Cincinnati Police Department

2015 Crime Summary & Year-End Report

CPD Crime Analysis & Problem Solving Squad

Office of Performance & Data Analytics

Violent Crime

Summary

VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, RAPE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT

−20.7%since

2011

−13.0%compared to

4-year

average

−0.6%compared to

2014

3

*Standard Deviation is a statistical measure to help determine if a

variation from the average is statistically significant

The top

0.5%(or 37 segments)

street segments

account for

14.4%(or 303 violent crimes)

of all violent crimes

for 2015

------------------------1.4800 block of Hawaiian

Te (20)

2.3500 block of Reading

Rd (17)

3.2300 block of Ferguson

Rd (13)

4.1800 block of Westwood

Northern Bv (13)

5.0 block of E Liberty St

(12)

6.2300 block of Harrison

Av (12)

7.3400 block of Warsaw Av

(11)

VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT

4

Note: Street segment may be multiple “100-blocks” long should there be no intersections to provide natural cut points.

VIOLENT CRIMEHOMICIDE, ROBBERY, AGGRAVATED ASSAULT

Segments with

6+ fewer Violent Crimes

1. 1900 block of Westmont Ln (-

10)

2. 3100 block of Reading Rd (-9)

3. 2300 block of St James Av (-7)

4. 3600 block of Vine St (-7)

5. 100 block of E 14th St (-6)

6. 3100 block of Harrison Av (-6)

7. 200 block of Hearne Av (-6)

8. 2300 block of Ohio Av (-6)

9. 3600 block of Warsaw Av (-6)

--------------------------

Segments with

6+ more Violent Crimes

1. 900 block of Chateau Av (+7)

2. 3000 block of Bracken Woods

Ln (+6)

3. 3200 block of Moosewood Av

(+6)

4. 3000 block of Warsaw Av (+6)

5. 1800 block of Westwood

Northern Bv (+6)

5

VIOLENT CRIMERAPE

+6.9%since

2011

+0.4%compared to

4-year

average

+3.8%compared to

2014

6

VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY

−28.3%since

2011

−21.6%compared to

4-year

average

−6.7%compared to

2014

7

VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY

--Other Notes--

All districts and

Central Business

Section were

> 1standard deviation*

below the 4-year

average

DST 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15

District 1 305 246 229 183 183 ↓0

District 2 162 136 160 125 127 ↑2

District 3 378 481 442 394 352 ↓42

District 4 474 433 406 341 331 ↓10

District 5 341 331 284 252 215 ↓37

CBS 89 86 74 55 50 ↓5

Citywide 1756 1717 1597 1350 1259 ↓91

Statistically Significant Increase

Statistically Significant Decrease

8

*Standard Deviation is a statistical measure to help determine if a

variation from the average is statistically significant

VIOLENT CRIMEROBBERY

Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15

1 WESTWOOD 111 141 141 122 109 ↓13

2 OVER-THE-RHINE 177 151 143 121 105 ↓16

3 EAST PRICE HILL 95 123 105 88 89 ↑1

3 AVONDALE 97 108 116 87 89 ↑2

5 WALNUT HILLS 106 107 84 94 84 ↓10

6 WEST PRICE HILL 75 100 87 81 71 ↓10

7 NORTHSIDE 78 56 39 45 51 ↑6

8 C. B. D. / RIVERFRONT 89 86 74 55 50 ↓5

9 WEST END 91 71 58 49 48 ↓1

10 COLLEGE HILL 49 48 37 47 46 ↓1

11 SOUTH FAIRMOUNT 25 33 37 32 31 ↓1

12 MOUNT AUBURN 31 36 26 29 30 ↑1

13 ROSELAWN 69 57 60 39 29 ↓10

14 MADISONVILLE 35 30 27 21 28 ↑7

15 MOUNT AIRY 34 44 47 37 25 ↓12

16 FAIRVIEW 59 65 48 38 24 ↓14

17 EVANSTON 53 25 50 38 21 ↓17

18CLIFTON/UNIVERSITY HEIGHTS

23 25 31 23 19 ↓4

18 BONDHILL 44 42 37 19 19 ↓0

18 NORTH AVONDALE 35 29 16 19 19 ↓0

--Other Notes--

UC area (CUF,

Corryville, Clifton)

−46.7%compared to

4-year average

12of the top 20

neighborhoods

had lowest robbery totals

over the past 5 years

in 2015

Statistically

Significant

Increase

Statistically

Significant

9

VIOLENT CRIMEAGGRAVATED ASSAULT

−15.0%since

2011

−1.7%compared to

4-year

average

+8.7%compared to

2014

10

Property Crime

Summary

PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E, THEFT FROM AUTO, PERSONAL/OTHER THEFT, AUTO THEFT

−20.0%since

2011

−9.6%compared to

4-year

average

−0.5%compared to

2014

12

PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E

−33.7%since

2011

−21.2%compared to

4-year

average

−8.2%compared to

2014

13

DST 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15

District 1 364 276 307 303 257 ↓46

District 2 1076 1057 904 778 793 ↑15

District 3 2242 1776 1890 1755 1538 ↓217

District 4 1262 1117 1093 934 916 ↓18

District 5 1673 1261 1219 1022 893 ↓129

CBS 74 40 58 46 44 ↓2

Citywide 6698 5529 5471 4840 4441 ↓399

PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E

--Other Notes--

All districts were

> 1standard deviation

below the 4-year

average

Statistically Significant Increase

Statistically Significant Decrease

14

PROPERTY CRIMEBURGLARY/B&E

--Other Notes--

Not shown…

Clifton is down

42and the West End

is down

41burglaries in 2015

compared to 2014

12of the top 20

neighborhoods

had lowest burglary totals over

the past 5 years

in 2015

Statistically

Significant

Increase

Statistically

Significant

Decrease

Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15

1 WESTWOOD 619 519 586 559 413 ↓146

2 WEST PRICE HILL 460 405 373 359 359 ↓0

3 EAST PRICE HILL 433 359 369 300 289 ↓11

4 Winton Hills 228 143 102 114 188 ↑74

5 AVONDALE 233 266 218 200 187 ↓13

6 MADISONVILLE 210 203 191 119 146 ↑27

7 NORTHSIDE 285 218 269 142 143 ↑1

8 COLLEGE HILL 251 178 197 198 138 ↓60

9 WALNUT HILLS 166 153 162 137 130 ↓7

9 OVER-THE-RHINE 173 138 150 122 130 ↑8

11 MOUNT AIRY 201 219 175 155 125 ↓30

12 BONDHILL 154 96 123 118 114 ↓4

13 EVANSTON 151 182 131 114 110 ↓4

13 CARTHAGE 108 104 85 92 110 ↑18

15 SOUTH FAIRMOUNT 143 131 191 166 105 ↓61

16 FAIRVIEW 225 141 150 123 100 ↓23

17 MT. WASHINGTON 123 106 96 75 99 ↑24

18 NORTH AVONDALE 123 126 108 98 95 ↓3

19 ROSELAWN 181 120 121 75 89 ↑14

20CLIFTON/UNIVERSITY HEIGHTS

149 90 118 92 81 ↓1115

PROPERTY CRIMETHEFT FROM AUTO

−22.5%since

2011

−7.6%compared to

4-year

average

+5.3%compared to

2014

16

PROPERTY CRIMEPERSONAL/OTHER THEFT

−8.4%since

2011

−3.2%compared to

4-year

average

+0.9%compared to

2014

17

PROPERTY CRIMEAUTO THEFT

−14.0%since

2011

−3.0%compared to

4-year

average

+6.9%compared to

2014

18

Homicides & Shootings

Cincinnati Total Homicides & Nonfatal Shooting Victims

January 1 – December 31

72 67 53 74 63 71

370 369328

362320

421

442 436

381

436

383

492

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

# o

f V

icti

ms

Year

NonfatalShootings

Homicides

Re

po

rt P

rod

uce

d:

13

Ja

nu

ary

20

16

20

HOMICIDESGUN & NON-GUN

Gun Homicides

+3.4%compared to

2014 and

+1.8%to 7-year average

Non-Gun Homicides

+85.7%compared to

2014 and

+44.4%to 7-year average

All homicides

+12.7%compared to 2014 and

+7.6%to 7-year average

Fatal & Nonfatal Shootings (Victims)January 1 – December 31

•

•

•

•

27.7% increase from 2014

22.2% increase from 3-year average

17.8% increase from 5-year average

16.8% increase from 2008-14 average

22

Cincinnati Group Member Involved HomicidesJanuary 1 – December 31

54.7%

60.8%

58.7%

49.3%

29

45

37

35

24

29

26

36

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

2012

2013

2014

2015

GMI

Non-GMI

*GMI data are only available 2012-present

Re

po

rt P

rod

uce

d:

13

Ja

nu

ary

20

16

23

Cincinnati Group Member Involved Nonfatal ShootingsJanuary 1 – December 31*GMI data are only available 2012-present

Re

po

rt P

rod

uce

d:

13

Ja

nu

ary

20

16 57.9%

61.3%

52.8%

53.9%

190

222

169

227

138

140

151

194

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

2012

2013

2014

2015

GMI

Non-GMI

24

5+ year low

with

64victims over the

90 day window

ending

17 March 2015

5+ year high

with

159victims over the

90 day window

ending

17 July 2015

SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL

25

SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL

Two above a 5+

year low with

15victims over the

28 day window

ending

15 March 2015

5+ year high

with

60victims over the

28 day window

ending

20 May 2015

26

Homicides & Nonfatal Shooting Victims by DistrictJanuary 1 – December 31

Rep

ort

Pro

du

ce

d:

13

Ja

nu

ary

20

16

92 10269

9456

73

34 29

31

34

19

42

110 105

115

116

112

140

128 138

115

118

133

156

76 61

49

68

54

792 1

2

6

9

2

442 436

381

436

383

492

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CBS

D5

D4

D3

D2

D1

27

Rank Neighborhood 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Δ 14-15

1 AVONDALE 32 34 45 50 52 ↑2

2 WESTWOOD 22 27 18 15 46 ↑31

3 WALNUT HILLS 20 29 21 28 38 ↑10

4 OVER-THE-RHINE 69 41 55 28 36 ↑8

5 WEST END 26 24 30 25 34 ↑9

6 MOUNT AIRY 13 11 12 12 23 ↑11

7 WINTON HILLS 18 12 27 15 20 ↑5

8 EAST PRICE HILL 13 26 24 25 18 ↓7

9 ROSELAWN 23 17 15 13 17 ↑4

9 EAST WESTWOOD 9 3 9 10 17 ↑7

SHOOTING VICTIMSFATAL & NONFATAL

Statistically Significant Increase

Statistically Significant Decrease28

Staffing

Staffing Levels

30

1023984 957

1012 1009

115129

117

125 133

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16

CPD Staffing Level SnapshotJanuary 2012 - January 2016

Sworn Civilian

CY2016 Recruit Classes• 106th Recruit Class started 01.04.16 and will

graduate 07.01.16 (26 weeks).

• 53 Recruits: two resigned, one before and one

after the class started (expect about 10% loss).

• 31 m/w; 9 f/w, 6 m/b, 5 f/b, and 2 m/o. (58%

m/w; 41.5% other).

• 107th Recruit class of 30 is scheduled as part

of FY17 budget

31

Strategic Focus

DISENTANGLE OFFENDER &

PLACE CRIMINAL NETWORKS

CIRVs approach

Next approach will integrate offender-with place-based

initiatives