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COLLECTION, PROCESSING AND DISTRIBUTION OF SHORT-TERM STATISTICS
EXPERIENCE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS
Head of Main Department of the Industrial Statistics of the National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus
Dovnar O.A.
INITIAL DATA
monthly on 4th working day arrives data:
industrial production (works, services of an industrial nature) in terms of value
Production of industrial production in physical quantity
shipment volume of industrial production (works, services of an industrial nature) in terms of value
stocks of finished products in terms of value
stocks of finished products in physical quantity
SCOPE OF RESPONDENTS
Large and medium industrial organizations (average number of employees from 101) monthly
Small organizations - the average number of employees from 16 to 100 quarterly
Micro-organization (the average number of employees up to 15 inclusively) quarterly
Industrial production of non-commercial organizations quarterly
METHODOLOGYClassifier :
Calculation :
Weights for aggregation:
Changing the base year :
Revision of the representative goods
National classifications of economic activities in the 4-digit harmonized with NACE, ed.1.1 and at the level of 2 digits ISIC, ed. 3
based on a set of representative goods
Gross value added by activity for the base year (t-2)
annually
annually
FORMULA FOR CALCULATION OF THE INDICES OF PRODUCTION by elementary type of economic activity (subclass)
Qt, Qt-1, Qb – amount of produced production for
the reporting month (period) in the previous month (period) and a monthly average of base year
Pb – average unit price in the base year
n – the number of representative goods involved in the calculation of the index in the subclass
it/b - indices in the reporting period t (month or period from the beginning of the reporting year), and a monthly average of produced production of the base year
it-1/b - indexes in the previous period t-1 (the previous month, the corresponding month of last year or relevant period from the beginning of last year), the monthly average of produced production of the base year
it/t-1 - indices in the reporting period t compared to the previous period t-1
100i
nPQ
nPQ
t/bbb
bt
100/1
1
nPQ
nPQ
btbb
bt
i
100/1
/1/
btibti
tti
HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF CALCULATION OF THE INDEX OF PRODUCTION
by subclass of "manufacture of luggage, handbags and similar articles"
Title of representative
goods
Production of goods in physical terms
The average
price in the base year
(Pb)
Cost of produced production in the average annual prices in the
base year
Indices of production to the average
monthly value of the base year
The production index for January
2009 as % of January
2008
(it/t-1)
Январь 2009 г.
(Qt)
Январь 2008 г.
(Qt-1)
в сред-нем за месяц
базисного года
(Qb)
Январь 2009 г.
(Qt Pb)
Январь 2010 г.
(Qt-1 Pb)
В среднем за месяц базисного
года
(Qb Pb)
( it/b) (it-1/b)
A 1 2 3 4 5=1*4 6=2*4 7=3*4 8=5/7% 9=6/7 % 10=8/9%
Suitcases, pieces 11725 10841 10750 115300 11725 * 115300
10841 * 115300
10750 * 115300
109,1 100,8 108,2
Briefcases, pieces 13752 12510 12490 48020 13752 * 48020
12510 * 48020
12490* 48020
110,1 100,2 109,9
Handbags, pieces 78674 68520 72592 69410 78674 * 69410
68520 * 69410
72592 * 69410
108,4 94,4 114,8
TOTAL GROUP 104151 91871 95832 (11725 * 115300) + (13752 * 48020) +
(7867 * 69410)
(10841 * 115300) + (12510 * 48020) + (68520 * 69410)
(10750 * 115300) + (12490* 48020) + (72592 * 69410)
108,7% 96,1% 113,1
FORMULA FOR CALCULATION OF GROSS VALUE ADDED
W= V × Dw:100
W – gross value added
V – volume of industrial production
Dw – share of gross value added in a volume of industrial production
HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF CALCULATION OF GROSS VALUE ADDED
by subclass "Leather, leather products and footwear"
Title of groups of the NCEA related to the production of
leather, leather products and footwear
Volume of production in the actual sales prices, mln. rubles
share of gross value added, %
Gross value added of the base year, mln. rubles
A 1 2 3=1*2/100
Production of leather, products from leather and footwear 551630 Х 214971
Tanning and leather finishing 115020 32,0 36806
Productionof luggage, handbags and other products from leather 53205 25,0 13301
Production of footwear 383405 43,0 164864
FORMULAE OF CALCULATING AGGREGATE PRODUCTION INDICES
by classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA and for the whole industry
It/t-1= It/b : It-1/b х 100
It/b, It-1/b - aggregate indices for time periods t and t-1, respectively, compared with average monthly production of the base year
It/t-1 – aggregate index for the period of time t, as a percentage of the time period t-1
it/b, it-1/b – indices by subclasses (classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA), included into classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry) for the period of time t and t-1, respectively, compared with average monthly production of the base year
W – gross value added of the base year by subclasses (classes, groups, partitions, sections NCEA), included into classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry)
m – amount of subclasses (classes, groups, divisions, sections NCEA), included respectively in classes (groups, sections, sections of the NCEA and the whole industry)
,/1
1I
m
W
mWbti
/bt
m
W
mWbti
t/bI/
FORMULA OF CALCULATING OF THE TOTAL INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION BY FULL
RANGE OF ORGANIZATIONS, engaged in industrial production :
Ifull_range — production index by type of economic activity by the full range of organizations engaged in industrial production
Iprod. — production index of big and middle industrial organizations
Dprod.— share of production volume auxiliary industrial production in total industrial production in the base period
Iauxil.— industrial production index by auxiliary industrial productions
Dauxil. — share of total industrial production auxiliary industrial production in total volume of industrial production in the base period
Isb — production index of subjects of small business
Dsb — share of volume of industrial production small business subjects in total volume of industrial production in the base period
sbsbauxilauxilprodprodrangefull DIDIDII ...._
HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE OF INDEX CALCULATION by subsection "Production of leather, products from leather and
footwear manufacturing"
Name of groups related to the
production of leather, products from leather
and footwear manufacturing
Indices of production to the average monthly value
of the base year
Gross value added of the base year, mln. rubles
(W)
Irrational value The production index to the average
monthly value of the base year
The production index for January 2009
as % of January
2008
(It/t-1)
January2009
(it/b)
January 2010
(it-1/b)
January2009
(it/b*W)
January2010
(it-1/b*W)
January 2009
(It/b)
January 2010
(It-1/b)
A 1 2 3 4 5 6=4/3 7=5/3 8=6/7Production of leather, products from leather and footwear manufacturing
х х 214971 (103,6 * 36806) +
(108,7*13301) +
(95,2 * 164864)
(100,4 * 36806)+
(96,1 * 13301) +
(102,3 * 164864)
97,5 101,6 96,0
Tanning and leather finishing
103,6 100,4 36806 103,6 * 36806 100,4 * 36806
Manufacture of luggage, handbags and other products from leather
108,7 96,1 13301 108,7 * 13301 96,1 * 13301
Footwear manufacturing
95,2 102,3 164864 95,2 * 164864 102,3 * 164864
FORMULA OF CALCULATING THE VOLUME OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
by auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small business by each type of economic activity
Vauxil.+sb— volume of industrial production of auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small businesses in the reporting period
V prod. — volume of industrial production of large and medium industrial organizations in the reporting period
К — ratio between the volume of industrial production of auxiliary industrial production and subjects of small businesses, and the volume of industrial production of large and medium industrial organizations
KVV prodsbauxil ..
FORMULA OF CALCULATING OF THE RATIO on each activity
Ifull_range— production index of by full range of organizations engaged in industrial production in the reporting period
Iprod..— production index of large and medium industrial organizations in the reporting period
Dprod..— share of volume of industrial production of large and medium Industrial organizations in the total volume of industrial production in the base period
..
.._ 100prodprod
prodprodrangefull
DI
DIIK
FREQUENCY OF CALCULATION
The first estimate (preliminary data) – monthly on the 11th day
The second estimate (specified data) -once a year on the 11th day of January of a year following the reporting
The third estimate (final data) – once a year in July of a year following the reporting
PUBLICATIONS
monthly report "Socio-economic situation of the Republic of Belarus“
statistical collections and bulletins issued by Belstat
“Statistics of Belarus” magazine
official website of Belstat: www.belstat.gov.by
site of the International Monetary Fund in accordance with the Special Data Dissemination Standard of the International Monetary Fund
Data provided by government agencies, other entities, academic institutions, international organizations, individuals
Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product by using
X-12-ARIMA
СЕЗОННАЯ КОРРЕКТИРОВКА ВАЛОВОГО ВНУТРЕННЕГО ПРОДУКТА
Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product
Seasonally adjusted gross domestic product excluding agriculture
THANK YOU!