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Code Sharing and Alliances under Fixed Proration Rate: The US Domestic Airlines Tuba Toru Delibasi 1 1 Bahcesehir University Abstract. This paper focuses on the analysis of the code sharing among U.S. domestic airlines. We find out that the partner airlines benefit from the economies of code sharing, which reduce marginal cost and allows airlines to price at higher markups. Moreover, prices increase after code sharing more if code sharing does not induce the entry of new products. We also estimate the parameter of profit-splitting between partner firms in a code sharing agreement and find that operating carrier receives 91% of profit from code sharing product. Keywords: Code Sharing, Alliances, U.S. Domestic Airlines 1. Introduction The cooperation between airlines in the form of code sharing and alliances was first popular in international aviation. The former allows an airline to market and sell seats on flights operated by another airline, and the latter can be considered as a code sharing between two or more airlines with further agreements such as sharing frequent flyer program and airport facilities. Nowadays, these collaborations between airlines are also very common in the U.S. domestic market. Although the impacts of domestic code sharing on prices and welfare have been addressed in the literature, the analysis on the financial arrangements between partner carriers have attracted little attention. Code sharing allows airlines to extend their network beyond their capacity without additional input but a transfer fee is paid by marketing carrier to operating carrier. The financial arrangements between an operating carrier and its partner can take different forms. The general rule used in practice is split profit from code shared product on the base of a predetermined proration rate. Alternatively, some airlines implement dynamic bid price where the partners decide a transfer fee for each time a code shared seat sold and also some partners share profit according to their respective available seat miles (ASM). Traditionally, a product is code shared if at least one of the flight segments is operated by one carrier (operating carrier) and marketed by another carrier (marketing carrier). For instant, a one stop flight from Boston (Logan International Airport-BOS) to Los Angles (Los Angeles International Airport-LAX) can be operated by two airlines. The first leg would be BOS to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport-PHL) operated by US Airways (US) and the second leg form PHL to LAX would be operated by United Airlines (UA). Two partner carriers take part on the operations and the itinerary is marketed by both US and UA. Besides the traditional code share, on the domestic market a significant amount of code shared products are operated by only one carrier. Namely, a one stop flight from BOS to LAX through PHL is operated by US but marketed by UA or by both carriers. Under these types of code sharing carriers practice Special Prorate Agreements (SPAs) to share revenues and mostly a fixed proration rate is negotiated between partner carriers before code sharing decision. Hence, in this paper we focus on these two types of code share. This paper assesses the impact of domestic code sharing on price and quantifies the proration rate between the partner airlines by assuming that code sharing airlines have decided a fixed proration rate to split profits, then each airline maximizes its profit. Corresponding author. Tel.: +902123810496 E-mail address: [email protected] 2014 3rd International Conference on Business, Management and Governance IPEDR vol.82 (2014) © (2014) IACSIT Press, Singapore DOI: 10.7763/IPEDR.2014.V82.2 9
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Page 1: Code Sharing and Alliances under Fixed Proration Rate: The ... · s who decide the fixed proration rate a. t the first stage of the game. Both find . some theoretical support for

Code Sharing and Alliances under Fixed Proration Rate: The US

Domestic Airlines

Tuba Toru Delibasi 1

1 Bahcesehir University

Abstract. This paper focuses on the analysis of the code sharing among U.S. domestic airlines. We find out

that the partner airlines benefit from the economies of code sharing, which reduce marginal cost and allows

airlines to price at higher markups. Moreover, prices increase after code sharing more if code sharing does

not induce the entry of new products. We also estimate the parameter of profit-splitting between partner firms

in a code sharing agreement and find that operating carrier receives 91% of profit from code sharing product.

Keywords: Code Sharing, Alliances, U.S. Domestic Airlines

1. Introduction

The cooperation between airlines in the form of code sharing and alliances was first popular in

international aviation. The former allows an airline to market and sell seats on flights operated by another

airline, and the latter can be considered as a code sharing between two or more airlines with further

agreements such as sharing frequent flyer program and airport facilities. Nowadays, these collaborations

between airlines are also very common in the U.S. domestic market. Although the impacts of domestic code

sharing on prices and welfare have been addressed in the literature, the analysis on the financial

arrangements between partner carriers have attracted little attention.

Code sharing allows airlines to extend their network beyond their capacity without additional input but a

transfer fee is paid by marketing carrier to operating carrier. The financial arrangements between an

operating carrier and its partner can take different forms. The general rule used in practice is split profit from

code shared product on the base of a predetermined proration rate. Alternatively, some airlines implement

dynamic bid price where the partners decide a transfer fee for each time a code shared seat sold and also

some partners share profit according to their respective available seat miles (ASM).

Traditionally, a product is code shared if at least one of the flight segments is operated by one carrier

(operating carrier) and marketed by another carrier (marketing carrier). For instant, a one stop flight from

Boston (Logan International Airport-BOS) to Los Angles (Los Angeles International Airport-LAX) can be

operated by two airlines. The first leg would be BOS to Philadelphia (Philadelphia International Airport-PHL)

operated by US Airways (US) and the second leg form PHL to LAX would be operated by United Airlines

(UA). Two partner carriers take part on the operations and the itinerary is marketed by both US and UA.

Besides the traditional code share, on the domestic market a significant amount of code shared products are

operated by only one carrier. Namely, a one stop flight from BOS to LAX through PHL is operated by US

but marketed by UA or by both carriers. Under these types of code sharing carriers practice Special Prorate

Agreements (SPAs) to share revenues and mostly a fixed proration rate is negotiated between partner carriers

before code sharing decision. Hence, in this paper we focus on these two types of code share. This paper

assesses the impact of domestic code sharing on price and quantifies the proration rate between the partner

airlines by assuming that code sharing airlines have decided a fixed proration rate to split profits, then each

airline maximizes its profit.

Corresponding author. Tel.: +902123810496

E-mail address: [email protected]

2014 3rd International Conference on Business, Management and Governance

IPEDR vol.82 (2014) © (2014) IACSIT Press, Singapore

DOI: 10.7763/IPEDR.2014.V82.2

9

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The major contributions of the paper are twofold. First, we provide a framework which explicitly models

code sharing activities in airline’s optimization problem, and quantifies the fixed proration rate negotiated by

airlines. We assume that partner airlines decide the fixed revenue sharing rate (proration rate) before code

sharing is realized, and then each airline sets its price which maximizes its profit. We estimate the proration

rate at 91% suggesting that operating carrier receives 91% of profit coming from code shared product.

Second, with the estimated parameters, we compared the prices pre- and post-code sharing under two cases:

number of products remains same and code share products are new to the market. We find that prices

increase after code sharing more if code sharing does not induce the entry of new products in the market.

The remainder of the paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, the literature review is given. In

Section 3, we explain the theoretical model in which passenger demand equation and airline pricing equation

including airline costs are introduced. These equations are to be estimated to obtain empirical results. In

Section 4, we describe model specification and estimation procedure. The Section 5 contains the empirical

results and counterfactual analysis. Finally, we conclude and suggest future lines of research in Section 6.

2. Literature Review

Several aspects of code share and alliances have been studied in the literature both theoretically and

empirically. Park [1] and Brueckner [2], both of which analyzes the extent to which fares, traffic levels,

profits and welfare are affected by alliances. The former points out that if the partner airlines’ networks are

complementary then the code-sharing agreement will be welfare enhancing through the elimination of double

marginalization. On the other hand, he states that the parallel networks code-share agreements are means of

collusion, thus generate welfare losses. Brueckner [2] demonstrates that international alliances put downward

pressure on prices of interline city-pair markets but the inter-hub market passengers are worse off due to

decline in competition depending on the number of competitors and potential economies of density and

scope of carriers in the concerned market.

Hassin and Shy [3] study code share agreements between two carriers competing on international routes.

They conclude that no passengers become worse off but some passengers, who are orient are strictly better

off with code sharing. Hence, code sharing is Pareto improving.

The results of above theoretical studies are consistent with the empirical ones of international code

sharing agreements. Brueckner and Whalen [4] present that international alliances have decreased ticket

prices by 25 percent. Park and Zhang [5] show that international alliances lead to a decrease of prices and an

increase of passenger volume.

Regarding domestic code-share practices, Ito and Lee [6] examine the impact of domestic alliances on

airfares and demonstrate that code shared tickets were significantly less expensive. Chen and Gayle [7]

analyzed theoretically under which conditions code sharing results in lower prices.

There are some theoretical papers study revenue management of alliances such as Wright et al. [8] and

Hu et al. [9] with two-stage game theory approach. They use a dynamic approach to model the output

negotiation of allied carriers who decide the fixed proration rate at the first stage of the game. Both find

some theoretical support for the implementation of fixed proration rate. To the best of our knowledge, this

paper is the first one to consider airlines code sharing agreements in their optimization problem and

quantifies the fixed proration rate.

3. Theoretical Model

10

In this section we present the structural model be estimated. First, we derive the transport demand

equation of passengers under a standard discrete choice setting then the pricing equation of airlines. Airlines

offer a set of differentiated products and competes via Bertrand-Nash in each market. Then, each consumer

buys one of the products or takes the outside option of not traveling.

A market is defined as a directional origin and destination airports pair allowing us to consider that the

characteristics of the origin city may have different impacts on the demand. For instance, passenger demand

for air transportation may differ from Los Angles-Boston to Boston-Los Angles. We define the product as a

unique combination of origin/connecting/destination airports and ticketing/operating carriers. A product is a

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code-shared product when there exists at least one segment of the trip in which the operating carrier is

different from the ticketing carrier.

A passenger i , =1,...,i I , decides g , = 0,1g between travelling and “not travelling" or “using other

transport modes", which is its outside option referred by the index 0 , in a given market =1,...,m M . Under

the option of travelling, the passenger has to choose a product j among the set of available products

=1,..., mj J for this origin-destination and mJ is the number of product on the market m . To represent this

choice structure, we adopt a nested logit model.

The mean utility from the outside option is normalized to zero, i.e., 0 = 0mV . Following Berry [10], the

share of passengers using product j in a given market m is given by:

0 |ln( ) ln( ) = ( )jm m jm jm jm gm jms s X p ln s (4)

where |jm gms designates the share of product j within the nest travelling, g , on a market m and 0ms is the

share of outside option.

Each airline f , =1,...,f F , sets its price for product j , jmp , which maximizes its total profit, f ,

over all products across all markets. In this paper, we aim to explain how code sharing affects carriers’

pricing decisions. Hence, we assume that the marketing carrier decides the price of a code shared product

and retains a fixed proportion of the total product and gives the rest to the operating carrier. Finally, the

marketing carrier receives an amount of other carriers’ profits as it is an operating carrier in other code-

shared products.

The profit maximization problem of an airline f is written as:

= (1 )( ) ( ) . . 0max f jm jm jm jm hm hm hm hm f fp m j J m h Hjm fm fm

d p c q d p c q F s t

(7)

where fmJ is the total number of products sold by carrier f in market m and fmH is the set of products in

market m that carrier f operates but not markets. jmc is the marginal cost of product j in market m and

fF is the fixed cost of carrier f . Carrier f only sets the prices of products which it markets, not the ones it

operates for its code share partner. But, it takes into account the profits that it receives from the partner

carrier under the assumption that partner airlines split profit coming from code shared products under a

predetermined fixed proration rate, .

Since we do not observe the marginal cost, we specify that

=jm jm jmc W (8)

where jmW is the vector of cost shifters and jm is an error term.

We assume that prices are set according to Bertrand-Nash equilibrium with multi-product firms taking

into account the cross price effects among their products in the same market. Additionally, markets are

independent, thus there is no cross price effect among markets. Under these assumptions, any equilibrium

price must satisfy the following first-order condition

(1 ) (1 )( ) ( ) = 0km hmjm jm km km km hm hm hm

jm jmk J h Hfm fm

s sd s d p c d p c

p p

(9)

where h , =1,..., fmh H , signifies the products operated by airline f but marketed by an other airline. The

passenger demand (Equation (4)) and airline pricing equation derived Equation (9 characterize the

equilibrium in the market.

4. Theoretical Model

The empirical implementation of the theoretical model introduced in Section 3 requires simultaneous

estimation of demand equation of passengers (equation (4)) and pricing equation of airlines, which is the

solution of equation (9) including the functional specification for marginal cost (equation (8)). There are on

average 63 passengers per product, almost 1096 passengers on each route. The average ticket fare (price) is

$186.2. Market size is measured by the population at origin city divided by 40 since we are using a quarter of

10 percent sample data. 23% of products are code shared products while non-stop flights are only 13% of all

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12

products in our sample. Distance is in terms of miles flown between origin airport and destination airport, on

average 1577 miles. Moreover, 94% of products uses at least one hub airport of ticketing carrier. 38% of

flights end at hub airport while 64% of flights has a connection at the ticketing carrier’s Hub airport.

The demand is affected by the following attributes: ticket fare, distance, distance squared, a code sharing

dummy, nonstop dummy, hub used dummy, hub destination dummy, hub transfer dummy and dummies for

airlines. Code sharing dummy indicates whether the product is code shared or not while nonstop dummy

indicates direct flights. Moreover, we include three hub indicators in the demand equation. First, a hub used

dummy is equal to one if the product passes by at least one hub airport on itinerary. Second, hub destination

dummy is equal to one if the destination airport is a hub for ticketing carrier. Third, hub transfer dummy

indicates whether the connecting airport is a hub for the carrier. We use American Airline as baseline

dummy. For the marginal cost equation, we include the following variables: distance, distance squared, code

sharing dummy, hub used dummy and airline dummies. We expect that code-shared products may

experience some cost savings in order to measure it we use code sharing dummy in the marginal cost

function.

The econometric problem that we face is the endogeneity of market shares and prices. The classical

solution to this problem is to estimate two equations jointly by using instruments which are orthogonal to the

unobservables in both equations. So, we estimate the system of equations simultaneously using Generalized

Method of Moments (GMM).

5. Empirical Results and Counterfactual Analysis

We present the estimated price and marginal cost in Table 1. In order to assess prices without code share,

we focus on two scenarios in our analysis. First we compute model predicted prices by eliminating code

sharing products and keeping the number of products in the market unchanged. Then, we assume that code

shared products do not exist without code share, that is, there are less products in the market.

All Sample Code Shared Non Code Shared

Price 187.2 180.8 194.1

Marginal Cost 108.6 47.8 169.4

Margin (in % ) 42 73 12

Table 1: Estimated Price, Marginal Cost and Margin

In the first case, we assume that the number of products in each market does not change and we find out

that the average price is higher without code sharing agreements. Note that, interline poruducts (a product

with more than one operating carrier and without any form of cooperation between carriers) are more

expensive than online (products with single operating and marketing carrier) and code shared products due to

the double marginalization. (See Brueckner [2], Brueckner and Whalen [4] and Ito and Lee [6].) Double

marginalization is due to the fact that each airline in the interline itinerary maximizes its profit from its own

segment independently from other carriers. Therefore, code-sharing agreements are expected to decrease

airfares because of the existence of one single airline controlling prices over the entire itinerary. This

decrease in prices will benefit passengers and represents how code sharing may benefit consumers. However,

we need to measure the welfare effects of code sharing on overlapping networks. We expect that the prices

will be higher due to collusion between partner carriers.

The second case is generated under the assumption that the code sharing agreements introduce new

products to the market. Due to the creation of new products, code sharing can generate pro-competitive

effects so the prices decrease. There is a large difference, almost 30% between prices with code sharing and

without code sharing. (See Table 2.) We can conclude that code share products have lower quality and this

allows airlines to charge higher for the products without code sharing. That is, code sharing allows airlines to

implement second degree price discrimination between passenger prefers non-code shared product and the

others. Moreover, carriers can practice third degree of price discrimination between interline passengers and

the others. (See, Bilotkach [11].)

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13

Price with Code Sharing without Code Sharing % Change

Same no. of products 187.4 243.3 30

Code Share products do not exist 187.4 209.6 12

Table 2: Estimated Price, Marginal Cost and Margin

6. Conclusion

In this paper, we model the revenue sharing within code sharing airlines under Special Prorate

Agreements. First, we estimate the passenger demand and pricing equation of airlines. We identify the fixed

proration rate between partner airlines in the equilibrium. Then, we analyze how prices varied after code

sharing. According to our results, marginal cost is reduced after code sharing and code sharing carriers

practice price discrimination with code shared products. Moreover, we quantify the profit splitting rule for

the code shared products between partner carriers. Our results can be viewed as providing an empirical

support for the use of fixed proration rate as profit sharing rule between code sharing carriers.

Assuming that airlines using fixed proration rate, we manage to estimate the equilibrium rate under given

market conditions. But, the framework in this paper can be extended to a two-stage game where airline

decides to code share or not in the first stage then set its fare. This dynamic model allows us to predict

market conditions ex-ante and to characterize optimum proration rates. Then, we can realize further welfare

analysis in order to choose the optimum rate. However, this implementation requires private information

about code sharing agreements.

7. References

[1] J.-H. Park , "The Effect of Airline Alliances on Markets and Economic Welfare," Transportation Research E, vol.

33, pp. 181-195, 1997.

[2] J. Brueckner, "The Economics of International Codesharing: An Analysis of Airline Alliances., 19, 1475–1498.,"

International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 19, pp. 1475-1498, 2001.

[3] O. Hassin and O. Shy, "Code-sharing Agreements and Interconnections in Markets for International Flights,"

Review of International Economics, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 337-352, 08 2004.

[4] J. K. Brueckner and T. W. Whalen, "The Price Effects of International Airline Alliances," Journal of Law and

Economics, vol. 43, no. 2, pp. 503-545, 2000.

[5] J.-H. Park and A. Zhang, “An Empirical Analysis of Global Airline Alliances: Cases in North Atlantic Markets,”

Review of Industrial Organization, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 367-384, 2000.

[6] H. Ito and D. Lee, “Domestic Code Sharing, Alliances, and Airfares in the U.S. Airline Industry,” Journal of Law

and Economics, vol. 50, pp. 355-380, 2007.

[7] Y. Chen and P. G. Gayle, “Vertical contracting between airlines: An equilibrium analysis of codeshare alliances,”

International Journal of Industrial Organization, vol. 25, no. 5, pp. 1046-1060, 2007.

[8] C. P. Wright, H. Groenevelt and R. A. Shumsky, “Dynamic Revenue Management in Airline Alliances,”

Transportation Science, vol. 44, no. 1, pp. 15-37, 2010.

[9] X. Hu, R. Caldentey and G. Vulcano, “Revenue Sharing in Airline Alliances,” Management Science, vol. 59, no. 5,

pp. 1177-1195, 2013.

[10] S. T. Berry, "Estimating Discrete-Choice Models of Product Differentiation," RAND Journal of Economics, vol.

25, no. 2, pp. 242-262, 1994.

[11] V. Bilotkach, “Price Competition between International Airline Alliances,” Journal of Transport Economics and

Policy, vol. 39, no. 2, pp. 167-189, 2005.


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