 SinochemDushanzi (Xinjiang) II 5.4 Petro ChinaZhenhai (Zhejiang) I 5.2 SinopecHuizhou (Guangdong) II 5 CnoocHuangdao (Qingdao, Shandong) I 3.2 SinopecDalian (Liaoning) I 3 Petro ChinaLanzhou (Gansu) II 3 Petro ChinaJinzhou (Liaoning) II 3 Petro ChinaJintan (Jiangsu) II 3 Petro China
Currently 12 SPR bases are planned, among which the 4 in phase 1 are already operational (since 2008), with capacity of 16.4 mill. cbm (or about 14 mill. tonnes). Another 8 are planned as phase 2, which is now under construction adding 39.9 mill cbm. Locations for phase 3 are under investigation and planned to add another 43 mill. cbm of storage capacity.
APPENDIXMarket Development with Port Investor
Why?Thousands of ports, assets and projects…
…hundreds of different investment models……an infinite amount of opportunities!
The challenge – how to tap the potential?
Too little time – too few resources…Too big – too small…
Too expensive – too risky…Too early – too late…
The solution – risk free market engagement and effective deal creation!
+Matching propositions
500 Hundreds of investment
models
5,000Thousands of markets
50,000Tens of
thousands of targets
Deal
Develop
Engage
Market intelligenceand scanning
1-5
10-20
50-100
1,000-5,000
What?
Greenfield Brownfield
Acquisition
Container
Bulk
Oil & Liquid
Logistic Zone
Free Zone
Majority
Minority
Financial investor
Developer
Operator$10+ million
$100+ million
$1+ billion
Seed investor
Whether it is acquisitions, green fields, majority, minority, mature assets, high upside propositions, oil, container or bulk…Whether in China, Middle East, Europe, Latin America or any other nation or region…
The opportunities exist or can be created!
Singapore Dampier Corpus Christi London SouthamptonShanghai Hamburg Gladstone Bergen WilhelmshavenRotterdam New York Primorsk Taichung CalaisTianjin Nantong Bremen Bombay BaltimoreNingbo Vancouver Long Beach Barcelona Forth PortsGuangzhou Yantai Corpus Christ Sao Sebastiao BilbaoQingdao Nanjing Algeciras Lake Charles PittsburghHong Kong Kitakyushu Pohang Trieste YanbuQinhuangdao Tangshan New Orleans Texas City KarachiDalian Itaqui Grimsby Baton Rouge New MangaloreBusan lianyungang Beaumont Saldanha Bay TampaNagoya Tubarao Huntington Paradip Milford HavenShenzhen Marseilles Constantza Jeddah OdessaSouth Louisiana Newcastle Mobile Tees LeghornHouston Kobe Hampton Roads Manila ParanaguaAntwerp Amsterdam Ports St. Petersburg Alexandria PaulsboroUlsan Osaka Valencia Taranto TarragonaChiba Tanjung Pelepas Plaquemines Gothenburg ValdezPort Hedland Sepetiba Dunkirk Tampa Texas CityPort Kelang Richards Bay Madras Jubail LiverpoolRizhao Hay Point Jawaharlal Nehru Tanjung Priok SavannahYingkou Novorossisk Los Angeles Zeebrugge BrisbaneKaohsiung Tokyo Genoa Mormugao LubeckInchon Santos Calcutta Durban PascagoulaYokohama Le Havre Izmit Duluth-Superior Angra dos Reis
Who?Pension funds, terminal operators, free zone developers, insurance funds, oil storage
operators, shipping lines, sovereign wealth funds, bulk operators, logistics zone operators, private equity funds, construction companies, industrials, general
investment funds, port groups…
…that wish to invest…that wish to operate…that wish to develop…that wish to partner
…that wish to collaborate
The great thing about this?
There are many more potential partners to cooperate and find solutions with than there are competitors!
How?Deal
Develop
Engage
Market intelligenceand scanning
1-5
10-20
50-100
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target PropositionStep 0Create the foundation
Step 1Focus among the many
Step 2Engage the most relevant
Step 3Deal development
Step 4Closing the deal
Now!
Contact us on [email protected]...
…and let us help you start developing the propositions you want!
For more information on our market development process and the opportunities in the market place please refer to the appendices.
APPENDIXChoosing your scope
All constituents have different needs as concerns the target locations and the type of investments. These are just a small handful of examples.
Greenfield Brownfield
Acquisition
Container
Bulk
Oil & Liquid
Logistic Zone
Free Zone
Majority
Minority
Financial investor
Developer
Operator$10+ million
$100+ million
$1+ billion
Seed investor
How can we help you……relevant scope (1)
Singapore Dampier Corpus Christi London SouthamptonShanghai Hamburg Gladstone Bergen WilhelmshavenRotterdam New York Primorsk Taichung CalaisTianjin Nantong Bremen Bombay BaltimoreNingbo Vancouver Long Beach Barcelona Forth PortsGuangzhou Yantai Corpus Christ Sao Sebastiao BilbaoQingdao Nanjing Algeciras Lake Charles PittsburghHong Kong Kitakyushu Pohang Trieste YanbuQinhuangdao Tangshan New Orleans Texas City KarachiDalian Itaqui Grimsby Baton Rouge New MangaloreBusan lianyungang Beaumont Saldanha Bay TampaNagoya Tubarao Huntington Paradip Milford HavenShenzhen Marseilles Constantza Jeddah OdessaSouth Louisiana Newcastle Mobile Tees LeghornHouston Kobe Hampton Roads Manila ParanaguaAntwerp Amsterdam Ports St. Petersburg Alexandria PaulsboroUlsan Osaka Valencia Taranto TarragonaChiba Tanjung Pelepas Plaquemines Gothenburg ValdezPort Hedland Sepetiba Dunkirk Tampa Texas CityPort Kelang Richards Bay Madras Jubail LiverpoolRizhao Hay Point Jawaharlal Nehru Tanjung Priok SavannahYingkou Novorossisk Los Angeles Zeebrugge BrisbaneKaohsiung Tokyo Genoa Mormugao LubeckInchon Santos Calcutta Durban PascagoulaYokohama Le Havre Izmit Duluth-Superior Angra dos Reis
Deal
Lead development
Focused market engagement
Market intelligenceand scanning
1-5
10-20
50-100
1,000-5,000
Step 1Focus among the many
Step 2Engage the most relevant
Step 3Deal development
Step 4Closing the deal
How can we help you……relevant scope (2)
Each constituent have different needs as concerns the deal pyramid. Some look for solutions all the way from market intelligence to closing actual deals, others only up to and including engagement of the relevant authorities and potential partners.
APPENDIXJust a few of the many opportunities
Market development……port expansion and new ports potential
Bio Fuel
Cruise
Dry Port Oil Storage
In-Port Industries
BulkLogistic Zone
Free Zone
Port Property
Intermodal Hub
Energy Hub
Trade Hub
Port zones are natural growth engines for the economy. The potential to develop and expand to generate economic growth and trade for most ports far exceeds their current footprint.
This includes the development of trade hubs, free zones, industry zones and other concepts.
For investors this gives potential to invest in some of the most valuable industry property and port infrastructure.
Market development……acquisition potentialAmong the big acquisition opportunities are the portfolios of many shipping lines that are expected to face a difficult period and port owners - some of which are looking to do a.o. PPP type deals that essentially are asset sales.
Many single asset owners also sit with acquisition opportunities, some with full ownership of a terminal or a port and some with majority or minority holdings in specific assets.
…just a few examples…Target Transaction value Acquiring partyPortek portfolio $146mn MitsuiTin Can Container Terminal (Zim lines 47.5% share)
$154mn China Merchants
Malta Freeport (CMA CGM's 50% share) $285mn Yildirim GroupDPW Australia portfolio (75% share) $1.5bn Citi Infrastructure InvestorsChennai International Terminals (Sical's 27% sare)
Not reported PSA International
ACS Dragados Spanish port portfolio €720mn JP Morgan led consortiumYantian International Container Terminals (APM Terminals' 9.7% share)
$520mn Cosco Pacific
Poti Sea Port (80% share) Not reported APM TerminalsSantos - BTP (50% from MSC) Not reported APM Terminals
Market development……collaboration potential (1)
MATCHING Over the course of a port infrastructure project the nature of the investment changes from stage to stage. Investors (as well as operators and developers) all have different preferences, some are more suitable for green-field whereas others look for mature facilities. Likewise each constituent brings its own set of strengths and skills to the table that amongst others can allow the undertaking of larger projects.
SYNGERGIZING (1 + 1 = 3)Ultimately this is all about finding synergies between parties with different skills and needs to accelerate development that may not otherwise have been possible or less attractive.
Greenfield$1bn
Port Group
Oil Operator
Container Operator
Bulk Operator
Investment Fund
Development •Private Equity•Construction
Company
Growth •Investment Fund
•Operator
Maturity•Pension Fund
Market development……collaboration potential (2)
TERMINAL OPERATORSAPM TerminalsOiltankingICTSIVopak
PORT OWNERSPort of RotterdamShanghai International Port GroupAbu Dhabi Terminal CompanySantos Port Group
CARGO OWNERSShipping linesMining and mineral companiesEnergy companiesIndustrial Zones
The port industry has thousands of different operators and port owners that are ready to collaborate for different types of projects at different stages of the project in different geographies.
Likewise on the side of the parties actually owning cargo there are many that either have a need to get better market access on the sea side or have existing facilities that they wish to outsource.
Market development……collaboration potential (3)
INVESTMENT FUNDS AND PRIVATE EQUITYMacquarie Infrastructure GroupBrookfield Infrastructure PartnersJP Morgan Infrastructure FundCiti Capital Advisors
SOVEREIGN FUNDSAbu Dhabi Investment AuthorityChina Investment CorporationGovernment of Singapore Investment CorporationMalaysia Mining Corporation
PENSION AND INSURANCE FUNDSPing An (2nd biggest Chinese insurance fund)Ontario Teachers Pension FundATP (biggest Danish fund)APG (biggest Dutch fund, 3rd biggest globally)
The global investment fund sector manages more than $100 trillion. Many want to “get real” (assets) and “go direct” (ownership) - they want real assets with real purpose. Owners or developers of port assets are in an ideal position to tap into that.
Many of the major funds prefer getting in after the development and optimization of a given port asset and want substantial deal size - often $100+ million.
DEVELOPERS OPERATORSINVESTORSFree ZoneMarine Infra.Construction
ContainerOil & LiquidDry Bulk
CONSORTIUM
Pension FundPrivate EquitySovereign Fund
CARGO OWNERS
Shipping linesIndustrialsFabrication
PORT PARTNERS
AsiaLatin AmericaMiddle East
IMMEDIATE COVERAGE FOR INVESTORSFor those with an interest to enter, expand or invest in a specific region (e.g. China) and covering all the key markets within months.
REAL ENGAGEMENTOur on the ground network directly engages the local decision makers
COMPLEMENTARYA group of leading firms with complementary skills and objectives enabling a strong proposition towards ports.
SYNERGISTIC AND NO RISKNo heavy regional setup or local office before you start running
The PI ConsortiumA new model for investors, developers and operators
Market development……collaboration potential (4)
APPENDIXThe deal pyramid step by step
The PI Deal Pyramid……an overview De
al
Develop
Engage
Focus
$1bn
10-20
50-100
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target PropositionStep 0Create the foundation
Step 1Market intelligence and scanning
Step 2Engage the most relevant
Step 3Deal development
Step 4Closing the deal
Step 0……defining purpose
Purpose
What is the purpose? Why are you looking for an acquisition, developments or partnerships?
Step 0……identifying the target
Purpose Target
What specifically is relevant for you to target, who to partner with or what to develop?
Step 0……creating the proposition
Purpose Target Proposition
With the target in mind what is your proposition to them? Why should someone welcome your investment, collaborate or partner with you?
Step 1……focus De
al
Develop
Expose and Engage
Focus
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target Proposition
This is about getting your market intelligence and scanning in place. It is about getting the right targets in sight. Without it you are going to be wasting valuable time and resources while others cut deals.
Step 2……engagement De
al
Develop
Engage
Focus
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target Proposition
50-100
This is about creating true engagement – it is not about desk research it is about on the ground direct contact with the real decision makers and getting your proposition out there in the right form.
Step 3……development De
al
Develop
Engage
Focus
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target Proposition
50-100
10-20
This is about fast-tracking and developing real leads, creating substantial opportunities and creating real leverage to close the deal.
Step 4……deal De
al
Develop
Engage
Focus
1,000-5,000
Purpose Target Proposition
50-100
10-20
$1bnGoal! Now use all the great efforts you did in step 0 to 3 to make many more!
APPENDIXAbout Port Investor
InduStreams was founded in 2011 with a mission to create a more transparent, connected and informed infrastructure market place.
We launched Port-Investor.com in July 2011, a specific sector pilot with focus on port investing and the global port industry.
Current state of affairs
200+ port groups and 1,000+ executives and decision makers in the network and increasing China Port Investor and other regions are being launched Specific concepts in development with select investors and port groups
The Vision
Connecting all substantial port markets (5,000+ globally) with investors (1,000+ globally) Creating a transparent and informed market place driven by industry leaders and experts Unleashing the potential inherent in this sector by creating thousands of new investment
opportunities (we expect investment potential to exceed $1 trillion)
Want to know more or simply engage……contact us on: