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Cohort Graduation andAnnual Dropout Rates: 2014 Statewide Results and Highlights of Worcester Public Schools
College and Career Readiness Webinar SeriesMarch 3, 2015
Welcome!
Please type your question or comment in the chat window at any point during the presentation
All phones will be muted
PowerPoint slides will be sent to all registered participants, and will be posted to the CCR website 2
Agenda
• Part I: Statewide Cohort Graduation and Annual Dropout Rates: Highlights of results for 2014 Presented by Rob Curtin, Director of Education Data Services, ESE
• Part II: Highlights of a District Making Progress: - Presented by Worcester Public Schools staff
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Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Goals for Today
Gain a common understanding of graduation and dropout rate methodologies
Present most recent and longitudinal graduation and dropout rate data to illustrate successes and areas for improvement
Answer any questions and take suggestions for additional analyses
MassGrad Schools
Selected as a result of having a dropout rate higher than the state average in 2008-09
76 Districts and 133 Schools; including 8 charter schools
30.7% of all enrolled students in grade 9-12
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
6
Calculating Graduation Rates in MA
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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# of students in cohort who graduate within 4 years
[# of 1st time 9th graders 4 yrs earlier] – transfers out + transfers in
What percent graduate by summer ‘14?
Transfer out/deceased
Transfer In
Oct 1, 2010 9th grade first time
4 Year Rate – 2014 Cohort
Calculating Graduation Rates in MA
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
8
# of students in cohort who graduate within 5 years
[# of 1st time 9th graders 5 yrs earlier] – transfers out + transfers in
What percent graduate by summer ‘14?
Transfer out/deceased
Transfer In
Oct 1, 2009 9th grade first time
5 Year Rate – 2013 Cohort
Cohort Identification
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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9th 10th 11th 12th
2002-03 2006
2003-04 2007 2006
2004-05 2008 2007 2006
2005-06 2009 2008 2007 2006
2006-07 2010 2009 2008 2007
2007-08 2011 2010 2009 2008
2008-09 2012 2011 2010 2009
2009-10 2013 2012 2011 2010
2010-11 2014 2013 2012 2011
2011-12 2015 2014 2013 2012
2012-13 2016 2015 2014 2013
2013-14 2017 2016 2015 2014
Graduation RatesMassachusetts and MassGrad
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Cohort
State 4yr
MassGrad 4yr
State 5yr
MassGrad5yr
2008 81.2 66.9 84.2 72.4
2009 81.5 67.3 84.0* 71.1*
2010 82.1* 67.2* 84.7 71.4
2011 83.4 69.0 86.3 73.7
2012 84.7 71.7 87.5 75.8
2013 85.0 73.0 87.7 76.7
2014 86.1 74.5 NA NA
MA Public Schools = 4.6 percentage point increase since 2009Non–MassGrad Grantees = 1.9 percentage point increase since 2009MassGrad Grantees = 7.2 percentage point increase since 2009
*New CD requirements
MassGrad 2014 Cohort 4-Year Profile
N = 23,34074.5% graduated (+1.5 from 2013)
11.4% dropped out (-1.7)
9.2% are still enrolled (-0.2)
2.1% received a GED (-0.4)
2.5% completed but did not graduate (+0.7)
0.2% were permanently excluded (+0.1)
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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MassGrad 2013 Cohort 5-Year Profile
N =24,323
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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76.7% graduated (+0.9 from 2012 cohort 5-year)
13.8% dropped out (-1.7)
3.3% received a GED (-0.8)
3.1% are still enrolled (+0.1)
0.2% transferred in their 5th year
2.9% completed but did not graduate (+0.3)
0.1% were permanently excluded (-0.1)
Calculating Annual Dropout Rates
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Summer Dropouts:Students determined to be a dropout over the summer before the start of the current school year.
School Year Dropouts:• Students determined to be a dropout during the
current school year. · Check against all other districts’ data to see if
dropout is enrolled or graduated from another district (i.e. “found” students)
Returned Dropouts:· Check if any Summer Dropouts or School Year
Dropouts are reported in the following school year’s October 1 SIMS.
· Students reported as enrolled, graduated or received an high school equivalency in any district are removed from the total dropout count.
High School Enrollment:• The High School Enrollment is based
on this October 1 SIMS collection. This is the denominator when calculating dropout rates.
(1) 2012-13 EOY SIMS (2) October 1, 2013 SIMS (3) 2013-14 EOY SIMS -------- (4) October 1, 2014 SIMS
The final dropout rate = [(Summer Dropouts + School Year Dropouts) – Returned Dropouts] / High School Enrollment
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Annual Dropouts 2007-2014All Students
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Annual Dropout Rate 2007-2014All Students
Gap decrease from 3.4 points to 1.9 since implementation
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Annual Dropout Rate 2007-2012Selected Populations - MassGrad
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Major Findings
Dropout rates in the aggregate and in all subgroups are the lowest in 12 years since using SIMS and lowest in decades by any measure
A 48.1% reduction in the number of dropouts in MassGrad schools since 2007 and 9.9% since last year
“Dropout Gap” between state and MassGrad districts has decreased since implementation
MassGrad schools account for 60.7% of all dropouts while having 30.7% of the high school enrollment
Dropout and Graduation Rate Information
MA Student Information Management System:http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/data/sims/
MA Graduation Rates:http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/
MA Dropout Rateshttp://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout/
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Contact Information
Robert CurtinDirector, Education Data [email protected]
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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A Look at Worcester Public Schools
Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Worcester Public School Presenters
• Kristen Leo, Senior Systems Analyst• Bruce O’Connell, Assistant Principal, North
High School• Carmen Melendez, Head Guidance
Counselor, South High School• Jane Dowd, Head Guidance Counselor,
Burncoat High School• Dolores Gribouski, Ed.D, Manager of
Curriculum, Instruction and School Leadership:
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Graduation Improvement Teams• Membership
• Guidance Counselor• School Adjustment Counselor• Administrator• Focused Instructional Coach• Faculty Members
• Activities• Data Analysis and strategic planning for off-track
students.• Transition Planning/ Programming for 8th grades
moving into high school.
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Alternative Pathways• Collaborate with comprehensive high schools for
referral and learning plans• Flexible schedules• Smaller class size• Additional social-emotional support• Collaborate with agencies
Returnee• Conduct outreach and re-engagement efforts focused
on recent dropouts• Computer-based credit recovery• personalized learning support
College & Career Readiness Network Computer-based Credit Recovery Attendance Buy-Back 26
Systematic use of DataFocus on student success
• Segmentation Study• Monthly Baseline Data• EWIS• Course Completion report• MassCore Progression • Data Monitoring Chart
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Burncoat High School
Summer Transition Program
Paving the Path for Our At-risk Students:
Middle School to High School Transition Collaboration
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On the horizon…
• Currently working with middle school to establish graduation improvement teams
• Establish coalitions at each high school• Increase elementary, middle school, high
school vertical communication opportunities
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For more information…
Graduation rate data: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrat
es/ http://profiles.doe.mass.edu/state_report/gradrates.as
px
Dropout rate data: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/dropout
/
Annual dropout vs. cohort graduation rates: http://www.doe.mass.edu/infoservices/reports/gradrates/dropoutvsg
rad.html
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Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education
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Month Webinar Title
3/10/15 Career Development Education: Career Awareness, Exploration and Immersion
4/14/15 Summer Transition Programs5/12/15 Individual Learning Plans
6/09/15 MA Model for Comprehensive School Counseling Programs
Thank you!