Date post: | 15-Apr-2017 |
Category: |
Business |
Upload: | matt-goldenberg |
View: | 1,153 times |
Download: | 2 times |
How Crowdsourced Decisions Will Change Everything
Crystal2/23/2016
2
Agenda For Today
Problems with Society
How Can We Solve Them
A New Society
3Problems With Society
Not everything that can be counted, counts. Not
everything that counts can be counted. ”
“
WILLIAM BRUCE CAMERONWhat gets measured, get’s
managed.”
“
PETER DRUCKER
5Have You Ever…
Had to rush to leave the house?
Underestimated the cost of a remodeling project?
Spent more time writing an email than you thought you would?
6
Making Good Decisions
Goals
Outcomes
Options
“How I decide which projects to take on
depends on the probability multiplied by the importance of
the objective”
Elon Musk
7Solving Problems With Society
8
Just Moves Problems a Layer Down
Liquidity Transaction Costs
Mearuecoin
Schelling Points
Solves Measurement Problem Counterfactuals
Understanding Augur
9
Understanding Crystal
CreativityAwarded based on how well your
suggestions match the utility function.
AccuracyAwarded based on how
well you predict the future.
10
What are Maracils chances of saving over a 500,000,000 lives in the
next five years??
Accuracy in Crystal
$10,500
$9,000$6,00
0$3,00
0$1,50
0$30,00
0
60% 55% 35%
89%95%
40%
70%
11A New Society
12
Outsourcing Strategy
13
Crowdsourcing Goals
14
Crowdsourcing Government
15
Why Ethereum?