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Click to edit Master title style Click to edit Master title style Presented by: Robert Spotts
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title style
Presented by:
Robert Spotts
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title style
MOBILITY TRENDS IN THE DENVER REGION
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleDenver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG)
• Federal required MPO – Metropolitan
Planning Organization (transportation)
• 9 ¼ Counties
• Population 3.3 million
• Employment 1.8 million
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleOn an average weekday in the Denver region…
15 million person-trips(110 mil. PMT)
13 million person-trips
in motor vehicles
9 million vehicle trips(84 mil. VMT)
250,000+ hours of extra
congestion delay
2 million walk/bike trips
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleAverage Daily VMT in the Denver Region (2000 – 2018)
84.3m VMT
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
88
VMT/Capita
Total VMT
VM
T/C
apit
a
To
tal D
aily
VM
T in
Mill
ion
s
1.2%2.0%
2.5%4.0%
3.5%2.5%
1.1%
25.7
Stable Growth VMT: +2.8% per year
Population: +1.3% per year
No Growth VMT: 0% per year
Population: +1.7% per year
2040 Metro Vision Target23 VMT/Capita
Population: +1.7% per year
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleGrowth in the Denver Region
• booming economy
• population and job growth
• housing prices/longer commutes
• construction activity
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
National
DRCOG Region
Growth since 2000
VMT Growth Population Growth
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleDRCOG Region: Means of Transportation to Work
(2005-2017)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Drove alone Carpooled
Public transportation Bicycle (summer higher)
Walked Other means (e.g. motorcycle, taxi)
Worked at home
2017
Drove alone 74.4%
Carpooled 8.1%
Public transportation 4.2%
Bicycle (summer higher) 1.2%
Walked 2.2%
Other means (e.g. motorcycle,
taxi) 1.1%
Worked at home 8.8%
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleFive-Year Travel Trends
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleFive-Year Travel Trends
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleFive-Year Motor Vehicle Emission Trends
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleFive-Year Crash and Congestion Trends
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleFive-Year Freight Trends
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FUTURE OF MOBILITY IN THE DENVER REGION
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleA Growing Region
3,139,193
3,415,792
3,906,507
4,316,766
1,711,6171,824,564
2,079,395
2,384,785
2015 2020 2030 2040
Population
Employment
38%
increase
from 2015
39%
increase
from 2015
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleTrends and Forecasts in Roadway Travel
vehicle miles traveled
person hours of delay
lane miles of roads congested for 3+ hours
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleMetro VisionOverarching Themes
An Efficient and Predictable Development Pattern
A Connected Multimodal Region
A Safe and Resilient Natural and Built Environment
Healthy, Inclusive and Livable Communities
A Vibrant Regional Economy
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleMitigating impacts of congestion
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleOzone Precursor Emissions- Vehicle Technology
43
29
22
47
2020 2030 2040
VOC Emission Results
VOC VOC Budget
48
25
17
61
2020 2030 2040
NOx Emission Results
NOx Nox Budget
~1 million more people
~26 million more VMT
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleGreenhouse Gas Emissions from On-road Vehicles in DRCOG
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2015 2020 2030 2040
Total Tons Per Day of GHG Emissions
37% decrease from 2010
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2010* 2015 2020 2030 2040
Tons per Day of GHG Emissions per Capita
~1 million more people
~26 million more VMT
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleElectric Vehicles
DRCOG partners and funds programs
with the Regional Air Quality Council
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleUnpredictable impacts of new mobility services and technology
• Personal habits and preferences
• Mobility services, transit evolution, TNCs, micromobility
• Alternative fueled vehicles
• Connected vehicles
• Automated vehicles
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleMobility Choice Blueprint
Regional Collaboration
System Optimization
Shared MobilityMobility Electrification
Driverless Vehicle Preparation
New Transportation Funding
Data Security & Sharing
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleOther plans and projects
Micromobility Work Group
Click to edit Master title styleClick to edit Master title styleWhat could the future look like? Development of 2050 MVRTP
Transportation
Scenarios
Land Use
Scenarios
Baseline
TransitRegional Highway &
Operations
Freeway/
Interstate Congestion
Technology/Connected
VehiclesTravel
Choices
Baseline
Infill Centers
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QUESTIONS?
