State of the System Report2015 SPACE COASTTRANSPORTATION PLANNINGORGANIZATION
TAC/CAC | October 10, 2016 TPO Board | October 13, 2016
• Demographic• Transit• Freight and Ports• Roadway Traffic Volumes• Safety
2
Trends and Existing ConditionsAgenda
Corridor Analysis• Overview• LRTP Review• Corridor Analysis• Baseline Countywide Trends
COUNTYWIDE TRENDS & EXISTING CONDITIONS
Demographic Trends• County had 1.65% growth rate from 2014 to 2015
Highest annual growth rate since 2006 (1.27%)• County population increased by 6,000 between 2006 and 2015• Population of 69+ continued increase and population of 17 and younger increased slightly from 2014
Population Growth Rates
Population Age Trends
4
Transit Trends• Fixed route transit ridership increased by 2.1% from 2014 to 2015
Pre-2014, increases between 10% and 20%• 4th year of decreases in demand response ridership (-10.3%)• Vanpool 2nd year of decreases in ridership (-8.6%)• Overall network had -0.4% decrease (first decrease since transit ridership has been reported)
Transit Ridership
5
Freight TrendsTruck traffic volumes decreased on roadways• -0.30% along I-95• -20% along SR 528• -1% along Regional roadways
6
Truck Traffic Volumes
• Cruise passengers remained steady
• Cargo tonnage increased by 25% from 2014 to 2015
Port Canaveral Trends
7
Port 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2014 to
2015 Change (%)
Port Canaveral 4,548 3,905 3,875 3,362 4,207 25.13%
Port Manatee 9,000 9,000 8,000 8,000 8,000 0.00%
Port of Jacksonville 8,128 8,237 8,179 8,300 8,200 -1.20%
Port of Miami 8,282 8,108 7,981 7,700 8,614 11.87%
Port Everglades 22,088 22,116 22,452 23,273 24,001 3.13%
Port of Tampa 34,263 33,908 34,910 36,218 37,371 3.18%
Total Cargo Tons 86,309 85,274 85,397 86,853 90,393 4.08%
Annual Cruise Passengers
Annual Port Cargo
Melbourne International Airport TrendsMelbourne International Airport passengers increased by 2.65%
8
Airline Passengers
• NASA partnering with SpaceX and Boeing to restart manned space missions – first scheduled for mid-2017• Missions/launches per year expected to more than double by 2020
Kennedy Space Center Trends
9
Space Missions
10
Busiest Roadways – North • US 1 in Cocoa and Titusville• SR 520 from Cocoa to Cocoa Beach• Courtenay Parkway• SR A1A in Cocoa Beach and Cape Canaveral
Traffic Volumes
11
Busiest Roadways – South• Pineda Causeway• US 1 from Melbourne to Rockledge• Wickham Road and US 192• SR A1A in Indian Harbour Beach• Palm Bay Road and portions of Malabar Road
Traffic Volumes
12
Busiest Intersections• Wickham/Minton Road – 6• US 192 – 5• Palm Bay Road – 4• SR 520 – 3
Busiest Intersections
Intersection with Traffic Volumes > 47,500
Congestion
88% of congestion on roadways is less than an hour 13
Duration of Congestion
Countywide Crash Data Observations – 2011 to 2015
14
• 40,212 crashes from 2011 to 2015, 8.9% increase from 2010 to 2014• Vulnerable road user and impaired driving crashes increased by more than 50%• Distracted driving crashes more than doubled between the two 5 year periods, possibly due to emphasis in reporting and increased cell phone usage while driving• 3.0 and 6.1 fatal crashes per million VMT on SIS and non-SIS, respectively (increase from last year)
• 97 along SIS facilities (81 involving a motorcycle)• Increase from 87 between 2010 and 2014• 2,148 along non-SIS facilities – 464 pedestrian , 630 bicycle, and 1,054 motorcycle• Increase of 32% from 2010 and 2014• SR A1A had 8 of the top 25 crash frequency segments (not including intersections), down from 9 in 2010 to 2014
Vulnerable Road User Safety –2011 to 2015
15
16
• Demographic trends show the highest Countywide population growth since 2006• Traffic volumes increased in correlation with the population increase
Gas prices were the lowest in the past 5 years, $0.25 to $1 lower per gallon than in previous years • Overall transit ridership continued to plateau after seeing record passenger increases pre-2013• Overall crashes, vulnerable road user crashes, and fatal crashes per million VMT saw increases over the previous 5 years
Summary of Trends
CORRIDOR ANALYSIS
• Analysis focused on bridging gap between LRTP and Project Priorities• Reviewed 7 LRTP goals/measures along 20 primary E-W and N-S corridors• First year of analysis, setting the “baseline”• Performance monitoring of system –compare future years to the baseline and track the trends in relation to the goals/measures
Corridor Analysis Overview
18
Measure Desired Trend# of High Tech Jobs
% Regional Roadways with Congestion% Evacuation Routes Monitored% Roadways with Existing/Proposed ITS InfrastructureAnnual Transit RidershipAnnual Ped/Bike CrashesAnnual Overall Crashes
LRTP Goals/Measures Reviewed
19
North/South• Babcock Street• Minton/Wickham Road• SR A1A• Lake Andrew/Stadium/Fiske• 3 segments of US 1• Courtenay ParkwayEast/West• Malabar Road• Palm Bay Road• US 192• Ellis Road/NASA Boulevard• Eau Gallie Boulevard• SR 520• SR 405• SR 406/Garden Street
Corridors Analyzed
20
Analysis Corridors
Corridors with Largest Number of High Tech Jobs• US 192 from Wickham to US 1• Wickham Road from NASA to Aurora• Babcock Street from University to ApolloCorridors with Lowest Number of High Tech Jobs• Malabar Road from Jupiter to Minton and Corey to US 1• SR 406 from I-95 to Singleton• Minton Road from Malabar to US 192
High Tech Jobs
21
High Tech Jobs
Corridors with High Congestion• Wickham Road from NASA to Lake Washington, Post to Pineda, Target to Murrell• Malabar Road Jupiter to Minton, San Filippo to Babcock• Minton Road from Emerson to Palm BayCorridors with Low Congestion• SR 406 from I-95 to US 1• SR 405 from SR 50 to Space Commerce Way• Ellis Road/NASA Boulevard from John Rodes to US1
Roadway Congestion
22
Segment with High Congestion
Roadway Congestion
Top Routes with No Monitoring• N Courtenay Parkway from Pioneer to Space Commerce Way• SR A1A from Palm Springs to the 1-way pairs• Babcock Street from Micco to CharlesTop Routes with Only Proposed Monitoring• SR A1A from US 192 to Palm Springs and the 1-way pairs to St. Lucie• US 1 from University to Cherry, Forrest to Michigan, and SR 50 to Grace• SR 405 from I-95 to Park
Evacuation Route Monitoring
23
Evacuation Route Monitoring
Top Corridors with No Infrastructure• Babcock Street from Micco to Malabar• SR 520 from SR 524 to I-95• Malabar Road from Babcock to US 1Top Corridors with Only Proposed Infrastructure• SR A1A from US 192 to the 1-way pairs• US 1 from SR 405 to Main• SR 405 from US 1 to Space Commerce Way• N Courtenay Parkway from SR 528 to Space Commerce Way
ITS Infrastructure
24
ITS Infrastructure
Top Corridors with No Transit• SR 405 from I-95 to Space Commerce Way• N Courtenay Parkway from Crockett to Space Commerce WayCorridors with Highest Ridership• Eau Gallie Boulevard from Pineapple to SR A1A• SR 520 from Friday to SR A1A• SR A1A from Pineda to Central
Transit Ridership
25
Transit Ridership
Corridors with Highest Ped/Bike Crash Frequency• SR A1A from Shepard to N Atlantic• Wickham Road from Sarno to Aurora• Babcock Street from Charles to Palm BayCorridors with Lowest Ped/Bike Crash Frequency• SR 405 from SR 50 to Space Commerce Way• Ellis Road/NASA Boulevard from John Rodes to US 1• SR 406 from I-95 to US 1
Pedestrian/Bicycle Crashes
26
Pedestrian/Bicycle Crashes
Corridors with Highest Crash Frequency• Wickham Road from US 192 to Lake Andrew• Babcock Street from Micco to Apollo• SR A1A from Pineda to CentralCorridors with Lowest Crash Frequency• SR 405 from SR 50 to Space Commerce Way• SR 406 from I-95 to US 1
Overall Crash Frequency
27• Ellis Road/NASA Boulevard from John Rodes to US 1
Overall Crashes
Corridor Analysis ResultsRoadway
Babcock:Micco – ApolloMalabar:Jupiter – US 1Palm Bay/RJ Conlan:Minton – US 1 N/AMinton:Malabar – US 192US 192:I-95 – SR A1AEllis/NASA:John Rodes – US 1 N/AUS 1: RJ Conlan – Aurora Eau Gallie: I-95 – SR A1ASR A1A: US 192 – Pineda Wickham: US 192 – Lake Andrew
Roadway
Lake Andrew/Stadium/Fiske: Wickham – SR 520 N/ASR A1A:Pineda – CentralSR 520:SR 524 – CocoaSR 520:Cocoa – Merritt IslandSR 520:Merritt Island – SR A1AUS 1:Barnes – Canaveral GrovesCourtenay: Cone – Space CommerceSR 405: SR 50 – Space Commerce No ServiceUS 1: SR 405 – Dairy SR 406: I-95 – US 1
Corridor Analysis Results
RoadwayEllis/NASA: John Rodes – US 1 5 1 0SR 520: Cocoa – Merritt Island 5 2 0SR 405: SR 50 – Space Commerce 5 0 1SR 406: I-95 – US 1 5 0 2SR 520: Merritt Island – SR A1A 4 1 2Wickham: US 192 – Lake Andrew 4 0 3Lake Andrew/Stadium/Fiske: Wickham – SR 520 3 2 1Eau Gallie: I-95 – SR A1A 2 5 0US 1: Barnes – Canaveral Groves 2 5 0US 192: I-95 – SR A1A 2 3 2US 1: SR 405 – Dairy 2 3 2Babcock: Micco – Apollo 2 1 4SR A1A: Pineda – Central 2 1 4Palm Bay/RJ Conlan: Minton – US 1 1 3 2Minton: Malabar – US 192 1 4 2SR 520: SR 524 – Cocoa 1 4 2SR A1A: US 192 – Pineda 1 3 3Courtenay: Cone – Space Commerce 1 2 4US 1: RJ Conlan – Aurora 0 5 2Malabar: Jupiter – US 1 0 3 4
Corridor Analysis Summary
30
Measure Desired Trend 2015 Baseline
# of High Tech Jobs 114,043 Jobs% Regional Roadways with Congestion 12.4%% Evacuation Routes Monitored 75.6%% Roadways with Existing/Proposed ITS Infrastructure 88%Annual Transit Ridership 2.8 Million RidersAnnual Ped/Bike Crashes 165.9 CrashesAnnual Overall Crashes 4,386 Crashes
Baseline Countywide Trends
QUESTIONS ?