THECB 7/2006

Closing the Gaps by 2015Closing the Gaps by 2015

Progress ReportProgress Report

David W. GardnerDavid W. Gardner

July 31, 2006July 31, 2006

THECB 7/2006

Close the Gaps in Close the Gaps in ParticipationParticipation

By 2015, close the gaps in By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across Texas to enrollment rates across Texas to add 630,000 more students.add 630,000 more students.

THECB 7/2006

Five years of enrollment increases, but Five years of enrollment increases, but from 2004 to 2005, pace slackenedfrom 2004 to 2005, pace slackened

0

200

400

600

800

2000 2005 2010 2015

Th

ou

san

ds Target Actual

200,970

THECB 7/2006

Growth Continues Growth Continues at Two-Year Collegesat Two-Year Colleges

1%

35%

5%

59%

Health-Related

University

Independent

Two-YearCollege

2000 – 2005

21%

18%61%

University

Two-YearCollege

Independent

1995 - 2000

THECB 7/2006

2010 Hispanic Target is a big challenge2010 Hispanic Target is a big challenge

154,541

18,56696,068

130,371

54,75231,271

82,06559,169

31,289

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

240,000 2010 Insts. Targets

2010 CTG Target

2005 Progress

* Asians are not targeted in the plan.

White Hispanic African-Am

THECB 7/2006

3 Regions account for 75% of Hispanic 3 Regions account for 75% of Hispanic enrollment increaseenrollment increase

Gulf Coast, 20.3%

Metroplex, 17.5%

Central Tx, 5.7%

So. Texas, 36.5% Others,

7.6%

Upper Rio Grande, 12.2%

THECB 7/2006

108,778108,691105,63699,54194,84992,51088,59286,962

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

The percent of students entering from public high schools increased slightly.

(44.1%)(43.6%) (43.4%)(44.1%)(44.2%)

Percent of GraduatingClass

(44.4%) (45.4%)

Into public higher education only.

(44.5%)

THECB 7/2006

108,778108,691105,636

99,54194,84992,510

88,59286,962

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Recommended & Above Regular

Large increases in the percent of entering students with the Recommended

or above curriculum

55% 53%65%

73%78%

53%

84%

86%

THECB 7/2006

Economically disadvantaged students Economically disadvantaged students less likely to enroll in higher educationless likely to enroll in higher education

60%49% 46%

64% 63%

38%40%35%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

White African-Am. Hispanic Asian

Non Economically DisadvantagedEconomically Disadvantaged

THECB 7/2006

ParticipationParticipation

Fall 2004 to fall 2005 enrollment growth Fall 2004 to fall 2005 enrollment growth was lowest increase since 1995was lowest increase since 1995

Hispanic enrollment growth was Hispanic enrollment growth was substantial but continues to trail targetssubstantial but continues to trail targets

Percentage of students coming from high Percentage of students coming from high school increased slightlyschool increased slightly

THECB 7/2006

Close the Gaps in Close the Gaps in SuccessSuccess

By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates and other identifiable degrees, certificates and other identifiable student successes from high quality student successes from high quality programs.programs.

THECB 7/2006

28,963 more Bachelor’s, Associate’s 28,963 more Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Certificates awarded than in 2000and Certificates awarded than in 2000

010203040506070

2000 2005 2010 2015

Th

ou

san

ds

Target Actual

28,963

THECB 7/2006

Public institutions’ 2010 baccalaureate Public institutions’ 2010 baccalaureate awards targets slightly below 2010 CTGawards targets slightly below 2010 CTG

10,726

20,957

15,090

10,40110,700

6,854

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

24,000

2010 Insts' Targets

To Reach 2010 CTG Target

2005 Progress

Bachelor’s Associate’s

THECB 7/2006

Doctoral awards surged past 2005 CTG Doctoral awards surged past 2005 CTG target; projections exceed 2010 targettarget; projections exceed 2010 target

1,488

261

282

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500 2010 Insts' Targets

To Reach 2010 CTG Target

2005 Progress

THECB 7/2006

Hispanic undergraduate awards’ Hispanic undergraduate awards’ target is ambitious target is ambitious

3,302

19,929

9,9779,9764,312

14,841

8,260

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000 2010 Insts' Target

To Reach 2010 CTG Target

2005 Progress

* Not targeted in the Plan.

White* Hispanic African-Am.

THECB 7/2006

How can we increase graduates in How can we increase graduates in critical fields?critical fields?

16,0549,898

17,205

1,688

4,246

5,843

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

24,0002010 Insts' Target

To Reach 2010 CTG Target

2005 Progress

Technology Nursing/Allied Health

THECB 7/2006

UG awards in Allied Health and Nursing UG awards in Allied Health and Nursing may reflect legislative initiatives may reflect legislative initiatives

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

THECB 7/2006

Close the Gaps in Close the Gaps in ExcellenceExcellence

By 2015, substantially increase the By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.universities in Texas.

THECB 7/2006

UC-Berkeley has more National Academy UC-Berkeley has more National Academy members than all Texas institutionsmembers than all Texas institutions

  Science Engineering Medicine Total

UT at Austin 12 44 1 57

Texas A&M U 6 19 0 25

Rice U 2 11 1 14

UT Med Cntr-Dallas 17 0 16 33

U of Houston 3 7 0 10

Baylor CO Medicine 3 0 13 16

Southern Methodist U 2 0 0 2

UTHSC Houston 3 0 5 8

UT Med Br-Galveston 0 0 5 5

UT at Dallas 2 3 0 5TTU, UTA, UTSA, MSA, TTUHSC, UTHSCSA (1 each) 0 3 3 6

State of Texas Total 50 88 44 182

UC-Berkeley 126 71 8 205

THECB 7/2006

Undergraduate ExcellenceUndergraduate Excellence

Access to excellent undergraduate Access to excellent undergraduate education is criticaleducation is critical

81% of all public university students are 81% of all public university students are undergraduatesundergraduates

91% of all public college and university 91% of all public college and university students are undergraduatesstudents are undergraduates

THECB 7/2006

Close the Gaps in Close the Gaps in ResearchResearch

By 2015, increase the level of federal By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.obligations to higher education.

THECB 7/2006

Texas has improved its shareTexas has improved its shareof of Federal R&D relative to other top statesFederal R&D relative to other top states

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Mill

ions

2003 1998

(Constant 1998 Dollars)

14.0%

14.9%8.1%

8.3%6.2%

6.4%6.1%

5.3%5.7%

6.0%5.4%

6.2%

THECB 7/2006

Texas’ share of federal obligations Texas’ share of federal obligations for research on course to reach for research on course to reach

2015 target2015 target

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

THECB 7/2006

Research Expenditures growth rate appears to be recovering

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0

FY 2001

FY 2002

FY 2003

FY 2004

FY 2005

Public Universities Public Health-Related Institutions

3.7%

6.0%

10.4%

1-Year Increase

9.0%

15.9%

(in billions)

THECB 7/2006

Public institution research expenditures have Public institution research expenditures have increased by 29% since 2000 in constant dollarsincreased by 29% since 2000 in constant dollars

$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

$2,000

$2,400

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004

Health-Related Universities

(Constant 1998 Dollars)(Millions)

1,0761,213

1,3811,3151,294

1,517

1,9411,853

THECB 7/2006

ResearchResearch

Rapid growth in recent years due to Rapid growth in recent years due to increased NIH fundingincreased NIH funding

Prospects for continued NIH increases Prospects for continued NIH increases are uncertainare uncertain

Federal proposals for enhanced NSF Federal proposals for enhanced NSF fundingfunding

THECB 7/2006

Next Steps?Next Steps?

Revise strategies for each Revise strategies for each Closing the Closing the GapsGaps area to focus efforts on pertinent area to focus efforts on pertinent activities that lead to genuine progressactivities that lead to genuine progress

Concentrate on Hispanic participation and Concentrate on Hispanic participation and success success

Create Create Closing the GapsClosing the Gaps state-level state-level committee composed of state business, committee composed of state business, education and civic leaderseducation and civic leaders

THECB 7/2006