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1
Competition and Competition Policy in the Russian Federation
DGLN WorkshopMay 31, 2011
2
Plan of the presentation
1. Overview of implications2. Comparison of Performance and Competition in
Russia
3. Factors affecting competition levels within Russia4. Characteristics of Competition and Regulatory
Conditions in Selected Russian Sectors5. Competition Policy in Action: The Australian
Experience
3
Economy-wide interventionsTopic Recommendations Expected Impact
State aid and preferential treatments
Broaden the mandate on state aids regulation in order to – diminish state aid to particular firms and sectors.
Eliminate preferential treatments to state or municipality-owned corporations.
Create an inventory of state aid by beneficiary and evaluate distortions of competition of state aid (including tax arrears).
Level the playing field. Reduce favoritism and increase transparency.
Potential collusive behavior and discretion in tender process
Guaranteeing open and efficient tender process and reducing possibilities of collusion by introducing Certificates of Independent Bidding Determination and prohibitions to contract and participate in public procurement if a firm has participate in a cartel.
Reduce possibilities of collusion and corruption.
Reduce the cost of doing business in public procurement
Spillover effect: Construction Sector
4
Sector- specific interventionsTopic Recommendations Expected Impact
Self-regulations of business associations
Provide specific prohibitions towards self-regulations that facilitate price-fixing and limit entry,
Increase entry and reduce prices of services
Transport Eliminate price controls and government involvement in competitive sectors.
Reduce direct participation of the state in the provision of goods
Increase competition
Construction Provide a unified database of land plots with complete information about ownership and usage status or potential restrictions on future use.
Streamline the processes for registration, obtaining construction permits, and licensing schemes for each segment of the supply chain.
Review the impact on competition of the requirement that certain construction firms must have prior experience for similar, large scale projects before they could bid for a new contract.
Limit the benefits of informal relationships with local officials, currently possessed by certain construction firms
Increases incentives for entry and increases the number of participants.
5
(II)Comparison of Performance and Competition of the Russian Federation: How does Russia compare to other economies in the region?
6
Even though significant progress has been made in the last few years, Russia still lags behind ECA countries in the intensity of market competition.
Russia
ItalyGree
ce
Finlan
d
Portugal
Slove
nia
Hungary
Poland
Switze
rland
Slova
kia
Estonia
Norway
Spain
Denmark
France
Turke
y
Czech Rep
.
Austria
Belgium
German
y0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Intensity of local market competition
Portugal
RussiaGree
ce
Hungary
Slove
niaTu
rkey
Poland
Estonia
Slova
kiaSp
ain
Finlan
dFra
nce
Norway Ita
ly
Czech Rep
.
Denmark
Austria
Belgium
Switze
rland
German
y0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Extent of market dominance
7
The regulatory environment in Russia is also restrictive. State control is extensive…
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.53.094
Mean = 1.54
Product Market Regulation (2008)Index scale of 0-6 from least to most
restrictive
Russ
ian
Fede
ratio
nGr
eece
Turk
eyPo
land
Port
ugal
Slov
enia
Fran
ceBe
lgiu
mLu
xem
bour
gCz
ech
Repu
blic
Swed
enIta
lySw
itzer
land
Aust
riaEs
toni
aGe
rman
yHu
ngar
yNo
rway
Finl
and
Neth
erla
nds
Spai
nSl
ovak
Rep
ublic
Denm
ark0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
54.39
Mean = 2.41
State Control (2008)Index scale of 0-6 from least to most
restrictive
8
…and there are high barriers to trade and investment.
Turke
yGree
ce
Hungary
Czech Rep
ublic
Belgium
Finlan
dFra
nce
Norway
Switze
rland
Denmark Ita
ly
Netherl
ands
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1.78 Mean= 1.43
Barriers to Entrepreneurship (2008)Index scale of 0-6 from least to most re-
strictive
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.53.11
Mean=0.77
Barriers to Trade and Investment (2008)Index scale of 0-6 from least to most re-
strictive
9
The World Bank’s Trade Restrictiveness Index also ranks Russia’s trade policies as highly restrictive.
-
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.20
0.16
Mean = .06
Over All Trade Restric-tiveness Index
Index Scale 0 -1 ( 1 Most Restrictive)
-
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.15
Mean = .05
Mfg. Trade Restrictiveness Index
Index Scale 0-1 (1 Most Restrictive)
Norway
Kazakh
stanRussi
aTu
rkeyChile
Ukraine
Macedonia
Moldova
Armen
ia
Georgi
a
Azerbaija
n
Kyrgyz
Rep -
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.25 Mean=.16
Agri Trade Restrictiveness Index
Index Scale 0 -1 (1 Most Restrictive)
10
Prices for selected consumer products are higher than comparable prices in other countries within the region, controlling for GDP per capita, time effects and trade costs
• Empirical results for the period January 2005-July 2010 indicate that, on average, prices in Russia are approximately 20% higher than CIS counterparts.
• Differences in GDP per capita and import costs do not capture the difference in the level of prices.
• Countries with larger GDP per capita and higher import costs are associated with a higher price level in the economy for the products under analysis.
• Russian firms’ exhibit higher levels of price-cost margins compare to firms in the Region in manufacturing sectors.
0.5
11.
5D
ensi
ty
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1pcm2
0 1
Russia=1, Selected ECA countries=0
11
Russian firms’ register larger PCMs compared to the average of the region in every manufacturing sector except for food, garments and chemicals.
100.0
175.5
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Other manufacturing
Average158.9
264.4
0.050.0
100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.0450.0500.0
Esto
nia
Lith
uani
a
Serb
ia
Czec
h Re
publ
ic
Pola
nd
Rom
ania
FYRO
M
Kaza
khst
an
Turk
ey
Latv
ia
Russ
ia
Hung
ary
Bela
rus
Bulg
aria
Bosn
ia
Slov
akia
Textiles
Average
100.0
899.8
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
1200.0
1400.0Electronics
Average
12
(III)Factors affecting competition levels within Russia
13
Compared to Moscow city, price variation across Russian regions is substantial after controlling for both GRP per capita and distance.
Moscow City
Ivanovo
Voronezh
Lipetsk
Belgorod
Tambov
Khabaro
vsk
Magadan JA
R
Ossetia
Karach
ayKomi
Vologda
Pskov
AltaiRep
Tomsk
Irkutsk
Omsk
Astrakh
an
Sverd
lovsk
Yamalo
Nizhni
Perm
Tatarst
an
Udmurt
Orenburg
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
130%
North Caucasus
Central Far East-ern
Volga
Northwestern Southern UralSiberia
Price variation is also product-specific and varies among regions, suggesting that price levels are influenced by local conditions beyond the level of GRP per capita, population and distance from main markets.
Price variation among regions for selected products
*adjusted for GRP per capita, distance to district center, average household consumption, and time fixed effects
Chukotka
TransBaik
alAmur
Tyumen
Arkhan
gelsk
Krasnoya
rsk
Moscow
Karachay
Ivanovo
Mordovia Tu
va
Astrak
han
VoronezhKalu
ga
Dagest
an
Smolen
sk
Bryansk
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
Product: GasolineSector: Other
SakhalinSak
ha
Khanty
Sverd
lovsk
Vladim
ir
Irkutsk
Krasnodar Tve
r
Orenburg
Kaluga
Kurgan
Kabard
ino
Mordovia
Voronezh
Tatars
tanNizh
ni
Adygea
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Product: Mobile Connection FeesSector: Communication
14
Firm qualities differ in sectors with higher PCM in Russia
• Firms in sectors where Russia registers higher PCMS than regional counterparts tend to be:– older– larger in size– less likely to export– Invest less in R&D– more likely to operate in
local markets– (in some cases) less likely
to operate in a competitive market structure
Average PCM
Average Size
Average R&D intensity
Fragmented 0.46
High Differentiated 0.50chemicals 0.38plastics & rubber 0.52 53.5 1.8%fabricated metal products 0.48 60.7 1.9%
Low Differentiated 0.40textiles 0.46 22.0 0.5%garments 0.35 70.3 0.5%
Segmented 0.48
High Differentiated 0.49machinery and equipment 0.44 151.2 3.4%electronics 0.59 226.2 1.5%
Low Differentiated 0.48other manufacturing 0.48 134.9 0.3%food 0.42 139.4 0.5%non metallic mineral products 0.50 231.8 0.5%basic metals 0.49 1072.9 0.4%
Breakdown of manufacturing sectors according to market structure characteristics in Russia,#
15
16
The analysis of market structure within Russia at the geographic and product market level also reveals a high degree of concentration.
IngushetiaTransBaikalMoscowCity
AltaiRepKabardinoKemerovo
AdygeaIrkutsk
ArkhangelskNovgorod
ChelyabinskBelgorod
AltaiMagadanSmolensk
KhantyTver
PermPenzaKursk
Kaliningrad
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Number of dominant firms in regional markets
Source: Register of Dominant Firms – FAS
17
…which varies by region and sector
Source: Spark
MoscowSaint-Petersburg
Tver oblastPerm Krai
Rostov oblastVoronezh oblast
TatarstanIrkutsk oblastTomsk oblast
Karelia
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Textiles
Unconcentrated: <1500
Highly concentrated :
1500-2500
Moderately concentrated: 1500-2500
Unconcentrated: <1500
Highly concentrated :
1500-2500
Moderately concentrated: 1500-2500
MoscowSaint-Petersburg
Rostov oblastVoronezh oblast
Perm KraiTomsk oblast
Tver oblastTatarstan
Irkutsk oblast
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Electronics
Unconcentrated: <1500
Highly concentrated :
1500-2500
Moderately concentrated: 1500-2500
MoscowSaint-Petersburg
Perm KraiIrkutsk oblastTomsk oblast
Tver oblastVoronezh oblast
Rostov oblastTatarstan
Karelia
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Plastic and Rubber
Unconcentrated: <1500
Moderately concentrated: 1500-2500
HHI – concentration index
HHI – concentration index
HHI – concentration index
18
State control and government participation
• State ownership in Russia appears to be twice as large as in the EU-10 countries and state-owned enterprises command about 17% of the employment
• National, state, or provincial government controls at least one firm in 16 economic sectors
• State ownership is pronounced in infrastructure/network industries• Even though privatization of state-run companies is in the
government’s agenda, the government still controls the largest producers in many key sectors
• Meanwhile, the government’s dominance on the above industries is likely to continue given the existing barriers to trade and investment
19
Government actions limiting competition (I)An analysis of State aid and preferences data indicates that the use of aid by regional authorities varies widely across Russian regions.
Tyumen
Irkutsk
Sverdlovsk
Murmansk
Kursk
Tatarstan
Tula
Khanty Mansiy
sk
YamaloTomsk
Kaluga
Moscow
Voronezh0
10
20
30
40
50
60No. of Property State Aid Application
Approved (2008)
Approved Conditional Approval
Source: FASSource: FTS
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% More0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Distribution of Tax Arrears by Regionas a % of tax revenues
Num
ber o
f reg
ions
20
Government actions limiting competition (II)
Khanty-Mansi Autonomous OkrugYamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug
Sverdlovsk OblastSakha Republic
Khabarovsk KraiVolgograd Oblast
Rostov OblastLeningrad OblastSaint Petersburg
Kaliningrad OblastRepublic of KareliaMurmansk Oblast
Kaluga OblastMoscow
Yaroslavl OblastTver Oblast
Moscow OblastVoronezh Oblast
Tomsk OblastOmsk Oblast
Irkutsk OblastNovosibirsk Oblast
Kemerovo OblastRepublic of Tatarstan
Perm KraiSamara Oblast
Penza OblastUlyanovsk Oblast
Republic of MordoviaStavropol Krai
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Arrears in Selected Regions% tax revenues - 2010
North Caucasian District
Siberian District
Central District
North Western District
South Dis-trict
Far East Dis-trictUral Dis-trict
Volga District
Source: FTS
Tobacco Products
Oil Refinary
Mining
Hotels and restaurants
Transport
Real Estate
Metals and Fabricated Metal Products
Electricity, Gas and Water
Electrical and Optical Equipment
Manufacturing
Food and Beverages
Finance
Machinery Equipment
Construction
Retail and Wholesale Trade
Agriculture, Forestry, Hunting
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Distribution of Tax Arrears by Industryas a % of tax revenue
2011
Government actions limiting competition (III)
Source: FASPrivate cases include cases initiated under articles 10 and 11; Government cases include cases initiated under articles 15 and 16
• Actions of government bodies at the regional level also influence competition conditions in domestic markets.
• In the case of procurement and tender processes, the FAS detected that 60% of the violations for the period 2008-2009 were conducted at the regional and municipal level
• Anticompetitive practices in tendering processes have been targeted to foreclosure of new entrants and participants to the biddings
Irkutsk
Karachay-C
herkessi
a
Adygei
Novosib
irsk
Bryansk
Smolensk
KemerovoRosto
v
Lipetsk
Murmansk
Stavro
pol
Chelyabinsk
OmskYaku
t0%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Competition Cases 2009 – Anti-competitive Actions of Govern-
ment vs. Anticompetitive Practices
Total cases: Actions GovTotal Cases: Abuse and Private Agreements
Government actions - av-erage RF: 51%
21
22
(IV)Characteristics of Competition and Regulatory Conditions in Selected Russian Sectors
23
TRANSPORT
• A government entity controls at least one firm in the operation in:– transport infrastructure– air and rail passenger
transport services– air, rail, and road cargo
transport services. • Influence is extensive
through fares, cargo fees, infrastructure, and complementary markets Tu
rkey
Russ
ia
Mau
ritius
Paki
stan
Lith
uani
a
Mol
dova
Viet
nam
Nam
ibia
Zam
bia
Mon
golia
Peru
Keny
a
Chile
Hond
uras
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
9
Mean = 7
No. of Transport Segments with SOE
24
BANKING
Out of the ten largest banks in Russia, six are state-ownedBank Percentage of
banking assetsOwnership
Sberbank 23.7 State
VTB 8.0 State
Gazprombank 4.7 State
Rosselhozbank 2.9 State
Bank of Moscow 2.8 State
Alfa Bank 2.5 Private domestic
UniCredit Bank 2.1 Private foreign
Raiffeisenbank 2.1 Private foreign
VTB-24 2.0 State
Rosbank 1.7 Foreign
The asset share of foreign owned banks in the Russian banking sector is much smaller compared to that in neighboring countries
2003 2007 20080
10
20
30
40
50
60
7.4
17.218.7
47.150.9 51.1
Russia FSU, Average
Perc
ent
Source: Kalyuzhnova and Nygaard (2011)
25
CONSTRUCTION
• Construction is an important sector in the Russian economy, with the growth potential remaining high
• There are however competition constraints, in particular in the lack of level playing field between incumbents and new entrants
• Construction markets have characteristics prone to collusive and cartel behavior…
• …while licensing scheme for the operation in each segment of the supply chain is cumbersome
Russia
Macedonia
Bulgaria
Poland
Slovenia
Lithuania
Estonia
Czech Rep
Hungary -
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Dealing with Construction Permits
Cost (% of income per capita)Average
Cost
of C
onst
ructi
on (%
of i
ncom
e pe
r cap
ita)
Source: World Bank Doing Business Indicators
26
(V)Competition Policy in Action:The Australian Experience
27
The Australian Experience – “What”....
Developing a political consensus among Australia’s regional governments- Pressure from the business sectors exposed to international competition (agriculture and
large enterprises) pushed for reforms of nation-wide infrastructure (energy, ports).- Establishment of a formal Council of Australian Governments and continuous meetings with
all levels of government in special Premiers’ Conferences => creation of a formal institutional setting for cooperation on the reform agenda=> recognition of the importance of nationwide competition as a driver of enhanced productivity and higher living standards.
Australia’s competition oriented reforms happened in three waves:1. Increasing exposure to international market (early 90s)2. Development and Implementation of a National Competition Policy (NCP) (based on the
landmark Hilmer Report – mid 90s)3. Regular updates of the National Competition Policy (late 90s onwards)
Comprehensive reforms coordinated across all levels of government aimed to:– Reform all legislation that restrict competition– Implement a culture of “continuous improvement” in regulatory quality – Implement competitive neutrality for all govt. businesses– Provide third-party access to significant infrastructure facilities
28
• NCP ‘competition payments’ made from federal to state governments that implemented specific reforms
• Pecuniary penalties imposed on slow reformers (with reduced or delayed budget transfers from the central government)
• Payment represent the State’s share of additional revenue arising from the NCP
.... and “How”– The NCP’s incentive payments (I)
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1997-98 1999-2000 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06
AUD
mil
Actual payments Penalties
State government NCP payments and penalties
The NCP has reduced barriers to entry and exit and improved competitionIt is estimated to have increased GDP by 2.5% (excluding dynamic effects)
29
The NCP’s incentive payments (II)
• Queensland (2003)– Failure to address
anticompetitive restrictions in liquor licensing.
– 5% permanent deduction penalty of Queensland’s 2003-2004 competition payments
• Western Australia (2005)– Uncompleted plans for
water systems– 5% suspension penalty of
Western Australia’s 2005–2006 competition payments
– Reform goals were finally met in 2007 and suspended payments disbursed
Most states have met reform goals in competition policy on time…… but some cases of pecuniary penalties for slow reformers exist.
30
Australia’s Current National Reform Agenda (NRA)
• The NRA aims to build a seamless national economy by harmonising key regulations across jurisdictions
• Focused on energy, transport, regulatory reform, infrastructure, climate change and human capital
• Renewed focus on State partnerships with “National Partnership Payments” to incentivise state reforms (AUD450 mil)
• Three payment types:– Project: support specific projects– Facilitation: initiate reform in a
specific area– Reward: based on achievement
of reform benchmarks
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
less
rest
rictiv
e m
ore
rest
rictiv
e
Australia New Zealand US UK Euro-zone
ETCR
Result: Australia is a model reformer
Restrictiveness of Regulation in energy, transport and communications sectors
31
Economic Development: A General Conceptual Framework
The government can affect competition through:
Entry and exit regulations
Red tape and access to state aid (rivalry);
FDI and Trade Policy (International and Potential competition)
Regulation of Infrastructure and Service Sectors
Other Factors: Geography (Location,
Climate), Natural Disasters; Civil Wars; Other
External Shocks
Input Markets: Labor, Capital,
Technology, Land
Firm Productivity