+ All Categories
Home > Documents > China — India Cooperation and Opportunities Overview of Chinese Economy Prospects of China in...

China — India Cooperation and Opportunities Overview of Chinese Economy Prospects of China in...

Date post: 25-Dec-2015
Category:
Upload: bridget-mason
View: 214 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Popular Tags:
30
China — India Cooperation and Opportunities Overview of Chinese Economy Prospects of China in Next Five Years Chinese Companies In Eastern India Possible Cooperation Areas Between China and India
Transcript
Page 1: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

China — IndiaCooperation and Opportunities

Overview of Chinese Economy

Prospects of China in Next Five Years

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China and India

Page 2: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chapter 1

Overview of Chinese Economy

Page 3: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

From Rural Economy to Urban Economy

From Planed Economy to Market-based Economy

I. Double Transitions

Page 4: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

II. GDP & Other Developments

Average 9.5% annual growth from 1978-2010

Population growth 1%

Average per capita savings deposit: 23 Yuan in 1978 — 12,400 Yuan In 2006

(About 114 times increase in constant Yuan)

Rural electrification has exceeded 98%

Per capita floor space increased from 8 M2 to 31 M2

Page 5: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

III. Foreign Trade

20.6 billion USD in 1978 to 2973 billion USD in 2010 (Annual over 17% growth).

In 2011, the figure is 3642 billion USD.

The target for 2015 is 5400 billion USD, which will make China NO. 1 in terms of international trade.

Page 6: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

IV. Foreign Exchange Reserve

Due to continuous increase of trade surplus and high investment growth, China’s foreign exchange reserve is rising exponentially.

By 2010, national foreign exchange reserve increased to 2.8 trillion USD.

By 2011, national foreign exchange reserve increased to 3.181 trillion USD.

Page 7: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

V. Rapid Urbanization

In 1978, China’s urbanization rate was 17.92%.

In 2007, China’s urbanization rate reached 46.59%.

By 2011, China’s urbanization rate exceeded 50%.

Page 8: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Year 2007 China UK Australia USA France Germany Japan Russia Brazil India

Urbanization (%)

46.59 90 88.9 85 77.6 73.7 66.6 72.8 86 29.8

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007

Year

%Overview of Chinese Economy

Graph of China’s Urbanization Rate

Page 9: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Item First Industry

Second Industry

Third Industry

1978 28.2% 47.9% 23.9%

2010 10.18% 46.86% 42.96%

Year 2010 China USA Japan UK France India

Third Industry (GDP %)

42.96 78.9 72 72.8 65.5 54

Overview of Chinese Economy

VI. Three Industries

In 2011, Third Industry made up 43.1% of China’s total GDP.

Page 10: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Overview of Chinese Economy

VII. Poverty Reduction In 1978, the absolute poor numbered 250 million

and poverty incidence was 33.1%.

By 2009, among total population of 1.31 billion, the absolute poor numbered less than 35 million with poverty incidence 2%.

By 2010, the absolute poor numbered 26.88 million.

By 2011, China raised poverty line from 1196 Yuan to 2300 Yuan (about 1 USD/day, World Bank Poverty Line is 1.25 USD/day). The absolute poor maybe number around 122 million after the increase of poverty line.

Page 11: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chapter 2

Prospects of China In Next Five Years

Page 12: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

Chinese economy will maintain 7%-8% growth.

Urbanization is the major driving force: 2015 urbanization target 51.5%, each year 12 million

people – about 4 million families will be urbanized;

200 million rural people will become urban population in next 10 years.

I. Stable Economic Growth

Page 13: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

II. Some Important Figures Increase service sector contribution from 43% to 47%.

Increase spending on R & D: 2.2% of GDP.

Holding CPI at or below 4%.

Increase non-fossil fuel use to 11.4%.

Reduction of energy use per unit of GDP: 16%.

Increase forest coverage by 21.6%.

Average per capita GDP increase to 6000 USD. (2011 per capita GDP is 5414 USD, world ranking 89)

Page 14: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

III. Change of the Pattern of Economic Development

Problem: Imbalanced, uncoordinated & unsustainable development.

Goal: From export & investment to consumption, export & investment;

From development of second industry to coordinated development of 3 industries;

From resource consumption to technology & labor quality and management innovation.

Page 15: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

V. Lower GDP Growth Target To 7%

Emphasize the quality of economic growth.

Economic structure more important than economic aggregate.

Environmental Protection: Circular economy; Low-carbon economy; Environment friendly economy.

Economic growth with improving people’s livelihood.

Page 16: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

V. Middle & Western China — New Popular Regions In the Future

Major metropolitans such as Shanghai & Guangzhou restricted by high cost, transportation & population.

Middle & western regions rich in natural resources.

With 18,000 KM border line and neighboring 14 countries, middle & western regions will be the theme for further opening-up to middle, south and southeast Asia.

Middle and western regions will mainly develop and upgrade resources processing industry, equipment manufacturing industry and modern service industry.

Page 17: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Prospects of China in Next 5 Years

VI. New Strategic Industries

New energy: nuclear, wind & solar power. Environment friendly and energy saving: energy

reduction technology.

New generation IT: broadband networks, internet security infrastructure, network convergence.

Biotechnology: drugs and medical devices. New materials: rare earths and high-end semiconductors. Automobiles of new energy: clean energy vehicles. High-end equipment manufacturing: aviation

equipment, satellite and applications, railway transportation equipment, marine engineering equipment, and smart manufacturing equipment.

Page 18: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chapter 3

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

Page 19: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

I. Details of Cooperation

In the five states of Eastern India (West Bengal, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh), about 15 Chinese companies contract 28 projects.

These projects include: metallurgy, power plant, mining, etc.

Chinese companies directly hire around 14,000 Indian employees in these projects.

Page 20: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

II. Projects Contracted By Chinese Companies

Steel plants: 11 projects;

Power plants: 12 projects;

Coal mine: 1 project;

Environmental protection: 4 projects.

Page 21: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

III. Why Come?

Low cost;

Mature technology;

Reliable equipment;

Rich working experience;

High working efficiency;

Short construction period and fast supply of products.

Page 22: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chinese Companies In Eastern India

IV. Trade Between China & India Trade volume between China & India in 2011: 73.9 billion USD, with 19.7% increase.

Target for 2015: 100 billion USD.

January — May 2012: 28.5 billion USD, 2.8% less than the same period last year.

India’s exports to China: iron ore, machinery, petroleum product, diamond, transportation equipment, etc.

China’s exports to India: electronics, steel, coke, organic chemicals, transportation equipment, etc.

Page 23: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Chapter 4

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

Page 24: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

I. Energy Saving Industry

Energy saving is the new strategic industry largely supported by Chinese Government.

China already has the world biggest installed hydro power capacity (230 million kilowatt) and wind power capacity (47 million kilowatt), and the world biggest collector area of solar water heaters.

By 2015, the total production value of energy saving industry is expected to be 4.5 trillion Yuan.

Page 25: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

II. Infrastructure

China’s advantage of infrastructure construction: Mature technology; Reliable equipment;

Rich experiences.

India’s ambition for infrastructure construction: 1 trillion USD investment in next five years.

Page 26: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

III. Tourism

The convenient Kunming — Kolkata daily flight is the shortest flight between China and India.

In 2011, Yunnan Province received nearly 4 million (precisely 3,954,000) person times foreign visitors and 163 million person times domestic visitors.

Yunnan tourism revenue: 130.03 billion Yuan.

Eastern India has many attractive tourist destinations, such as Tagore literature and Bodh Gaya in Bihar.

Page 27: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

IV. Pharmaceutical Industry

In 2009, India has 175 FDA certified medicine production bases, but China only has 36.

China’s pharmaceutical industry mainly exports drug substance, but India focuses on medicine preparation.

China’s pharmaceutical industry may benefit from India’s researching and talents advantage during the cooperation.

Page 28: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

V. IT Industry

In 2011, India’s IT-BPO (business process outsourcing) industry realized total value of 88.1 billion USD, and created direct employment of 2.5 million and indirect employment of 8.3 million.

New generation IT industry — one of China’s seven new strategic industries in next five years.

China and India can explore more opportunities in the cooperation of IT industry.

Page 29: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Possible Cooperation Areas Between China & India

VI. Agriculture

In 2006, China and India signed a MOU for cooperation in agriculture and allied sectors.

Cooperation fields: Tea industry; Agricultural machinery; Irrigation technique, etc.

Page 30: China — India Cooperation and Opportunities  Overview of Chinese Economy  Prospects of China in Next Five Years  Chinese Companies In Eastern India.

Thank You!


Recommended