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Page 1: Conducting
Page 2: Conducting

Marketing ManagementArab World EditionKotler, Keller, Hassan, Baalbaki and Shamma

Chapter 4

Conducting Marketing Research and Forecasting Demand

Page 3: Conducting

Chapter Questions

1. What constitutes good marketing research?

2. What are good metrics for measuring marketing productivity?

3. How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

4. How can companies more accurately measure and forecast demand?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-3

Page 4: Conducting

The Marketing Research SystemChapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-4

واعطاء : المعلومات وتحليل لجمع نظام خلق هى التسويق بحوث

االوضاع عن االجابات واعطاء المعلومات تلك حول هامة تقارير

الشركة وتواجه بالسوق المحيطة

P&G has a dedicated Consumer & Market Knowledge (CMK) market

research function.

Page 5: Conducting

The Marketing Research SystemChapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-5

البحث بمهمة للقيام خارجية بحوث شركات مع الشركات تتعاقد ما غالبا

انواع ثالث وهم : التسويقى

عامة : بحوث كاوضاع شركات العامة البحوث فى تتخصص التى وتلك

جهاز ) واالسعار والمستهلكين السوق

االحصاء التعبئة

متخصصة : تسويق بحوث بالتعاقد شركات تقوم التى الشركات وهى

ابسوس ) – ( شركة نيلسن شركة مثل عمولة او اجر نظير معين بحث على

تنفيذية : بحوث جمع شركات على الوحيدة مهمتها تقتصر شركات وهى

المعلومات وجمع الميدانية البحوث تنفيذ خالل من المعلومات

Page 6: Conducting

The Marketing Research SystemChapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

جمع اجل من ظريفة بطرق تقوم الصغيرة الشركات بعض

اقل بتكلفة : المعلومات

فعلية عمل ورش فى الجامعات فى والطالب االساتذة اشراك

االنترنت استخدام

المنافسين لمقار ميدانية زيارة

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-6

Page 7: Conducting

The Marketing Research ProcessChapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Effective marketing research

follows the six steps shows

in Figure 4.1.

Fig. 4.1: The Marketing Research Process

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-7

Page 8: Conducting

Step 1: Define the Problem and Research Objectives

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

المشكلة تحديد

البدائل تحديد

البحث اهداف

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-8

Page 9: Conducting

Step 2: Develop the Research Plan

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

حول قرارات اتخاذ إلى بحاجة ونحن البحث، خطة :لتصميم

البيانات :مصادر

البيانات؟ الثانوية أو األولية البيانات

تشمل - أن يمكن البحث :منهج

الرصدية البحوث

البحثية المجموعة التركيز

المسحية البحوث

السلوكية البيانات

التجريبي البحث

A focus group in session

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-9

Page 10: Conducting

Step 2: Develop the Research Plan

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

البحث ادوات تحديد يجب

االستبيانات

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-10

Page 11: Conducting

Question Types – اختيارين من اختيار

؟ تدخن هل

Yes No

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-11

Page 12: Conducting

With whom are you traveling on this trip?

No one

Spouse

Spouse and children

Children only

Business associates/friends/relatives

An organized tour group

Question Types – Multiple Choice

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-12

Page 13: Conducting

Indicate your level of agreement with the following statement: Small airlines generally give better service than large ones.

Strongly disagree

Disagree

Neither agree nor disagree

Agree

Strongly agree

Question Types – Likert Scale

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-13

Page 14: Conducting

Royal Jordanian Airlines

Large ………………………………...…….Small

Experienced………………….….Inexperienced

Modern……………………….…..Old-fashioned

Question Types – Semantic Differential

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-14

Page 15: Conducting

Airline food service is _____ to me.

Extremely important

Very important

Somewhat important

Not very important

Not at all important

Question Types – Importance Scale

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-15

Page 16: Conducting

Royal Jordanian Airlines’ food service is _____.

Excellent

Very good

Good

Fair

Poor

Question Types – Rating Scale

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-16

Page 17: Conducting

How likely are you to purchase tickets on American Airlines if in-flight internet access were available?

Definitely buy

Probably buy

Not sure

Probably not buy

Definitely not buy

Question Types – Intention-to-Buy Scale

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-17

Page 18: Conducting

What is your opinion of American Airlines?

Question Types – Completely Unstructured

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-18

Page 19: Conducting

What is the first word that comes to your mind when you hear the following?

Airline ________________________

Royal Jordanian __________________

Travel ________________________

Question Types – Word Association

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-19

Page 20: Conducting

When I choose an airline, the most important consideration in my decision is: ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________.

Question Types – Sentence Completion

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-20

Page 21: Conducting

“I flew by American Airways a few days ago. I noticed that the exterior and interior of the plane had very bright colors. This aroused in me the following thoughts and feelings.” Now complete the story. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Question Types – Story Completion

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-21

Page 22: Conducting

Question Types – Picture (Empty Balloons)

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-22

Page 23: Conducting

Step 2: Develop the Research Plan

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

(Decisions to make, continued):

• Sampling plan

o Sampling unit: Who is to be surveyed?

o Sample size: How many people should be surveyed?

o Sampling procedure: How should the respondents be chosen?

• Contact methods

o Mail questionnaire

o Telephone interview

o Personal interview

o Online interview Insights from Kraft-sponsored online communities helped the company

develop its popular line of 100-calorie snacks.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-23

Page 24: Conducting

Step 3: Collect the Information

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Data-collection phase is generally the most expensive and the most prone to error.

Problems collecting survey data include:

•Respondents not at home/not contactable

•Respondents refuse to cooperate

•Respondents give biased or dishonest answers

•Interviewers are biased or dishonest

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-24

Page 25: Conducting

Step 4: Analyze the Information

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Extract the findings by:

•Tabulating the data

•Working out averages and measures for spotting patterns

•Applying statistical techniques and decision models

•Testing different hypotheses and theories

•Applying sensitivity analysis to test strength of conclusions

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-25

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Step 5: Present the Findings

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Researcher presents findings relevant to the major marketing decisions facing management.

Researchers are often asked to add their opinion and recommendations, to act as consultants.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-26

Page 27: Conducting

Step 6: Make the Decision

Chapter Question 1:

What constitutes good marketing research?

Many organizations use a marketing decision support system (MDSS) to help marketing managers make better decisions.

A MDSS is a coordinated collection of data, systems, tools, and techniques with supporting software and hardware

by which an organization gathers and interprets relevant information

from business and the environment and turns it into a basis for marketing action.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-27

Page 28: Conducting

Measuring Marketing ProductivityChapter Question 2:

What are good metrics for measuring marketing

productivity?

Marketing metrics are the set of measures that helps

marketers quantify, compare, and interpret marketing

performance.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-28

Page 29: Conducting

Marketing Metrics

Chapter Question 2:

What are good metrics for measuring marketing

productivity?

Companies should ask themselves five questions to review how

they measure their marketing performance:

1.Do you routinely research consumer behavior (retention, acquisition, usage) and why consumers behave that way?

2.Do you routinely report the results of this research to the board in a format integrated with financial marketing metrics?

3.In those reports, do you compare the results with the levels previously forecasted in the business plans?

4.Do you also compare them with the levels achieved by your key competitor using the same indicators?

5.Do you adjust short-term performance according to the change in your marketing-based asset(s)?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-29

Page 30: Conducting

Table 4.6: Sample Marketing Metrics

Chapter Question 2:

What are good metrics for measuring marketing

productivity?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-30

Page 31: Conducting

Marketing-Mix Modeling

Chapter Question 3:

How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

Marketing-mix models analyze data from a variety of

sources, such as retailer scanner data, company shipment

data, pricing, media, and promotion spending data, to

understand more precisely the effects of specific marketing

activities.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-31

Page 32: Conducting

Marketing Dashboards

Chapter Question 3:

How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

• A customer-performance scorecard records how well the company is doing year after year on customer-based measures.

• A stakeholder-performance scorecard tracks the satisfaction of various constituencies who have a critical interest in and impact on the company’s performance including employees, suppliers, banks, distributors, retailers, and stockholders.

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-32

Page 33: Conducting

Box 4.1: Sample Customer-Performance Scorecard Measures

Chapter Question 3:

How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-33

Page 34: Conducting

Fig. 4.2: Marketing Measurement Pathway

Chapter Question 3:

How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-34

Page 35: Conducting

Fig. 4.3: Example of a Marketing Dashboard

Chapter Question 3:

How can marketers assess their return on investment of marketing expenditures?

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-35

Page 36: Conducting

Forecasting and DemandMeasurement

Chapter Question 4:

How can companies more accurately measure and

forecast demand?

The Measures of Market Demand

Fig. 4.4 shows 90 different types of demand measurement.

But there are productive ways to

break down the market, for example:

• Potential market

• Available market

• Target market

• Penetrated market

Fig. 4.4: Ninety Types of Demand Measurement

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-36

Page 37: Conducting

Chapter Question 4:

How can companies more accurately measure and

forecast demand?A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement

• Market demand

• Market forecast

• Market potential

• Company demand

• Company sales forecast

• Company sales potential

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-37

Page 38: Conducting

Chapter Question 4:

How can companies more accurately measure and

forecast demand?A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement

Fig. 4.5: Market Demands Functions

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-38

Page 39: Conducting

Chapter Question 4:

How can companies more accurately measure and

forecast demand?Estimating Current Demand

Marketing managers want to estimate:

• Total market potential

o Use: chain-ratio method

• Area market potential

o Use: market-buildup method, or multiple-factor index method

• Industry sales and market shares

o Identify competitors and estimate their sales

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-39

Page 40: Conducting

Chapter Question 4:

How can companies more accurately measure and

forecast demand?Estimating Future Demand

How do companies develop their forecasts?

• Survey of buyers’ intentions

• Composite of sales force opinions

• Expert opinion

• Past-sales analysis

• Market-test method

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Education 4-40

Page 41: Conducting

Credits

• Slide 1 Camera Press Ltd: Richard Wayman

• Slide 3 Press Association Images: Wilfredo Lee / AP

• Slide 8 Alamy Images: Adams Picture Library t / a apl

• Slide 24 Alamy Images: Jeff Greenberg

• Slide 34 “What does marketing success look like?”, Marketing Management, Vol 10 (1), pp.12–18, (Ambler, T.,

2001), copyright © American Marketing Association. Reproduced by permission of AMA and the author

• Slide 30 Adapted from Patrick LaPointe, Marketing by the Dashboard Light – How to Get More Insight, Foresight, and Accountability from Your Marketing Investments. © 2005,

Patrick LaPointe


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