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CPT Camden Property Trust Oct 2010 Presentation Slides Deck

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  • 8/8/2019 CPT Camden Property Trust Oct 2010 Presentation Slides Deck

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,

    developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    1Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    1Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    U.S. Apartment Markets:

    Trends and OutlookTrends and Outlook

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    2Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Like Q1, leasing in 2Q10 was best in 15+ years

    Net Absorption in 2nd Quarter of Each Year116,430

    103,646

    -100,000

    -50,000

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Market Update

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    3Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Disconnect between apartment demand and jobs?

    JuneApartment

    Absorption

    Rate*Aug

    Job Growth Rate

    -6%

    -5%

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    20

    00

    20

    01

    20

    02

    20

    03

    20

    04

    20

    05

    20

    06

    20

    07

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    Year-Year%Change

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Witten Advisors*net change in occupied apartments

    Market Update

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    4Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Why then? 1) Ownership still losing market share

    HomeownershipRate, SA

    2Q04

    69.4%

    2Q10

    66.9%

    Predicted

    63%

    64%

    65%

    66%

    67%

    68%

    69%

    70%

    1Q90

    1Q91

    1Q92

    1Q93

    1Q94

    1Q95

    1Q96

    1Q97

    1Q98

    1Q99

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    1Q11

    1Q12

    1Q13

    Sh

    areofU.S.Hous

    eholdsWhoOwnHome

    Source: U.S. Department of Commerce

    Market Update

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    5Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Population 20-29

    (left scale)

    Households

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    6Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    2009: 1.1 million more young adults at home than normal

    % 18-24 at Home(left scale)

    52.8%

    % 25-34 at Home

    (right scale)

    12.8%

    45%

    50%

    55%

    60%

    2009

    2008

    2007

    2006

    2005

    2004

    2003

    2002

    2001

    2000

    1999

    1998

    1997

    1996

    1995

    1994

    1993

    1992

    1991

    1990

    Sha

    reofU.S.Young

    Adults18-24Liv

    ingat

    H

    ome

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Sha

    reofU.S.Young

    Adults25-34Liv

    ingat

    H

    ome

    Source: U.S. Department of Commerce

    Market Update

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    7Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Young adult hiring in 2010 the best since 1984

    973

    -2,500

    -2,000

    -1,500

    -1,000

    -500

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    1960

    1962

    1964

    1966

    1968

    1970

    1972

    1974

    1976

    1978

    1980

    1982

    1984

    1986

    1988

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    20

    10*YTDAug

    000

    JobsGained/LostbyYear(Dec-Dec)

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    Market Update

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    8Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Hiring is uneven in recoveries; 2010 better than most

    Early 1980s

    Early 1990s

    Early

    2000s

    Late 2000s(excl Census temps)

    -0.6%

    -0.4%

    -0.2%

    0.0%

    0.2%

    0.4%

    DeepestL

    oss

    Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2

    122 23 24

    M

    onth-Month%EmploymentChange

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

    Economy

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    9Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Job Growth Forecast: 2010 gradual; 2011-2013 solid

    Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Consensus forecast

    Actual YE13

    2.9m

    YE12

    3.1m

    YE112.5mYE10

    1.2m

    -7,000

    -6,000

    -5,000

    -4,000

    -3,000

    -2,000

    -1,000

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    Year-YearChangein

    Employment(00

    0)

    Economy

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    10

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    0

    20

    40

    6080

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    ApartmentVa

    lueIndex(2000=100)

    basedonIn-P

    laceNOI/CapRate

    Cap rates fall faster than NOIs = 1) higher values

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Investment Markets

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    11

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    and 2) improved development margins spread should widen gradually, starts follow

    Development Return

    Spread over Cap Rate

    (right scale)

    0.26%

    Predicted

    Spread

    Actual Starts

    181k

    Predicted

    Starts

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    1Q94

    1Q95

    1Q96

    1Q97

    1Q98

    1Q99

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    1Q11

    1Q12

    1Q13

    Units,trailin

    g12months

    -2.0%

    -1.0%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    Development

    ReturnSpread

    overCurre

    ntCapRate

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Apartment Starts

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    12

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Demand surge continues, while stock shrinks

    -300,000

    -200,000

    -100,000

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    Jan-96

    Jan-97

    Jan-98

    Jan-99

    Jan-00

    Jan-01

    Jan-02

    Jan-03

    Jan-04

    Jan-05

    Jan-06

    Jan-07

    Jan-08

    Jan-09

    Jan-10

    Jan-11

    Jan-12

    Jan-13

    Units,trailing12months

    Absorption New Completions

    Net Completions

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Market Outlook

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    13

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Recovery began in 2010; 2011-2013 above trend

    85%

    90%

    95%

    100%

    1Q1995

    1Q1996

    1Q1997

    1Q1998

    1Q1999

    1Q2000

    1Q2001

    1Q2002

    1Q2003

    1Q2004

    1Q2005

    1Q2006

    1Q2007

    1Q2008

    1Q2009

    1Q2010

    1Q2

    011

    1Q2012

    1Q2013

    O

    ccupancy

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    AnnualEffectiveRentGro

    wth

    Occupancy Occupancy Forecast Rent Growth Rent Growth Forecast

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Market Outlook

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    14

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    4Q13

    9.5%

    4Q10

    -2.8%

    4Q11

    5.1%

    4Q12

    10.2%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    1Q96

    1Q97

    1Q98

    1Q99

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    1Q11

    1Q12

    1Q13

    Year-YearChan

    geinAverageN

    et

    OperatingIncome

    2010 NOI erodes slightly; strong rebound 2011-2013

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Market Outlook

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    15

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Employment growth scenarios

    Sources for Base Case: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Consensus includes Economy.com, National Association for

    Business Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Standard & Poors

    *Best Case reflects highest forecast from above sources **Double-Dip replicates early 1990s downturn and recovery

    Actual

    Base Case

    Best Case*

    Double-Dip**

    -7,000

    -6,000-5,000

    -4,000

    -3,000

    -2,000

    -1,000

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    19

    90

    19

    91

    19

    92

    19

    93

    19

    94

    19

    95

    19

    96

    19

    97

    19

    98

    19

    99

    20

    00

    20

    01

    20

    02

    20

    03

    20

    04

    20

    05

    20

    06

    20

    07

    20

    08

    20

    09

    20

    10

    2011

    20

    12

    20

    13

    Ye

    ar-YearChangeinEmployment(000)

    Forecast Scenarios

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    16

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Demand surge continues due todemographics, flight from ownership

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    -300,000

    -200,000

    -100,000

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    Jan-96

    Jan-97

    Jan-98

    Jan-99

    Jan-00

    Jan-01

    Jan-02

    Jan-03

    Jan-04

    Jan-05

    Jan-06

    Jan-07

    Jan-08

    Jan-09

    Jan-10

    Jan-11

    Jan-12

    Jan-13

    Units,trailing12months

    Absorption

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    17

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    MF rental starts bottom in 2010, rebound modestly

    Actual Starts

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    1Q91

    1Q92

    1Q93

    1Q94

    1Q95

    1Q96

    1Q97

    1Q98

    1Q99

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    1Q11

    1Q12

    1Q13

    Units,tra

    iling12months

    Predicted starts based on return on new development relative to U.S.

    Treasuries and inflation, availability of debt and equity financingSource: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    18

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Starts slump in 2008-2010 = few completions ahead

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    Jan-96

    Jan-97

    Jan-98

    Jan-99

    Jan-00

    Jan-01

    Jan-02

    Jan-03

    Jan-04

    Jan-05

    Jan-06

    Jan-07

    Jan-08

    Jan-09

    Jan-10

    Jan-11

    Jan-12

    Jan-13

    Units,tra

    iling12month

    sNew Com letions

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    19

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Apartment stock shrinks after obsolescence

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    -300,000

    -200,000

    -100,000

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    Jan-96

    Jan-97

    Jan-98

    Jan-99

    Jan-00

    Jan-01

    Jan-02

    Jan-03

    Jan-04

    Jan-05

    Jan-06

    Jan-07

    Jan-08

    Jan-09

    Jan-10

    Jan-11

    Jan-12

    Jan-13

    Units,trailin

    g12months

    Net Completions

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

    20

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Solid demand + shrinking supply = high occupancy

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    85%

    90%

    95%

    100%

    1Q1995

    1Q1996

    1Q1997

    1Q1998

    1Q1999

    1Q2000

    1Q2

    001

    1Q2002

    1Q2003

    1Q2004

    1Q2005

    1Q2006

    1Q2007

    1Q2008

    1Q2009

    1Q2

    010

    1Q2

    011

    1Q2

    012

    1Q2

    013

    O

    ccupancy

    Occupancy Base Case Best Case Double-Dip

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

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    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    High occupancy brings rent growth

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-Dip

    -6%

    -4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    1Q1995

    1Q1996

    1Q1997

    1Q1998

    1Q1999

    1Q2000

    1Q2001

    1Q2002

    1Q2003

    1Q2004

    1Q2005

    1Q2006

    1Q2007

    1Q2008

    1Q2009

    1Q2010

    1Q2011

    1Q2012

    1Q2013

    EffectiveRent

    Growth,year-year

    Rent Growth Base Case Best Case Double-Dip

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC

    Dallas, Texas

    Base Case

    Best Case

    Double-

    Dip

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    1Q96

    1Q97

    1Q98

    1Q99

    1Q00

    1Q01

    1Q02

    1Q03

    1Q04

    1Q05

    1Q06

    1Q07

    1Q08

    1Q09

    1Q10

    1Q11

    1Q12

    1Q13

    Year-YearChan

    geinAverageN

    et

    OperatingIncome

    Rent growth drives strong NOI growth

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Dallas, Texas

    Forecast Summary

    Base Case Best Case Double-Dip

    Occupancy

    Rent

    Growth Occupancy

    Rent

    Growth Occupancy

    Rent

    Growth2011 95.3% 4.8% 95.6% 5.3% 95.3% 4.3%

    2012 96.6% 6.4% 96.8% 6.7% 96.2% 5.0%

    2013 96.6% 5.5% 96.8% 6.1% 95.9% 4.9%

    2011-2013 96.2% 5.5% 96.4% 6.0% 95.8% 4.8%

    Forecast Scenarios

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    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    24

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    Metro Market Focus

    Metro Market Focus

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    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    Strong demand recovery in many CPT markets

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Aus

    CharlDen

    Miami

    Orl

    Ral

    Riv

    Tam

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    1Q

    08

    2Q

    08

    3Q

    08

    4Q

    08

    1Q

    09

    2Q

    09

    3Q

    09

    4Q

    09

    1Q10

    2Q10

    Year-Y

    ear%ChangeinO

    ccupiedApartmen

    ts

    Aus Charl Den Miami Orl Ral Riv Tam

    Metro Market Focus

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    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    solidly positive demand in all others

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Atl

    DalFtL

    FW

    HouLVLA

    OC

    Phx

    SDDC

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    1Q08

    2Q08

    3Q08

    4Q08

    1Q09

    2Q09

    3Q09

    4Q09

    1Q10

    2Q10

    Year-Y

    ear%ChangeinO

    ccupiedApartmen

    ts

    Atl Dal FtL FW Hou LV LA OC Phx SD DC

    Metro Market Focus

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    2Q 2010 Actuals: Apartment Demand HighlightsAbsorption Rate*: Leaders

    12 Months ending 2Q 2010

    1. Raleigh 5.5%2. Austin 5.2%

    3. Orlando 4.6%

    4. Charlotte 3.7%

    5. Salt Lake City 3.6%

    6. Nashville 3.5%

    7. Denver 3.5%

    8. West Palm Beach 3.1%9. Jacksonville 2.9%

    10. Miami 2.9%

    Source: Witten Advisors

    Absorption Rate*: Laggards

    12 Months ending 2Q 2010

    33. Washington DC 1.1%34. Houston 1.1%

    35. San Francisco 1.0%

    36. Orange County 0.9%

    37. St. Louis 0.9%

    38. Detroit 0.3%

    39. Kansas City 0.2%

    40. Columbus 0.2%41. Cincinnati 0.4%

    42. Minneapolis 0.4%

    Metro Stories

    *year-year % change in occupied apartments

    Metro Market Focus

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    Wi Ad i

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    Early job growth leaders in recent recoveries

    Source: Witten Advisors

    1993-1994 Average 2004-2005 Average

    1 Las Vegas 10.2% Las Vegas 7.3%

    2 Austin 7.1% Phoenix 5.6%

    3 Phoenix 7.0% Riverside 5.6%

    4 Salt Lake City 6.3% Orlando 5.4%

    5 Atlanta 5.4% Fort Lauderdale 4.7%

    6 Orlando 5.2% Jacksonville 4.0%

    7 Nashville 4.9% West Palm Beach 3.6%

    8 Tampa 4.9% Tampa 3.6%

    9 Denver 4.8% Austin 3.6%10 Portland 4.8% Salt Lake City 3.6%

    Metro Market Focus

    Wi Ad i

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    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    similar names expected in this recovery

    Source: Witten Advisors

    2011 Employment Growth 2012 Employment Growth

    1 Austin* 4.3% Austin* 4.7%

    2 Riverside* 3.5% Las Vegas* 4.2%

    3 Fort Worth 3.5% Fort Worth 4.0%

    4 Phoenix * 3.5% Riverside* 3.9%

    5 Dallas 3.0% Salt Lake City* 3.8%

    6 Denver* 3.0% Phoenix* 3.8%

    7 Charlotte 3.0% Jacksonville* 3.5%

    8 Jacksonville* 2.9% Dallas 3.5%

    9 Orlando* 2.9% Denver* 3.5%10 Washington DC 2.8% Charlotte 3.4%

    Metro Market Focus

    *among top 10 early job growth leaders in 1993-1994

    or 2004-2005 recoveries, or both

    Wittk Ad i S i Ad i

    k

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    supporting a sharp rebound in rental income

    Source: Witten Advisors

    2011 Revenue Growth 2012 Revenue Growth

    1 Orlando 6.4% Denver 8.3%

    2 West Palm Beach 6.3% Boston 8.0%

    3 Washington DC 5.9% Austin 7.8%

    4 Denver 5.6% Orange County 7.8%

    5 Fort Lauderdale 5.4% San Jose 7.6%

    6 Austin 4.9% Phoenix 7.5%

    7 Phoenix 4.7% Oakland 7.2%

    8 San Antonio 4.6% Atlanta 7.2%

    9 San Jose 4.5% Chicago 6.4%10 Atlanta 4.2% Charlotte 6.3%

    Metro Market Focus

    WittenM k Ad i S i Ad isors

    M k O l k

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

    Camden Investor MeetingOctober 4, 2010

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    Summary 2010: Early recovery well underway

    Job gains return (+1.2m); house payments stabilize (-1%)

    Effective rents up 1% year-year; NOI -3% as rents finish rolling down

    2011-2012: Strong rebound Employment gains 2.5m in 2011, 3.1m in 2012; P&I +10%, +10%

    Negative net completions

    Rents up 4% in 2011, 6% in 2012; NOI +5%, +10%

    2013: Recovery complete Hiring continues (+2.9m); lost jobs replaced

    House payments climb +5% Net completions only 30k; starts back to 180k

    Rents up 6%+; NOI +10%

    Values back to 2007 levels

    Market Outlook

    WittenM k Ad i S i Advisors

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    WittenMarket Advisory Services

    Market insights for apartment owners,developers, investors and lenders

    Market-Smart Investment Decisions

    Advisors

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    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    33

    Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLCDallas, Texas

    Questions/Discussion

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    1

    Camden Property Trust2010 Investor / Analyst Meeting

    Houston, TX

    October 4 - 5, 2010

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    2

    Forward-Looking Statements

    In addition to historical information, this presentation contains forward-looking statements under the federal securities law. These statements

    are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about theindustry and markets in which Camden operates, management'sbeliefs, and assumptions made by management. Forward-lookingstatements are not guarantees of future performance and involve

    certain risks and uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Factorswhich may cause the Companys actual results or performance to differmaterially from those contemplated by forward-looking statements aredescribed under the heading Risk Factors in Camdens Annual Reporton Form 10-K and in other filings with the Securities and Exchange

    Commission (SEC). Forward-looking statements made in thispresentation represent managements opinions as of the date of thispresentation, and the Company assumes no obligation to update orsupplement these statements because of subsequent events.

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    3

    Significant Opportunities for Multifamily Industry

    Limited new supply of housing expected for next severalyears

    Favorable demographics from growing Echo Boompopulation and positive immigration inflows

    Homeownership rate declining steadily Negative sentiment toward home ownership

    Fewer apartment renters moving out to purchase homes

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    Housing Supply

    Multifamily supply remains well below long-termaverage level

    The Harvard University Joint Center for Housing Studiesestimates that we already have a shortage of 3 millionunits of affordable rental housing

    All markets are now Barrier due to limited availabilityof construction financing

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    Rising Demand for Apartments

    Natural demand of 1.5 million to 2.0 million housingunits annually

    78 million Echo Boomers now entering housing market

    Baby Boomers downsizing and many choosing to rent

    Less than 22% of current American households areMarried Couples with Children

    Between 2008-2015, nearly two-thirds of all new

    households formed will be renters, creating 6 millionnew renter households

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    Political Winds Impacting Industry

    Focus on more balanced housing policy

    Future of GSEs $5 trillion total portfolio

    Multifamily portfolio produced over $2 billion in

    profits since GSEs placed in conservatorship January 30, 2011 deadline for Treasury to propose a

    new plan for the GSEs

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    Camdens Game Plan

    Maximize portfolio cash flow growth

    Complete Camden Multifamily Value Add Fundthrough acquisitions and development

    Expand development pipeline

    Complete selective dispositions

    Continue to reduce leverage

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    Portfolio Trends

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    Camdens Portfolio

    187 operating communities containing 64,074apartment homes in 15 major U.S. markets

    High-quality properties with average age of 11 years one of the youngest in sector

    3Q10 average same property occupancy 94.3% Turnover rates and moveouts for home purchases

    near all-time lows

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    Geographic Diversity & Market Balance

    Percentage of NOI by Market 2Q10 Actual(Including pro-rata share of NOI from JV communities)

    Note: Other markets represent 3.6% of NOI

    Austin2.7%

    Houston8.7%

    Dallas6.8%

    Phoenix2.4%

    Tampa

    7.6%

    Orlando5.4%

    Las Vegas7.5%

    Denver4.0%

    San Diego/Inland Empire3.4%

    Charlotte5.9%

    SoutheastFlorida6.9%

    Atlanta5.2%

    Raleigh4.5%

    Washington, DC19.1%

    LA/Orange County6.3%

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    Rank Metro area Gain

    1 New York-Wayne NY-NJ 411.0

    2 Houston-Baytown TX 328.7

    3 Atlanta-Sandy Springs GA 303.84 Los Angeles-Long Beach CA 299.3

    5 Chicago-Naperville IL 295.3

    6 Dallas-Plano TX 280.5

    7 Washington-Arlington DC-VA-MD-WV 190.9

    8 Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI 155.8

    9 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ 153.8

    10 Seattle-Bellevue WA 135.5

    11 Tampa-St. Petersburg FL 132.612 Philadelphia PA 132.1

    13 Fort Worth-Arlington TX 124.2

    14 Orlando FL 123.6

    15 Austin-Round Rock TX 119.8

    16 San Antonio TX 118.9

    17 Santa Ana-Anaheim CA 117.1

    18 Nassau-Suffolk NY 110.6

    19 St. Louis MO-IL 108.520 Miami-Miami Beach FL 100.4

    21 Charlotte-Gastonia NC-SC 98.1

    22 Denver-Aurora CO 95.8

    23 San Diego-Carlsbad CA 93.6

    24 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 89.4

    25 Portland-Vancouver OR-WA 87.9

    Rank Metro area Gain

    1 Houston-Baytown TX 626.2

    2 Atlanta-Sandy Springs GA 602.8

    3 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ 591.94 Los Angeles-Long Beach CA 510.5

    5 Dallas-Plano TX 472.5

    6 Washington-Arlington DC-VA-MD-WV 270.4

    7 Austin-Round Rock TX 250.9

    8 Fort Worth-Arlington TX 238.9

    9 Chicago-Naperville IL 238.0

    10 San Antonio TX 227.0

    11 New York-Wayne NY-NJ 224.612 San Diego-Carlsbad CA 220.5

    13 Orlando FL 212.9

    14 Portland-Vancouver OR-WA 210.9

    15 Riverside-San Bernardino CA 210.2

    16 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 209.4

    17 Raleigh-Cary NC 197.1

    18 Charlotte-Gastonia NC-SC 190.9

    19 Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI 179.9

    20 Seattle-Bellevue WA 175.3

    21 Santa Ana-Anaheim CA 173.6

    22 Denver-Aurora CO 168.6

    23 Sacramento-Arden CA 165.6

    24 Tampa-St. Petersburg FL 142.9

    25 West Palm Beach-Boynton Beach FL 131.9

    Growth Drives ResultsTop 25 Metro Areas For Estimated Gains: 2009 - 2014

    Source: Prcis METRO 2005 Economy.com, Inc. - September 2010. Highlighted entries represent Camden markets.Over 97% of Camdens NOI is derived from these markets

    Population GrowthEmployment Growth

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    12

    Alphabet Soup

    WISOFISL

    WISL

    FISTWINO

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    When Will Then Be Now?

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    HigherEmploymentLifts

    Performance

    How About?

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    Peak to Trough Rents

    Peak to Current

    Trough Rent Amount

    Market Decline vs. Peak RecoveredPhoenix (17.8%) (17.2%) 0.6%Las Vegas (16.4%) (16.4%) 0.0%Charlotte (14.8%) (13.5%) 1.3%Orlando (12.7%) (12.1%) 0.6%Atlanta (10.8%) (8.6%) 2.2%

    Los Angeles/Orange County (10.5%) (10.3%) 0.1%Tampa (9.9%) (8.7%) 1.2%Southeast Florida (9.9%) (7.7%) 2.2%Austin (8.4%) (6.3%) 2.1%Raleigh (7.9%) (5.0%) 3.0%San Diego/Inland Empire (7.6%) (5.5%) 2.1%

    Dallas (7.5%) (6.8%) 0.7%Denver (5.7%) (2.4%) 3.3%Houston (4.2%) (4.0%) 0.2%Washington, DC (3.1%) (0.1%) 3.1%Total (8.5%) (7.3%) 1.3%

    Average change in rent per apartment home

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    -8.0%

    -6.0%

    -4.0%

    -2.0%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10

    New Lease Renewal Overall

    Pricing Power Beginning to ReturnAverage change in new lease and renewal rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed

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    17

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    W

    ashington,

    DC

    So

    utheastFlorida

    Atlanta

    Austin

    Raleigh

    Charlotte

    CPTAverage

    Tampa

    Dallas

    Orlando

    Denver

    Phoenix

    Sou

    thernCalifornia

    Houston

    LasVegas

    Renewal Increases by Market Sept 2010Average change in renewal rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed

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    -4.0%

    -2.0%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    Austin

    Denver

    SoutheastFlorida

    Phoenix

    Orlando

    Washington,

    DC

    Tampa

    CPTAverage

    Dallas

    Raleigh

    Charlotte

    Sou

    thernCalifornia

    Atlanta

    Houston

    LasVegas

    New Lease Increases by Market Sept 2010Average change in new lease rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed

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    19

    $920

    $930

    $940

    $950

    $960

    $970

    $980

    $990

    Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10

    Market Rents In-Place Rents

    Rental Rates Improving

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    20

    94.3%94.2%

    93.4%

    93.1%

    93.9%

    92.0%

    93.0%

    94.0%

    95.0%

    96.0%

    3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10

    Same Property Average Occupancy

    Occupancy Rising

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    21

    91.0%

    92.0%

    93.0%

    94.0%

    95.0%

    96.0%

    97.0%

    98.0%

    Washigton,

    DC

    Denver

    Raleigh

    Charlotte

    SoutheastFlorida

    Austin

    Dallas

    CPTAverage

    Atlanta

    Orlando

    Tampa

    Houston

    Sou

    thernCalifornia

    LasVegas

    Phoenix

    Occupancy by Market3Q10 same property average occupancy

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    2010 Guidance Increased

    Revised Guidance (2)Original Guidance (1)

    $0.06 - $0.18$(0.24) - $0.06EPS per share

    (3.0)% - (5.0)%(5.5)% - (8.5)%NOI growth0.75% - 1.25%2.0% - 3.5%Expense growth

    (1.5)% - (2.5)%(2.25)% - (4.25)%Revenue growth

    Same Property Performance

    $2.58 - $2.70$2.35 - $2.65FFO per shareEarnings

    (1) Issued February 2010.(2) Issued July 2010 and re-affirmed October 2010.

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    Thanks for theInternet Al Gore!

    2010 50KVisitorsEachWeek

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    Top Internet

    Referring Sites

    1. CraigsList.com2. ApartmentGuide.com

    3. Facebook

    4. ForRent.com5. Apartments.com

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    What are our customers saying about us?

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    August 2010 Focus Group Results

    Seriously Mobile

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    Seriously Mobile

    Five Cant-Miss Mobile Marketing Trends For 2010, Paul Rosenfeld, December 30, 2009 - smallbiztrends.comKeep an Eye on Mobile Usage Trends, Erin Wilson, May 12, 2010 - blog.90octane.com

    Mobile Access 2010, Aaron Smith, Jul 7, 2010 - Pew Research Center

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    Nothing but Net Campaign

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    Nothing but Net CampaignInternet Marketing at its finest

    Campaign Netted 5,603 leases (July 5 Sept 19)

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    Guest Card Volume ChangeFor July and August

    Nothing but Net Group - 14.35%

    Non-Nothing but Net Group - 3.27%

    Camden Contact Center

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    Steve ZissouOfficial mascot

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    35

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    Acquisitions & Dispositions

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    Create value by maximizing return on invested capital(ROIC)

    Ensure appropriate leverage

    Accomplish by making investments that are accretive toweighted average cost of capital (WACC)

    Camdens Investment Thesis

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    Acquisition Environment Transaction volumes beginning to increase

    Most financing still provided by Fannie Mae & FreddieMac, but life companies competitive

    Limited seller distress so far

    Well-capitalized buyers competing heavily for coreproduct

    Cap rates range from 4.5% to 5.25% for core assets in

    infill locations

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    Camden Multifamily Value Add Fund $120M assets currently owned within Fund

    $375M total equity commitment $300M institutionalcapital, $75M Camden

    $1.0B total investment capacity (based on 60% leverage)

    Investment vehicle for select acquisitions anddevelopment

    Camden fee income includes asset management,

    property management, construction, development andcapital improvements

    20% carried interest and fees enhance equity returns

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    Camden Yorktown

    Location Houston, TX

    Date acquired July 2010

    Purchase price $25 million

    Year built 2008Number of units 306

    CPT ownership 20%

    % occupied 96% (10/1/10)

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    Camden Ivy Hall

    Location Atlanta, GADate acquired July 2010

    Purchase price $15 million

    Cost to complete $2 million

    Year built 2010

    Number of units 110

    CPT ownership 20%

    % occupied 44% (10/1/10)

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    Dispositions Expect to complete $105M dispositions by year-end

    25-year old asset in Dallas/Ft. Worth 5-year old asset in Suburban Virginia

    Midwest Joint Venture currently being marketed for sale

    9 communities with 3,237 apartment homes locatedin St. Louis, Kansas City and Louisville

    Camden ownership 15%

    Expect sale to occur in late 2010 or early 2011

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    Development & Re-Development

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    Core competency for Camden throughout 17-yearhistory as public company

    Completed over 50 communities with 20,000 apartmenthomes for total cost of $2.3B

    Expected development starts

    $100M in 2010

    $250M-$400M annually thereafter

    Resuming Development Activity

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    2010 Development Starts($ in millions)

    Total

    Projected EstimatedProject Location Homes Cost

    Camden Lake Nona Orlando, FL 420 $61

    Camden Summerfield II Landover, MD 187 32

    Camden Royal Oaks II Houston, TX 105 13Total 712 $106

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    Camden Lake Nona

    Location Orlando, FL

    Number of units 420

    Total budget $61 million

    Start date 4Q10

    Initial occupancy 4Q11

    Construction completion 3Q12

    Stabilized operations 4Q14

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    Camden Summerfield II

    Location Landover, MD

    Number of units 187

    Total budget $32 million

    Start date 4Q10

    Initial occupancy 2Q12

    Construction completion 3Q12

    Stabilized operations 2Q13

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    Camden Royal Oaks II

    Location Houston, TX

    Number of units 105

    Total budget $13 million

    Start date 4Q10

    Initial occupancy 1Q12

    Construction completion 2Q12

    Stabilized operations 3Q13

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    Potential 2011 Development Starts($ in millions)

    Total

    Projected EstimatedProject Location Homes Cost

    Camden Noma Washington, DC 317 $117

    Camden South Capital Washington, DC 276 83

    Camden Celebration Orlando, FL 438 65

    Camden Countryway Tampa, FL 348 51

    Camden Montague Tampa, FL 192 23

    Camden City Centre II Houston, TX 260 36

    Camden Amber Oaks II Austin, TX 244 25

    Total 2,075 $400

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    Additional Land Holdings($ in millions)

    * Cost as of 6/30/10

    Potential Projected Cost to

    Location Projects Homes Date*

    Washington, DC 1 400 $17.3

    Houston, TX 3 750 9.9

    Austin, TX 1 300 4.3

    Denver, CO 2 675 11.6Hollywood, CA 1 300 17.3

    Dallas, TX 1 300 8.6

    Southeast FL 1 200 4.6

    Las Vegas, NV 1 425 4.2Total 11 3,350 $77.8

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    Re-Development Program Completed $45M during 2007-2010 for 10% return on

    investment

    Interior and exterior improvements included upgradedkitchens, baths and common areas

    Recently commenced on-demand kitchen and bath

    redevelopment program 15 communities

    3,800 apartment homes

    Total cost of $30M

    Expected returns of 10%-15%

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    Capital Structure & Liquidity

    St C it l St t

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    Strong Capital Structure

    Total Market Capitalization = $6.1 Billion

    ($ in millions as of 9/30/10)

    41.7% debt-to-total market

    capitalization 5.1% weighted average

    interest rate on all debt

    90.9% fixed-rate debt

    59.3% unsecured debt

    Manageable debt maturitiesover next several years

    Unsecured Line

    of Credit

    $0

    Mortgages

    $1,034

    Senior UnsecuredNotes

    $1,508 Equity *

    $3,547

    * Based on closing share price of $47.97 on 9/30/10.

    Li idit

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    Liquidity Approximately $84M cash on hand at 9/30/10

    $0 drawn on credit facility

    Sufficient liquidity to meet capital needs

    Minimal debt maturities over next 24 months

    Large unencumbered asset pool Low payout ratio

    Dividend increase likely in 2011

    M bl D bt M t iti

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    $1.1

    $158.5

    $762.7

    $228.0

    $11.0

    $1,380.8

    $0

    $200

    $400

    $600

    $800

    $1,000

    $1,200

    $1,400

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Thereafter

    Future scheduled maturities (as of 9/30/10)Manageable Debt Maturities

    ($ in millions)

    D t il 2011 & 2012 M t iti

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    Details on 2011 & 2012 Maturities

    $89.1

    $36.1 $32.3$1.0 $1.0 $1.0

    $70.4

    $690.3

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    $600

    $700

    1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12

    Future scheduled maturities (as of 9/30/10)

    ($ in millions)

    Camdens Leverage Relative to Peers

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    Camdens Leverage Relative to Peers

    Source: KeyBanc Capital Markets 9/24/10

    Company EBITDA/Interest Expense

    MAA 3.22x

    ESS 3.03x

    AVB 2.91x

    BRE 2.53x

    CPT 2.51x

    UDR 2.34x

    EQR 2.30xPPS 2.19x

    HME 2.18x

    CLP 1.87x

    AIV 1.72xAEC 1.67x

    Average 2.37x

    New Revolving Credit Facility

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    New Revolving Credit FacilityNumber of Banks 17

    Joint Bookrunners: Banc of America Securities, LLC and JP Morgan Securities, Inc

    $500 million Senior Unsecured Revolving Credit Facility

    $100 million letter of credit sublimit Accordion up to $600 million

    Maturity: August 2012, with 1 year extension option

    Pricing: Pricing grid based on credit rating

    Current pricing: LIBOR margin 210 bps

    Annual facility fee 40 bps All-in drawn 250 bps

    Maximum Leverage Ratio:

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    Indicative Senior Unsecured Pricing

    Maturity (years) 5 7 10Size ($ millions) $250 - $500 $250 - $500 $250 - $500

    Benchmark Treasury UST 1.250% 8/15 UST 1.875% 8/17 UST 2.625% 8/20

    Benchmark Treasury yield (%) 1.29% 1.91% 2.53%

    Reoffer spread (bps) T+200 - 212.5 T+212.5 - 225 T+212.5 - 225

    Reoffer yield 3.286% - 3.410% 4.031% - 4.160% 4.653% - 4.780%Swap spread (bps) +23 +15 +3

    Reoffer versus LIBOR (bps) +177 - 190 +198 - 120 +209 - 222

    Fees upfront (%) 0.600% 0.625% 0.650%

    All-in yield 3.42% - 3.54% 4.13% - 4.26% 4.73% - 4.86%

    All-in spread versus LIBOR (bps) +190 - 203 +208 - 220 +218 - 230

    Pricing as of 9/27/10

    Secured Financing Alternatives

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    Secured Financing Alternatives

    80% LTV / 1.25 DSC

    InvestorSpread

    Term Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.99% 3.27%7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.99% 3.88%10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.99% 4.50%

    65% LTV / 1.35 DSC

    Investor

    SpreadTerm Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.79% 3.07%7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.79% 3.68%10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.79% 4.30%

    55% LTV / 1.55 DSC

    InvestorSpread

    Term Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.55% 2.83%7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.55% 3.44%10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.55% 4.06%

    Fannie Mae rates as of 9/27/10

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    Summary

    Why Camden?

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    Why Camden? Experienced management team with proven history of

    performance and sound business plan

    Consistent long-term focus and commitment to high-growth markets

    Strong balance sheet with ample liquidity

    Well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities

    Ranked #10 by FORTUNE Magazine on list of100 Best Companies to Work For in America

    Definitions & Disclosures

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    Funds from Operations (FFO) The National Association of Real Estate InvestmentTrusts (NAREIT) currently defines FFO as net income attributable to commonshareholders computed in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles(GAAP), excluding gains or losses from depreciable operating property sales, plus real

    estate depreciation and amortization, and after adjustments for unconsolidatedpartnerships and joint ventures. Camdens definition of diluted FFO also assumesconversion of all dilutive convertible securities, including minority interests, which areconvertible into common equity. The Company considers FFO to be an appropriatesupplemental measure of operating performance because, by excluding gains or losseson dispositions of operating properties and excluding depreciation, FFO can help one

    compare the operating performance of a company's real estate between periods or ascompared to different companies.

    Net Operating Income (NOI) NOI is defined by the Company as total propertyincome less property operating and maintenance expenses less real estate taxes. The

    Company considers NOI to be an appropriate supplemental measure of operatingperformance to net income attributable to common shareholders because it reflects theoperating performance of our communities without allocation of corporate level propertymanagement overhead or general and administrative costs.

    Non-GAAP Reconciliations

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    Expected FFO Expected FFO is calculated in a method consistent with historical FFO,and is considered an appropriate supplemental measure of expected operatingperformance when compared to expected net income attributable to commonshareholders (EPS). A reconciliation of the ranges provided for expected net income

    attributable to common shareholders per diluted share to expected FFO per dilutedshare is provided below:2010 Range

    Low High

    Expected net income attributable to common shareholders per share - diluted $0.06 $0.18Expected real estate depreciation 2.37 2.37Expected adjustments for unconsolidated joint ventures 0.13 0.13Expected income allocated to noncontrolling interests 0.02 0.02

    Expected FFO per share - diluted $2.58 $2.70

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