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Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components...

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Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au sol » en France et en Allemagne : coûts et conditions 27 Novembre 2019 Franck AL SHAKARCHI – Chef de Service Systèmes Electriques et Stockage - CEA
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Page 1: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS)

OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au sol » en France et en Allemagne : coûts et conditions27 Novembre 2019Franck AL SHAKARCHI – Chef de Service Systèmes Electriques et Stockage - CEA

Page 2: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

ABOUT TECHNOLOGICAL RESEARCH AND SOLAR ACTIVITIES AT CEA

Page 3: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

Technological

ResearchFrench economic

Competitiveness

4 500 employees

600 M€

600 patents/year

MICRO &

NANOTECHNOLOGIES

NEW ENERGY &

NANOMATERIALS

SMART DIGITAL

SYSTEMS

Page 4: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

Silicon

Cristallization

Wafering

High efficiency

Cells

Innovative

Modules

Solar

Mobility

Smart electrical

Systems & grids

Storage selection

& management

Energy efficiency for buliding

BIPV

Organic

& pervoskite PV

PV plants and

systems

Solar Technology Department

Page 5: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

COSTS AND EVOLUTIONS OF COMPONENTS AND SUBSTRUCTURES (BOS)

Page 6: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

References

• CRE:• Coûts et rentabilités du grand photovoltaïque en métropole continentale, FÉVRIER 2019

• EU –JRC:• Jäger-Waldau, A., PV Status Report 2018, EUR 29463 EN, Publications Office of the European Union,

Luxembourg, 2018, ISBN 978-92-79-97465-6, doi:10.2760/826496, JRC113626

• FRAUNHOFER:• Q1 2019 - PHOTOVOLTAICS REPORT

• IRENA:• IRENA (2019), Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2018, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu

Dhabi.

• NREL:• Fu, Ran, David Feldman, and Robert Margolis. 2018. U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System Cost Benchmark: Q1 2018.

Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-6A20-72399.• Fu, Ran, Timothy Remo, and Robert Margolis. 2018. 2018 U.S. Utility-Scale Photovoltaics-Plus-Energy Storage

System Costs Benchmark. Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-6A20-71714.

• Scientific paper:• VARTIAINEN ET AL. Impact of weighted average cost of capital, capital expenditure, and other parameters on

future utility‐scale PV levelised cost of electricity

Page 7: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• BOS = everything except PV modules• Components: Structures, trackers, converters, cables, safety, grid

connection,…

• Installation: civil works, mechanical and electrical assembly,…

• Other costs to be considered for CAPEX:• Soft costs: engineering and system design, permitting, financing costs,…

• Other component associated to PV plants: Energy Storage Systems

Components and substructures (BOS)

Page 8: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• In France, for plants planned to be commissionned in 2020:• Average of 700, 800, 900, 1000€/kWp for 30, 15, 10 et 5 MWp

• CAPEX variation around average: +/- 20%

• Decrease of about 30% since 2017-2018

• In Germany, CAPEX ~10% lower• Estimation based on LCOE : similar LCOE with less production

CAPEX of utility-scale PV plants – France and Germany

Page 9: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• Based on 2018 data:• USA similar to Germany, 10% lower than France

• Italy, China, India: 10-15% lower than Germany, 20-25% lower than France

• In 2020, lowest CAPEX < 500/kWp for some places

• Could reach 250-350 €/kWp

CAPEX of utility-scale PV plants – other countries

Different from NREL estimation: 1,13€/Wp in 2018 Similar to Germany

VARTIAINEN ET AL

Page 10: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• Inverters: 50-70€/kWp in France• 30% lower in the USA BUT should be similar now 30€/kWp

• Electrical BOS: 80-220€/kWp in France• Similar in the USA

• Structures: 110-180€/kWp in France• 20-30% lower in the USA

Cost of components – utility-scale PV plants

Page 11: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• -40% since 2017-2018

Cost of inverters - evolutions

Page 12: Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) · Costs and evolutions of components and substructures (BOS) OFATE - Appels d’offres « centrales photovoltaïques au

• CAPEX as low as 300€/kWh, all included, for 4-h ESS

• Could reach 100-150€/kWh in 2030

CAPEX for Energy Storage Systems

VARTIAINEN ET AL


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