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Company: Shop Apotheke Europe
Conference Title: Transcription Request
Moderator: Alexander Cordes
Date: Thursday, 5th November 2020
Conference Time: 17:30 CET
Stefan Feltens: Good morning, everybody. Jasper and I want to welcome you to Shop Apotheke Europe’s
Q3 earnings release. We’re going to walk you through what we think was a very strong quarter for
Shop Apotheke, I want to say another strong quarter for Shop Apotheke, but we also want to share
with you what we’re doing to make sure that Shop Apotheke is ready for the challenges of the
future.
Okay, let’s go to next chart. We are presenting today for the second time from our new
headquarters in Sevenum, we did this the first time with the Q2 release in August. And we’re now
happy to share with you that not just the offices have moved, but we are now in the middle of also
transitioning our logistics activities from our old facility, which was in Venlo, but actually it’s a stone
throw away from our new facility here in Sevenum. The first customer package was sent to a
customer in Italy on the 21st of October. But we’re going to say more about this in a moment.
Last time, we received a lot of favorable feedback on doing our earnings releases by video webcast.
So we certainly know we want to continue with this practice. We still have a technical limitation
that for right now, I know the provider is working on this, to find a solution, but right now we still
cannot take via video webcast, live questions. So we want to ask you to submit once again, your
questions, by the chat function. You see this on the left-hand side of the screen.
You know, we have to admit last time we were a little bit overwhelmed by the success of the chat
function. So we got a lot of questions. We didn’t get through all of the questions we followed up
on some of them, but this time we would ask you to ask really pointed questions, meaning relatively
short questions. And one question at a time, during the first go around.
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If we get more questions than we can handle, we will be a little bit selective, but rest assured we’re
not trying to avoid any tough questions that you might have.
So jumping right into the performance of the third quarter. As I already mentioned, Q3 was another
strong quarter for Shop Apotheke, driven by both strong top line growth, but also a solid bottom
line performance.
Looking at the growth, we grew our top line by almost 40%, to almost €240 million in the third
quarter, this was driven by one of our hallmark competencies of the third quarter, stands again for
one of our hallmark competencies and excellence in execution.
The growth came from, again, both new customers, we get, 400,000 unique active customers in
the third quarter. If you compared this to September 2019, we added 1.4 million unique active
customers. Of course, by now we have crossed the 6 million, active customer threshold. The
strong top line growth cascaded throughout our, P&L, and we once again delivered a positive,
clearly positive adjusted EBITDA margin of 1.8%.
The key drivers were a gross margin expansion scale effects, and partially – then these benefits
offset by one-time effect. But Jasper, in a moment is going to walk you through the details just to,
you know, take pause for a moment and looking at the year-over-year improvement on a year-to-
date basis for the first nine months of the year, Shop Apotheke’s adjusted EBITDA improved by
over €27 million from the first nine months of 2019, to the first nine months of this year.
In addition, we generated a positive operating cash flow in the same period, of almost 11 million
euros. Driven or enabled by the strong development of our share price, we decided to go from
early conversion of our 135 million convertible bond. The process was tightly managed and driven
by Jasper, so kudos from the management team. That was really exceptional.
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And as a result of this, we end up, we now have an even stronger balance sheet. I hope you agree
with our conclusion that Q3 was another strong quarter for Shop Apotheke after a strong Q1, after
a strong Q2, but in parallel, of course, we’re working on our key strategic initiatives to make sure
that we will be ready to take advantage and to take, as we always say, a disproportionate share of
the opportunities that are around the corner.
We have started the transition of our logistics activities to our new facility, the internal project name
is Venlo 2020. We are on track with our preparation for the introduction of e-prescriptions. I’m
going to say more about this later. And in terms of our marketplace, we’re looking at two
dimensions. We have expanded our same-day offering under the label of Shop Apotheke Now,
and we are on track to go live with the portfolio expansion, meaning offering a broader portfolio of
healthcare related products beyond the traditional boundaries of typical pharmacies.
Again, looking again at our top line growth, I already mentioned the 40% growth at a group level,
but if you break it down by reporting segment, we grew by 34% in the DACH region, and this
includes a 17% growth of our RX business and in the international segment, the international
segment grew by more than 80%. And we are now approaching quarterly sales in our international
segment of €40 million. Again, the national segment comprises of Italy, of France, of Belgium, and
of our business in the Netherlands.
In the third quarter, we defended or extended our market leadership positions in Austria and
Belgium. And just, again, going back a little bit in time, you might remember when Jasper and I
when we shared the Q4 2019 earnings with you, around the middle of March, this was just at the
beginning of the Corona pandemic, we cautioned everybody and we emphasized that we are in all
likelihood, going to experience capacity constraints over the coming months.
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And I’m very happy and proud to report that until today, and I don’t think it’s going in the future, we
haven’t had to reject a single customer order, and again, big kudos to our operations and logistics
team. They just succeeded in teasing out additional capacity by looking and improving the
processes and structures workflows in our operations and along the value chain.
I already mentioned that we were close to 6 million unique active customers by the end of Q3. We
maintained throughout the third quarter, a very high net promoter score of 70. I think that is
reflective of our – of Shop Apotheke’s focus on the end consumer and a very convincing end-to-
end customer journey. Of course, our ambition is that, we want to continue to improve this, but if
you’re familiar with the calculation of the NPS score, you know, that the air is getting thinner the
higher you climb this ladder.
In terms of our average shopping basket value, it remains, compared to prior year, at around €67.
But keep in mind, in our biggest market, as of the 1st of July this year, we had a VAT reduction of
3% VAT reduction, the numbers that the average order value that you’re looking at right now,
includes VAT. So if we adjusted for the VAT reduction compared to Q3 2019, you would actually
see a little bit of an increase of our average order value.
Switching to web traffic, no surprise. And this is not a news to you if you follow Shop Apotheke
closely, but we are with – by a significant margin, we are the most popular, meaning most frequently
visited website, pharmacy website in Germany. On this chart, we’re showing the total weekly visits.
That’s the orange line, and we’re showing the year-to-date growth, the weekly rep traffic growth,
versus the same week a year ago. Again, going back to the absolute numbers of the weekly web
and app visits, since the beginning of the pandemic, since April, we’ve been consistently at, or
above 4 million weekly visits, meaning that the demand that is also reflected, of course, in our sales
numbers, hasn’t abated yet.
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We are getting questions from investors, also from journalists, you know, do we anticipate the
demand is going to return to pre Corona levels? We don’t anticipate this, to be clear about this,
and the numbers are not indicating this at all.
When you look at the growth, the traffic growth versus prior year, you see a spike in April and May,
since then, it has come down a little bit, but again, look at the scale on the right-hand side. Every
week, our web traffic has grown compared to the year before, by 50% or more.
Switching now to our repeat order share, this is the green line. It remains at around 80%, meaning
80% of our orders come from customers who have placed orders in the past. It went up a little bit
from Q2 from 79% to 83%, not a surprise. You might remember, we added a record number of
new customers in Q2, and of course, and that is the holy grail of e-commerce. Our objective then
is to make sure that these customers are going to place the second and the third order with Shop
Apotheke and then the churn will come significantly down.
So the bump is reflective of the fact that the record number of new customers gained in the second
quarter, have now, a large extent, become repeat customers. We think that 80% repeat customer
ratio is a good level that we’re also aiming for, going forward. In terms of the plain customer orders
that were executed over the last three quarters, you see that we constantly have remained above
4 million, again, the demand that we experienced towards the end of Q1, and then certainly in Q2,
hasn’t abated yet. And I’m repeating myself, I know, but we don’t anticipate that it is going to go
back to pre-Corona levels in the future.
And with this, I’ll hand it over to Jasper to walk us through the financials.
Jasper Eenhorst: Yes, thank you, Stefan. And good morning and think you those over the phone or in
the video for joining at this meeting.
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On this slide, are all the key P&L lines from sales to – and included EBITDA in the one overview.
In the next two slides, I will give more color on specifically the gross margin development and the
S&D development, but first, this total overview on one slide.
First, Q3, and then year-to-date. Sales, you see that last year Q3 we’ve achieved 170.9 million of
sales. And this year we increased by almost 68 million, to 238.7 million, which is an increase of
40%.
Year-to-date, we stand on the growth of 38%, to repeat that this is all organic growth, both in the
first quarter and year-to-date. So that’s all growth driven by the same websites, and by the same
brands, in the same countries. We achieved these numbers with – at the same time, a gross profit
margin that increased in quarter three, from 18.9% last year, to 21.9% this year. So that’s an
increase of three percentage points compared to the comparable quarter last year. And drivers
here are more favorable that’s pricing, continuous sourcing improvements, and also in product mix
of our portfolio.
Year-to-date, the gross profit margin is also well above 20%, 22.3% year-to-date. And that’s 2.7
percentage points higher than the first nine months of last year. Selling and distribution, the next
slide, in the case of Shop Apotheke, that’s mainly fulfilment marketing and the last mile cost all
combined. They arrived at 17.6% of sales in the third quarter, which was slightly worse than it was
in the same quarter last year, as we will see in two sides, all explain because of our deliberate
choice to invest in our strategy of growth through marketing, and year-to-date also the improvement
is impressive from 19% of sales last year, over the first nine months, to 17.5% this year, an
increased a 1.5 percentage points.
This is in part reflective of the very strong operational starts in first half of 2020, and the not so very
strong start earlier in 2019.
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If we then go to the next slide, administrative expenses, both in quarter three and year-to-date, at
2.6% of sales and they are well reflected scale that we have achieved here of respect of the 0.4 –
0.3 percentage mark of quarter three and year-to-date.
If you sum up all the items that I just mentioned then you get to the adjusted EBITDA and if you
get to the adjusted EBITDA to millions of euros then in quarter three last year as minus 2 million
and now plus 4 million, so that’s an increase 6 million in year-to-date, a number that Stefan
already mentioned in this key highlights at the start of the presentation. It went from minus 12
million last year to plus 16 million this year which have been rounded, increase of 27.2% of sales.
Looking at this from the adjusted EBITDA margin perspective and the margin increased from
minus 1.2% over last year to plus 1.8% this year, an increase of 3 percentage points and year-to-
date at a positive 2.2% increase is 4.5 percentage points. EBITDA year-over-year improvement
is in the same ballpark as the adjusted EBITDA. And I want to repeat that we are very strict, we
have a very narrow definition of what we include in adjustments, it is only the P&L impact of the
known cash and the stock option program that we exclude and identifiable one off cost related to
projects. Nothing else, that’s it. No signing only adjustments, in quarter three it was in total 1.4
million and in year-to-date overview is 3.6 million.
Next slide please. And then the gross margin, as I said already from 18.9% last year to 21.9%
the same water this year. I want to start with the negative one, which is the minus 2.1% in older
[?] and this is virtually entirely related to a similar item we also addressed in the second quarter
and this is the write down we had to absorb from specific corona-related assortments. Where in
hindsight, in the heat, at the start of when corona came to Europe in March and April, we were
too eager in getting the right assortment in serving our customers and doing a good business and
in hindsight, we paid too much for those inventories. At this moment, at the end of quarter three,
this is our best estimate of the fair market value that we have in our advantage. So, we are
clearly head out.
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This was the item of older [?], if we have start at the start, how we went from the 18.9% last year
to 21.9% now, sourcing seems to be a small walk with the huge older blocks we have on this
slide but normally, according to my definition, 0.6% improvement is an impressive improvement in
sourcing. Elements impacting the improvements are better conditions with our partner suppliers,
more direct delivery instead through a wholesaler and also already – and in the future more
favorable impact of – on brands [?].
Now, we get to the thick improvement of net pricing. Well, basically, you are seeing here that in
the total portfolio, in the total proposition of Shop Apotheke where we continuously try to optimize
our entire proposition, we did not need to be as aggressive in promotions as we have to be in the
third quarter of last year. That’s the main driver. And on top of that, it’s one of the items we focus
on in getting the proposition of which assortment and pricing are very important elements in the
most optimal shape. Country and product mix includes the fact that we are growing with
[inaudible] faster than RH, so of course, the mathematical outcome in euros we are also very
happy with RH sales. All in all, including this one off year-over-year improvement of 3 percentage
points.
Next slide please. And then this setting and distribution expenses as a percentage of sales,
17.4% last year, slightly worse this year. Here I start at the left with marketing, marketing was 1.2
percentage points higher than last year. It’s reflective of our strategy to invest in accelerated
growth. We have already presented a total numbers, I think is a very good strategy that we are
following at this moment. But similar throughout, I am of the numbers thereafter, because in this
times where we have the capacity constraints, where we are opening a new facility, where we are
in the corona situation, we are in a roll to keep the operational costs of shipping, packaging,
payments, operational labor at a better level to last year. And that’s I think an achievement we
are really proud of. And the operational labor, of course, if you go under the root then you will
see that there are increases related to COVID that are starting cost increases for our operations
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but we were able to offset those through efficiency, scale in the departments that are in
operational labor.
The other element here is nothing to do – has nothing to do this year. This is actually just the fact
that we cycle and we think we had in IT-related expenses last year which by the way we had in
Q3 and Q4 last year. The underlying key message of this slide is all the operational costs are
well in the control in these challenging times and we spend more on marketing because that’s our
strategy. Next slide please.
On this slide, the adjusted EBITDA both in euros in millions and as a percentage of sales from a
negative territory last year to a positive territory both in Q3 and year-to-date and a year-to-date
increase is more than €27 million at least.
Cash. We have more cash at the end of the quarter than we have at the start of the quarter. The
total balance of cash in cash equivalent including all the short-term financial assets was 157
million at the end of quarter three. And if you go from the left to the right, start of the quarter
three, end of the quarter, we generated 4 million of cash from our operating results, our working
capital needs improved by 1 million, we invested 16 million mainly in our new facility then of
course also in IT. And the financing element here is a positive one because there wasn’t in-flow
related to our ease of [?] plans offset by the regular interest and new payments. All in all, almost
57 at the end of the quarter. And this give me also the opportunity to say a few words now that
we’re talking about cash balance sheet about the earlier incentivized conversion of the
[inaudible].
It was a very favorable momentum for us looking at the total situation of our balance sheet and on
the market and all the amount that there was a possibility in a win-win situation with a large
institutional investment in our convertible [inaudible] to have to book this further. Earlier, this will
improve – it has improved already as you will see in the fourth quarter. Our balance sheet is
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even more robust as it was before and as a side effect as of 2021, we will see related to this
convertible [inaudible] significant reduction off the interest expenses. It must be no longer
[inaudible] of 4.5% on this long [inaudible] is the way. That was it, Stefan. Let’s move to the
second part.
Stefan Feltens: Well, thank you, Jasper. Well, then, so far about, you know, our Shop Apotheke euro
performance in the third quarter, I just want to give you a quick update on what we are doing to
be ready for the future. If we look at, you know, what is at the end of our journey? What do we
want to be in a few years from today? We are starting with what Shop Apotheke actually is today.
We are not exclusively but predominantly, we are an e-Pharmacy retailer today. And our
ambition is that over the coming years, we’re going to develop into an even more customer-
centric e-Pharmacy platform. In other words, we’re convinced we are a good pharmacy today.
We want to further solidify and leverage our strength and in the future, we want to become, we
want to be, we will be an even better pharmacy.
At the core of Shop Apotheke’s success is of course been our relentless focus on our customer
and when I talk about the customer, I mean, the end consumer. And if we become a better
pharmacy, we’re going to give our customers more and more reasons to return to Shop Apotheke
in Europe for their healthcare needs. This is going to improve our customer’s loyalty and
increased customer loyalty is going to translate into higher customer lifetime values and of course
higher customer lifetime values are going to translate into tangible bottom line improvements over
time.
With our new distribution center, we are really going to enter into a new era for Shop Apotheke,
but you might be wondering why are we showing you a picture here on the left-hand side of
loading or delivery docks? We just want to illustrate with this picture the magnitude of the
change. At our current facility we’re actively using five loading or delivery docks. In our new
facility, we are going to have over 40 loading and delivery docks. Meaning, and this is just one
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indicator and we’re going to talk more about capacity on the next chart, but this means that we
will be ready for the growth that we anticipated over the coming years in the non-prescription area
in Germany, in the other markets in which we operate today and potentially, additional markets
we’re going to enter over the coming years. But also, we will in terms of the expected growth
triggered by the introduction of e-prescriptions in Germany, again, starting next year, but then
going into full swing at the beginning of 2022 with e-prescription becoming mandatory.
So just to be a little bit more specific, we talk – we’re talking about capacity. In our current – no, I
would say our old facility, we have around 20,000 square meters on one level. In our new facility
right here in Sevenum we’re going to have almost 50,000 square meters on two levels. In terms
of packages sent per day, we, on average, we send around 39,000 packages a day in our old
facility. Here in Sevenum, we’re going to have capacity in excess of a hundred thousand
packages a day. And this translates in an annual capacity of being able to handle more than 35
million customer orders every year. And this is of course, before we continuously improve our
workflows or processes, our systems. So there’s probably more that will eventually be teased out
of this new facility. By the way, the picture that we are looking at here, I have to admit is a little bit
outdated. Of course, construction has of course been finalized for internal logistics, equipment is
up and running. We’re putting right now the finishing touches on this equipment.
This is a little bit a transition from the old facility as a little bit like, you know, an open heart
surgery. We cannot just stop everything and, you know, focus for two weeks on transitioning
everything from the old to the new facility. Therefore, we are going to stretch the transfer over an
extended period of time of six months or even a little bit more. We are right now in the process –
I’ve already mentioned that we shipped the first package to a customer in Italy on the 21st
October, many, many more that customer orders have left our new facility. Of course, since the
21st October, but why are we doing this? Why are we right now already transitioning the business
in our international markets from the old to the new facility? Well, we wanted and we need to
create space in our old facility to be in a position to fully handle the Q4 demand, but more
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importantly, to be ready for another expected jump in the month of January next year. We
wouldn’t have been able to do this if we hadn’t provided some relief already to the existing – to
the old facility.
In January, we are also going to start the new intralogistics equipment. We’re going to have a
much, much higher degree of automation for those of you who had visited our old facility, you
probably saw a very efficient, but almost completely manual process. In our new facility, we’re
going to have a much higher degree of automation. The degree of automation is going to get
close to 50% and this, of course over time is going to translate – it’s going to yield a lower cost
per customer order. The whole transition will be concluded in the second quarter next year and
the last country that is going to transition is our biggest and our most important market of course,
Germany. We want to be a hundred percent sure that the software works properly, that the
equipment works properly before we move orders from our customers in Germany.
Well, our new facility is not just about capacity, higher degree of automation and lower cost per
customer order, it’s also about providing and inspiring open space environment for our employees
that work in an office setting. You might remember that we moved the offices in the month of July
and I can tell you that that our workforce was – that the new office environment was very well
received. I dare to say, enthusiastically, received. Well, unfortunately at this point of time, many
of these employees are not in a position to benefit from the new open space environment for
obvious reasons. Many of them are working from home, but while they were here, we already
witnessed a higher degree of collaboration across departments, within departments and improved
communication flow.
Also, in this respect, again, this wasn’t important move for Shop Apotheke. And the new facility is
also an important step on our sustainability journey, but it’s only one step. I want to emphasize
again, that the management of Shop Apotheke, we are committed to sustainability, not because
it’s fashionable, not because some of you are making this an issue for us. We are fully convinced
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that this is the right thing to do and it’s our responsibility as a corporation to make our contribution.
Again, on the journey towards the sustainability, our efforts have already yielded, you know, a first
rating upgrade. You might have seen that our ESG MSCI rating was upgraded to triple B. Again,
that is not the key motivation for us, but it’s nice that our efforts are recognized also in this way over
the coming quarters and years, we will certainly share more tangible benefits and results that come
out of this sustainability initiative.
Well, talking about a journey, looking at our strategic journey and looking at what we are doing
today to make sure that our strategic ambitions will be filled with life, sustainability is part of our
strategy. But we also have a couple of key strategic initiatives that we want to share an update
with you on that we are starting with our own brands. You certainly remember that too, in 2018,
Shop Apotheke acquired new three functional food company based in Berlin. That business is
developing very nicely and I can say that this was certainly a very successful acquisition. The
management of team of [inaudible] is also in charge of developing our RedCare label. You might
remember, we started the RedCare brand in February with launching a nasal spray and
paracetamol, since then, many more products have been edited every quarter, and we’re going to
add more RedCare products in the – in the future. Our RedCare business is developing as we had
anticipated and it looks very promising for the future.
In terms of our marketplace, I’ve already alluded to this. We are looking at this in two dimensions.
First, we have our same day offering under the brand of Shop Apotheke now. Remember we had
a – we concluded, we successfully concluded a pilot program in the right rural area and we
continued offering same day in the right rural area that covers everything from the Bonn-Cologne
area, up to the – to the City of Dortmund. In the third quarter, we expanded our same day offering
to two additional metro areas in Germany to Munich and to Berlin, more metro areas are going to
follow until the end of the year. And next year, we’ll be in a position to cover all of the metro areas
in Germany with Shop Apotheke now. Of course, we’re not going to stop at the borders of
Germany, but again, that’s something we’ll talk more about in the future.
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In terms of the other dimension of our marketplace initiative, the product expansion, meaning us
offering a broader portfolio of healthcare related approach customers, again, we always come up
with the example of contact lenses, which we are not selling today as Shop Apotheke, but we’ll be
offering to our customers through a marketplace partner in the future, but there’s just one category
we’re making progress, we are on-boarding marketplace partners. We’ll go live in the coming
months. At this point of time, it is still a possibility that we might go live the first marketplace partners
before the end of this year.
In terms of our, you know, online doctors service and telemedicine corporation, you certainly
remember that we started our cooperation with Zava last year in December as a fulfillment partner.
Since March, our customers are able to access an online doctor consultation through the Shop
Apotheke customer journey with Zava and this is also the business is developing as we had
anticipated. We are already processing every day, hundreds of digital prescriptions that come out
of the corporation with Zava but the main focus at this point of time is on gaining experience,
understanding what works, what doesn’t work from a customer perspective and to continuously
enhance the product that we are offering to our customers.
And if I had to rank order the strategic initiatives on this list, of course, in terms of importance, the
one at the top of the list are the preparations for the introduction of e-prescriptions in Germany
based on everything that we’re hearing. And we are constantly talking to key players, to
[inaudible] remains on track with introducing the telematics infrastructure and the e-prescription
ad as we had anticipated. And of course, also our internal preparations are fully on track.
Talking a little bit more about our internal preparations. We already established a task force, we
call it the ERX [?], it’s first task force in 2019 to do what is necessary, to be ready for the
introduction of e-prescriptions. The task force is actually is an agile product team. Throughout
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this year, we have added participants to this task force, again, acknowledging that this is the
single most important initiative for Shop Apotheke.
We split the task force into two sub teams. The first one focuses on the front end, meaning to
ensure that we offer the best in class customer journey, not only for non-prescription products,
but also for the e-prescriptions going forward. Just last week as a management team, we looked
at the first set of click dummies to get an idea of what this customer journey is going to look like.
The second sub team focuses on the back end processes to make sure that all of our systems, all
of our processes are optimized for the launch of e-prescription.
Just to give you, you know, one example at our new facility here in Sevenum, we are introducing
a whole new warehouse management system. All the features that are required for handling the
e-prescriptions by a warehouse management system are already reflected in the software that is
about to go live.
For those of you who’ve been following Shop Apotheke for an extended period of time, you
remember that we are involved with RX [?] market and the RX business for almost 20 years.
Most of the experience came from Ahoop [?] Apotheke, which was fully integrated into Shop
Apotheke in 2017. We are also managing five patient support programs addressing five chronic
diseases under the brand label of Smart. Again, what I want to say is we don’t just understand
the markets but we also understand the needs of patients, of RX customers. And that will be
reflected in the customer journey that we’re going to offer.
Electronic prescriptions or let’s say digital prescriptions, another novelty for Shop Apotheke. I
already mentioned that today we are handling hundreds of digitally received prescriptions through
our corporation with Zava. Furthermore, when we get a paper prescription today – and you see
why I’m here on the left hand side, after we have opened the envelope, every data point on this
paper prescription is prints transferred into an electronic data set. So internally once this has
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happened, we are already handling digital prescriptions today. The picture that we always use is
that – and when you come to our facility, you’re not going to see anybody in our fulfillment center
that is walking around with a stack of paper prescriptions and then filling boxes. All this is already
handled electronically.
And last, but certainly not least, we’re constantly talking to all the players of almost all the players
in the market assessing where that makes sense for them, for us to join forces and to do
something together. And just in Q3, we joined the TK pilot, that is number one, a political
statement we want to make. Number two, we want to gain some experience because there are
some electronic prescriptions that will be received through the TK pilot, but also – and those of
you who are following all the pilot programs closely, you know that at this point of time, the
volume that is going through any of these pilots is very, very small.
Okay. So before I hand over to Jasper again, to walk you through our guidance update for 2020,
a quick regulatory update from our side. You might remember in August with the Q2 release, we
walked you through the legal framework and the timeline for the introduction of e-prescriptions, if
you have any questions, please go back. Everything that we said three months ago is still valid.
But now, of course, we’re talking about the VOASG, the law to strengthen local pharmacies in
Germany.
The law passed the lower house of the German parliament, Bundestag, at the end of December.
It’s very likely that it’s going to pass the upper house of the German parliament, the Bundestag at
the end of November. And sometime in December, the law will go into effect. That’s our
assumption at this point of time. Of course, the VOASG contains two stipulations that are
relevant for online pharmacies, the RX bonus ban [?], as well as the temperature control
requirements. Let me start with the temperature control requirements because that’s a little bit
more concise.
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And I just want to be crystal clear there, we are complying with all the requirements, the
temperature control requirements today. We will comply with all the temperature control
requirements in the future. We have carefully looked at the law and based on everything that we
have read, we don’t anticipate any or any significant impact on our operations, but also not on our
financial. So that is more a clarification the way we understand it.
Now, let’s talk about the RX bonus ban, that’s a little bit more controversial in nature. Let me start
by stating that we are 100% – we remain 100% convinced that this RX bonus ban is a violation of
European law. There are certain reasons, but I don’t want to speculate too much why the
German government went for the bonus ban. The non-compliance with European law was
emphasized by several legal experts during a hearing of the VOASG at the German – at the
Bundestag in September. But again, at this point of time, we are assuming that the bonus ban,
that the law will go into effect in December and the bonus ban will come into effect into
November.
However, what this means for us and how we are going to respond to this isn’t clear yet. We are
waiting for the response from the European Commission. The European Commission has – the
position was very clear in the past, but at the end of the day, we acknowledged that this is a
political decision. But again, if you ask me right now, our the assumption is that the European
Commission will initiate infringement proceedings against Germany. But again, that is out of our
hands.
Secondly, we’re waiting for the position that the statutory health insurers in Germany are going to
take. That is not clear yet. We know that in the past, they’re also explicit – we’re very explicit that
they think a bonus ban would be a violation of European law and they are committed to
complying with European law. But again, that is an unknown at this point of time.
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Just to be clear, we have not yet decided what we are going to do. Will we continue to offer
bonuses to our patients or will we stop offering bonuses to our patients? Depending on what the
European commission does. The position that the statutory health insurers are going to take, that
will be a risk and reward assessment that simply because these positionings are not known yet,
that we cannot do at this point of time.
But assuming, assume that we would stop offering the RX bonuses to our customers, what would
happen? Well, this is – this would not be the first time that we go through the experience
because until the European Court of Justice decision in 2016, we had several years when we
were not able and not in a position to offer RX bonuses to our customers. What we saw at the
time is that our RX business didn’t grow anymore. That is the best reference point for us at this
point of time.
But keep in mind, right now the growth driver for Shop Apotheke is our non-prescription business.
We grew by almost 40% in the third quarter, our RX business grew by quote unquote only ‘17%’,
but it’s probably a safe assumption that we’re not going to see a growth or any significant growth
if we decide not to offer RX bonuses to our customers anymore.
Last little reference point there. Keep in mind our competitors in Germany, the mail order
pharmacies in Germany, they haven’t been able for the last few years to offer any RX bonuses
and they also have a sizeable RX share. So that the RX bonus is certainly one driver of our RX
business but it’s not the only driver.
And before I hand over to Jasper to talk about our guidance update, keep in mind that the growth
reduction in the RX segment would be temporary in nature. This is all going to change with the
introduction of e-prescriptions starting next year. But then coming into full force in January 2022
with introduction of e-prescriptions, the use case, the primary use case for RX customers is going
to shift from being monetary in nature to being a convenient space.
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And with this, I’ll hand it over to Jasper to walk you through our guidance upgrade.
Jasper Eenhorst: Thanks, Stefan. Yeah, just one slide. And in these exceptional times we again
erase our guidance for the current year this morning. And the full year sales growth, we now
expect for the year to be north of 35%. And remember the total picture where at the start of the
year, it’s actually our third raise this year because at the start of the year, we have the guidance
of sales growth growing around 20%. Now we highered it to at least 20% then to at least 30%.
And as of this morning, we say it’s going to be north of 35%.
And at the same time before your adjusted EBITDA margin, we started the year with an ambitious
ambition to continue the very fast growth with also breaking even on the adjusted EBITDA level
instead of breaking even, which is around zero. This morning, we raised our guidance to the
expectation of an adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year of around the positive 2%.
And then the third bullet on this side, we continue to invest in customer acquisition. I basically
say it in simple words that we are at this moment in an intense situation and we are growing very
fast and existing customers buying more and we acquiring new customers. And from both
segments of customers, we got continuously very high customer satisfaction scores. And at the
same time, we are not ignoring the bottom line. We are also significantly improving there. And
what I want to express with this for [inaudible] continue the investment in growth is that we also
focus on all aspects of capacity to increase there and then all aspects of IT to increase there.
We go to the last bullet on the slide. That’s our long term target profitability. It’s EBIT, let’s say
that at this moment we are around an EBIT of a positive zero and our long term target profitability
remains unchanged in excess of 6% is our targets [?].
That’s it for the guidance. Let’s go to the Q&A. Okay?
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Another view by the way from our new facility, just to give you a flavor, we’re starting with a
question from OC. Could you give us a sense of the share of COVID-related products in your
sales mix? Yeah, Jasper?
Jasper Eenhorst Yeah. Hi, O. Thank you. I think the best summary is seeing the magnitude of
growth and the magnitude of the improvements, the impact of COVID-related assortment
excluding the one-off is a positive one, but it is magnitude of both. Yeah? Our growth in the same
ballpark – would’ve been in the same ballpark and our margin improvement also where we did
not have COVID-related assortment.
Stefan Feltens: Okay. So the next question is from MZ. 2020 organic growth was very high held by
COVID, will you be able to show positive organic growth next year assuming that the COVID tail
will disappear? So I’ll take this.
You know, we’re not talking about guidance for 2021 yet but we are committed to continue to
grow on our growth trajectory. Again, we got the same question after Q1, after Q2 and our
growth hasn’t abated yet. We have not gone to return to pre-COVID levels, so we feel very
confident that we’ll continue on our growth trajectory next year.
The next question is from XY. Logging into capacity needs beyond the new facility, can you
update us on the land? You may have already bought lease for facility number three which may
be necessary at some stage as ERX [?] become a reality in the future?
Jasper, do you want to?
Jasper Eenhorst: Okay. Thanks, U. We hope we’re going to be in that – having the need to
address this question in the near future. For now, we have a good capacity at our new facility.
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What is important is that with all the teams here internally, actually, we know now what’s the total
time is to get a new facility up and running, even the mechanized one, where are we making the
step change now. So we are well in time, we don’t have another [inaudible] yet but we feel very
comfortable and not an issue at all in any capacity where we think that is needed and we will do
so on and in time.
Stefan Feltens: So the next question is from A. Topic e- script, listening to [inaudible] and the PSX arose
with its e-health text subsidiary are starting the e-script earlier at broader scale venture property
and is this correct? Any comment on this would be appreciated.
Well, A, of course, we’re not commenting on, you know, what our competitor is doing or is not
doing. It’s a fact today that the number of prescriptions that are coming through these pilot
programs are very, very small. Again, it’s about gaining some experience. And all of these pilot
programs are going to go away with the introduction of the telematics infrastructure and the
introduction, the launch of the telematics to central e-prescription at – in Germany.
Jasper Eenhorst: Let’s go to another one please. Yeah.
Stefan Feltens: Done. Done?
Jasper Eenhorst: You can just take one.
Stefan Feltens: Can we go to the question from A.
Jasper Eenhorst: It is on.
Stefan Feltens: Can you please tell us CapEx guidance for 2020 and ‘21? Any change here?
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Jasper Eenhorst: The short answer is no, not any change but I can repeat also what the changes
here. We have only two elements of – that are significant in our CapEx that is IT. And that’s a
facility change [?] in total of the cash out for the new facility is 55 million of which two-thirds will be
in this year and one-third will be next year and change an IT similar to past years, but it will grow
in line with our sales growth.
I hope we will not achieve scale there. I hope we can invest as much as possible in IT, which is
both in line with IT. So all in all, excluding the facility, we are a typical e-commerce player that is
very low cost intensive, capital light.
Stefan Feltens: Let’s go to another question by somebody else. We have – let’s go to C. What level of
efficiency savings should the new fulfillment center provide once fully wrapped [?]? Jasper, do
you want to take this?
Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah. Do not talk about – thanks for your question, C. Do not go to guidance of
2021 yet, because the statement already says we don’t have that guidance yet. But the picture I
can share with you, we were very happy with reports of free year-over-year flat operational cost
as percentage of sales. And the expectation for the coming month – so let’s say quarter four,
quarter one, quarter two next year, I think it’s roughly – let’s assume the current level of our
operational costs when you see and so many deficiencies to start balance with the first efficiency
coming in from the utility. And after Q2 next year, we will see improvement is our expectation on
the operational cost as percentage of sales. This is an element you can get through to 6% EBIT
on the longer term if we don’t specify it.
Stefan Feltens: Question from M.
Jasper Eenhorst: This works well if the [inaudible].
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Stefan Feltens: Yeah, yes, yes. At current tax [?], what’s your projected payback time? And what level
of payback time would you decelerate marketing spending? What are your actions to make
clients – to make sure clients develop the habit to auto buy at Shop Apotheke?
Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah. M, thanks. Yeah. Also here if it’s not 20 years, then 10 years of
experience that we have here. This is what we do in the old day. We’re looking at customer
cohorts and based upon the cohorts, we predict what the customer life value of those customers
is. So we continuously take in decisions, what we want to spend in which marketing, yes or no,
and that way we optimize exact timings on payback, we don’t provide, exact cost of acquisition,
we also don’t provide. I only can tell you that in payback is not something like which is wishful
thinking. It is a very clear and in the foreseeable future balanced off cost of acquisition and
[inaudible].
Stefan Feltens: Okay. So we have a question from A. Congratulations on your Q3 run today. Thank
you. Two questions, if I may. Well, we’ll see. The first one regarding your RX growth rate and
strategy, I understand you’re not disclosing RX anymore, but could you give us more color on the
development in Q3? I thought, A, we gave color. Again, we increased versus last year our RX
business in Q3 by 17% and also on a year-to-date basis, the growth was also 17%. You might
remember we were above 20% in Q1 when people stacked up in preparation for COVID, we saw
a dip, if I remember, to 12% in the second quarter.
Jasper Eenhorst: 15%, yeah.
Stefan Feltens: 15% and it went up a little bit again to 17%. But the 17% is the number for both Q3 and
the first nine months.
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Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah, and A, you were right, it is on one of the free materials that we distributed today
but it was not very clear in there, it was unintentionally, but we are open on this, we release the RX
growth each quarter.
Stefan Feltens: Then – okay, let’s go with the second question in A’s writing. The second one will be on
your logistics limitation in Q4, could you give us more details on what products are moving and
what are the implications for your gross margin and expenses? So I’ll start with the type of products
we’re moving and then Jasper is going to say something about the gross margin and the expenses.
We are moving the international segment and the international segment in our new facility is
handled according to our ‘old processes’ meaning it’s a very manual process but as I mentioned
before, the intent is to free up capacity in our old facility to make sure that we can handle the Q4
demand but also the jump that we anticipate for Q1 next year.
Jasper Eenhorst: I think you settle – yeah, mathematically at the moment that there will be a bonus plan,
our gross margin will improve, that will happen there, but it’s more important now that we anticipate
all the possible scenarios that could take place of each one of them but there are also other
scenarios and – yeah. And as to expenses – and I think you will refer to the 2021 in the second
half of next year, we expect to see the efficiency from moving to the new [inaudible] would you go
to the S question I see there?
Stefan Feltens: So we have a question from T. What are the chances of newer laws being introduced?
And if so, what tools can the government use? I have to admit, I’m not 100% clear, the law that’s
on the table right now is the VOA SG and again, we’ve communicated that we assume that this law
will go into effect in in December, we have not yet decided how we are going to respond specifically
to the bonus ban.
Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah, and also from a border perspective, I think it’s fair to say that perhaps contrary
to what sometimes we believe is the insurance companies and also the governments are actually
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generally also in favor of a more competitive situation in the total healthcare system in Germany.
It’s not that they try to make our life more difficult, there’s of course a lobby for physical stores that
prefer if their online growth is slowing down but in general terms, there is not a situation where we
did that we don’t feel supported by the government.
Stefan Feltens: Well, we a question from T could you please comment on customer behavior of the cohorts
won in the COVID-19 period? Are churn rates similar versus previous cohorts?
Jasper Eenhorst: Well, we cannot say what the future could tell, we only know [inaudible] that there’s a
– I said in Q2 also, sometimes things are fairly simple. In this case, what is simple is that often,
high customer satisfaction relates to a high number – high loyalties or the low churn and that’s what
we are seeing until now and today is the best prediction for tomorrow but of course we don’t know
it for sure but everything is in green light here also with the specific customers gained from the
COVID-19 [inaudible] thanks, T.
Stefan Feltens: We have a question from [inaudible]. Could you please comment on the impact of the RX
ban voted last week by the Bundestag and how much does it represent of your turnover this year?
Well, I think we we’ve talked about the RX ban, in terms of the share of RX business, last year we
reported RX sales of €188 million. This year, I think it’s fair to say and safe to say we’re going to
be beyond €200 million and again, our assumption going back to when we experienced a bonus
ban in the past, is that it will be very difficult to grow this business. But again, that will change with
the introduction of e-prescriptions in ‘21 and then becoming mandatory in January ‘22.
Jasper Eenhorst: Can you go down a bit more because those persons, we already addressed the
questions from.
Stefan Feltens: Okay, then. Let’s go back up again to the top. Let’s go back. Yeah, let’s take the question
from D. [Inaudible] indicates there are two major consortiums launching marketplace based offers
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recent in Germany in cooperation with local pharmacies. Both of these have significant number of
local pharmacies who have agreed to join the platform, how much of a competitive risk do you think
is competitors are in ‘21 or ‘22? How material can their market share be in the medium term?
Well, I’ll, I’ll start and then Jasper, please chime in. This is a very dynamic environment, nobody –
admittedly, nobody knows exactly how is this all going to play out. I just want to emphasize, we
will continue and we’ll get even better at what we’ve been successful with in the past to focus on
the end customer, our ambition is to offer the best in class end to end customer journey for RX
customers going forward and we are confident that this will allow us to continue to gain market
share in the RX segment. We’re watching of course the activities of these consortiums very, very
closely but again, I don’t want to comment on competitors’ activities at this point of time.
Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah, very clear, nothing to add. Yeah, if you can go to the question of U please, I see
there. Are there any further risk of write-downs due to lower prices in Q4 or have you seen most
of it already? Thanks for the question, U. No, yeah, of course we did not like this item in the result
of quarter three but this is really – it will be a surprise if we have to take more in quarter four because
this is really our best estimate what we think the value of this decision should be. Yeah, I think we
take two more, because otherwise we’re really running out of time.
Stefan Feltens: We have a question from Y –
Stefan Feltens: We have a question from Y – let me go back, yes, can you comment on slower RX segment
please? 70% in the quarter seems a lot slower than the overall business. Thanks. Yes, Y, that is
correct but that is not – no news and that was the same in Q1, the same in Q2. We are growing
our RX business, that’s something that we are proud of but our non-RX business is growing at a
much faster pace. But again, that is something that we have also disclosed in the past. And we ’ll
take a last question.
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Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah, can go down a bit?
Speaker: H?
Jasper Eenhorst: Yeah, it’s good.
Speaker: Let’s go to the question from H.
Jasper Eenhorst: Oh, he doesn’t see the – sorry, H, you had technical difficulties. H, please know that
the presentation will also be on our website and also the entire presentation, the [inaudible] will
also be on the website. Sorry for that if you had any difficulties there. Let’s take a business
question.
Stefan Feltens: Then let’s go to one from – second question from O. This one, yes. Could you give us
some color on the cost differential for your order shipped on temperature-controlled conditions and
orders that are not shipped under temperature-controlled conditions? Please. There is a significant
cost differential obviously but again, we don’t think that – we are convinced that we don’t have to –
that we will not have to ship more of our deliveries under tight temperature control requirements,
meaning maintaining a cold chain throughout the delivery process in the future versus what we are
doing today.
Jasper Eenhorst: Anything else?
Stefan Feltens: Nope. Okay, then I want to thank everybody for joining us today. Again, I hope you agree
with us that this was a strong successful quarter for Shop Apotheke. Hopefully we gave you some
confidence that we are on track with our strategic initiatives, especially with our prescription – with
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our preparations for the introduction of e-prescriptions and again, if you have any further questions,
I’m sure you know how to reach us. Thank you very much.
Jasper Eenhorst: Thank you, Bye-bye. Yeah.