+ All Categories
Home > Documents > COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability...

COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability...

Date post: 25-Feb-2021
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
24
May 2020 COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020
Transcript
Page 1: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

May 2020

COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020

Page 2: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

2

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020

Caveat and Disclaimer This study is published by the Society of Actuaries (SOA), LL Global, and Oliver Wyman and contains information from a variety of sources. The study is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional or financial advice. The SOA does not recommend or endorse any use of the information provided in this study. The SOA makes no warranty, express or implied, or representation whatsoever and assumes no liability in connection with the use or misuse of this study. Copyright © 2020 by the Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc. and Oliver Wyman. All rights reserved.

AUTHORS

Scott Campion, Partner, Oliver Wyman Cynthia S. MacDonald, FSA, MAAA, SOA Marianne Purushotham, FSA, MAAA, LIMRA Kristin Ricci, Partner, Oliver Wyman

Page 3: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

3

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

CONTENTS

Section 1: Introduction ...................................................................................................................................... 4

Section 2: Survey Highlights ............................................................................................................................... 5

Section 3: ALM Survey Questions and Response Detail ...................................................................................... 6 3.1 Top Concerns for ALM ..................................................................................................................................... 6 3.2 ALM Scenarios ................................................................................................................................................ 10 3.3 ALM Strategy .................................................................................................................................................. 15 3.4 Investment Strategy ...................................................................................................................................... 19 3.5 Communication and Monitoring ................................................................................................................... 20

Section 4: Acknowledgments ........................................................................................................................... 22

About The Society of Actuaries ........................................................................................................................ 23

About LIMRA ................................................................................................................................................... 24

About Oliver Wyman ....................................................................................................................................... 24

Page 4: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

4

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

COVID-19 ALM Survey Summary of Results

Section 1: Introduction The Society of Actuaries (SOA) has partnered with LIMRA, Oliver Wyman, and the American Council of Life Insurers (ACLI) to conduct a series of ‘sprint’ surveys on the COVID-19 pandemic and its potential impacts on the insurance industry.

The COVID-19 pandemic infection has greatly affected the economy, resulting in volatile market conditions. Because market conditions greatly impact the value of insurance companies’ assets and liabilities, the fourth survey in this series focused on best practices around asset and liability management (ALM). The survey was directed at actuaries, investment managers, and risk managers directly involved in assessing the impact of recent events on ALM. Responses to the survey were collected between April 22-28, 2020. Thirty-two companies responded to the survey. Highlights of the survey responses are found in Section 2 and a summary of results for each question in the survey is found in Section 3.

Page 5: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

5

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

Section 2: Survey Highlights This survey covers topics related to the effect of COVID-19 on ALM.

Top Concerns for ALM: Two-thirds of the companies are concerned or very concerned about the impact of low interest rates on ALM for their company. Twice as many respondents are very concerned about the impact of low rates for the life insurance industry (~47%) vs. the impact of low rates for their company (~22%). When asked about the areas that low interest rates could impact, over half were either concerned or very concerned about new business margins (62%), Statutory earnings (59%), and new business sales (56%). When asked about ALM related challenges, most companies were concerned or very concerned about reinvestment yields (66%), new business yields (62%), credit migration (56%), and default risk (56%).

ALM Scenarios: About 85% of the companies use management scenarios to evaluate and set ALM strategies and over two-thirds use other deterministic and real-world stochastic scenarios. Management scenarios are defined as internal scenarios used for planning or other management decisions. About two-thirds of the companies anticipate the 10-year and 30-year treasury rates to be in the range of 0.5-1% and 1-1.5%, respectively, by year-end for their base case scenario. About one-third of companies expect a negative 10-year treasury rate at the end of 2020 in their worst case scenario and 19% expect a negative 30-year treasury rate. More than one-half of respondents take credit migration into account in their management scenarios. About 60% of respondents are considering running negative rate scenarios in sensitivity testing.

ALM Strategy: More than half of companies characterize their ALM in-force strategy as duration matched. For the 34% of companies that are not duration matched, inability to source long-duration assets and management position on interest rates were the most common contributing factors. Eighty-four percent of respondents use the same ALM strategy for new business as for in-force.

Investment Strategy: More than half of respondents have changed their investment strategy or are planning to change their investment strategy if recent conditions continue for the next several years. Of those who have changed or are planning to change, most cited higher-yielding assets classes and industry/sector allocations as areas to change.

Communication and Monitoring: Companies have not significantly changed their monitoring frequency for asset duration, liability duration and short-term cash balances. Companies have increased their monitoring frequency for policyholder behavior activities such as new premium deposits, policy loans, withdrawals and lapses. The majority of companies have received questions from senior management, the board of directors, rating agencies and regulators regarding their ALM position and strategy.

Page 6: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

6

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

Section 3: ALM Survey Questions and Response Detail

3.1 TOP CONCERNS FOR ALM

3.1.1 HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU ABOUT THE IMPACT OF LOW INTEREST RATES ON ALM FOR YOUR COMPANY?

3.1.2 HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU ABOUT THE IMPACT OF LOW INTEREST RATES ON ALM FOR THE LIFE INSURANCE INDUSTRY?

7

15

7

3

00

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Very concerned Concerned Somewhat concerned A little concerned Not at all concerned

# of

Com

pani

es

15

11

6

0 00

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Very concerned Concerned Somewhat concerned A little concerned Not at all concerned

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 7: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

7

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.1.3 WHAT ARE YOU CONCERNED ABOUT RELATED TO THE IMPACT OF LOW INTEREST RATES ON ALM FOR YOUR COMPANY?

* Other category includes default risk, intrinsic value, strategic issues, liquidity, and capital markets volatility

3.1.4 HOW CONCERNED IS YOUR COMPANY ABOUT INFLATION RISK OVER THE NEXT 2-3 YEARS?

2

5

7

2

3

4

5

3

1

13

13

5

6

8

14

8

1

10

6

7

11

5

6

3

2

4

8

5

9

7

5

1

8

2

4

28

1

2

2

5

2

13

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Other*

New business sales

New business margins

Rating

Internal capital metrics

Regulatory capital

Stat earnings

GAAP earnings

# of Companies

Very concerned Concerned Somewhat concerned

A little concerned Not at all concerned Not applicable

0

2

7

15

8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Very concerned Concerned Somewhat concerned A little concerned Not at all concerned

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 8: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

8

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.1.5 HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU ABOUT THE FOLLOWING ASSET AND LIABILITY-RELATED CHALLENGES FOR YOUR COMPANY?

1

1

7

6

1

11

8

6

1

2

3

4

8

12

6

10

12

12

9

4

5

12

6

9

6

6

8

7

7

9

4

13

10

13

5

6

7

3

4

3

9

10

8

7

3

2

1

3

1

3

4

14

3

5

1

1

9

1

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Market-value adjustments mechanics

Liquidity risk (including lapse,withdrawals & increased loan activity)

Additional premiums (flexible premiumproducts)

Ability to support inforceguarantees/margins

Default risk

Hedging options/cost

Reinvestment rates

New business yields

Credit migration

Credit spread volatility

Short-term liquidity

# of Companies

Very concerned Concerned Somewhat concerned

A little concerned Not at all concerned Does not apply

Page 9: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

9

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.1.6 IN QUESTION 3.1.5, YOU INDICATED YOUR COMPANY HAS SOME LEVEL OF CONCERN REGARDING THE FOLLOWING ITEMS. WHICH ITEMS ARE YOU PLANNING TO TAKE ACTION TO ADDRESS? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

3.1.7 IN QUESTION 3.1.5, YOU SAID THAT YOUR COMPANY IS CONCERNED ABOUT ADDITIONAL PREMIUMS FOR FLEXIBLE PREMIUM PRODUCTS. HAS YOUR COMPANY ENFORCED CONTRACTUAL LIMITS ON NEW PREMIUMS IN THE PAST WHERE APPLICABLE?

3.1.8 IN QUESTION 3.1.5, YOU SAID THAT YOUR COMPANY IS CONCERNED ABOUT ADDITIONAL PREMIUMS FOR FLEXIBLE PREMIUM PRODUCTS. HOW OFTEN IS YOUR COMPANY REVIEWING NEW PREMIUM DEPOSIT ACTIVITY IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT? Response Categories: Most common response was weekly.

5

0

2

10

7

12

12

11

12

14

11

4

0 5 10 15

Not planning to take action on any now

Other

Market- value adjustments mechanics

Liquidity risk (incl lapse, wthdrwls & incrd loan activity)

Additional premiums (flexible premium products)

Ability to support inforce guarantees/ margins

Default risk

Hedging options/ cost

Reinvestment rates

New business yields

Credit migration

Credit spread volatility

# Companies

2

3

0

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

Yes No

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 10: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

10

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.2 ALM SCENARIOS

3.2.1 WHAT TYPES OF INTEREST RATE SCENARIOS DOES YOUR COMPANY USE TO EVALUATE AND SET ALM STRATEGIES? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

3.2.2 HAS YOUR COMPANY REVISED ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS FOR THIS YEAR TO ADDRESS RECENT MARKET CONDITIONS?

27

13

2322

9

1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Managementscenarios

Forward curve Otherdeterministic

scenarios

Real-worldstochasticscenarios

Risk-neutralstochasticscenarios

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

21

8

3

00

5

10

15

20

25

Yes, have changed No, but planning to change No, and not planning tochange

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 11: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

11

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.2.3 FOR YOUR COMPANY’S “BASE CASE SCENARIO”, WHAT IS YOUR COMPANY ANTICIPATING FOR THE FOLLOWING METRICS FOR ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS?

3.2.4 FOR YOUR COMPANY’S “WORST CASE SCENARIO”, WHAT IS YOUR COMPANY ANTICIPATING FOR THE FOLLOWING METRICS FOR ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS?

1

1

1

1

1

13

2

28

1

1

2

13

1

1

6

1

21

3

3

1

7

20

7

1

9

12

8

1

9

1

5

2

7

1

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Credit defaults (BBB one-yeardefaults at the end of 2020)

Credit spreads (BBBspreads at the end of 2020)

Credit defaults (Single A one-yeardefaults at the end of 2020)

Credit spreads (Single Aspreads at end of 2020)

Interest rates (30-yeartreasury at end of 2020)

Interest rates (10-yeartreasury at end of 2020)

# of Companies

< 0% 0-0.5% 0.5-1% 1-1.5%

1.5-2% 2-3% 3-5% 5+%

2

1

1

1

6

10

5

2

13

3

4

12

9

3

7

10

15

10

5

8

6

4

7

6

3

3

1

2

5

1

7

1

6

4

2

4

1

2

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Credit defaults (BBB one-yeardefaults at the end of 2020)

Credit spreads (BBBspreads at the end of 2020)

Credit defaults (Single A one-yeardefaults at the end of 2020)

Credit spreads (Single Aspreads at end of 2020)

Interest rates (30-yeartreasury at end of 2020)

Interest rates (10-yeartreasury at end of 2020)

# of Companies

< 0% 0-0.5% 0.5-1% 1-1.5%

1.5-2% 2-3% 3-5% 5+%

Page 12: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

12

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.2.5 DOES YOUR COMPANY ACCOUNT FOR CREDIT MIGRATION IN ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS?

3.2.6 DOES YOUR COMPANY USE A MARKET LONG-TERM INTEREST RATE EXPECTATION IN ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS?

17

15

14

15

15

16

16

17

17

18

Yes No

# of

Com

pani

es

21

11

0

5

10

15

20

25

Yes No

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 13: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

13

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.2.7 IN QUESTION 3.2.6, YOU SAID THAT YOUR COMPANY USES A MARKET LONG-TERM INTEREST RATE EXPECTATION IN ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS. WHAT IS YOUR COMPANY’S LONG-TERM RATE ASSUMPTION FOR TREASURIES? Response Categories:

• Under 3%: 5 companies • 3% but less than 4%: 6 companies • 4% but less than 5%: 4 companies • 5% or greater: 6 companies

3.2.8 IN QUESTION 3.2.6, YOU SAID THAT YOUR COMPANY USES A MARKET LONG-TERM INTEREST RATE EXPECTATION IN ITS MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS. OVER WHAT TIME PERIOD DO RATES REVERT TO THIS LEVEL? PLEASE PROVIDE RESPONSE IN WHOLE YEARS. Response Categories:

• Under 10 years: 4 companies • 10 years but less than 15 years: 10 companies • 15 years or more: 7 companies

Page 14: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

14

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.2.9 MANY COMPANIES ARE RUNNING MORE SENSITIVITIES IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT THAN IN PAST YEARS. WHAT SCENARIOS IS YOUR COMPANY CONSIDERING IN ITS SENSITIVITY TESTING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

3.2.10 IF YOUR COMPANY IS NOT CONSIDERING NEGATIVE TREASURY RATE (10 YEAR) SCENARIOS FOR MANAGEMENT SCENARIOS, WHY NOT? Response Categories:

• Believe it is unrealistic for the long-term: 6 companies • Under consideration/reviewing system capabilities: 8 companies • Fed view is that 0 percent is the floor: 5 companies

2

4

18

6

8

17

18

4

8

12

24

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

None of the above

Other

Rising rates & increased lapses

Negative treasury rates (10 year) over longer term with currentspreads (potential negative corporate bond rates)

Negative treasury rates (10 year) over longer term with spreadswidening

Negative treasury rates (10 year) over short term with currentspreads

Lower bond rates with lower long-term capital marketassumptions

Lower bond rates with inflationary conditions for health care butlower inflation for non-health care items

Lower bond rates with general inflationary conditions

Lower bond rates, spreads tightening for next decade

Lower bond rates, spreads tightening for next 1-3 yrs

# Companies

Page 15: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

15

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.3 ALM STRATEGY

3.3.1 HOW WOULD YOU CHARACTERIZE YOUR COMPANY’S CURRENT ALM STRATEGY FOR IN-FORCE?

3.3.2 IF YOUR COMPANY IS NOT DURATION MATCHED FOR IN-FORCE, WHAT FACTORS CONTRIBUTE TO THIS? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

17

11

1

3

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Duration matched Not duration matched(liabilities longer than

assets)

Not duration matched(assets longer than

liabilities)

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

6

7

3

5

2

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Management positionon interest rates

Inability to sourcelong-duration assets

Preference forshorter-duration asset

classes

Use of equity to matchlong-duration liabilities

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 16: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

16

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.3.3 IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING ON CHANGING ITS ALM STRATEGY FOR IN-FORCE?

3.3.4 HOW IS YOUR COMPANY CHANGING / PLANNING TO CHANGE ITS ALM STRATEGY FOR IN-FORCE?

32

43

20

0

5

10

15

20

25

Yes, have changed No, but planning tochange in light of

currentpandemic/market

environment

No, but planning tochange even prior to

the most recentpandemic/market

environment

Other Not planning tochange

# of

Com

pani

es

3

2

1

3

0

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

Reducing duration gap overthe short term

Reducing duration gap overthe long term

Allowing greater durationgap

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 17: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

17

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.3.5 DOES YOUR COMPANY USE THE SAME ALM STRATEGY FOR IN-FORCE AND NEW BUSINESS?

3.3.6 HOW WOULD YOU CHARACTERIZE YOUR COMPANY’S CURRENT ALM STRATEGY FOR NEW BUSINESS?

27

5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Yes No

# of

Com

pani

es

5

0 0 00

1

2

3

4

5

6

Duration matched Not duration matched(liabilities longer than

assets)

Not duration matched(assets longer than

liabilities)

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 18: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

18

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.3.7 IS YOUR COMPANY PLANNING ON CHANGING ITS ALM STRATEGY FOR NEW BUSINESS?

0 0 0

5

00

1

2

3

4

5

6

Yes, have changed No, but planning tochange in light of

currentpandemic/market

environment

No, but planning tochange even prior to

the most recentpandemic/market

environment

Not planning tochange

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 19: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

19

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.4 INVESTMENT STRATEGY

3.4.1 IS YOUR COMPANY CHANGING ITS INVESTMENT STRATEGY IF RECENT CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS?

*Other is companies where this is still under consideration or the company is unsure.

3.4.2 HOW IS YOUR COMPANY CHANGING / PLANNING TO CHANGE ITS INVESTMENT STRATEGY? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

7

11

7 7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Yes, have changed No, but planning to change Not planning to change Other*

# of

Com

pani

es

5

9

10

2 2

10

2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

More liquidassets

Higher creditquality assets

Higher-yieldingasset classes

Increased use ofderivatives

Increased use ofequities

Change toindustry/sector

allocations

Other

# of

Com

pani

es

Page 20: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

20

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.5 COMMUNICATION AND MONITORING

3.5.1 WHAT HAS BEEN YOUR COMPANY’S MONITORING FREQUENCY FOR THE FOLLOWING FACTORS BEFORE AND DURING COVID-19?

4

1

4

1

3

2

3

3

22

18

1

5

4

9

1

11

3

6

1

12

4

6

3

2

2

5

4

13

19

13

16

10

10

7

12

2

6

3

4

10

11

3

8

4

11

7

11

3

4

2

5

20

19

11

12

2

3

1

2

4

1

3

4

6

1

1

4

4

6

6

2

1

1

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Lapse levels - during

Lapse levels - before

Withdrawal levels - during

Withdrawal levels - before

Policy loan activity - during

Policy loan activity - before

New premium on flexiblepremium products - during

New premium on flexiblepremium products - before

Cash, cash equivalent and shortterm investment balances -

during

Cash, cash equivalent and shortterm investment balances -

before

Liability portfolio duration -during

Liability portfolio duration -before

Asset portfolio duration - during

Asset portfolio duration - before

# Companies

Daily Weekly Monthly Quarterly Annually Other

Page 21: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

21

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

3.5.2 HAS YOUR COMPANY RECEIVED QUESTIONS ON THE IMPACT OF THE CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT ON ITS ALM POSITION AND STRATEGY FROM ANY OF THE FOLLOWING STAKEHOLDER GROUPS? PLEASE SELECT ALL THAT APPLY.

3.5.3 WHAT QUESTIONS IS YOUR COMPANY BEING ASKED REGARDING THE IMPACT OF THE CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT ON ITS ALM POSITION AND STRATEGY FROM THESE STAKEHOLDER GROUPS?

• Impact of low interest rates • Degree of duration mismatch and plans to mitigate • Liquidity • New asset classes • Policy changes for new business • Stress scenarios • Exposure to various risk classes • Investment strategy questions in general • Estimated capital impacts in current environment • Earning implications

21

25

16

19

8

4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Board Seniormanagement

Regulators Rating agencies Investors/analysts None of the above

# of

Com

pani

es

Stakeholder Group

Page 22: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

22

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

Section 4: Acknowledgments

The SOA, LIMRA, and Oliver Wyman would like to thank the industry Low Interest Rate Task Force (established in January 2020 by LIMRA, Oliver Wyman and ACLI), as well as the following individuals for their support in the design and development of the survey.

Brian Bayerle, FSA, MAAA, ACLI Tim Morant, FSA, MAAA, Munich Re David Seidel, FSA, MAAA, Securian Steve Verhagen, FSA, MAAA, CUNA Mutual

The SOA also thanks the many companies that participated in the survey.

Allianz Life North America Northwestern Mutual Allstate Oxford Life Insurance Company American Equity Principal Financial Group American Family Life Insurance Company RGA Ameritas Sammons Financial Group Boston Mutual Life Insurance Company SBLI Country Financial Securian Financial CUNA Mutual Group State Farm Erie Family Life Insurance Talcott Resolution Global Atlantic Financial Company Texas Service Life Insurance Company Great American Transamerica Guardian Life Union Labor Life MetLife Vantis Life Insurance Company National Western Life Insurance WAEPA Nationwide Financial Western & Southern Financial Group New York Life WoodmenLife

Page 23: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

23

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

About The Society of Actuaries With roots dating back to 1889, the Society of Actuaries (SOA) is the world’s largest actuarial professional organizations with more than 31,000 members. Through research and education, the SOA’s mission is to advance actuarial knowledge and to enhance the ability of actuaries to provide expert advice and relevant solutions for financial, business and societal challenges. The SOA’s vision is for actuaries to be the leading professionals in the measurement and management of risk.

The SOA supports actuaries and advances knowledge through research and education. As part of its work, the SOA seeks to inform public policy development and public understanding through research. The SOA aspires to be a trusted source of objective, data-driven research and analysis with an actuarial perspective for its members, industry, policymakers and the public. This distinct perspective comes from the SOA as an association of actuaries, who have a rigorous formal education and direct experience as practitioners as they perform applied research. The SOA also welcomes the opportunity to partner with other organizations in our work where appropriate.

The SOA has a history of working with public policymakers and regulators in developing historical experience studies and projection techniques as well as individual reports on health care, retirement and other topics. The SOA’s research is intended to aid the work of policymakers and regulators and follow certain core principles:

Objectivity: The SOA’s research informs and provides analysis that can be relied upon by other individuals or organizations involved in public policy discussions. The SOA does not take advocacy positions or lobby specific policy proposals.

Quality: The SOA aspires to the highest ethical and quality standards in all of its research and analysis. Our research process is overseen by experienced actuaries and nonactuaries from a range of industry sectors and organizations. A rigorous peer-review process ensures the quality and integrity of our work.

Relevance: The SOA provides timely research on public policy issues. Our research advances actuarial knowledge while providing critical insights on key policy issues, and thereby provides value to stakeholders and decision makers.

Quantification: The SOA leverages the diverse skill sets of actuaries to provide research and findings that are driven by the best available data and methods. Actuaries use detailed modeling to analyze financial risk and provide distinct insight and quantification. Further, actuarial standards require transparency and the disclosure of the assumptions and analytic approach underlying the work.

Society of Actuaries 475 N. Martingale Road, Suite 600

Schaumburg, Illinois 60173 www.SOA.org

Page 24: COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management Survey Summary of ......2020/05/08  · COVID-19 Asset/Liability Management (ALM) Survey Summary of Results May 8, 2020 Caveat and Disclaimer This

24

Copyright © 2020 Society of Actuaries, LL Global, Inc., and Oliver Wyman

About LIMRA Established in 1916, LIMRA is a research and professional development not-for-profit trade association for the financial services industry. More than 600 insurance and financial services organizations around the world rely on LIMRA’s research and educational solutions to help them make bottom-line decisions with greater confidence. Companies look to LIMRA for its unique ability to help them understand their customers, markets, distribution channels and competitors and leverage that knowledge to develop realistic business solutions.

Visit LIMRA at www.limra.com.

About Oliver Wyman Oliver Wyman is a global leader in management consulting. With offices in 60 cities across 29 countries, Oliver Wyman combines deep industry knowledge with specialized expertise in strategy, operations, risk management, and organization transformation. The firm has more than 5,000 professionals around the world who work with clients to optimize their business, improve their operations and risk profile, and accelerate their organizational performance to seize the most attractive opportunities. Oliver Wyman is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC]. For more information, visit www.oliverwyman.com. Follow Oliver Wyman on Twitter @OliverWyman.


Recommended