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Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing- Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization Controversy
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Page 1: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 14

Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization Controversy

Page 2: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-2

The Balance of Payments Account

General considerations

Page 3: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-3

Table 14.1

Page 4: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-4

The Balance of Payments Account

General considerations A hypothetical illustration: deficits and debts

Page 5: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-5

Table 14.2

Page 6: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-6

Table 14.3

Page 7: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-7

Table 14.4

Page 8: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-8

Financing and Reducing Payments Deficits

Some initial policy issues Recent trends in LDC balance of payments

Page 9: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-9

Table 14.5

Page 10: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-10

The Debt Crisis of the 1980s

Background and analysis

Page 11: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-11

Third World Debt Crisis

dDFN

DrdrDdDBT )(

Net capital inflow, FN, is

Where d is percent increase in total debtD is total debtr is the average interest rate

Basic transfer, BT, is

(14.1)

(14.2)

Page 12: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-12

Third World Debt Crisis

Background and analysis Dimensions of the crisis

Page 13: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-13

Table 14.6

Page 14: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-14

Table 14.7

Page 15: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-15

Figure 14.1

Page 16: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-16

Attempts at Alleviation: Macroeconomic Instability, IMF Stabilization Policies, and Their Critics

The IMF stabilization program (see appendix 14.1 for an analysis of the IMF and the World Bank)

Tactics for debt relief Has the debt problem disappeared?

Winners and losers Conclusions

Page 17: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-17

Concepts for Review

Amortization Balance of payments Basic transfer Brady plan Capital account Capital flight Cash account Conditionality

Current account Debt-for-equity swaps Debt-for-nature swaps Debtors’ cartel Debt repudiation Debt service Deficit

Page 18: Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 14 Balance of Payments, Developing-Country Debt, and the Macroeconomic Stabilization.

Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 14-18

Concepts for Review (cont’d)

Euro External debt Hard currency International reserve

account International reserves IMF Macroeconomic

instability

Restructuring Special drawing rights

(SDRs) Stabilization policies Structural adjustment

loans Surplus World Bank


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