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Home > Documents > Cochlear Limited ASX Code: COH Price: $192.05 12 Mth ...€¦ · Net Financing Cashflow -149 -131...

Cochlear Limited ASX Code: COH Price: $192.05 12 Mth ...€¦ · Net Financing Cashflow -149 -131...

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Business Summary Cochlear Limited (COH) is a manufacturer and distributor of cochlear implantable devices for hearing impaired. Cochlear have operations in more than 20 countries distributing its products in America, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East and Africa. It offers three main products namely: Cochlear implants, Baha bone conduction implants and Cochlear Wireless Accessories. Cochlear implants: Cochlear implant is a solution for people with moderate to profound hearing loss. They provide solution through their Nucleus7 system, the system comes with SmartSound IQ which has range of advanced sound processing technology designed to deliver a hearing experience. Cochlears implant systems comprise an implant which is inserted during surgery and an external sound processor. The external sound processor can be upgraded with new technology as it becomes available. Baha bone conduction implants: Baha bone conduction implants is a solution for the people with conductive hearing loss, mixed hearing loss and single-sided deafness. The Baha System uses the bodys natural ability to conduct sound through bone conduction, and has the potential to make an immediate impact on how well you hear and communicate. Cochlear Wireless Accessories: Cochlear Wireless Accessories helps to explore audio unbound by the constraints of wires and bulky components from less advanced systems. They have range of accessories available that let you engage and interact in any number of hearing situations. Cochlear Wireless accessories uses the 2.4GHz technology platform for their operations. Latest Research Past the bottom but some way off normal We reduce our FY21-22e EPS by -24%/-27%. Our target price declines to $184/share (from $203) on lower earnings forecasts for the next three years. Downgrade to Sell (from Neutral) on valuation – We now forecast that Cochlear will have flat sales in FY21 vs FY20, growing in FY22 (we previously expected a recovery in 2H21). For more information see research 19 Aug 2020. GICS - Healthcare Cochlear Limited ASX Code: COH Price: $201.74 12 Mth Target Price: $184.00 Rating: Sell Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 26 September 2020 $13,261m 65.7m $254.40 $154.60 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Sell $184.00 -9.0% 2.2% -6.8% Investment Fundamentals FYE 30 Jun 2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F Profit $m 154.0 179.0 289.0 343.0 Profit (norm)* $m 154.0 179.0 289.0 343.0 EPS* ¢ 258.0 273.0 440.0 523.0 EPS Growth % -46.1 5.8 61.2 18.9 P/E* x 78.4 74.1 45.9 38.7 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 160.0 0.0 310.0 365.0 Yield % 0.8 0.0 1.5 1.8 Franking % 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Citi estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment
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Page 1: Cochlear Limited ASX Code: COH Price: $192.05 12 Mth ...€¦ · Net Financing Cashflow -149 -131 -108 -233 -141 Net Increase Cash 11 4 16 -30 17 Cash at Beginning 56 72 75 90 62

Business SummaryCochlear Limited (COH) is a manufacturer and distributor of cochlearimplantable devices for hearing impaired. Cochlear have operations in morethan 20 countries distributing its products in America, Asia Pacific, Europe,Middle East and Africa. It offers three main products namely: Cochlearimplants, Baha bone conduction implants and Cochlear WirelessAccessories.

Cochlear implants: Cochlear implant is a solution for people with moderateto profound hearing loss. They provide solution through their Nucleus7system, the system comes with SmartSound IQ which has range of advancedsound processing technology designed to deliver a hearing experience.Cochlears implant systems comprise an implant which is inserted duringsurgery and an external sound processor. The external sound processor canbe upgraded with new technology as it becomes available.

Baha bone conduction implants: Baha bone conduction implants is asolution for the people with conductive hearing loss, mixed hearing loss andsingle-sided deafness. The Baha System uses the bodys natural ability toconduct sound through bone conduction, and has the potential to make animmediate impact on how well you hear and communicate.

Cochlear Wireless Accessories: Cochlear Wireless Accessories helps toexplore audio unbound by the constraints of wires and bulky componentsfrom less advanced systems. They have range of accessories available thatlet you engage and interact in any number of hearing situations. CochlearWireless accessories uses the 2.4GHz technology platform for theiroperations.

Latest ResearchPast the bottom but some way off normal

We reduce our FY21-22e EPS by -24%/-27%. Our target price declines to

$184/share (from $203) on lower earnings forecasts for the next threeyears. Downgrade to Sell (from Neutral) on valuation – We now forecastthat Cochlear will have flat sales in FY21 vs FY20, growing in FY22 (wepreviously expected a recovery in 2H21).

For more information see research 19 Aug 2020.

GICS - Healthcare

Cochlear Limited

ASX Code: COH Price: $201.74 12 Mth Target Price: $184.00 Rating: Sell

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

26 September 2020$13,261m65.7m$254.40$154.60

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Sell$184.00-9.0%2.2%-6.8%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 30 Jun 2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F

Profit $m 154.0 179.0 289.0 343.0Profit (norm)* $m 154.0 179.0 289.0 343.0

EPS* ¢ 258.0 273.0 440.0 523.0EPS Growth % -46.1 5.8 61.2 18.9P/E* x 78.4 74.1 45.9 38.7P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 160.0 0.0 310.0 365.0Yield % 0.8 0.0 1.5 1.8Franking % 100.0 0.0 100.0 100.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Citi estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Page 2: Cochlear Limited ASX Code: COH Price: $192.05 12 Mth ...€¦ · Net Financing Cashflow -149 -131 -108 -233 -141 Net Increase Cash 11 4 16 -30 17 Cash at Beginning 56 72 75 90 62

Profit & Loss ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Sales Revenue 1,131 1,254 1,364 1,427 1,321Total Revenue ex. Int. 1,145 1,258 1,374 1,456 1,399EBITDA 296 347 380 398 306Depreciation & Amort. -33 -31 -34 -38 -29Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT 263 316 345 359 277Net Interest -8 -7 -8 -4 -9Profit Before Tax 254 309 337 355 268Income Tax -65 -85 -95 -89 33Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Profit after Tax 189 224 243 266 301Significant Items after Tax -- -- 3 11 -540Reported Profit after Tax 189 224 246 277 -238Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Receipts from Customers 1,106 1,221 1,350 1,448 1,404Funds from Operations 271 342 362 384 -98Net Operating Cashflow 185 260 258 296 -158Capex -38 -62 -50 -115 -130Acquisitions & Investments -14 -65 -6 -23 -379Sale of Invest. & Subsid. -- -- -- -- --Net Investing Cashflow -50 -136 -55 -138 -510Proceeds from Issues 9 9 -0 7 862Dividends Paid -120 -144 -161 -182 -194Net Financing Cashflow -131 -108 -233 -141 1,154Net Increase Cash 4 16 -30 17 487Cash at Beginning 72 75 90 62 79Exchange Rate Adjust. -1 -2 2 -0 -1Cash at End 75 90 62 79 565

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % 26.19 27.66 27.83 27.88 23.18EBIT Margin % 23.23 25.17 25.32 25.18 21.00Net Profit Margin % 16.71 17.83 17.80 18.64 22.81Return on Equity % 42.12 41.13 39.73 36.63 21.49Return on Assets % 20.38 20.14 21.49 19.54 11.98

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % 26.27 23.80 14.11 14.19 9.95Interest Cover x 31.49 46.58 43.71 79.84 31.16

Top 5 Substantial ShareholdersBlackRock Group 6.1%Baillie Gifford & Co 6.0%The Vanguard Group,Inc 5.6%Veritas Asset Management LLP 5.6%

Balance Sheet ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Cash & Equivalent 75 90 62 79 565Receivables 282 292 317 320 236Inventories 154 160 167 195 224Other Current Assets 32 44 39 41 453Current Assets 543 586 584 635 1,478Prop. Plant & Equipment 87 120 128 167 439Intangibles 224 340 345 424 410Other Non-Current Assets 33 45 41 45 458Non-Current Assets 414 550 573 744 1,098Total Assets 957 1,136 1,157 1,379 2,576Interest Bearing Debt 193 219 148 182 704Other Liabilities 316 374 398 472 470Total Liabilities 509 593 546 653 1,174Net Assets 449 544 611 726 1,402Share Capital 159 169 173 182 1,272Reserves -15 -13 -34 -15 13Retained Earnings 304 387 472 559 116Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Total Shareholders Equity 449 544 611 726 1,402

Current Analyst Recommendations *

* Source: Morningstar. This chart shows the spread of recommendations from thosebroker analyst's in Australia with research coverage of this stock.

Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Mr Ray Jarman

Directors

Mr Michael Grenfell Daniell(Non-Executive Director)Mr Roderic (Rick) Holliday-Smith(Non-ExecutiveDirector,Non-Executive Chairman)Ms Catriona Alison Deans(Non-Executive Director)Mr Andrew Leslie Denver(Non-Executive Director)Ms Yasmin Anita Allen(Non-Executive Director)Mr Donal Paul O'Dwyer(Non-Executive Director)Mr Glen Francis Boreham(Non-Executive Director)Professor Bruce Gregory Robinson(Non-Executive Director)Mr Dig Howitt(President,Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director)Mr Shah Abbas Hussain(Non-Executive Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any Morningstar ratings/recommendations contained in this report are based on the full research report available from Morningstar or your adviser. Any general advice or ‘class service’ havebeen prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation orneeds. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant ProductDisclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performancedoes not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence fromASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782.

Cochlear Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

AFS Licence No. 243480 ABN 25 006 390 772

Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au


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