COAL IN INDONESIA’S DEVELOPMENT
Endah Murniningtyas
Deputy for Natural Resources and Environment Ministry for National Development Planning/BAPPENAS
Presented at Indonesia Coal Investment Forum
Jakarta, 1-2 November 2011,
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1. Energy demand is rising
1. Indonesia is entering middle income country.
2. Energy use in Indonesia is still low and population is growing.
3. Indonesia with economic growth 6,5% needs energy to sustain and support the increasing growth.
4. Energy needs increasing also due to Master Plan for Acceleration and Expansion of Economic Growth (MP3EI).
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Vision 2025
2010 GDP ~ US$ 700 billion
Income/cap US$ 3,000 (2010)
At 17th
2025 GDP: 3,8 – 4,5 trillion US$
Income/cap:
13,000 – 16,100 US$
At 12th with estimated income/cap
~US$ 14,900 (high income country)
2045 GDP ~US$ 16.6 trillion
Income/cap estmated~US$ 46,900.
At 8th – 7th in the world*)
Note:
*) Predicted by G-Sachs dan
Standard Chartered Bank for
Indonesia 2050.
“Increase Indonesia’s position as
developed nation and among 12 big
countries in 2025 and being among 8
big countries 2045 through inclusive
and sustaianble economic growth”
100 tahun kemerdekaan
3 Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs
MP3EI
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1.6 ECONOMIC CORRIDORS – GROWTH CENTERS
2.STRENGTHENING DOMESTIC CONNECTIVITY –
WITHIN, AND BETWEEN INDONESIA AND GLOBAL
MARKET
3.HUMAN RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY
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1 EC Sumatera
2 EC Jawa
EC Bali – Nusa Tenggara 3 EC Kalimantan
EC Papua – Maluku 4 EC Sulawesi – North Maluku
Denpasar
Mataram
Jakarta
Medan
Pekanbaru
Jambi
Lampung
Semarang
Banjarmasin
Palangkaraya
Pontianak
Makassar
Manado
Kendari
Gorontalo Manokwari
Jayapura
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3 4
Serang
Mamuju
IMT-GT
BIMP-EAGA
Surabaya
Merauke
Kupang
Samarinda Sofifi
Wamena
Sorong
Ambon
Palu
Banda Aceh
Padang
Bengkulu
Jogjakarta
Palembang
Tj. Pinang
Pkl. Pinang
6 Economic Corridors: Based on commodity/local/regional sectoral priority
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2. The role of Coal is significant
1. Indonesia is one of coal sources.
2. Coal is the second source of energy resources
a. Indonesia in increasing energy diversity – energy mix.
b.1st 10.000 MW is based on coal
3. Coal is an important part of energy mix
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TARGET OF ENERGY MIX 2025 (Presidential Regulation No. 5/ 2006)
Primary Energy Mix
2006
Energy Mix 2025
Gas
28.57%
Coal 15.34%
Oil
51.66%
Geothermal 1.32%
Hydro Power 3.11%
Gas
30%
Coal 33%
Oil
20%
NRE,17%
Biofuel 5%
Geothermal 5%
Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro Power, Solar, Wind Power 5%
Liquefaction Coal 2%
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3. Opportunity 1. Increasing demand and continued economic
growth is opportunity for investment. 2. Development of PPP scheme opportunity for
private participation is facilitated and accelerated local content and partnership.
3. MP3EI opportunity for: a. De-bottlenecking. b. Expanding national and regional market and
economy (demand) 4. Challenge is: emission reduction clean
technology and technology to transform coal into low emission and efficient energy sources; and sustainable productions.
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