Date post: | 21-Jan-2015 |
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The Threat From The Far East: China
By: Andrew
Agenda
1) Background2) Threats (3 pronged)
3) COA’s4) Questions
China Facts
World’s 4th largest country Largest population
1,336,000,000 Natural Resources
Nuclear power
Beijing Regime Stability
Tiananmen Square in 1989 Restrict media
250,000 in re-education camps
Execute more than all countries combined
Torture
U.S. aggressive hegemon
Enemy mingling in internal affairs for “human rights”
Xenophobic
Temporarily useful
China’s Perspective
China’s Goals
Regional hegemony
Superpower status
America’s Goal
Maintain the status quo and superpower status
Conflict is inevitable
“Once China becomes strong enough to stand alone, it might discard us. A
little later it might even turn against us, if its perception of its interest requires
it”
Henry Kissinger
Strategic in nature (10-15 years)
3 pronged
Threats
Economic
MilitaryNatural Resources
U.S debt over $ 14 trillion
$ 4 billion per day 1/3 $ is borrowed
Economic
2020 $20 trillion of debt
2020 there will be $20 trillion of debt
Little more than half is owned by the U.S.
And the other debt…
Where does the money come from?
China acquires 50% of all debt at U.S. auctions
More than one auction a day…
U.S. is the world’s technological leader
Chinese intelligence agencies have 2 million spies
Currently 500 ongoing investigations
$250 Billion
Economic Espionage
Well placed scientists
Students
Economic Espionage
Taiwan weapon sales
American rockets,
submarines, navy ships, aircrafts and
space shuttles
What Did They Take?
America vulnerable to foreign pressures
Loss of independence
Why is this a Threat?
Chinese power is growing as a result
Gives China leverage
Why is this a Threat?
Defense spending put at risk Cuts discretionary budget
Military Education Foreign aid
Why is this a Threat?
The American model is
being undermined before the rest of the
world
Why is this a Threat?
Military
China is increasing military spending
They face no threats
Military
The U.S. is reinforcing military alliances and getting more involved
in regional affairs
"The United States continues to sell weapons to Taiwan, severely impeding Sino-US relations”
Military White Paper (2011)
Used over 90 Satellites in Iraq
Over reliance of technology
Coordination
China Assessment of U.S.
Anti-satellite weapons
China’s Military
China’s offensive use of technology Hacking DOD, power grid “Electronic dominance”
Shut down a carrier group
China’s Military
Offensive naval capabilities Region’s leading Navy
15 years more nuclear subs than U.S.
Aircraft carrier
China’s Military
J-20 stealth jet fighter Maiden flight during Defense
Secretary Gates’ visit
China’s Military
They are competing with the U.S. Taiwan, Korea (Asia influence) 2005 passed anti-secession law
(authorizing force)
What it means
Oil is limited Competition is growing
Raising prices
Competition Over Natural Resources
Turning to Africa and beyond Proxy Wars
U.S. arms Nigeria and Angola China is aiding government forces
in Sudan and Zimbabwe
Competition Over Natural Resources
U.S. Oil Imports
COA:1 Balanced Budget Amendment
-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law
Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations
accountable Increase collection on Chinese
mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure
Develop alternative fuels w/China
COA:2
Raise taxes-Cut discretionary funding No Chinese students Enter into arms race
Covert action (support unrest) Cold War with China
COA:3
Increase relations with China Increase trade
Support China’s acquisition of Taiwan
Let the free market determine natural resource allocation
COA:1 (Recommended) Balanced Budget Amendment
-Cut entitlement programs-Reform corporate tax law
Increased counterintelligence funding/ hold corporations
accountable Increase collection on Chinese
mil. capabilities/ secure infrastructure
Develop alternative fuels w/China
Bernstein, Richard and Ross H. Munro. 1998. The Coming Conflict With China. New York: Vintage Books.
Babbin, Jed, and Edward Timperlake. 2006. Showdown: Why China Wants War With The United States.
Washington D.C.: Regnery Publishing Inc. Dorn, James A. 2008. "The Debt Threat: A Risk to U.S.-
China Relations?" Brown Journal of World Affairs 14, no. 2: 151-164. Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.
Newman, Alex. 2010. "Chinese Spying in the United States." New American (08856540) 26, no. 10: 31-34.
Academic Search Complete, EBSCOhost.
Sources
http://blog.jonudell.net/2008/11/09/where-the-oil-comes-from-not-from-where-i-thought/http://www.jmhinternational.com/news/news/selectednews/files/2008/05/20080501_Nation_%20TheNewGeopoliticsOfEnergy.pdfJaneshttp://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=3&hid=126&sid=520c58b7-00f5-403a-9cd6-3ffa9b0636d1%40sessionmgr110http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703422904575039173633482894.htmlhttp://www.defeatthedebt.com/understanding-the-national-debt/how-much-do-we-owe/http://useconomy.about.com/od/fiscalpolicy/p/US_Debt.htmhttp://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA519892&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/18/us-federal-deficit-china-america-debthttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12917338http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/01/11/us-china-defence-fighter-idUSTRE70A19B20110111
Sources