17
17 September, 2008 WMS Congestion Report Isabel Flores
17 September, 2008WMS
Congestion Report
Isabel Flores
WMS17 September, 2008 2
Background
• Provide trend of local congestion costs and deployments
• Costs shown in millions with values provided for June and July
– OOMC
– OOM Down
– LBE Down
– OOM Up
– LBE Up
– RPRS
• MCPE trend
• Inter-zonal costs
WMS17 September, 2008 3
OOMC 2007 vs. 2008 - $M
Million$ South North Houston West
June / July 2007
1.41 / 0.64 0.54 / 0.15 0.35 / 0.02 0.08 / 0.05
June / July 2008
0.23 / 0.23 0.94 / 3.20 0.24 / 0.54 2.72 / 0.07
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 4
OOMC 2007 vs. 2008 – deployments
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 5
OOM Down 2007 vs. 2008 - $M
Million$ South North Houston West
June / July 2007
0.01 / 0.00 0.03 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00 0.34 / 0.00
June / July 2008
0.05 / 0.20 0.34 / 0.15 0.00 / 0.02 2.53 / 2.71
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 6
OOM Down 2007 vs. 2008 - deployments
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 7
Balancing Energy Down 2007 vs. 2008 - $M
Million$ South North Houston West
June / July 2007
1.01 / 0.71 1.73 / 0.17 0.01 / 0.00 0.02 / 0.35
June / July 2008
1.19 / 0.27 0.40 / 0.23 0.00 / 0.03 0.86 / 0.20
$0
$2
$4
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 8
Balancing Energy Down 2007 vs. 2008 - deployments
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 9
OOM Up 2007 vs. 2008 - $M
Million$ South North Houston West
June / July 2007
1.24 / 0.60 0.11 / 0.04 0.08 / 0.04 0.34 / 0.15
June / July 2008
0.67 / 0.47 0.14 / 0.18 0.04 / 0.01 0.31 / 0.01
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 10
OOM Up 2007 vs. 2008 - deployments
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 11
Balancing Energy Up 2007 vs. 2008 - $M
Million$ South North Houston West
June / July 2007
0.40 / 0.21 0.06 / 0.03 0.01 / 0.00 0.00 / 0.00
June / July 2008
0.59 / 0.62 0.10 / 0.10 0.00 / 0.03 0.14 / 0.00
$0
$1
$2
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 12
Balancing Energy Up 2007 vs. 2008 - deployments
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 13
Local Congestion Costs 2001-2008
Million$ OOMC LBEDN LBEUP OOM Down OOM Up
2007 44.35 18.80 5.65 30.31 30.27
2007 thru July 29.33 11.75 4.10 15.20 23.40
2008 thru July 26.45 6.33 3.64 28.41 6.53
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
OOMC
LBEDN
LBEUP
OOMDN
OOMUP
WMS17 September, 2008 14
Replacement Reserve
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08
South North Houston West
WMS17 September, 2008 15
Replacement Reserve
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08
thousand$ Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2008 thru July 17.6 91.14 490.13 252.12 988.64 2325.21 1876.60
WMS17 September, 2008 16
MCPE 2003-2008
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
WMS17 September, 2008 17
Inter-zonal Congestion Costs 2007-2008
Million$ N_S N_W W_N S_N N_H
2007 0 5.1 4.4 (1.5) 39.8
2007 thru July 0 2.4 0.3 (0.2) 19.8
2008 thru July 138.3 11.5 98.8 (18.3) 92.0
$(20)
$(10)
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Millions N_S
N_W
W_N
S_N
N_H
