CWCI – July 2017
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Cumulative Trauma Injuries & The Rx Formulary
A California Workers’ CompensationSystem Update
Alex Swedlow, President
Joe Paduda, Principal
C CVV I
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Good news on reform outcomes:
Current Events on Medical Delivery
• Frequency, expenses and medical are down
• New fee schedules (RBRVS) on track
• Fewer spine surgeries
• Opioids are trending down
• Rx Formulary Jan 2018
• Fewer liens
• $1.3B in savings (WCIRB)
CWCI – July 2017
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HighestRate*
California within the National Landscape
Source: Oregon Dept. of Business & Consumer Services Study 2016
However…
Highest Perm Dis Frequency
HighestExpenses
* Using CA weights
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Source: NCCI Annual Statistical Bulletin, 2016, Exhibit 11
Medical Cost per Indemnity Claim
National Comparison on Medical CostsIndemnity Claims
64% higher than median state
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Exhibit 5
Source; NCCI 2016
Countrywide Ratios of Loss Adjustment Expense Costs to Losses
National Comparison on LAE Costs
83% higher than median state
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Breakdown of California “Benefit Delivery Expense”
MCC41%
Defense Attorney
31%
Medical-Legal11%
Other17%
WCRI CompScope for CA Edition 15 (2015)
Exhibit 6
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1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%11-
100%
Scripts 33% 46% 55% 61% 66% 70% 73% 75% 77% 79% 100%
Payments 42% 56% 65% 71% 76% 80% 83% 85% 87% 88% 100%
MMEs 41% 54% 62% 69% 74% 78% 81% 83% 85% 87% 100%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Cumulative Percentile of Physicians
Source: CWCI 2012
Exhibit 7
The Skew: Opioid Prescribers
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Exhibit 8
Percent of UR & IMR Decisions for Top Providers
The Skew: UR & IMR Physicians: 2015 & 2016 Decisions
Top10
1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
UR (27k) 9% 42% 53% 59% 64% 67% 70% 73% 75% 76% 78%
IMR (13k) 11% 44% 58% 66% 72% 75% 78% 81% 82% 84% 85%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Source: CWCI
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$8,726
$13,208
$31,971$29,237
$42,113
$38,133
$40,455
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Estimated Average Medical Cost per Indemnity Claim by Accident Year
Source: WCIRB 2017
1990 – 2012
358% increase
2012 – 2015
(863)
5% decrease2002-2005
(227/228/899)
9% decrease
1996-2003
Minnear era
250% increase
Accident Year
2015 - 2016
6% increase
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Agenda
Exhibit 10
Cumulative Trauma
• Dec 2016 Study
• Collaboration with WCIRB
• Analysis of CT and Non-CT Claim Characteristics and Outcomes
• DOI 2005 - 2013
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The peculiar problem of CT in CA
Background:
• A few states prohibit cumulative trauma claims altogether
• Some states impose a high standard of proof
• Other states require that the employee prove that the cumulative injury occurred using a standard of clear and convincing evidence
• California has a relatively low bar for cumulative trauma claims
• Preponderance of evidence standard applies
• Only 1% causation required to obtain TD, PD, and medical treatment for all body parts included in CT claim
Exhibit 11
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� Classic Example: Employee spends a 30-year career performing heavy lifting, pushing, and pulling and knees or something else wears out
� Other Examples:� Physician-Assisted
� Attorney-Induced
� Created by Co-Defendant
� Post-termination
� Retirement
Where do CT claims come from?
Exhibit 12
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Estimated Frequency ChangesAt 1st Report (18 Months)
-6.3
-4.0
-6.2
-3.2
6.4
-1.1
2.9
0.5
-0.2
-6.1-4.4
-6.3
-4.1
5.6
-0.4
2.4
-1.3 -1.5
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Accident Year
Statewide
Statewide Excluding Cumulative InjuryClaims
%
13
PreliminaryPartial
Source: WCIRB
Exhibit 13
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Cumulative Trauma: Study Questions
1. How do claim characteristics vary for CT vs Non-CT Claims?
2. Are differences in payment flows and the existence of companion claims influencing average claim costs and masking underlying increases?
3. What are the contributing factors that cause the observed differences?
Exhibit 14
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• Data Sources for subset of IRIS data contributors:o WCIRB Unit Stat Reportingo Integrate with CWCI IRIS claims data
• CT and Non-CT Claims w Notice Dates from 2005 –13
• Claim milestones and payments valued through 2015
Cumulative Trauma Study:Data Preparation
Exhibit 15
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Percent of Claims that are CT by Region – So. California
6.1%
20.5%
4.1%
13.3%
4.8%
8.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
L.A. Inld Emp/Orang SD
Exhibit 16
Carrier Notice Year
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Central Coast Bay Area Sierras North Counties Valleys
Exhibit 17
Carrier Notice Year
Percent of Claims that are CT by Region – Rest of California
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Claim Characteristics:
Notification – Average Days
Source: CWCI 2017
Exhibit 18
C CVV I
Non-CT: 27 Days
CT: 258 Days
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0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68
CT Non-CT
Claim Characteristics:
Age
Exhibit 19
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24.0% 24.3%
32.7%
8.6%10.5%
43.9%
22.6% 23.0%
4.8% 5.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
<= 1yr 1-3 yrs 3-10 yrs 10-15 yrs 16+ Yrs
CT Non-CT
Claim Characteristics:
Tenure
Exhibit 20
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Claim Characteristics:
Industry
Exhibit 21
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Claim Characteristics:
Region
Exhibit 22
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57.0%
32.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CT Non-CT
Claim Characteristics:
Percent w Indemnity Payment
Exhibit 23
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Years from Carrier Notice to ClosureIndemnity Claims
26%
5%
97%
83%
Exhibit 24
Carrier Notice Year
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Attorney Involvement
80%
91%
19%
46%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
All Claims Indemnity Claims
CT Non-CT
Exhibit 25
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CT as Percent of Attorney Involved Claims
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
LA Basin 19.0% 20.0% 24.7% 27.1% 30.7% 35.1% 36.0% 37.8% 40.4%
Rest of State 12.4% 14.7% 17.6% 16.7% 18.4% 20.0% 19.6% 18.9% 19.3%
0%
15%
30%
45%
LA Basin Rest of State
Exhibit 26
Carrier Notice Year
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Percent of Injured Workers with One or More Related Claims
Source: CWCI
Exhibit 27
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Indemnity Claims Indemnity Claims Developed to 7 Years
Adjusted for Mix – Demographics & Condition
Average Cost Per Claim
Exhibit 28
Without Region &Attorney Involvement
With Region & AttorneyInvolvement
CT $73,830
Non-CT $48,312
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
Source: CWCI 2017
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Average Total Cost Per Claim
Exhibit 29
Without Region &Attorney Involvement
With Region & AttorneyInvolvement
CT $73,830 $72,416
Non-CT $48,312 $73,046
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
Indemnity Claims Indemnity Claims Developed to 7 Years
Adjusted for Mix – Demographics & Condition
Source: CWCI 2017
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AB 221 (Gray) – CAAA’s CT Bill (proposed)
Requires ER liability for med treatment in CT/OD cases if any
one of five criteria is met:
1. treatment was authorized, or
2. body part was accepted, or
3. court finds industrial injury, or
4. AME/PQME finds industrial causation, or
5. case was settled by C&R >$25,000
Exhibit 30
New & Proposed Legislation
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• Growing frequency – Driven primary by LA Basin
• Late claim notification
• Higher attorney involvement and disputes over compensability
• Significantly slower development, higher average cost per claim
Cumulative Trauma: Summary of Findings
Exhibit 31
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Implementing the Rx Formularies
� November 2014 CWCI Study: Potential impact of a state formulary
� Modeled CA data using Texas and Washington State Formularies
� Estimated system-wide savings of 10 – 50%
� AB 1124 - October 2015
� Calls for creation of a State Formulary
� Target Implementation - July 2017
Jan 2018
Exhibit 32
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Source: CWCI 2016
Formulary Considerations: Unit Pricing Variation
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
Min P50 Max
$0.58$0.78
$3.57
AWP
Hydrocodone-Acetaminophen Tab 10-325 MG
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Source: CWCI 2016
$0
$2
$4
$6
Min P50 Max
$0.04 $0.46
$5.46
AWP
Formulary Considerations:Unit Pricing Variation
Ibuprofen Tab 800 MG
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Opioid Use at 24 Months Post InjuryPcnt of Claims with Opioid Script(s)
1 Kings 39.5%
2 Fresno 36.8%
3 Madera 34.2%
4 Monterey 34.1%
5 Imperial 33.0%
Highest
Statewide: 24.4%
1 Napa 14.7%
2 Inyo 15.6%
3 Plumas 16.0%
4 Trinity 16.6%
5 Siskiyou 17.3%
Lowest
Source: CWCI 2017
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Exhibit 36
Key Draft Components Released August 26th
� DWC Draft Regulations
� MTUS Drug List
� RAND Report
Implementing AB 1124 Drug Formulary and update of MTUS
Proposed Regs Released March 20th
Public Hearing May 1st
Intent of the formulary� Improve quality of care� Lower cost� Reduce UR and IMR friction
costs
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Friction Costs:Pharmacy Review in UR and IMR
Source: CWCI 2015
Util Review IMR
Pharmacy 45% 49%
Other 55% 51%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
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Exhibit 38
Proposed Formulary Components Released March 20th :
� MTUS Drug List (N=242)
Implementing AB 1124 Drug Formulary and update of MTUS
Drugs are designated into categories:
� Preferred
� Non-Preferred
� Not Listed
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Implementing AB 1124: Drug Formulary
Preferred, Non-Preferred, or Not Listed
Prescriptions and Payments
Source: CWCI 2017
% of Prescriptions % of Payments
Preferred 25.8% 19.7%
Non-Preferred 53.4% 48.1%
Not Listed 20.7% 32.2%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Preliminary Results: Do Not Cite
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Therapeutic Group PreferredNon
Preferred
Not Listed
in MTUS
Analgesics - Opioid 0.0% 96.6% 3.4%
Analgesics - Anti-Inflammatory 82.4% 2.2% 15.4%
Musculoskeletal Therapy Agents 0.0% 98.0% 2.0%
Anticonvulsants 0.0% 98.5% 1.5%
Antidepressants 0.0% 96.1% 3.9%
Ulcer Drugs 98.7% 0.0% 1.3%
Dermatologicals 28.7% 34.3% 37.0%
Hypnotics/Sedatives/Sleep Disorder Agents 0.0% 1.0% 99.0%
Antianxiety Agents 0.0% 44.4% 55.6%
Antihypertensives 0.0% 5.6% 94.4%
Antihyperlipidemics 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Laxatives 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Corticosteroids 0.0% 57.7% 42.3%
Beta Blockers 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Chemicals 1.8% 78.7% 19.4%
Cephalosporins 0.4% 68.7% 30.9%
Analgesics - Nonnarcotic 68.3% 31.4% 0.3%
Antipsychotics/Antimanic Agents 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%
Ophthalmic Agents 39.9% 15.2% 44.9%
Calcium Channel Blockers 0.0% 75.6% 24.4%
All Other 9.5% 15.1% 75.3%
Total 25.6% 53.4% 21.0%
Exhibit 40
Implementing AB 1124 Drug Formulary and update of MTUSObjectives
� Identifies drug groups that the formulary will most impact;
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Exhibit 41
Pending Changes in the Formulary Regulations
• Recent changes in ACOEM formulary modifies the DWC Drug list: o 31 new drugs, o Brand name examples and o Additional details on dose, strength and unique product
identifier
• Preferred/Non-Preferred to Exempt/Non-Exempt
• Retrospective review language moves to UR regulation
• Ongoing use of non-exempt, unlisted or compounded drugs will require: o Progress reports o Treatment plan for safe weaning/transitiono RFA supporting material
DWC Medical Director announced:
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Getting Real.
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GET THE PATIENT THE
RIGHT MEDS
QUICKLY & EASILY
KEEP PATIENTS SAFE
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What decisions are we talking
about?� Vast majority of drug script transactions are
seamless, smooth, frictionless
� A small percentage are stopped – most for good reason
� Aspirin
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The Goal
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The feared End Product
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Payer
PrescriberPharmacy
PBM
Patient
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Patient Safety
Access to Care
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Implementing a formulary
Who pays?
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Cumulative Trauma Injuries
& The Rx Formulary
A California Workers’ Compensation
System Update
Alex Swedlow, President
Joe Paduda, Principal
C CVV I
Thanks for listening