1 © Nokia 2016
Q4 and FY 2016
Conference call
February 2, 2017
15:00 / Helsinki
08:00 / New York
2 © Nokia 2017
Disclaimer
It should be noted that Nokia and its business are exposed to various risks and uncertainties, and certain statements herein that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, those regarding future business and the financial performance of Nokia and its industry and statements preceded by “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “foresee,” “sees,” “target,” “estimate,” “designed,” “aim,” “plans,” “intends,” “focus,” “continue,” “will” or similar expressions. These statements are based on management's best assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to it. Because they involve risks and uncertainties, actual results may differ materially from the results that we currently expect. Factors, including risks and uncertainties that could cause such differences can be both external, such as general, economic and industry conditions, as well as internal operating factors. We have identified these in more detail on pages 69 to 87 of our annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015 under “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—Risk Factors“, our other filings with the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission and in our interim report issued on May 10, 2016, our half-year report issued on August 4, 2016, our interim report issued on October 27, 2016 and our full year report issued on February 2, 2017. Other unknown or unpredictable factors or underlying assumptions subsequently proven to be incorrect could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. We do not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.
In addition to information on our reported IFRS results, we provide certain information on a non-IFRS, or underlying business performance, basis. Non-IFRS results exclude all material special items for all periods. In addition, non-IFRS results exclude intangible asset amortization and other purchase price accounting related items arising from business acquisitions. We believe that our non-IFRS financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information to both management and investors regarding Nokia’s
underlying business performance by excluding the aforementioned items that may not be indicative of Nokia’s business operating results. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as substitutes to the equivalent IFRS measure(s), but should be used in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measure(s) in the reported results. A detailed explanation of the content of the non-IFRS information and a reconciliation between the non-IFRS and the reported information for historical periods can be found in Nokia’s respective results reports. Please see our issued interim reports for more information on our results and financial performance for the indicated periods as well as our operating and reporting structure.
Nokia is a registered trademark of Nokia Corporation. Other product and company names mentioned herein may be trademarks or trade names of their respective owners.
3 © Nokia 2017
Contents*
Introduction Slides 1-4
Nokia, reported Slide 5
Nokia, non-IFRS Slide 6
Nokia’s Networks business Slides 7-8
Ultra Broadband Networks Slide 9
IP Networks and Applications Slide 10
Nokia Technologies Slide 11
Group Common and Other Slide 12
Nokia change in net cash and other liquid assets Slide 13
Nokia Capital Structure Optimization Program Slide 14
Cost savings program Slides 15-16
*All comparisons to 2015 in this presentation, with the exception of Nokia’s reported financial performance, are made against the combined company historicals that reflect Nokia’s new operating and financial reporting structure, including Alcatel-Lucent, and are presented as additional information as described in the release published on April 22, 2016. For details on the combined company historicals, please refer to note 1, “Basis of Preparation” in the notes to the fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial report published on February 2, 2017.
4 © Nokia 2017
Presented by
Rajeev Suri
President and CEO
Kristian Pullola
CFO
5 © Nokia 2017
Nokia, reported
6 © Nokia 2017
7 057 5 181 5 228 5 322 6 069
413
198 194 353
309
254
236 271298
341
2 500
1 919 2 039 1 972
2 484
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
Nokia, non-IFRS
Q4 and Full Year 2016 Highlights
• Operating margin for Nokia’s Networks business at the high end of our guidance range for full year 2016.
• Non-IFRS net sales in Q4 2016 of EUR 6.7bn (reported: EUR 6.6bn). In the year-ago quarter, non-IFRS net sales would have been EUR 7.7bn on a comparable combined company basis (reported: EUR 3.6bn on a Nokia stand-alone basis).
• Non-IFRS diluted EPS in Q4 2016 of EUR 0.12 (reported: EUR 0.11) benefited by approximately EUR 0.02-0.03 due to the Q4 2016 non-IFRS tax rate coming in at 23% compared to our guidance.
• Non-IFRS diluted EPS in full year 2016 of EUR 0.22 (reported: negative EUR 0.13).
• Nokia’s Board of Directors will propose a dividend of EUR 0.17per share for 2016 (EUR 0.16 per share for 2015).
Networks business
Group Common and Other
Nokia Technologies
Net sales
EUR million
Networks services
Combined company
historicals
EUR million Q4'16 Q4'15YoY
changeQ3'16
QoQ change
Net sales – constant currency (non-IFRS)
(13)% 11%
Net sales (non-IFRS) 6 715 7 719 (13)% 5 950 13%
Nokia's Networks business 6 069 7 057 (14)% 5 322 14%
Nokia Technologies 309 413 (25)% 353 (12)%
Group Common and Other 341 254 34% 298 14%
Gross profit (non-IFRS) 2 818 3 272 (14)% 2 365 19%
Gross margin % (non-IFRS) 42.0% 42.4% (40)bps 39.7% 230bps
Operating profit (non-IFRS) 940 1 279 (27)% 556 69%
Nokia's Networks business 854 1 097 (22)% 432 98%
Nokia Technologies 158 311 (49)% 225 (30)%
Group Common and Other (73) (129) (101)
Operating margin % (non-IFRS) 14.0% 16.6% (260)bps 9.3% 470bps
7 © Nokia 2017
5 081 3 729 3 807 3 903 4 332
1 976
1 452 1 421 1 419
1 737
40.1 %38.3% 37.4% 37.2%
40.6%
15.5%
6.5%6.0%
8.1%
14.1%
0%
20%
40%
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
Nokia’s Networks business
Ultra Broadband Networks
IP Networks and Applications
GM%
OM%
Net sales and margins
Q4 and Full Year 2016 Highlights
• 14% year-on-year net sales decrease in Q4 2016, reflecting challenging market conditions in Q4 2016 and the difficult comparison against the strong performance by Alcatel-Lucent in Q4 2015.
• Strong Q4 2016 gross margin of 40.6% and operating margin of 14.1%, supported by continued focus on operational excellence and cost controls.
• Operating margin of 8.9% in full year 2016, at the high end of our guidance range of 7-9%.
Margin
Combined company
historicals
EUR million Q4'16 Q4'15 YoY change Q3'16 QoQ change
Net sales - constant currency (14)% 12%Net sales 6 069 7 057 (14)% 5 322 14%
Ultra Broadband Networks 4 332 5 081 (15)% 3 903 11%IP Networks and Applications 1 737 1 976 (12)% 1 419 22%
Gross profit 2 466 2 830 (13)% 1 982 24%Gross margin % 40.6% 40.1% 50bps 37.2% 340bpsR&D (932) (1 011) (8)% (882) 6%SG&A (688) (761) (10)% (669) 3%Other income and expenses 8 39 (79)% 1 700%Operating profit 854 1 097 (22)% 432 98%
Ultra Broadband Networks 574 702 (18)% 326 76%IP Networks and Applications 280 396 (29)% 106 164%
Operating margin % 14.1% 15.5% (140)bps 8.1% 600bps
EUR million
8 © Nokia 2017
Nokia’s Networks business
19%
22%
10%7%
10%
32%
Asia-Pacific Europe
Greater China Latin America
Middle East & Africa North America
Q4 2016 Q4/2015-Q4/2016
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
Asia-Pacific Europe Greater
China
Latin
America
Middle East
& Africa
North
America
EUR million
Net sales by geographic area
9 © Nokia 2017
Net sales and marginsUltra Broadband Networks
Mobile Networks
Fixed Networks
GM%
OM%
4 382 3 116 3 185 3 318 3 787
698
613 622 585
544
37.8 %35.9% 35.5% 35.5%
38.1%
13.8%
6.3% 6.0%8.4%
13.3%
0%
20%
40%
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
EUR million Margin
Q4 2016 Highlights
• The year-on-year decrease in Ultra Broadband Networks net sales in the fourth quarter 2016 was due to Mobile Networks and Fixed Networks.
• The decrease in Mobile Networks net sales was primarily due to radio networks and, to a lesser extent, services and converged core networks, partially offset by advanced mobile networks solutions. The decrease in Fixed Networks net sales was primarily due to broadband access, services and digital home. Approximately 50% of the year-on-year decrease was related to two specific customers, with one customer completing a large project in Asia-Pacific and another customer reducing its level of spending in Latin America.
• On a year-on-year basis, in the fourth quarter 2016, Ultra Broadband Networks operating profit decreased primarily due to lower gross profit, partially offset by lower R&D and SG&A expenses.
• The decrease in Ultra Broadband Networks gross profit was primarily due to lower gross profit in both Mobile Networks and Fixed Networks. The decrease in gross profit in both Mobile Networks and Fixed Networks was primarily due to lower net sales, with gross margin remaining solid on a year-on-year basis.
• The decreases in Ultra Broadband Networks R&D and SG&A expenses were primarily due to Mobile Networks. The decrease in Mobile Networks R&D and SG&A expenses was primarily due to lower personnel expenses, primarily reflecting progress related to Nokia’s cost savings program and, to a lesser extent, lower incentive accruals.
Combined company
historicals
EUR million Q4'16 Q4'15YoY
changeQ3'16
QoQchange
Net sales - constant currency (15)% 9%Net sales 4 332 5 081 (15)% 3 903 11%
Mobile Networks 3 787 4 382 (14)% 3 318 14%Fixed Networks 544 698 (22)% 585 (7)%
Gross profit 1 650 1 920 (14)% 1 386 19%Gross margin % 38.1% 37.8% 30bps 35.5% 260bpsR&D (596) (682) (13)% (577) 3%SG&A (488) (552) (12)% (479) 2%Other income and expenses 8 16 (50)% (4)Operating profit 574 702 (18)% 326 76%Operating margin % 13.3% 13.8% (50)bps 8.4% 490bps
10 © Nokia 2017
Net sales and marginsIP Networks and Applications
IP Routing Applications & AnalyticsOptical Networks
GM% OM%
930 717 713 697 814
512
377 375 351
459
535
359 333 372
464
46.1%44.5%
42.3% 42.0%
47.0%
20.0%
7.1% 5.9%7.5%
16.1%
0%
25%
50%
0
1 000
2 000
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
EUR million Margin
Combined company
historicals
EUR million Q4'16 Q4'15YoY
changeQ3'16
QoQchange
Net sales - constant currency (12)% 20%Net sales 1 737 1 976 (12)% 1 419 22%
IP/Optical Networks 1 274 1 441 (12)% 1 048 22%IP Routing 814 930 (12)% 697 17%Optical Networks 459 512 (10)% 351 31%
Applications & Analytics 464 535 (13)% 372 25%Gross profit 816 911 (10)% 596 37%Gross margin % 47.0% 46.1% 90bps 42.0% 500bpsR&D (336) (329) 2% (305) 10%SG&A (200) (209) (4)% (191) 5%Other income and expenses 0 23 (100)% 5 (100)%Operating profit 280 396 (29)% 106 164%Operating margin % 16.1% 20.0% (390)bps 7.5% 860bps
Q4 2016 Highlights
• The year-on-year decrease in IP Networks and Applications net sales in the fourth quarter 2016 was due to both IP/Optical Networks and Applications & Analytics.
• The decrease in IP/Optical Networks net sales was due to both IP routing and optical networks. In the fourth quarter 2016, Applications & Analytics net sales declined year-on-year primarily in Europe and North America, where the spending environment remained challenging and large projects signed in 2015 neared completion.
• On a year-on-year basis, in the fourth quarter 2016, IP Networks and Applications operating profit decreased primarily due to lower gross profit and, to a lesser extent, due to a net negative fluctuation in other income and expenses.
• The decrease in IP Networks and Applications gross profit was due to both IP/Optical Networks and Applications & Analytics. The decrease in gross profit in IP/Optical Networks was primarily due to lower net sales. The decrease in gross profit in Applications & Analytics was due to lower net sales. This was partially offset by higher gross margin, primarily due to tight control of other direct cost and variances.
11 © Nokia 2017
EUR million Q4'16
Combined company
historicalsQ4'15 YoY change Q3'16 QoQ change
Net sales - constant currency (25)% (13)%Net sales 309 413 (25)% 353 (12)%Gross profit 287 409 (30)% 341 (16)%Gross margin % 92.9% 99.0% (610)bps 96.6% (370)bpsR&D (70) (73) (4)% (65) 8%SG&A (63) (33) 91% (50) 26%Other income and expenses 4 7 (43)% 0Operating profit 158 311 (49)% 225 (30)%Operating margin % 51.1% 75.2% (2 410)bps 63.7% (1 260)bps
Net sales and marginsNokia Technologies
413 198 194 353 309
99.0% 98.5%96.4% 96.6%
92.9%75.2%
53.5%
45.9%
63.7%
51.1%
0%
50%
100%
0
200
400
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
Q4 2016 Highlights
• The year-on-year decrease in Nokia Technologies net sales in the fourth quarter 2016 was primarily related to the absence of non-recurring adjustments totaling approximately EUR 200 million resulting from the settled arbitration which benefitted the year-ago quarter and, to a lesser extent, lower licensing income from certain existing licensees that experienced decreases in handset sales. This was partially offset by higher net sales related to an expanded IPR license agreement, divested IPR and the acquisition of Withings.
• The year-on-year decrease in Nokia Technologies operating profit was primarily due to lower gross profit and higher SG&A expenses, partially offset by lower R&D expenses.
• The decrease in Nokia Technologies gross profit was due to lower net sales and lower gross margin. The lower gross margin was primarily due to a higher proportion of digital health and digital media net sales, both of which carry a lower gross margin than patent and brand licensing.
• The decrease in Nokia Technologies R&D expenses was primarily due to lower patent portfolio costs, partially offset by higher investments in the areas of digital media and digital health.
• The increase in Nokia Technologies SG&A expenses was primarily due to higher marketing costs in digital health, as well as increased licensing activities.
EUR million Margin
GM%
OM%
12 © Nokia 2017
EUR million Q4'16
Combined company
historicalsQ4'15 YoY change Q3'16 QoQ change
Net sales - constant currency 29% 10%Net sales 341 254 34% 298 14%
Gross profit 64 32 100% 41 56%
Gross margin % 18.8% 12.6% 620bps 13.8% 500bpsR&D (73) (77) (5)% (70) 4%
SG&A (58) (58) 0% (61) (5)%
Other income and expenses (6) (25) (76)% (11) (45)%
Operating loss (73) (129) (43)% (101) (28)%
Operating margin % (21.4)% (50.8)% 2 940bps (33.9)% 1 250bps
Net sales and marginsGroup Common and Other
254 236 271 298 341
12.6%11.0%
22.5%
13.8%18.8%
(50.8%)
(41.9%)
(25.1%)
(33.9%)
(21.4%)
(60%)
(30%)
0%
30%
0
200
400
Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016
EUR million Margin
GM%
OM%
Q4 2016 Highlights
• The year-on-year increase in Group Common and Other net sales in the fourth quarter 2016 was primarily due to Alcatel Submarine Networks and, to a lesser extent, Radio Frequency Systems.
• On a year-on-year basis, in the fourth quarter 2016, Group Common and Other operating loss decreased primarily due to higher gross profit and a net positive fluctuation in other income and expenses.
• The increase in Group Common and Other gross profit was primarily due to Alcatel Submarine Networks and, to a lesser extent, Radio Frequency Systems.
• Group Common and Other other income and expenses was an expense of EUR 6 million in the fourth quarter 2016, compared to an expense of EUR 25 million in the year-ago quarter. On a year-on-year basis, the change was primarily due to the absence of an approximately EUR 20 million loss recorded in the fourth quarter 2015, which related to certain of Nokia’s investments made through its venture funds.
13 © Nokia 2017
Nokia change in net cash and other liquid assets(EUR billion)
14 © Nokia 2017
3.0 3.0 3.0
0.9 0.9 0.9
0.6 0.6 0.6
0.6 0.6
1.51.0
0.2
0.9 0.9
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Total Program as announced on
October 29, 2015
Total Program as announced on
October 27, 2016
Completed through Q4 20162016 dividend
Share buyback
Share buyback – Cash used to acquire Alcatel-Lucent securities prior to the buy-out offer
Special dividend
2015 dividend
De-leveraging
Nokia EUR 7 billion Capital Structure Optimization Programall figures approximate, in EUR billion
~
~
>
15 © Nokia 2017
Cost savings programall figures approximate, in EUR million
The following table summarizes the financial information related to our cost savings program, as of the end of the fourth quarter 2016. Balances related to previous Nokia and Alcatel-Lucent restructuring and cost savings programs have been included as part of this overall cost savings program as of the second quarter 2016.
~
16 © Nokia 2017
Cost savings program
The following table summarizes our full year 2016 results and future expectations related to our cost savings program and network equipment swaps.
~
In full year 2016, the actual total cost savings benefitted from lower incentive accruals, related to the financial performance in full year 2016. Lower incentive accruals drove more than half of the higher than previously expected decrease in total costs in 2016, and this is expected to reverse in 2017, assuming full year 2017 financial performance in-line with our expectations. On a cumulative basis, Nokia continues to be well on track to achieve the targeted EUR 1.2 billion of total cost savings in full year 2018. To the extent that our actual full year 2016 charges and cash flows deviated from our previous expectations, future expectations have been adjusted accordingly.