20,85022,377
25,042 26,884 28,562 29,205
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Popu
latio
n
1970 1980 1990 2000 2005* 2010** 2005 and 2010 figures are projections from the NH Office of State Planning
City of Dover - Population Growth 1970-2000 and Projections 2005-2010
Percent Change by Decade: 1970 to 1980: 7.3%; 1980 to 1990: 11.9%; 1990 to 2000: 7.4%; 2000 to 2010: 8.6%
Source: US Census Bureau
City of Dover Total New Housing Units by Building Permit 1983 to 2000
234207
462
288318
66 50 57 5197 93
59 61
173141 160
231
678
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Year
Hou
sing
Uni
ts
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700Dwelling Units By Type - City of Dover 1985 - 2000
Mobile Homes 0 0 0 12 3 11 4 1 4 2 1 0 1 16 11 18Apartments 218 59 34 98 12 2 0 0 4 6 3 3 78 1 26 31Condominiums 100 110 553 161 0 0 0 0 48 24 0 0 24 48 4 45Single Family 148 150 100 57 61 39 56 50 44 61 55 59 70 76 117 137
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
% Regional Growth 1985-
1995
OwnerOccupiedHousing Units
RenterOccupiedHousing Units
Dover’s Share of Regional Housing Growth - 1985-1995
City of Dover Percent of Occupancy by Tenure
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
1970 1980 1990 1995
Source: 1970, 1980, & 1990 Census
Owner OccupiedRenter Occupied
Comparative Household Income Distribution
0 . 0 %
5 . 0 %
1 0 . 0 %
1 5 . 0 %
2 0 . 0 %
2 5 . 0 %
3 0 . 0 %
3 5 . 0 %
Unde r$ 1 5 , 0 0 0
$ 1 5 , 0 0 0 -$ 3 0 , 0 0 0
$ 3 0 , 0 0 0 -$ 5 0 , 0 0 0
$ 5 0 , 0 0 0 -$ 7 5 , 0 0 0
$ 7 5 , 0 0 0 +
1996 Household Income
DoverRegion
ASSISTED HOUSING UNITS BY COMMUNITY - 2000
944
58114 122
872
422
12
158
335
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Dover
Durham
Exeter
Farming
ton
Portsm
outh
Roche
ster
Rollinsf
ord
Salem
Somers
worth
Source: "2000 Directory of Assisted Housing", NH Housing Finance Authority, July 2000
ASSISTED HOUSING UNITS AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL HOUSING UNITS - 2000
7.76%
2.05% 1.94%
4.88%
8.41%
3.49%
1.10%1.43%
6.71%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Dover
Durham
Exeter
Farming
ton
Portsm
outh
Roche
ster
Rollins
ford
Salem
Somers
worth
Source: "Current Estimates and Trends in New Hampshire's Housing Supply 1980-1990 - Update 1999", NH Office of State Planning
DOVER SCHOOL ENROLLMENT COMPARISON - 1990 & 2000
1055 1037
832
1034 1096
1535
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
# of
Stu
dent
s
Grades 1-4 Grades 5-8 Grades 9-12*
19902000
* In 2000, 520 of the High School students were tuition students; in 1990 there were 285 tuition students.
NUMBER OF STUDENTS GENERATED BY HOUSING TYPECITY OF DOVER – 1999/2000 SCHOOL YEAR
Single Family 2-3 Family Apartments Condominiums
Mobile Homes
Public Housing
Elementary Schools 0.19 0.12 0.06 0.09 0.04 0.25
Middle School 0.10 0.08 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.12
High School 0.13 0.08 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.09
Total 0.41 0.27 0.11 0.17 0.08 0.46
For single family subdivisions built in the last 5 years, the average of public school age children is 0.63 per unit.
For single family subdivisions built in the last 10 years, the average of public school age children is 0.54 per unit.
NUMBER OF BIRTHS OF DOVER RESIDENTS1995 - 2000
252227 211
235 228 231
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
# OF BIRTHS
18.1%
10.8%
7.7%
20.5%
8.0% 7.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
% In
crea
se fr
om 1
996
to 1
999
Dover PointRoad
CentralAvenue (@Cochecho
RiverBridge)
CentralAvenue (@Glenwood
Ave)
KnoxMarsh
Road(s ofLittleworth
Rd)
SilverStreet (w of
Towle)
Sixth St. (wof
GlenwoodAve)
TRAFFIC COUNT LOCATIONS
SELECTED TRAFFIC COUNTS 1996 to 1999 - DOVER
% Increase
HOUSING TRENDS• Dover has and continues to absorb a large
portion of the region’s housing growth.• Much of this housing growth has been in
the rental unit sector.• Value of the residential units have been on
the lower end of the price scale.• Dover provides a large portion of the
regions’ affordable housing.
Challenging Decade AheadResidential Development Pressures are Increasing.
- Region will need almost 20,000 new units over next decade, a 23% increase.- Dover is in a prime location for residential growth.- Pease Tradeport will increase to 10,000 jobs in the next 12 months. Estimated that this will rise to 15,000 jobs within the next 24 -36 months.- Projections indicate that as many as 300 new units per year could locate within the City unless changes are made.
City of Dover - Developable Vacant Land
3.6%7.2%
89.2%
Residential - 4,375 acres Commercial - 178 acresIndustrial - 354 acres
CITY OF DOVERECONOMIC AND LAND USE MASTER PLAN
MAJOR GOAL:For the City to achieve better balanced, fiscally sound,
and higher quality growth.OBJECTIVES:• Control residential growth while attracting a
diversity of housing types, including higher-end single family units.
• Increase non-residential growth to diversify the City’s tax base.
• Encourage Open Space Development & Protection of Wetlands & Tidal River Corridors
Actions Accomplished...Control residential growth, while attracting diversity of housing types,
including higher-end single family units
Eliminated counting wetlands in determining minimum lot size requirements Required tripling lot sizes for new residential parcels created within 250-ft of
tidal water bodies Increased minimum lot size per dwelling unit for three multi-family zones:Suburban Multi-residential RM-20 from 4,000 to 10,000 sq ft/unitLow Density Multi-residential RM-12 from 12,000 to 15,000 sq ft/unitHigh Density Multi-residential RM-8 from 1,000 to 4,000 sq ft/unit Created minimum lot size per dwelling unit for Thoroughfare Business (B-3) &
Office (O) zones (none had existed):Thoroughfare Business B-3 from 0 to 5,000 sq ft/unitOffice O from 0 to 5,000 sq ft/unit Set aside Current Use penalty fees for preservation of open space through
purchase of land, easements, or development rights Amended the Alternative Design Subdivision Regulations to provide incentives
for preserving more useable open space.
Actions Accomplished Since Adoption of Land-use/Economic Development Section of Master Plan
Provide opportunities for Dover to take advantage of future economic development & enhance downtown investment climate
Rezoned 350 acres on Durham & Mast Roads from Residential to Rural Restricted Industrial (I-4) & Hotel/Retail (B-4)
Extended Thoroughfare Business (B-3) District along Central Ave. adding 5 acres
Reduced minimum lot size, frontage, setback requirements in Executive, Technology Park (ETP) Zone
Applied for & received acceptance to New Hampshire Main Street Program
Promoted Downtown & Riverfront redevelopment
NAME LOCATION Total units Units Built* Units leftCode H = Homes A = Apts. C = CondosApartments:Woodland Crossing Fourth Street A 20 0 20Wingate Lane Condos Back River Rd. C 29 28 1Craigin, Patrick Knox Marsh/Hanson Rd. A 12 0 12Dovetail Ln. Corbin Drive C 18 0 18Southwood Village Mast Rd. C 8 3 5Sixth St. Station Sixth Street A 26 0 26Millstone Back River Road A 64 0 64Total: Multi-family 177 31 146Subdivisions:Mathes Hill III Danielle/Spruce Ln H 21 3 18Parson's Lane off Varney H 7 4 3Clay Hill Sullivan Drive ADS H 32 18 14Conifer Commons Glenwood Ave./Sixth St. H 14 7 7Country Homes Estates Varney Road H 19 9 10Captains Landing Dover Neck Rd. H 25 2 23Alden Woods Sixth St. H 69 51 18Garrison Woods Littleworth Rd. H 22 19 3Heron Cove Watson Road H 16 11 5Meadow Wood at Dover Middle Road H 49 6 43Barklan LLC Tolend/Watson Rd. H 9 3 6Ezra Green’s Farm Littleworth H 46 0 46Three Rivers Farm Three Rivers Farm Rd H 6 1 5Northam Builders Columbus H 6 2 4Goldberg/Spaulding Columbus H 6 0 6Total: Single Family 347 136 211TOTAL APPROVED UNITS 524 167 357* NOTE: Built or permit issued and unit under construction.
Approved Units
OPTIONS FOR PLANNING BOARD CONSIDERATION
• Amend residential zoning to increase minimum lot sizes and lot area per dwelling unit requirements
• Adopt growth management ordinance to limit the number of residential building permits per year
• Adopt impact fee ordinance• Other options?
6.2%6.4%
5.7%
2.3%2.5%
4.0% 4.1%4.6%
6.1%
4.3%4.8%
6.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
% I
ncre
ase
2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015 2015-2020
Source: NH Office of State Planning
Population Projections 2000 - 2020
City ofDoverStraffordCo.N.H.
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
PERCENT CHANGE
1990 1999 2010
YEAR
POPULATION CHANGE BY DECADE
DOVER STRAFFORD COUNTY STATE OF NH
36.6
31.433.2
15.218.2
10.37.8
35.940.9
18.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
19931994199519961997199819992000*2
001
Fiscal Year
$ In
Mil
lion
s
EstimatedActual
Construction Value By Fiscal Year* - Denotes Estimated Amount ($36.6 Mil Through 2/28/01)
1034 1122
1427 1431 1437 1425 1363
17261548
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
19931994199519961997199819992000*2
001
Fiscal Year
Pe
rmit
Nu
mb
ers
Permits Issued By Fiscal Year* - Denotes Estimated Number (1,032 Permits Through 2/28/00)
52 60 51
100 9359 62
173
141158
231
0
50
100
150
200
250
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
Total Dwelling Units Per Year City of Dover 1990 - 2000
Dwelling Units By Type - City of Dover 1990 - 2000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Single Family 39 56 50 44 61 55 59 70 76 117 137Condominiums 0 0 0 48 24 0 0 24 48 4 45Apartments 2 0 0 4 6 3 3 78 1 26 31Mobile Homes 11 4 1 4 2 1 0 1 16 11 18
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Recommending a Policy:Towards a Balanced, Quality Development Future
For Dover To Achieve Balanced, Fiscally Sound, Quality Development Over the Next Decade, Rezoning Recommendations Would:
Achieve a healthy mix of residential & nonresidential development that helps stabilize the tax rate, and does not excessively penalize existing taxpayers.Attract a diversity of housing types, including higher-end single family units.Fit new development into the City’s existing infrastructure of roads, schools and utilities before extending services to new areas.Enhance the downtown investment climate. Secure a fair share of new retail development, both as a convenience to residents, and to diversify the City’s tax base.
Single Family Home: 0.72 students per unit
School Costs $3,579.92Service Costs $ 600.00 Total $4,179.92
Average Tax Revenue per Single Family Home: $3,262.50Fiscal Impact: $ 917.42 shortfall
2-3 Unit Apartment 0.592 students per unit
School Costs $2,943.49Service Costs $ 600.00 Total $3,543.49
Average Tax Revenue per Apartment Unit: $1,566.00Fiscal Impact per Unit: $1,977.49 shortfallFiscal Impact of Duplex: $2,954.98 shortfallFiscal Impact of Triplex: $4,932.47 shortfall
FISCAL IM PACTS O F DEVELO PM ENT TO CITY
RESIDENTIAL:Cost to City to Educate O ne Child $4,972.11Cost to City For Other Services Per Unit $600.00
