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March 26, 2020
DOCUMENT INTENDED TO PROVIDE INSIGHT AND BEST PRACTICES RATHER THAN SPECIFIC CLIENT ADVICE
COVID-19: GCC Board of Directors Institute webinar
McKinsey & Company 2
Agenda
01 Covid-19 the situation and possible scenarios
How is the private sector reacting to the crisis?04
How are governments reacting to the economic impacts?
03
How might the crisis impact the global economy?02
Q&A with panelist05
McKinsey & Company 3
COVID-19 has been expanding exponentially with devastating economic impact
It took the world 65
days to get to first
100,000 cases and only
2 for the last 100,000
cases
3
Within first two months
of the outbreak (Jan-
Feb) China’s economy
fell by 10-20%
32% of S&P500 index
wiped out since its
record closing high on
Feb 19
50% of COVID-19 ICU
patients are dying due to
scarcity of medical staff
and equipment
US is expecting a loss
of 5 million jobs —
unemployment rate
soaring to north of 10%
Current as of March 25, 2020
McKinsey & Company 4Source: World Health Organization, CDC, news reports
1.Previously counted only countries; now aligned with
new WHO reports; excluding cruise ship;
2.Previously noted as community transmission in
McKinsey documents; now aligned with WHO definition
The global spread is accelerating with more reports of local transmissionLatest as of March 25,
2020
Impact to date
>20,000
~80% >500.2%Europe’s share of new cases
reported globally on March
18th-25th
Countries that reported their
first case between March
18th-25th
China’s share of new cases
reported globally March 17th-
25th
Countries or territories with
evidence of local
transmission2
Countries or territories with
more than 100 reported
cases1
Countries or territories with
reported cases1
>150 >30>170
DeathsReported confirmed cases
>450,000
Current as of March 25, 2020
McKinsey & Company 5
COVID-19 appears to be more dangerous than the fluLatest as of March 25, 2020
Current as of March 25, 2020
1.Evidence on exact numbers are emerging, however expected to decrease as viral containment measures intensify and treatments are developed
2.WHO estimates 15% severe and 5% critical
3.WHO estimates the global average CFR at 3.4%, dependent on conditions such as patient age, community immunity, and health system capabilities. Latest
case fatality ratios were calculated as death/ cases
4.In outbreak setting or the introduction of a new disease
5.Estimates are very context and time-specific, however are provided from prior outbreaks based on academic lit review
6.Case Fatality numbers reflect outbreak settings and factors such as the patient's age, community immunity and health system capabilities
Source: World Health Organization, CDC, Nature, The Lancet, PLOS One The Journal of Infectious Diseases, BMC Infectious Diseases, Infectious Disease
Modelling, news reports
Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) in South Korea
after widespread testing. CFR appears
higher where cases are missed and is
higher when health systems are
overwhelmed3
~0.9%
Of cases are severe/critical2
Up to 20%Reproduction
number3
(average
number
of people
infected by
each infected
person
in outbreak
setting)
Medium (2-15%) High (>15%)Low (<2%)
Medium (2-4)
High (>4)
Low (0-2)
Case Fatality6 (proportion of deaths among confirmed cases)
D
G
K
I
A
E
FJ
Zika
Chickenpox
SARS-CoV
COVID-19
Polio5
Measles5
Influenza 1918
Smallpox
MERS-CoV
Ebola (West
Africa 2014)Influenza H1N1 2009
Influenza H2N2 1957B
C
H
Features of the disease to date1 Comparison to other diseases4
Early identification of the disease, intensification of viral control, and treatment, when available, will reduce
reproduction number and case fatality
Higher reproduction than the flu
1.5-2x
McKinsey & Company 6
The virus is located in 5 major “transmission complexes”
Current as of March 25, 2020
Source: World Health Organization, team analysis
1.WHO data is lagging news reports for the US
2.Includes Western Pacific and South-East Asia WHO regions; excludes China; Note that South Korea incremental cases are declining, however other countries
are increasing
3.Eastern-Mediterranean WHO region
Americas1
Total cases
Total deaths
>55,000
>800
Asia (excl China) 2
Total cases
Total deaths
>15,000
>300Early propagation
Mature/ on-going propagation
Propagation trend
> 10,000 reported cases
<10,000
Middle East3
Total cases
Total deaths
>25,000
>2,000
Europe
Total cases
Total deaths
>200,000
>11,500
China complex
Total cases
Total deaths
>81,000
>3,200
A complex is an area
with confirmed local
transmission, and more
than 100 confirmed
cases, where it is
difficult to prevent
people’s movement
McKinsey & Company 7
Nations’ strategic approach in mitigating COVID-19 varies based on their testing, social distancing, and quarantine processes
McKinsey & Company 7
Delayed response Proactive
UK Italy China South Korea Singapore
1 2 3 54
First Adopted a limited
approach to social
distancing taking into
account short and long
term of contraction on
the economy, aiming to
preserve as much of
normal life as possible
But subsequently
aligned their approach
with the rest of the world
to adopt stringent policy
measures
Whole country under
lockdown with sever
travel and mobilization
restrictions
High focus on recruiting
healthcare workers to
deal with strain on the
system
Cancelled all large
gatherings, restricted
restaurant hours, and
closed schools
Responded forcefully by
implementing very
stringent rules to limit
the spread (strict
containment and
quarantine)
Implemented proactive
screening, testing, and
disinfection processes
Construction of
makeshift hospitals to
increase capacity and
meet increased demand
Strategy centers around
free, high volume testing
across 600 locations to
mitigate spread (passed
mandatory testing law)
Prevention measures
include an aggressive
and transparent
information campaign,
disinfection of
contaminated sites, and
quarantine of infected
persons
Decisive mobilizing
actions to trace, test,
isolate, and treat have
contributed to effective
containment of the
outbreak
Focusing on fostering
understanding and
social responsibility
4k+ close contact cases
quarantined
McKinsey & Company 8
The degree of lockdown (social distancing) best practice is assessed based on the health risk and economic impactBased on i/ level of criticality of the activity for society and ii/ contamination risk
Level 3
Level 2
Level 1
Low Medium High
Criticality
of
economic
activity
Critical enabler sectors (for a short period of time only): 39 types of economic activities – critical to maintain
Level 3 economic activities functioning
B2B: e.g. logistics / warehousing, wholesale of food and pharma, food and pharma plants
B2C: e.g. banking services
Critical sectors– always maintain operations: 38 types of economic activities – essential and critical for the
functioning of the country
B2B: e.g. telecom, desalination / utilities, + essential gov. services (security…) + oil extraction
B2C: healthcare facilities, pharmacies, food retail stores, limited number of hotels, home delivery services
Other-Services A : 56 types of
economic activities
(E.g., professional services,
holding companies, hotels,
personal services)
Other-Manufacturing: 23 types
of economic activities
(e.g., fertilizer plants,
downstream oil, building
materials)
Other-Services B: 51types of
economic activities
e.g., schools, leisure, sports and
entertainment
Risk of spreading contagion
McKinsey & Company 9
Internationally a range of strategies are being employed to rapidly increase supply
Source: Expert interviews
Existing and repurposing
supply of ventilators
1 USRe-deploying older
ventilators, which work
but do not connect to
modern electronic
records systems
2 ItalyDrafting army
technicians to
production lines to
increase production
3 SingaporeExemptions for foreign
workers from Malaysia
to increase production
capacity
Innovations
Open source ventilator
using readily available
materials (PLA plastic),
3D printing and open-
source hardware
resources
4 Ireland
Precise 3D printing for
critical components to
manage shortages5 Italy
Consortium of auto and
aerospace
manufacturers to create
a new low cost ventilator
in 2 weeks3
6 U.K.
McKinsey & Company 10
Confirmed /
Suspected case Close contact
Secondary
contactCasual contact
Self monitoring (until
suspected case tests
negative)
Rest & recovery
Follow public health
authorities guidelines
Self-isolation (until
suspected case tests
negative)
Self monitoring (until
suspected case tests
negative)
Close and prolonged
interaction
Close and prolonged
interaction
Brief and distant
contact
An employee’s health status or degree of contact will result in differing outcomes
Example:
Living with confirmed /
suspected case
Sharing a room with a
confirmed / suspected
case
Example:
Rode elevator with a
confirmed/suspected
case
Attended event with
confirmed/suspected
case
Example:
Living with a close
contact of a confirmed
/ suspected case
Sharing a room with a
close contact of a
confirmed / suspected
case
McKinsey & Company 11
Employer setup to ensure efficient management and coordination of the staff for COVID-19 A dedicated team best practice is to be set up at each organization with the following functions
Illustrative
Coordination team
Case management team Communication team Logistics teamFacility management
team
A senior level official supported
by HR person, tasked with:
Identification of confirmed
cases among staff
Tracking of exposure to close
contacts
Follow up and communication
with staff for reassurance and
guidance
Supports organization
leadership in internal and
external communication
Including transportation, travel
and accommodation
Responsible for smooth and
rapid action to ensure staff
safety and continuation of
business
Responsible for maintaining
facilities, offices and premises
at the highest hygienic levels,
equipped with necessary
supplies and guidelines of
when and how to deploy them
McKinsey & Company 12
Agenda
01 Covid-19 the situation and possible scenarios
How is the private sector reacting to the crisis?04
How are governments reacting to the economic impacts?
03
How might the crisis impact the global economy?02
Q&A with panelist05
McKinsey & Company 13
The imperative of our time
Source: McKinsey analysis, in partnership with Oxford Economics
“Timeboxing” the virus and the economic
shock
Imperative 1: Safeguard our lives
1a. Suppress the virus as fast as possible
1b. Expand treatment and testing capacity
1c. Find “cures”; treatment, drugs, vaccines
Imperative 2: Safeguard our livelihoods
2a. Support people and businesses affected by
lockdowns
2b. Prepare to get back to work safely when the virus
abates
2c. Prepare to scale the recovery away from a ~ -10%
trough
1a
1b
1c
2a
2b
2c
~ -10%
Economic
Shock
McKinsey & Company 14
Potential scenarios for the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 CrisisGDP Impact of COVID-19 Spread, Public Health Response, and Economic Policies
Virus Spread &
Public Health
Response
Effectiveness of the
public health response
in controlling the
spread and human
impact
of COVID-19
Effective Response, but (regional)
Virus Resurgence
Public health response initially succeeds but
measures are not sufficient to prevent viral
resurgence so social distancing continues
(regionally) for several months
Rapid and effective Control of Virus
Spread
Strong public health response succeeds in
controlling spread in each country within 2-3
months
Broad Failure of Public Health
Interventions
Public health response fails
to control the spread of the virus
for an extended period of time
(e.g., until vaccines are available)
Knock-on Effects & Economic Policy Response
Speed and strength of recovery depends on whether policy moves can mitigate self-reinforcing recessionary dynamics (e.g., corporate defaults, credit
crunch)
Ineffective Interventions
Policy responses partially offset economic
damage; banking crisis
is avoided; recovery levels muted
Partially Effective Interventions
Self-reinforcing recession dynamics kick-in;
widespread bankruptcies and credit defaults;
potential banking crisis
Strong policy responses prevent structural
damage; recovery to pre-crisis fundamentals
and momentum
Highly Effective Interventions
Virus contained, slow recovery
A3
Virus contained; strong growth rebound
A4
Virus resurgence; slow long-term growth
Muted World Recovery
A1
Virus resurgence; return to trend growth
Strong World Rebound
A2
Virus resurgence; slow long-term growth
B2
Virus contained, but sector damage;
lower long-term trend growth
B1
Pandemic escalation; prolonged
downturn without economic recovery
B3
Pandemic escalation; slow progression
towards economic recovery
B4
Pandemic escalation; delayed but full
economic recovery
B5
McKinsey & Company 15
Potential scenario A1 Muted World Economy RecoveryReal GDP, Local Currency Indexed
1. Seasonally adjusted by McKinsey;
Source: McKinsey analysis, in partnership with Oxford Economics
105
85
100
90
110
95
Q1Q2Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2Q1 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4
Real GDP Growth – COVID-19 CrisisLocal Currency Units Indexed, 2019 Q4=100
World Eurozone
United states China1
2019 2020 2021
-3.9%
-10.6%
-6.2%
-12.2%
2021 Q2
2023 Q1
2022 Q3
2023 Q3
-2.7%
-8.4%
-4.7%
-9.7%
Real GDP, Local Currency Indexed
China
USA
World
Eurozone
Time to Return
to Pre-Crisis
Quarter
Real GDP Drop
2019Q4-2020Q2
% Change
2020 GDP
Growth
% Change
McKinsey & Company 16
Potential scenario A2 World Economy ReboundReal GDP, Local Currency Indexed
95
85
90
100
105
110
Q4Q2Q2Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3
World United states Eurozone China1
1. Seasonally adjusted by McKinsey;
Source: McKinsey analysis, in partnership with Oxford Economics
Real GDP Growth – COVID-19 Crisis
Local Currency Units Indexed, 2019 Q4=100
Time to Return
to Pre-Crisis
Quarter
Real GDP Drop
2019Q4-2020 Q2
% Change
2020 GDP
Growth
% Change
-3.3% 2020 Q3China +2.1%
-8.0% 2020 Q4USA +0.5%
-4.9% 2020 Q4World +0.2%
-9.1% 2021 Q1Eurozone -1.4%
2019 2020 2021
McKinsey & Company 17
Agenda
01 Covid-19 the situation and possible scenarios
How is the private sector reacting to the crisis?04
How are governments reacting to the economic impacts?
03
How might the crisis impact the global economy?02
Q&A with panelist05
McKinsey & Company 18
The crisis will have an impact on potentially all parts of the economy
Primary
impact
Secondary
impact
Firms
Financial
System
Government
finances
Agent
Households
Cost increase drivers
Increased provisioning requirements due to
credit downgrades and non performing loans
Higher healthcare and other crisis-related costs
Higher input cost increases due to global supply
chains disruptions
Increased demand for social safety nets
Economic stimulus spending
Higher costs of some goods (due to surge in
demand or reduction in supply)
Income loss drivers
Lower tax/fee collection
Reduced loan and transaction volumes
Lower/no domestic sales due to lockdown
Lower exports due to less global demand
Reduced tax base
Lower revenues from government assets and
SOEs
Reduced production volume due to labor and
supply chain disruptions
Job reduction
Increased defaults and delinquencies
Lower interest rates
Work time / pay reduction
Reduced demand for services of self-employed
McKinsey & Company 19
Three primary objectives targeted by stimulus measuresannounced thus far
Maintain household
economic welfare
Help firms survive the crisis
Maintain financial stability
Not exhaustive
Prudential & financial measures
Employment safeguard
Firms liquidity / cash flow improvement
Value transfer to firms through cost
reduction
Monetary policy actions
Value transfer to firms through revenues
Value transfer to households Maintain household disposable income
Ease household expenses / financial obligations
Relax labor market regulations
Jobs redeployment
Postpone government fees/receivables and
accelerate payment of government’s bills
Manage/ease financial obligations
Gov. purchase of equity stakes in firms
Reduce/eliminate government-related fees
Compensate/reduce salaries’ cost
Stabilize supply chain costs
Relax adequacy requirements
Quantitative easing/liquidity injection
Reduce interest rates
Restore demand for firms’ goods & services
Transfer cash to firms
McKinsey & Company 20
~40 countries are introducing stimulus packagesSize of stimulus packages (including both monetary and fiscal measures)
1. This includes both fiscal and monetary measures (via SAMA) 2. This includes both fiscal and monetary stimulus measures; e.g. up to USD 108 mn of the package will be used to guarantee liquidity for Spanish businesses;
2. 3. GDP number for UK includes: increase in holdings by purchase of gov. and corporate bonds by BOE (amounting to $228B) 4. Current 2019 GDP
# USD bnX% As % of GDP4
Source: Official government sources and press coverage of official announcements; IHS for GDP (current) data
India 13.5 0.5%8
Indonesia 8.1 0.7%9
Italy 28.3 1.6%10
Japan 14.4 0.3%11
Malaysia 4.8 1.3%12
New Zealand 7.8 4.2%13
Philippines 0.5 0.1%14
Saudi Arabia1 32 4.2%15
Singapore 3.9 1.2%16
Australia 100 7.5%2
Abu Dhabi 2.4 0.9%1
Canada 57 3.5%3
China 320 2.3%4
15.4%France5
Germany6
Hong Kong 12.3 3.5%7
18 17
13
15
5 2510
12 9
1
16
2
8
3
14
11
6
20
4
19
23
26
21
UK319
USA20
Sweden N/A21 N/A
Morocco 2.322 2.2%
Nigeria 2.723 0.6%
Netherlands N/A24 N/A
Luxembourg N/A N/A25
Kenya N/A N/A26
Argentina 10 2.7%27
Brazil 30 1.7%28
Chile 11.8 4.5%29
Colombia N/A N/A31
Peru N/A30 N/A
22
24
27
28
29
30
31
32
7
South Korea 1617 1.2%
Spain2 21918 16.8%
Denmark 6 2%32
South Africa N/A N/A33
UAE 34.4 8%35
Scotland N/A34 N/A
35
33
34
32
808
373
23.1%
626 25.1%
2,700 12.6%
Preliminary
Dubai 0.4 0.4%36
36
Uruguay 34.4 4.9%37
Paraguay 0.4 0.4%38
37
38
Current as of March 25, 2020
McKinsey & Company 21
Stimulus size proportional to number of COVID-19 cases, and several countries introducing additional stimulus as situation worsens
Current as of March 25, 2020
Total size of stimulus response1 vs. number of recorded Covid-19 cases
Total size of stimulus response2 (as % of GDP)
1. Total number made public, collected, and analyzed, to date
2. Countries are repeated in cases where stimulus packages or measures have been announced on different dates; size of stimulus response is the aggregate
amount spent at that point in time
3. Number of cases recorded on the day of the stimulus announcement
4. GDP number includes: Increase holdings by purchase of gov. and corporate bonds by BOE (amounting to $228B)
5. USA announcement on March 25 with case count from March 24 (to be updated upon release of information)
1
20
1,000
30
10,000
5
10 1000
100,000
25
10
15
Australia
MoroccoItaly
India
Brazil
Canada
UK
USA5
UK
Chile
Australia
China
France
Germany
South Korea
Indonesia
Saudi
Arabia
UAEAbu Dhabi
Argentina
JapanMalaysia
New Zealand
Nigeria
Spain
UAE
Singapore
Philipines
DenmarkAustralia USA
Saudi Arabia
UK4
Japan
Number of recorded Covid-19 cases3 (#)
Total stimulus size at time of first announcement Total stimulus size at time of second announcementTotal stimulus size at time of third announcement Total stimulus size at time of fourth announcement
Source: WHO Covid-19 Dashboard, IHS Data for GDP, Official government sources and press coverage of official announcements
Preliminary
McKinsey & Company 22
Agenda
01 Covid-19 the situation and possible scenarios
How is the private sector reacting to the crisis?04
How are governments reacting to the economic impacts?
03
How might the crisis impact the global economy?02
Q&A with panelist05
McKinsey & Company 23
Why companies fail at managing crises
Core problem: How can organization move from reacting to yesterday’s
news to proactively shaping tomorrow’s headlines?
Automotive manufacturer: Was
criticized for multiple aspects of
recall activity (e.g., unclear terms
and conditions, inadequate call
center staffing, other challenges)
Challenger disaster: In a now-
infamous phone call, NASA
engineers pressured Thiokol to
change their ‘no-launch’
recommendation (Thiokol shifted
their stance to satisfy their biggest
customer) in-spite of a well-
understood technical failure on O-
rings.
Energy company: Many public
failures to fix process safety issue
before success. Challenge was that
the fix needed new engineering
innovation
Industrial manufacturer: pushed
out fix timelines for failed product
more than 12 times. Top
management optimism bias was
called out multiple times by
regulators, politicians and other
observers
Optimism bias, lack of adequate
‘sensing mechanisms’ (e.g.,
escalation failures), over-reliance
on past patterns, risk rationalization
Many crises have a technical core,
which needs new solutions to be
invented (e.g., BP top hat) or
imported anew into the sector/
geography
Groupthink, political pressures,
high-emotion situations;
Unfamiliarity – pattern recognition-
driven thinking fails; Desire to wait
for more facts slows response
Chaos during disruptions frequently
translates to lack of accountability
and direction, ‘operations addiction’
on the part of top management,
leading to failures of execution
Inadequate Delivery
(Execution failure)
Slow or Bad Decision
Quality
Constrained Solution
DesignInadequate Discovery
McKinsey & Company 24
Observations of what great organizations do
Discover the current situation correctly through
multi-source ‘listening posts’, form an accurate view on how it
might evolve, and derive implications for the organization
Design a trigger-based portfolio of
actions – immediate and strategic - that minimizes false
optimism, maximizes speed, and installs a pragmatic
operating model to detail out plans
and act on them
Decide on strategic actions in a timely way, after ensuring
adequate stress-testing of hypotheses
& alternatives, and ensuring adherence to company
& societal values
Deliver in a disciplined, efficient way, keeping sufficient
flexibility for last minute pivots
McKinsey & Company 25
Observations of what great organizations doThe products in black are the minimum viable products you need
Urgent; do early
Less urgent; do later
Nerve Center Organization
Op. cadence
Response plan
Issues map
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
The simplest
way to conceive
of a Nerve
Center is to
think of the set
of “minimum
viable
products” that
are needed to
get it up and
running
Each minimum
viable product
is a “living part”
that is kept alive
throughout the
crisis
Stakeholder maps
Common Op Picture
KPI dashboard
1 Org chart w/ response lead & team members
Decision authority & roles
Weekly operating cadence
Meeting templates, goals, agenda, attendees
Situation Report
Goals – overall, by workstream (simple language)
Milestones for each workstream (dates, owners)
Portfolio of tactics w/ leading indicators
Risk map (known risks)
Threat map - Issues (major) w/ evolution
List of stakeholder orgs w/ key individuals
Convener for each org w/ supporting team
‘Single view’ of status of overall response (updated at fixed
times, or real time updates)
10-15 KPIs that provide confirmation that issue is getting
resolved, and that milestones are being met
Early warning indicators – gives rationale to pivotListening post
McKinsey & Company 26
Agenda
01 Covid-19 the situation and possible scenarios
How is the private sector reacting to the crisis?04
How are governments reacting to the economic impacts?
03
How might the crisis impact the global economy?02
Q&A with panelist05
McKinsey & Company 29
A: Households – Example measures introduced
Source: Official government sources and press coverage of official announcements
Value
transfer to
households
Employment
safeguard
Categories
Share of all countries
implementing
measure, %1
53
42
13
8
Maintain household
disposable income
Relax labor
market regulations
Ease household
expenses
Jobs
redeployment
Current as of March 24, 2020
Non Exhaustive
Italy: Companies are prohibited from laying off workers for the next two
months without "justified objective reasons"
KSA: Supporting 100,000 job-seekers in the private sector
Colombia: Reconnecting water service free of charge to nearly 1 mn
beneficiaries who had been cut off for not paying
UK: $1.2 bn additional funding, including a $600 mn local authority hardship
fund
Spain: Froze price of LPG, extended deadlines for utility bills
Hong Kong: Extra $300mn in disbursements to the Employees’ Training
Board to increase allowance for trainees
KSA: Extension of residency period of expatriates without any financial
compensation
Spain: Allows employees that accredit care duty of dependents
to reduce and/or adapt their working day
Chile: Income support bonus, equivalent to the family allowance, benefiting
2m people without formal work
Hong Kong: Extra payment of 1 month disability/old age support for those
eligible
South Korea: $1.9bn in consumption support provided in the form of
vouchers redeemable at local retailers
1. N=34 (Abu Dhabi and UAE considered as 1)
Countries implementing leverLever Example measures
McKinsey & Company 30
Firms’
liquidity /
cash flow
improve-
ment
Value
transfer to
firms
through
revenues
37
58
16
26
50
50
16Stabilize supply
chain costs
Postpone gov-related &
accelerate receivables’
collection fees
Transfer cash
to firms
Manage / ease
financial
obligations
Restore demand
for firms’ goods
& services
Support
employment /
salaries
Reduce / eliminate
government-
related fees
Value
transfer to
firms
through
cost
reduction
Source: Official government sources and press coverage of official announcements
B: Firms – Example measures introduced
1. N=34 (Abu Dhabi and UAE considered as 1)
Current as of March 24, 2020
Non Exhaustive
Categories
Share of all countries
implementing
measure, %1 Countries implementing leverLever Example measures
Brazil: Three-month deferral for SMEs corporate taxes, saving them $4.3 bn
China: Banks to extend the terms of business loans & commercial landlords
to reduce rents
Japan: Offer of funds at effectively no interest & without collateral, from gov-
ernment-affiliated lender, for small firms whose sales were hit due to the virus
Nigeria: Injection of $2.7 bn in Nigerian economy to boost local
manufacturing and import substitution
New Zealand: International tourism marketing to diversify the visitor market
Japan: USD 15 bn in special financing for small- and mid-size firms hit by the
virus
UK: Set up of a $2.7bn to provide a one-off $3600 payment to vulnerable
firms (SMEs and rural businesses)
Singapore: Property tax waivers of up to 30% for tourism and entertainment
related industries
KSA: Recovery of work visa fees incurred by employers, however, not utili-
zed due to travel bans (even if they were stamped or extended for 3 months)
Canada: Cover up to 90% of the purchase order amount to ease cash flow to
your suppliers
Japan: $1.8B war-chest to support companies re-locating production back to
Japan (supported by the Development Bank of Japan, among others)
Singapore: The government will co-fund wage increases for Singaporean
employees earning a gross monthly wage of up to $5,000
Brazil: Total of $12 bn devoted to companies to ensure jobs are kept
Includes AD
McKinsey & Company 31
34
43
29
Quantitative
easing / liquidity
injection
Reduce interest
rates
Relax adequacy
requirements
Prudential
& financial
measures
Monetary
policy
actions
Source: Official government sources and press coverage of official announcements
C: Financial market – Example measures introduced
1. N=34 (Abu Dhabi and UAE considered as 1)
Current as of March 24, 2020
Non Exhaustive
Categories
Share of all countries
implementing
measure, %1 Countries implementing leverLever Example measures
Abu Dhabi: Adjustments to capital reserve requirements to release $27bn
Japan: Reduced short-term policy and long-term interest rates on accounts
held by financial institutions at BOJ
Argentina: $5 bn credit line for companies to borrow at a preferential rate of
26% per year — less than the 38% benchmark rate — for 180 days to keep
their businesses afloat
Italy: Increase in size of fund guaranteeing loans to small and medium
businesses
UK: Increase in holdings by purchase of gov. and corporate bonds by BOE
(amounting to $228B)
UAE: The central bank will provide 50bn dirhams through collateralized loans
at zero cost to all banks operating in the UAE
Includes AD