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Climate Change & the B iltBuilt Environment · PDF fileWe are at ppm +10.5°F 6°C Iit...

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Climate Change & the B ilt Built Environment Environment
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Climate Change& the B iltBuilt EnvironmentEnvironment

W t 385

Earth’s Surface Temperature

We are at 385 ppm +10.5°F 6°C

I i t

We will reach 450 ppm in 2035

Increasing at +2.5 ppmannually

+2.7°F 1.8°C

y

At 450 ppm CO2 “we will trigger potentially irreversible glacialirreversible glacial melt & sea level rise out of humanity’s

t l”

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

control”

As CO2 increasesAs CO2 increases…

CO C t tiCO E i i

12001300120

Carbon Dioxide Carbon Dioxide

(Billion tons per year) (ppm in atmosphere)CO2 ConcentrationCO2 Emissions

800900

10001100

80

100 ConcentrationsEmissions

400500600700

40

60

3002000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

202000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

Temperature & sea-level riseTemperature & sea level rise…Greenland 5m

56

Temperature Change CO

Sea Level Rise meters (m)

1

345

0.6

0.8

012

0

0.2

0.4

02000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

02000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

… threatening the ocean conveyor belt

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

… threatening the ocean conveyor belt

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

U.S. Energy Consumption

120

140

u) 70480

100

120

tu (Q

Btu

+34% 704

CFPPs now

60

80

rillio

n B

t

34 QBtu

20

40

Qua

dr +237CFPPs

01950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Sources: Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy Information Agency & CalStar analysis

750,000 Toyota Prius drivers save 2 35M MT ofdrivers save 2.35M MT of CO2 per year

1 CFPP in 1 year

Sources: U.S. EPA, Toyota, CalStar analysis

Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative NY, ME, VT, NH, , , , ,MA, CT, RI, PA , NJ, DE, MDreducing CO2 emissions to 1990 levels by 20141990 levels by 2014... .

13 CFPPs in 1 year

Source: Architecture 2030

Wal-Mart investing $500M in 7 years to reduce energy &7 years to reduce energy & CO2 by 20%

1 CFPP in 1 month

Source: Architecture 2030

Home Depot planting 300 000 trees to absorb300,000 trees to absorb CO2…

1 CFPP in 10 days

Source: Architecture 2030

World Energy Demand

600

700

u) 3682400

500

600

tu (Q

Btu

+62% 3682

CFPPs now

300

400

rillio

n B

t

276 QBtu

100

200

Qua

dr +2320CFPPs

01980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Sources: Architecture 2030, U.S. Energy Information Agency & CalStar analysis

toast manna

“Climate Change isClimate Change is the single largest opportunity for thisopportunity for this country since the mobilization formobilization for World War II.”

USGBC GreenBuild Nov. 20072007

Agreed: We Must MitigateAgreed: We Must Mitigate

7280

CO2 emission (Billion tons CO2)

Global temperature change (°C)

67

4048566472

3456

08

162432

0123

02000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300

02000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

$1+ Trillion/Year Needed

1800

$1+ Trillion/Year Needed

+2°C

140016001800

llars

80010001200

s of

Do

+3°C$1T

200400600

Bill

ion

+6°C+4°C

0200

750 ppm 650 ppm 550 ppm 450 ppm

Source: UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

CO2

Green is the New Red, White & BlueAlcan Alcoa

American International GroupAmerican International Group Boston Scientific Corporation

BP America Caterpillar

Chrysler ConocoPhillipsConocoPhillips

Deere & Company Dow Chemical

Duke EnergyDuke Energy DuPont

Environmental Defense Exelon Corporation

Ford Motor Company FPL Group,Source: USCAP © Tom Friedman

The Built Environment

The Built Environment

51% 55%Total U.S. Total U.S.

COenergy CO2

U.S. Energy Demand

51%51%

27%

B ilt E i t I d tT t22%

Source: EIA, CalStar analysis

Built Environment IndustryTransport

U.S. Energy

Built Environment 51%

Residential22%

Commercial 17%

Operations 39%

22% 17%

Buildings InfraInfra

Source: EIA, CalStar analysis

Materials 12%g

9% 3%3%

Half of USA Electricity from Coal

Building Operations 76% ofBuilding Operations 76% ofBuilding Operations 76% of Building Operations 76% of USA electricityUSA electricity

Industrial Industrial 23%23%23%23%

Source: Freedonia Group, “World Cement to 2010” (2006) Transportation 1%

The Problem

Food &Food & Water 19%

Light 18%

Heat & CoolCool 38%

Appliances 13%

Other 12% 13%12%

% Reduction in energygy

8090

100

506070

203040

010

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Source: Ed Mazria, 2030 Challenge

Carbon-neutral by 2030

Turnover 75% by 2035

Build new

150B f2035

400Bn sf

R d lDemolish50Bn sf

150Bn sf

2005 300Bn sf

400Bn sf

Remodel150Bn sf

50Bn sf

75%

U.S. Building Inventory

Eliminate 27B tons of CO2

Water heating

Lighting systemsLighting systems

Insulation

Sources: Vattenfall, McKinsey & Co.

4B tons of CO2, negative cost

€/t CO2

Cum Gt CO2 eliminated

W t

€/t CO2

Windows A/CLighting

Water heater

Building envelope

AppliancesA/CWashers/

dryers

…green building materials & technologiesNew-build insulation

Sources: Vattenfall, McKinsey & Co.

CHINA

350 illi350 million urbanizingb 2030by 2030

126 B tons coal reserves2 B tons consumed per year2 B tons consumed per year

2 new CFPPs per year

Harmonious Society20302030

20th Energycenturypath

gyefficientpathpath path

USA

CHINA

INDIA

DUBAI

72 billion72 billionpeoplepeople

Green CubeGreen Cube

Family of Companies

VisionGroup of affiliated companies that canGroup of affiliated companies that can dramatically effect climate change on a global scale by focusing on the built environment.

MissionEliminate 1 billion tons of CO2.

Cubist Network

Key AdvisorsInvestorsEntrepreneursScientistsTechnologistsDevelopersAttAttorneysOfficialsResearch institutesResearch institutesUniversitiesRegulatorsegu ato s

Reinventing Drywall

U.S. market $12B200 trillion BTUs natural gas/year200 trillion BTUs natural gas/year#3 GHG emitter, 12M tons CO2Industry stuckySame since 1917

Same/better cost

Same/better performance

Superior sustainabilitySuperior sustainability

Scalable globally

CementCement

Portland cement, 8% of COPortland cement, 8% of CO222 5 billion tons/year2 5 billion tons/year2.5 billion tons/year2.5 billion tons/year$150B world market$150B world marketIndustry stuckIndustry stuckS i 1824S i 1824Same since 1824Same since 1824

“Cement Industry Is at Center of Climate Change Debate”

Source: NYT, October 26, 2007

CHINA

49% of worldworldcement

HELIOTRICITYHELIOTRICITYHELIOTRICITYHELIOTRICITY

’06 ’07 ’08 ‘09’06 ’07 ’08 ‘09 ‘11‘11 ‘12‘12 ‘13‘13 ‘14‘14’06 ’07 ’08 ‘09’06 ’07 ’08 ‘09 ‘11‘11 ‘12‘12 ‘13‘13 ‘14‘14

Net Zero Energy, $100/sf

Lowenergydemand

Distributedpowersupplysupply

Cleant i lmaterials

S l th lShading Photovoltaics

Solar thermal

Air recirculationHigh-performance Air recirculationg pwindows

Thermal recyclingPassive

cool & heatUltra insulation

Heat pumpThermal mass Heat storage

MATERIALSCement & Concrete CalStar CementCement & Concrete CalStar CementDrywall Serious MaterialsGlass TBDSteel TBDSteel TBD

OPERATIONSAir – Cooling, Heating & Quality TBDAppliances – Efficiency TBDEnergy - Distributed Utility SuntegrityInsulation – Walls & Roof TBDLighting - Lights & Daylighting TBDPhotovoltaics HeliotricityQuiet Serious MaterialsSolar Thermal - Air & Water TBDWater - Reprocess & Catchment TBDWindows - Thermal & Quiet Serious MaterialsZero Energy Operations ZETA Communities

Everythingin the built environment

can be reinvented

M k DiffMake a Difference

Thank YouMarc Porat


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