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Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

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Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp -CA0679011084 - ABX US EquityBarrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest producer of the metal, reported a 2.8 percent increase in first-quarter profit after gold prices rose. Net income advanced to $1.03 billion, or $1.03 a share, from $1 billion, or $1, a year earlier, Toronto-based Barrick said today in a statement. Profit excluding one-time items was $1.09 a share, matching the average of 18 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales rose to $3.64 billion from $3.09 billion. The company raised its quarterly dividend to 20 cents a share from 15 cents and reiterated its 2012 production forecast. “Barrick has a reputation as being one of the best operators and being the ‘Steady Eddie’ of the gold-mining sector, and it’s deserved,” George Topping, an analyst at Stifel Nicolaus & Co. in Toronto, said in a telephone interview yesterday. Chief Executive Officer Aaron Regent plans to boost annual production to about 9 million ounces of gold in five years, from as much as 7.8 million ounces forecast this year. Gold, which has risen for 11 straight years, averaged $1,694 an ounce in the quarter in New York, 22 percent more than a year earlier. First-quarter gold production was 1.88 million ounces, down from 1.96 million ounces a year earlier. Topping estimated 1.79 million ounces. Higher Costs So-called total cash costs rose 25 percent to $545 an ounce. Brian Yu, an analyst at Citigroup Inc. in San Francisco, estimated $559 while Stephen Walker, a Toronto-based analyst at RBC Capital Markets, estimated $577. Barrick reiterated that gold production in 2012 will be 7.3 million to 7.8 million ounces with total cash costs of $520 to $560 an ounce. Barrick’s Pueblo Viejo project in the Dominican Republic is expected to start production in the middle of this year, the company said Feb. 16. The $5 billion Pascua-Lama mine, on the border between Chile and Argentina, will begin production in mid-2013, it said at the time. Barrick fell 0.2 percent to C$39.89 yesterday in Toronto. The shares have dropped 13 percent this year, in line with the decline in the 64-company S&P/TSX Global Gold Index.
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02.05.2012 Ticker: Barrick Gold Corp Benchmark: Currency: New York: ABX, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX) Sector: Materials Industry: Metals & Mining Year: Telephone 1-416-861-9911 Revenue (M) Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M) Website www.barrick.com No of Employees Gold Mines 12263 Unallocated Sales 1 Address Brookfield Pl,CanadaTrustTower 161 Bay Street, Suite 3700 Toronto, ON M5J 2S1 Canada Copper Mines 1714 Share Price Performance in USD Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) 177 Price 40.44 1M Return -8.5% Other Metals 158 52 Week High 55.95 6M Return -19.5% 52 Week Low 38.46 52 Wk Return -17.6% 52 Wk Beta 0.55 YTD Return -10.4% Credit Ratings Bloomberg IG6 S&P A- Date 19.05.2011 Outlook NEG Moody’s Baa1 Date - Outlook STABLE Fitch - Date - Outlook - Valuation Ratios 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E P/E 20.2x 16.6x 15.6x 9.7x 8.2x 6.7x 7.2x EV/EBIT 17.2x 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x - - - EV/EBITDA 11.7x 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 5.8x 4.8x 5.0x P/S 4.2x 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.5x 2.2x 2.3x P/B 2.1x 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.5x 1.2x 1.1x Div Yield 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% Profitability Ratios % 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E Gross Margin 38.7 40.0 53.1 55.9 64.0 66.3 62.0 EBITDA Margin 39.5 44.1 56.5 58.2 57.6 60.4 61.2 Operating Margin 27.0 30.9 45.4 48.3 48.4 53.9 51.1 Profit Margin 10.3 -52.5 32.6 31.3 31.5 35.1 33.7 Return on Assets 3.4 -16.7 11.6 10.7 9.8 11.5 9.1 Return on Equity 5.1 -28.2 20.7 20.9 19.7 20.1 16.2 Leverage and Coverage Ratios 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 Current Ratio 2.2 2.8 2.8 2.2 Current Capitalization in USD Quick Ratio 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.1 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1000.4 EBIT/Interest 8.4 7.7 10.8 11.4 Market Capitalization (M) 40462.1 Tot Debt/Capital 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 Cash and ST Investments (M) 2745.0 Tot Debt/Equity 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 Total Debt (M) 13369.0 Eff Tax Rate % 39.7 - 30.8 33.5 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 2191.0 Enterprise Value (M) 53277.1 Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia, and Africa. ABX US 14’312 #N/A N/A Company Analysis - Overview 86% 12% 1% 1% Gold Mines Copper Mines Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) Other Metals 100% Unallocated Sales Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
Transcript
Page 1: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

02.05.2012

Ticker: Barrick Gold Corp Benchmark:

Currency: New York: ABX, Currency: USD S&P 500 INDEX (SPX)

Sector: Materials Industry: Metals & Mining Year:

Telephone 1-416-861-9911 Revenue (M) Business Segments in USD Sales (M) Geographic Segments in USD Sales (M)Website www.barrick.com No of Employees Gold Mines 12263 Unallocated Sales 1Address Brookfield Pl,CanadaTrustTower 161 Bay Street, Suite 3700 Toronto, ON M5J 2S1 Canada Copper Mines 1714Share Price Performance in USD Barrick Energy (Oil & Gas) 177Price 40.44 1M Return -8.5% Other Metals 15852 Week High 55.95 6M Return -19.5%52 Week Low 38.46 52 Wk Return -17.6%52 Wk Beta 0.55 YTD Return -10.4%Credit Ratings

Bloomberg IG6S&P A- Date 19.05.2011 Outlook NEGMoody's Baa1 Date - Outlook STABLEFitch - Date - Outlook -

Valuation Ratios

12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14EP/E 20.2x 16.6x 15.6x 9.7x 8.2x 6.7x 7.2xEV/EBIT 17.2x 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x - - -EV/EBITDA 11.7x 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 5.8x 4.8x 5.0xP/S 4.2x 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.5x 2.2x 2.3xP/B 2.1x 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.5x 1.2x 1.1xDiv Yield 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%Profitability Ratios %

12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14EGross Margin 38.7 40.0 53.1 55.9 64.0 66.3 62.0EBITDA Margin 39.5 44.1 56.5 58.2 57.6 60.4 61.2Operating Margin 27.0 30.9 45.4 48.3 48.4 53.9 51.1Profit Margin 10.3 -52.5 32.6 31.3 31.5 35.1 33.7Return on Assets 3.4 -16.7 11.6 10.7 9.8 11.5 9.1Return on Equity 5.1 -28.2 20.7 20.9 19.7 20.1 16.2Leverage and Coverage Ratios

12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11Current Ratio 2.2 2.8 2.8 2.2 Current Capitalization in USDQuick Ratio 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.1 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 1000.4EBIT/Interest 8.4 7.7 10.8 11.4 Market Capitalization (M) 40462.1Tot Debt/Capital 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 Cash and ST Investments (M) 2745.0Tot Debt/Equity 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 Total Debt (M) 13369.0Eff Tax Rate % 39.7 - 30.8 33.5 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0

LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0Investments (M) 2191.0Enterprise Value (M) 53277.1

Barrick Gold Corporation is an international gold company with operating mines and development projects in the United States, Canada, South America, Australia, and Africa.

ABX US

14'312#N/A N/A

Company Analysis - Overview

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Page 2: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Barrick Gold CorpTarget price in USD

Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date0-'7mo'./ 46% /.% -% /'JWu'./ 1-(11 3.(3/ Gbccbofbp MBPBN T7NA Yru 3-(-- /'JWu'./0-'JWo'./ 46% /.% -% .'JWu'./ 1-(11 3.(3/ AbrqpZeb 8Wkh GLNDB J 8BNFOP7FK Yru 36(-- .'JWu'.//6'CbY'./ 44% /0% -% 0-'7mo'./ 1-(10 3.(3/ JlodWk OqWkibu M7NBPLOE JFON7 Lsbotq)Fk'Ifkb 30(-- .'JWu'./0.'GWk'./ 5-% /-% -% /4'7mo'./ 1-(33 3.(3/ AWeijWk Nlpb 9l 7A7J M DN7C elia 0-'7mo'./0-'AbZ'.. 54% .0% -% /3'7mo'./ 06(61 3.(3/ Arkabb ObZrofqfbp 9lom M7RI 8RN9EBII Yru 3.(66 /3'7mo'./0-'Kls'.. 50% .4% -% /2'7mo'./ 06(64 3.(43 EO89 M7PNF9H 9EFAIBU lsbotbfdeq 51(-- /1'7mo'./0.'LZq'.. 50% .4% -% /1'7mo'./ 06(3. 3.(43 Oqfcbi KfZliWrp DBLNDB PLMMFKD Yru 33(-- /1'7mo'./0-'Obm'.. 46% /.% -% /0'7mo'./ 06(36 3.(60 PA KbtZobpq DNBD 87NKBO Yru 3-(-- /0'7mo'./0.'7rd'.. 46% /.% -% /-'7mo'./ 1-(/3 3.(6/ 9WkWZZloa Dbkrfqu 9lom OPBSBK 8RPIBN elia 20(-- /-'7mo'.//6'Gri'.. 50% .4% -% .6'7mo'./ 1-(62 3.(6/ GMJlodWk GLEK 8NFADBO lsbotbfdeq 15(-- .4'7mo'./0-'Grk'.. 56% ..% -% .5'7mo'./ 1.(-6 3.(6/ 9F89 Tloia JWohbqp 7IB9 HLA7POHU pbZqlo mbocloj 3.(-- .4'7mo'./0.'JWu'.. 55% ./% -% .4'7mo'./ 1.(0. 3.(6/ OZlqfW 9WmfqWi P7KU7 J G7HRO9LKBH pbZqlo lrqmbocloj 25(-- .4'7mo'./

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Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings

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Page 3: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Barrick Gold Corp

Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution

Shares Outstanding (M) 1000.4 United States 58.59%

Float 99.8% Canada 27.14%

Short Interest (M) 3.7 Britain 4.75%

Short Interest as % of Float 0.37% France 2.77%

Days to Cover Shorts 0.44 Japan 1.18%

Institutional Ownership 77.54% Switzerland 1.13%

Retail Ownership 22.23% Germany 0.95%

Insider Ownership 0.24% Others 3.49%

Institutional Ownership DistributionInvestment Advisor 84.40%Hedge Fund Manager 6.21%Mutual Fund Manager 2.74%Pension Fund (Erisa) 1.98%

Pricing data is in USD Others 4.67%

Top 20 Owners:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country

CAPITAL WORLD INVEST 42'280'500 -100'000 1'709'823'420 4.23% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESVAN ECK ASSOCIATES C 31'173'037 -498'273 1'260'637'616 3.12% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESTRADEWINDS GLOBAL IN 24'960'029 756'838 1'009'383'573 2.49% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESBLACKROCK INC 24'517'004 -175'239 991'467'642 2.45% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESBMO FINANCIAL CORP 24'050'923 2'224'989 972'619'326 2.40% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESRBC GLOBAL ASSET MAN 21'149'337 1'123'505 855'279'188 2.11% 31.12.2011 13F CANADAFIDELITY MANAGEMENT 19'692'719 -57'200 796'373'556 1.97% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESPYRAMIS GLOBAL ADVIS 19'445'378 2'715'290 786'371'086 1.94% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESCI INVESTMENTS INC 18'864'576 -713'063 762'883'453 1.89% 30.12.2011 MF-AGG CANADABLACKROCK GROUP LIMI 17'157'690 680'161 693'856'984 1.71% 31.12.2011 13F BRITAINWELLINGTON MANAGEMEN 15'849'673 769'040 640'960'776 1.58% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESBANK OF NEW YORK MEL 15'223'294 1'243'886 615'630'009 1.52% 31.03.2012 13F UNITED STATESCARMIGNAC GESTION 12'658'000 0 511'889'520 1.27% 31.12.2011 MF-AGG FRANCEBLACKROCK INSTITUTIO 11'854'876 120'259 479'411'185 1.18% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESTD ASSET MANAGEMENT 11'556'153 -2'341'651 467'330'827 1.15% 31.12.2011 13F CANADATORONTO DOMINION BAN 11'367'456 565'363 459'699'921 1.14% 31.12.2011 13F CANADAIA CLARINGTON INVEST 11'306'054 660'600 457'216'824 1.13% 31.12.2011 MF-AGG CANADACIBC GLOBAL ASSET MA 9'391'045 -900'710 379'773'860 0.94% 31.12.2011 13F CANADACAPITAL RESEARCH GLO 9'186'104 0 371'486'046 0.92% 31.12.2011 13F UNITED STATESCONNOR CLARK & LUNN 8'751'247 612'235 353'900'429 0.87% 31.12.2011 13F CANADA

Top 5 Insiders:

Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source

MUNK PETER 1'690'100 300'000 68'347'644 0.17% 18.10.2011 SEDI

DAVID BIRCH CHARLES WILLIA 285'220 25'000 11'534'297 0.03% 22.11.2011 SEDI

BECK HOWARD L 169'144 -20'000 6'840'183 0.02% 22.12.2010 SEDI

REGENT AARON W 60'000 35'000 2'426'400 0.01% 28.02.2012 SEDI

ROTHSCHILD NATHANIEL 48'000 1'941'120 0.01% 26.12.2010 SEDI

Company Analysis - Ownership

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Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |

Page 4: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Barrick Gold CorpFinancial information is in USD (M)

Periodicity: 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E

Income Statement

Revenue 1'989 1'967 2'035 1'932 2'350 5'630 6'332 7'613 8'136 11'001 14'312 15'918 18'570 17'361

- Cost of Goods Sold 1'581 1'590 1'594 1'499 1'641 3'476 4'198 4'663 4'880 5'162 6'316

Gross Income 408 377 441 433 709 2'154 2'134 2'950 3'256 5'839 7'996 10'192 12'302 10'764

- Selling, General & Admin Expenses 189 168 210 212 212 648 727 897 740 840 1'088

(Research & Dev Costs) 104 137 119 188 242 85 0 0

Operating Income 219 209 231 221 497 1'506 1'407 2'053 2'516 4'999 6'908 7'697 10'003 8'865

- Interest Expense 25 57 44 19 7 126 113 21 57 180 199

- Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

- Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 111 -25 -35 157 35 -176 -143 537 6'176 -248 -115

Pretax Income 83 177 222 45 455 1'556 1'437 1'495 -3'717 5'067 6'824 7'487 9'738 8'552

- Income Tax Expense -14 -16 5 -203 60 348 341 594 648 1'561 2'287

Income Before XO Items 97 193 217 248 395 1'208 1'096 901 -4'365 3'506 4'537

- Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 1 0 17 0 -6 -297 -9 104 -97 -124 0

- Minority Interests 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -14 12 6 48 53

Diluted EPS Before XO Items 0.18 0.36 0.40 0.46 0.73 1.42 1.27 1.01 (4.84) 3.47 4.48

Net Income Adjusted* 408 235 162 87 296 1'419 1'786 1'739 1'810 3'279 4'670 5'010 6'519 5'855

EPS Adjusted 0.65 0.42 0.40 0.46 0.56 1.67 2.04 1.59 2.00 3.32 4.67 4.93 6.04 5.65

Dividends Per Share 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.30 0.40 0.40 0.44 0.51 0.59 0.60 0.61

Payout Ratio % 95.9 61.7 54.4 47.6 29.9 15.8 23.5 39.3 12.6 11.4 0.12 0.10 0.11

Total Shares Outstanding 536 542 535 534 538 864 870 873 984 999 1'000

Diluted Shares Outstanding 538 541 539 534 538 855 879 885 903 997 1'001

EBITDA 870 728 753 673 924 2'241 2'461 3'010 3'589 6'211 8'327 9'176 11'214 10'630

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.

Equivalent Estimates

Company Analysis - Financials I/IV

Fiscal Year

Page 5: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Periodicity: 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E

Balance Sheet

Total Current Assets 1014 1352 1368 1959 1748 4796 4299 4112 4938 7071 6545

+ Cash & Near Cash Items 574 1'044 970 1'398 1'037 3'043 2'207 1'437 2'564 3'968 2'745

+ Short Term Investments 159 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Accounts & Notes Receivable 58 72 56 58 54 234 256 197 251 370 426

+ Inventories 223 206 164 215 402 931 1'129 1'278 1'540 1'798 2'498

+ Other Current Assets 0 0 178 288 255 588 707 1'200 583 935 876

Total Long-Term Assets 4'188 3'909 3'990 4'328 5'114 16'714 17'652 20'049 22'137 27'566 42'339

+ Long Term Investments 0 0 0 0 0 646 1'227 60 92 171 161

Gross Fixed Assets 7'563 7'045 7'073 7'778 8'916 15'309 16'488 20'170 22'802 29'417 42'050

Accumulated Depreciation 3'651 3'723 3'945 4'387 4'770 6'919 7'903 8'665 9'677 11'527 13'071

+ Net Fixed Assets 3'912 3'322 3'128 3'391 4'146 8'390 8'585 11'505 13'125 17'890 28'979

+ Other Long Term Assets 276 587 862 937 968 7'678 7'840 8'484 8'920 9'505 13'199

Total Current Liabilities 530 483 364 420 560 1'852 1'296 1'844 1'773 2'491 2'911

+ Accounts Payable 521 164 245 335 386 686 808 953 1'221 1'511 2'083

+ Short Term Borrowings 9 0 0 31 80 863 233 206 54 14 196

+ Other Short Term Liabilities 0 319 119 54 94 303 255 685 498 966 632

Total Long Term Liabilities 1'480 1'444 1'500 2'293 2'452 5'403 5'317 6'858 9'755 10'929 20'419

+ Long Term Borrowings 793 761 719 1'655 1'721 3'244 3'153 4'350 6'281 6'624 13'173

+ Other Long Term Borrowings 687 683 781 638 731 2'159 2'164 2'508 3'474 4'305 7'246

Total Liabilities 2'010 1'927 1'864 2'713 3'012 7'255 6'613 8'702 11'528 13'420 23'330

+ Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0 56 82 182 484 1'745 2'191

+ Share Capital & APIC 4'062 4'148 4'115 4'129 4'222 13'106 13'273 13'372 17'390 17'820 17'892

+ Retained Earnings & Other Equity -870 -814 -621 -555 -372 1'093 1'983 1'905 -2'327 1'652 5'471

Total Shareholders Equity 3'192 3'334 3'494 3'574 3'850 14'255 15'338 15'459 15'547 21'217 25'554

Total Liabilities & Equity 5'202 5'261 5'358 6'287 6'862 21'510 21'951 24'161 27'075 34'637 48'884

Book Value Per Share 5.96 6.15 6.53 6.70 7.16 16.43 17.54 17.50 15.30 19.50 23.35 27.78 33.86 38.36

Tangible Book Value Per Share 9.57 10.74 11.37 9.96 12.92 13.16

Company Analysis - Financials II/IV

Page 6: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Periodicity: 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E

Cash Flows

Net Income 96 193 200 248 401 1'506 1'119 785 -4'274 3'582 4'484 4'808 6'252 5'705

+ Depreciation & Amortization 651 519 522 452 427 735 1'054 957 1'073 1'212 1'419

+ Other Non-Cash Adjustments -21 -182 -101 -75 -19 -131 -168 882 1'251 172 120

+ Changes in Non-Cash Capital -5 59 -102 -116 -83 41 -252 -370 -372 -381 -708

Cash From Operating Activities 721 589 519 509 726 2'151 1'753 2'254 -2'322 4'585 5'315

+ Disposal of Fixed Assets 0 0 40 43 8 8 100 185 10 61 48

+ Capital Expenditures -607 -228 -322 -824 -1'104 -1'087 -1'046 -1'749 -2'351 -3'778 -4'973 -5'349 -3'902 -2'947

+ Increase in Investments 0 0 0 0 0 -245 0 0 0 0 0

+ Decrease in Investments 0 0 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 0 0

+ Other Investing Activities -172 170 -52 -40 -84 2'473 -616 -2'356 -74 -913 -7'902

Cash From Investing Activities -779 -58 -334 -821 -1'180 1'195 -1'562 -3'920 -2'415 -4'630 -12'827

+ Dividends Paid -93 -119 -118 -118 -118 -191 -261 -349 -369 -436 -509

+ Change in Short Term Borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Increase in Long Term Borrowings 55 0 0 973 179 2'189 408 2'717 2'154 782 6'648

+ Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -152 -25 -23 -41 -59 -1'581 -1'128 -1'603 -397 -149 -380

+ Increase in Capital Stocks 7 83 29 49 92 74 142 74 3'950 1'011 57

+ Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 0 -154 -95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

+ Other Financing Activities -1 0 7 -28 -1 -1'831 -188 57 526 241 473

Cash From Financing Activities -184 -61 -259 740 93 -1'340 -1'027 896 5'864 1'449 6'289

Net Changes in Cash -242 470 -74 428 -361 2'006 -836 -770 1'127 1'404 -1'223

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) 114 361 197 -315 -378 1'064 707 505 -4'673 807 342 1'233 3'982 4'628

Free Cash Flow To Firm 240 -372 1'162 793 518 932 474

Free Cash Flow To Equity 17 336 214 660 -250 1'680 87 1'804 -2'906 1'501 6'658

Free Cash Flow per Share 0.21 0.67 0.37 -0.59 -0.71 1.26 0.82 0.58 -5.17 0.82 0.34

Company Analysis - Financials III/IV

Page 7: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

Periodicity: 12/01 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12E 12/13E 12/14E

Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios

Price Earnings 34.7x 41.8x 102.8x 150.8x 50.7x 22.0x 33.2x 20.2x 16.6x 15.6x 9.7x 8.2x 6.7x 7.2x

EV to EBIT 39.4x 38.6x 51.3x 59.6x 31.7x 18.4x 27.0x 17.2x 17.0x 11.6x 8.4x

EV to EBITDA 9.9x 11.1x 15.7x 19.6x 17.1x 12.4x 15.4x 11.7x 12.0x 9.3x 7.0x 5.8x 4.8x 5.0x

Price to Sales 4.3x 4.2x 6.0x 6.7x 6.4x 4.6x 5.8x 4.2x 4.4x 4.8x 3.2x 2.5x 2.2x 2.3x

Price to Book 2.7x 2.5x 3.5x 3.6x 3.9x 1.9x 2.4x 2.1x 2.6x 2.7x 1.9x 1.5x 1.2x 1.1x

Dividend Yield 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%

Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 20.5% 19.2% 21.7% 22.4% 30.2% 38.3% 33.7% 38.7% 40.0% 53.1% 55.9% 64.0% 66.3% 62.0%

EBITDA Margin 43.7% 37.0% 37.0% 34.8% 39.3% 39.8% 38.9% 39.5% 44.1% 56.5% 58.2% 57.6% 60.4% 61.2%

Operating Margin 11.0% 10.6% 11.4% 11.4% 21.1% 26.7% 22.2% 27.0% 30.9% 45.4% 48.3% 48.4% 53.9% 51.1%

Profit Margin 4.8% 9.8% 9.8% 12.8% 17.1% 26.7% 17.7% 10.3% -52.5% 32.6% 31.3% 31.5% 35.1% 33.7%

Return on Assets 1.8% 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 6.1% 10.6% 5.1% 3.4% -16.7% 11.6% 10.7% 9.8% 11.5% 9.1%

Return on Equity 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 10.8% 16.7% 7.6% 5.1% -28.2% 20.7% 20.9% 19.7% 20.1% 16.2%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios

Current Ratio 1.91 2.80 3.76 4.66 3.12 2.59 3.32 2.23 2.79 2.84 2.25

Quick Ratio 1.49 2.37 2.82 3.47 1.95 1.77 1.90 0.89 1.59 1.74 1.09

Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 8.76 3.67 5.25 3.68 3.98 6.61 5.94 8.45 7.72 10.75 11.38

Tot Debt/Capital 0.20 0.19 0.17 0.32 0.32 0.22 0.18 0.23 0.29 0.24 0.34

Tot Debt/Equity 0.25 0.23 0.21 0.47 0.47 0.29 0.22 0.29 0.41 0.31 0.52

Others

Asset Turnover 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.33 0.36 0.40 0.29 0.33 0.32 0.36 0.34

Accounts Receivable Turnover 34.00 30.26 31.80 33.89 41.96 39.10 25.84 33.61 36.32 35.43 35.96

Accounts Payable Turnover 2.74 4.59 7.59 5.34 5.07 7.47 5.88 5.47 4.73 3.97 3.90

Inventory Turnover 6.22 7.41 8.62 7.91 5.32 5.22 4.08 3.87 3.46 3.09 2.94

Effective Tax Rate 2.3% 13.2% 22.4% 23.7% 39.7% 30.8% 33.5%

Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV

Page 8: Company Analysis - Barrick Gold Corp - CA0679011084 - ABX US Equity

BARRICK GOLD CRP

NEWMONT MINING

GOLDCORP INC KINROSS GOLDTECK RESOURCES-

BIAMGOLD CORP

ANGLOGOLD ASHANT

FREEPORT-MCMORAN

BHP BILLITON LTD VALE SA-PFAGNICO-EAGLE

MINRIO TINTO LTD DRDGOLD LTD

HARMONY GOLD MNG

BUENAVENTURA-COM

12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 06/2011 12/2011 12/2011 12/2011 06/2011 06/2011 12/201155.95 72.42 55.93 18.17 53.11 23.79 39'182.00 56.78 46.27 46.10 72.57 84.53 628.00 11'609.00 134.10

08.09.2011 09.11.2011 09.09.2011 09.09.2011 02.05.2011 08.11.2011 01.12.2011 26.07.2011 02.05.2011 04.07.2011 06.09.2011 08.07.2011 22.02.2012 01.12.2011 21.09.201138.46 45.22 37.57 8.60 27.39 11.73 25'310.00 28.85 33.59 35.52 31.50 58.52 297.00 7'260.00 98.72

23.04.2012 23.04.2012 26.04.2012 23.04.2012 04.10.2011 23.04.2012 23.04.2012 04.10.2011 11.04.2012 08.08.2011 16.02.2012 04.10.2011 11.08.2011 24.04.2012 13.12.20114'656'888 4'476'559 2'018'083 4'906'817 2'017'871 1'600'426 299'357 17'762'074 16'662'890 11'772'900 1'414'715 2'420'671 264'651 387'058 3'502

40.44 48.05 38.09 8.85 37.20 12.35 26'700.00 38.46 36.25 41.45 39.10 66.41 534.00 7'533.00 111.60

-27.7% -33.7% -31.9% -51.3% -30.0% -48.1% -31.9% -32.3% -21.7% -10.1% -46.1% -21.4% -15.0% -35.1% -16.8%5.1% 6.3% 1.4% 2.9% 35.8% 5.3% 5.5% 33.3% 7.9% 16.7% 24.1% 13.5% 79.8% 3.8% 13.0%

1'000.4 494.7 809.9 1'137.7 586.6 375.9 383.0 948.0 5'295.1 5'097.3 170.8 1'874.1 384.9 430.1 254.440'462.1 23'891.9 31'055.7 10'069.2 21'812.1 4'644.4 102'792.4 36'473.9 184'150.5 226'137.1 6'687.4 105'642.0 2'057.9 32'498.6 30'747.7

13'369.0 4'313.0 737.0 1'633.1 7'035.0 6.6 20'006.0 3'537.0 15'907.0 49'121.0 931.2 21'804.0 119.8 1'554.8 106.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

2'191.0 2'875.0 213.0 80.3 172.0 54.4 1'106.0 2'911.0 993.0 3'144.0 12.2 6'669.0 (28.1) - 258.8 2'745.0 1'854.0 1'502.0 1'767.3 4'405.0 1'051.6 8'944.0 4'822.0 10'348.0 7'573.0 331.4 10'014.0 259.1 689.5 534.6

53'277.1 30'240.9 30'979.5 10'154.8 25'084.1 3'707.1 114'960.4 38'662.9 212'535.7 268'355.6 7'274.2 127'412.9 1'742.6 32'607.6 11'475.0

LFY 14'312.0 10'358.0 5'362.0 3'943.3 11'514.0 1'673.2 47'849.0 20'880.0 71'739.0 103'195.0 1'821.8 60'537.0 2'565.3 12'473.0 1'493.9LTM 14'866.0 10'576.0 5'495.0 3'943.3 11'695.0 1'691.6 47'849.0 19'776.0 67'381.0 99'801.6 1'882.7 60'537.0 - 15'121.0 1'507.4

CY+1 15'918.3 10'929.2 6'096.5 4'693.9 11'193.5 1'763.3 59'589.1 20'014.9 72'692.5 106'540.9 1'803.7 59'944.5 2'677.5 17'406.9 1'669.0 CY+2 18'569.8 11'857.3 7'631.0 5'121.4 11'968.1 2'065.7 68'213.9 22'811.3 79'206.7 113'286.0 1'956.0 66'159.7 2'369.0 21'970.2 1'780.0

LFY 4.1x 3.0x 6.7x 3.3x 2.1x 3.0x 3.0x 1.8x 2.9x - 3.4x 2.2x 0.6x 3.3x 6.3xLTM 4.1x 3.0x 6.6x 3.3x 2.1x 3.0x 3.0x 1.9x 3.1x - 3.3x 2.2x - 2.7x 6.2x

CY+1 3.3x 2.7x 5.1x 2.3x 2.2x 2.2x 1.9x 1.9x 2.9x 2.5x 4.1x 2.1x - 1.8x -CY+2 2.6x 2.5x 3.9x 2.1x 1.9x 1.9x 1.5x 1.6x 2.7x 2.3x 3.7x 1.9x - 1.3x -

LFY 8'327.0 5'162.0 3'030.0 1'972.5 5'367.0 785.0 20'443.0 10'162.0 37'765.0 57'579.0 752.9 26'304.0 (286.3) 2'241.1 804.4LTM 8'327.0 5'185.0 3'034.0 1'972.5 5'297.0 785.4 20'443.0 8'995.0 39'302.0 53'241.6 801.6 26'304.0 (175.9) - -

CY+1 9'176.4 5'221.7 3'527.1 2'309.9 4'830.5 916.8 26'111.7 8'550.7 35'537.4 56'710.2 801.0 25'606.9 686.0 5'999.6 790.0 CY+2 11'214.2 5'938.9 4'812.7 2'735.2 5'432.7 1'125.4 31'399.7 10'819.3 39'540.4 58'648.6 943.7 29'255.6 865.0 8'490.7 851.0

LFY 7.0x 6.1x 11.9x 6.6x 4.5x 6.4x 7.0x 3.8x 5.6x - 8.2x 5.1x -5.2x 18.3x 11.7xLTM 7.0x 6.1x 11.9x 6.6x 4.6x 6.4x 7.0x 4.3x 5.4x - 7.7x 5.1x - - -

CY+1 5.7x 5.7x 8.8x 4.7x 5.0x 4.3x 4.3x 4.5x 6.0x 4.7x 9.2x 5.0x - 5.2x -CY+2 4.3x 4.9x 6.2x 3.9x 4.2x 3.5x 3.3x 3.4x 5.3x 4.5x 7.6x 4.3x - 3.4x -

LFY 4.65 4.31 2.00 0.76 4.22 0.97 23.70 4.83 3.92 6.57 0.13 6.45 -0.75 1.66 3.39LTM 4.68 4.35 1.90 0.76 4.46 1.06 27.73 4.30 4.27 6.40 1.46 3.21 0.72 4.58 3.34

CY+1 4.93 4.87 2.32 0.95 3.72 1.24 32.79 4.01 3.51 6.88 1.81 7.30 0.96 6.03 4.00 CY+2 6.04 5.64 3.24 1.19 4.27 1.60 41.75 5.22 3.92 6.70 2.22 8.36 0.92 8.91 4.40

LFY 8.6x 11.0x 20.3x 11.8x 8.3x 11.8x 9.6x 8.9x 8.8x 6.5x 27.1x 21.4x 7.4x 16.4x 12.6xLTM 8.6x 11.0x 20.3x 11.8x 8.3x 11.8x 11.3x 8.9x 9.6x 6.5x 27.1x - - 19.0x 12.6x

CY+1 8.2x 9.9x 16.6x 9.5x 10.0x 10.1x 8.1x 9.6x 10.6x 6.0x 21.8x 9.4x 5.6x 12.5x 10.6xCY+2 6.7x 8.5x 11.9x 7.5x 8.7x 7.8x 6.4x 7.4x 9.5x 6.2x 17.8x 8.2x 5.8x 8.5x 9.6x

1 Year 30.1% 8.6% 43.4% 31.0% 24.8% 52.5% 23.2% 10.0% 35.9% 24.0% 28.1% 9.7% 28.9% 19.6% 35.3%5 Year 30.7% 20.5% 25.4% 34.6% 13.9% 34.5% 24.9% 35.5% 12.7% 3.7% 44.0% 24.7% (1.3%) 16.6% 25.2%1 Year 34.1% 0.9% 49.6% 64.3% 27.0% 66.9% 110.3% (0.3%) 58.7% 24.5% 25.1% 17.1% - 39.7% 77.8%5 Year 30.0% 22.3% 26.8% 48.5% 8.1% 46.4% 29.8% 26.8% 25.5% 25.1% 25.1% 21.3% - 15.6% 18.6%

LTM 58.2% 49.8% 56.5% 50.0% 46.6% 46.9% 42.7% 48.7% 52.6% 55.8% 41.3% 43.5% (11.2%) 18.0% 53.8%CY+1 57.6% 47.8% 57.9% 49.2% 43.2% 52.0% 43.8% 42.7% 48.9% 53.2% 44.4% 42.7% 25.6% 34.5% 47.3%CY+2 60.4% 50.1% 63.1% 53.4% 45.4% 54.5% 46.0% 47.4% 49.9% 51.8% 48.2% 44.2% 36.5% 38.6% 47.8%

Total Debt / Equity % 57.2% 33.4% 3.5% 13.2% 39.7% 0.2% 49.5% 22.6% 28.0% 34.2% 29.1% 41.5% 9.6% 5.2%Total Debt / Capital % 34.3% 21.5% 3.3% 11.6% 28.2% 0.2% 32.5% 16.0% 21.6% 25.1% 22.5% 26.9% 8.9% 4.9%Total Debt / EBITDA 1.606x 0.836x 0.243x 0.828x 1.311x 0.008x 0.979x 0.348x 0.421x 0.853x 1.237x 0.829x -0.418x 0.719xNet Debt / EBITDA 1.276x 0.476x -0.252x -0.068x 0.490x -1.331x 0.541x -0.126x 0.147x 0.722x 0.797x 0.448x - 0.400xEBITDA / Int. Expense 13.718x 17.439x 131.739x 21.301x 8.741x 110.077x 14.427x 24.138x 35.560x 23.961x 13.679x 26.570x -12.986x 7.619x

S&P LT Credit Rating A- BBB+ BBB+ BBB- BBB - BBB- BBB A+ A- NR A- - -S&P LT Credit Rating Date 19.05.2011 11.08.2008 01.06.2009 15.08.2011 16.04.2010 - 09.04.2010 29.07.2011 15.11.2010 23.11.2011 12.03.2003 18.04.2011 - -Moody's LT Credit Rating Baa1 Baa1 - Baa3 Baa2 - - Baa3 (P)A1 Baa2 WR - - -Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 17.05.2011 26.07.2010 - 15.08.2011 17.11.2010 - - 13.10.2010 15.11.2010 29.08.2008 05.03.2002 - - -

52-Week High Date

52-Week Low

Latest Fiscal Year:

52-Week High

Total Debt Market Capitalization

Daily Volume

52-Week Low % Change

Current Price (5/dd/yy)

52-Week High % Change

Cash and Equivalents

EBITDA

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value

Valuation

Preferred Stock

52-Week Low Date

Minority Interest

Total Common Shares (M)

P/E

Revenue Growth

Total Revenue

EV/Total Revenue

EPS

EBITDA Growth

EBITDA Margin

Credit Ratings

Leverage/Coverage Ratios

Company Analysis - Peers Comparision


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