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CRITERIA FOR BUSINESS LONGEVITY: Does a pure Darwinian approach
work?
© North Delta College 2015
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 1
INTRODUCTION
Long-‐Term business survival is the final aim of any new venture. This is why Business people and Business Theorists were among the first to apply Darwin Theory outside its original framework to try to understand Economic superiority. We will show in this short presentaTon why this approach is not enough as it misses a key fact: Money, originally, doesn't come from the Outside Environment.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 2
SUMMARY IntroducTon PART 1: A Business Formula: E= MC2 A) the formula B) understanding where it comes from C) the 3 dimensions for Business Survival PART 2 : System theory A) the inner part B) the outside environment C) the Darwinian statement PART 3 : The Financial Flows A) model for a Business Ecosystem B) what Darwin misses C) funding: neither inside nor outside D) the financial tap E) what opens the tap PART 4 : The Final statement
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 3
PART 1: A BUSINESS FORMULA: E = MC2
Our key criteria for understanding proper business performance for the long term as well as shorter business cycles is the following formula:
E = MC2
Where E stands for Excellence M stands for MoTvaTon of Employee C stands for Customer SaTsfacTon C stands for Consolidated Profit
The 3 barometer indicators to weather the economic storm and lead your ship to the
right port.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 4
THE FORMULA
Comments on the Formula
These are the 3 final KPI while leading a business. The minimal leadership kit.
Business management in one single stance.
Nothing can prove such a formula however it has been empirically tested managing real businesses and is therefore far more than a model. It will be our starTng point, our iniTal strategic insight onto
what triggers superior economic performance and understand business survival on short economic cycles as well as longer ones.
This will lead us naturally to criteria for business longevity.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 5
PART 1: A BUSINESS FORMULA: E = MC2
There are therefore 3 components on the right hand side of the equaTon. The 3 dimensions we want to explore.
1. MoTvaTon of employees indicates a crystallisaTon of the inner workings of the company
2. Customer SaTsfacTon indicates the most important KPI In the External environment
3. Consolidated Profit is the most powerful financial indicator
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 6
Understanding where the formula comes from
PART 1: A BUSINESS FORMULA: E = MC2
E = MC2
Inner Workings External Environment
Financial Flow
These are therefore the 3 dimensions we will consider for studying Business Survival and Business Longevity.
1. The inner working of the Business OrganisaTon seen as an holisTc EnTty
2. The outside Environment 3. The Financial requirements
In the remainder of this presentaTon we will describe these 3 dimensions using
more structural maths and in parTcular concepts from System Theory and this will naturally lead us to the Business Longevity Criteria we are looking for.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 7
The 3 dimensions for Business Survival
PART 1: A BUSINESS FORMULA: E = MC2
IntroducTon
In some sense, businesses can be seen as Systems, where the business organisaTon is seen as the system, that is the inside part.
This system lives in an environment ("the outside part") where it has to struggle
for its survival.
This is in fact nothing more than a glorified Darwin Theory.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 8
PART 2: SYSTEM THEORY
THE ENVIRONMENT
SYSTEM =
THE BUSINESS
The Inner part
The inner part is the business organisaTon itself. In a former presentaTon, we have depicted it as the set of all the
processes that makes the business run. This model remains valid in our Systems approach to business survival
and longevity.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 9
PART 2: SYSTEM THEORY
THE BUSINESS ORGANISATION
The outside environment
The outer part is made up of the Environment in which the Business (or the system) has to survive.
The environment generates opportuniTes, like customers; threats, like
compeTtors and constraints, like regulaTons, taxes etc...
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 10
PART 2: SYSTEM THEORY
THE ENVIRONMENT
2. Threats 1. Opportunities 3. Constraints
The Darwinian statement
This system model is basically the Darwinian approach.
Darwin Theory tells us the different systems compete among themselves to survive in the same environment. The systems that survive are those who can
adapt themselves the best to the given environment and its changes.
In one statement: survival of the fieest.
That is: business longevity comes from adaptability and responsiveness to the environment.
We will precisely see that this approach misses something major:
The existence of Money or Cash in the Universe
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 11
PART 2: SYSTEM THEORY
Model for a Business Ecosystem
What does Business Management Theory tell us?
The main objecTve of any business organisaTon is increased returns to the shareholders of the company.
i.e. The existence of the financial flow.
The key result we want to achieve in our model of the business ecosystem is the fact that Money iniTally is neither inside the organisaTon, nor in the environment and requires another dimension missed by System Theory or
Darwin.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 12
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
Our model
This is how our model looks like:
We sTll have the system and its environment, but in addiTon, to the boeom of the system (i.e. The business organisaTon) we integrate a transverse flow going backwards. This flow is the life injecTng flow inside the organisaTon. It
is a form of Energy, and in Economic terms it is called The Funding flow.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 13
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
Our model
It is very important to understand the structure of the financial flow inside the organisaTon.
Fundamentally, there are 2 financial flows inside any living business organisaTon:
A) the entering flow, coming from Sales & Revenues B) the out-‐ward flow , to pay the expenses related to the business
The non-‐trivial statement is that this second outward flow comes iniTally from a separate
in-‐going flow that we could call funding which has a different source from the other ingoing flow, namely sales.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 14
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
What Darwin misses
The source of this funding flow is not in the environment. No maeer how responsive you are to the outside realm, the iniTal cash or energy injecTon will be provided for another
reason.
Therefore , contrarily to Darwin, we state that in the business jungle, it is not just about the survival of the fieest.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 15
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
Funding: neither inside nor outside
This funding flow is therefore de-‐coupled from the flow coming from the customers in the environment.
Furthermore it doesn't come either from the internal energy or internal cash of
the system.
It is therefore neither inside, nor outside. This is precisely what tradiTonal System Theory misses.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 16
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
The financial tap
Where does this funding flow originate from?
Let us zoom in our picture.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 17
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
We see that at the entrance inside the organisaTon, the funding flow has a door or a tap, which has 3 posiTons:
-‐ closed: funding not allowed -‐ open: funding allowed
-‐ volume: if allowed, how many units of Energy goes in
We can also see that this is slightly more complicated than the concept of gate in computer science which has only 2 posiTons (on/off)
What opens the tap
Now the real quesTon: what opens the tap and controls the volume?
Anglo-‐Saxon business management theory says that this tap opens when shareholders sense they will make superior return when invesTng in the
organisaTon.
We challenge this very simple and straight-‐forward asserTon which is oken the first strategic principle students learn in a MBA Course.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 18
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 19
PART 3: THE FINANCIAL FLOWS What opens the tap
Superior returns as an economic principle yes. But what about reputaTon, brand image and belief system of the funder. Will an Islamic bank invest in an non-‐sharia compliant venture even if it begets superior profit? Will a reputed bank invest in a Hard-‐rock band even if they churn millions of profit?
Therefore the purpose and mission of the venture maeers too. What is important with money is what
you do out of it, not just the fact money has no smell, no colour.
Once the tap is open, the business is alive, and we can move on back to system theory and Darwin and see the future of the organisaTon as a survival game between the business as an holisTc enTty
and its external environment, unTl the next round of funding.
The Final statement
It is therefore the objecTve missions of the organisaTon and the roadmap to achieve them which ulTmately opens the funding tap and not just an economic
principle such as superior returns for shareholders.
Business longevity is therefore funcTon of the organisaTon's purposes rather than peripheral aeributes such as adaptability to changing environment.
Obviously, responsiveness to the environment, can make the difference
between being dead or alive in the short run. But, in the Long Term, sole the core mission of the organisaTon maeers.
Mathema'cs applied to Business Theory 20
PART 4: THE FINAL STATEMENT