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8/7/2019 CMA by IIFL 4 Jan 2011
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Singapore - Real Estate
4
Figure 5: CAPL change in net profit
(S$m) FY09A FY10ii FY11ii FY12ii
New net profit (excl exceptionals) 647 801 1,096 971
Growth % 24% 37% ‐11%
Old net profit (excl exceptionals) 647 783 1,053 946
Change % 0.0% 2.3% 4.1% 2.6%
Source: IIFL Research
Figure 6: CMA change in net profit
(S$m) FY09A FY10ii FY11ii FY12ii
New net
profit
(excl
exceptionals)
211 310 261 221
Growth % 47% ‐16% ‐15%
Old net profit (excl exceptionals) 211 310 260 216
Change % 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 2.5%
Source: Company, IIFL Research
Prefer lagging Singapore residential and retail plays: We continueto like Singapore residential plays such as Allgreen, Wing Tai, and SC
Global. We stay neutral on office plays such as CapitaCommercial Trustand K-REIT for the time being, as oversupply issues will overshadowoffice sector demand in 2011. We also like stable retail plays such asCapitaMall Trust for its 5% FY10-12ii growth and 5% FY11ii yield. Weretain REDUCE on CAPL and Keppel Land given its China residential andoffice exposure, respectively.
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