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Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L....

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Pedro F. C. Vasconcelos, MD, PhD Director, Evandro Chagas Institute /SVS/MoH Department of Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers National Reference Laboratory for Arboviruses National Institute of Science & Technology for Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers PAHO/WHO CC for Arboviruses – Member of RELDA Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology
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Page 1: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Pedro F. C. Vasconcelos, MD, PhD Director, Evandro Chagas Institute /SVS/MoH

Department of Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

National Reference Laboratory for Arboviruses

National Institute of Science & Technology for Viral Hemorrhagic Fevers

PAHO/WHO CC for Arboviruses – Member of RELDA

Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology

Page 2: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

1947 – Prototype strain isolated in Zika Forest near the Lake Victoria in Entebe, Uganda, from a febrile sentinel rhesus monkey

ZIKV is endemic eastern and western Africa

1952 – First human cases

1960’s ZIKV spillover to Asia and became endemic

2007 – Epidemic at Yap island (Micronesia)

2013-2014 – Epidemic in French Polynesia

2014 – Chile (Easter Island)

2015 – Identification of ZIKV in Brazil (introduction occurred in 2013)

ZIKA VIRUS (ZIKV) - Milestones

Page 3: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

3

ZIKV introduction in Brazil

Page 4: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 5: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Data from 08/DEC/2015

Page 6: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

6

Epidemiology

Page 7: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 8: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Source: WHO, 2 June 2016

Page 9: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Source: WHO, 2 Juneil 2016

Page 10: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Proposed schedule to ZIKV specific laboratory diagnosis by virus isolation, real-time RT-PCR and serology (IgM/IgG) by the IEC.

Infection

Onset of disease (symptoms/signs)

Incubation period

Time in days

Viral RNA

Blood Urine

Laboratory diagnosis by RT-PCR and serology (IgM/IgG) to Zika virus Source: Adapted from Sullivan, Nicolaides, Pathology 2014

Sperm: > 2 months

Page 11: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

INCUBATION PERIOD

Humans: 3-6 days

Mosquitoes: 7-14 days

Aedes aegypti, the ZIKV vector

Page 12: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

MODES OF TRANSMISSION

Vectors (Aedes spp – Aedes aegpty)

Sexual

Perinatal

Congenital

Blood transfusion and organ transplants

Saliva and urine (?)

Page 13: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Potential Sexual Transmission of Zika Virus Didier Musso, Claudine Roche, Emilie Robin, Tuxuan Nhan, Anita Teissier, Van-Mai Cao-Lormeau

In December 2013, during a Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreak in French Polynesia, a patient in Tahiti sought treatment for hematospermia, and ZIKV was isolated from his semen. ZIKV transmission by sexual intercourse has been previously suspected. This observation supports the possibility that ZIKV could be transmitted sexually.

Emerging Infectious Diseases • Vol. 21, No. 2, February 2015

Probable Non–Vector-borne Transmission of Zika Virus Colorado, USA Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert S. Lanciotti, and Robert B. Tesh

Clinical and serologic evidence indicate that 2 American scientists contracted Zika virus infections while working in Senegal in 2008. One of the scientists transmitted this arbovirus to his wife after his return home. Direct contact is implicated as the transmission route, most likely as a sexually transmitted infection.

Emerging Infectious Diseases • Vol. 10, No. 2, May 2011

Page 14: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Source: WHO, 13 April 2016

Page 15: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 16: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Since October 2013, French Polynesia has experienced the largest documented outbreak

of Zika virus (ZIKAV) infection. To prevent transmission of ZIKAV by blood transfusion,

specific nucleic acid testing of blood donors was implemented. From November 2013 to

February 2014: 42 (3%) of 1,505 blood donors, although asymptomatic at the time of

blood donation, were found positive for ZIKAV by PCR. Our results serve to alert blood

safety authorities about the risk of post-transfusion Zika fever.

Euro Surveill. 2014;19(14):pii=20761. Available online: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/

Page 17: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 18: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 19: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Transplantation, February 2016

Page 20: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 21: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

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ZIKV - causal agent of microcephaly and CNS congenital

malformations (Zika congenital syndrome?)

Page 22: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 23: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

23

States

Average

microcephaly birth

rate per 100,000

live births. Brazil,

2010-2014 (*)

Microcephaly birth

rate per 100,000

live births. Brazil,

2015(**)

Distrito Federal 2.2 2.2

Goiás 3.2 2.1

Mato Grosso do Sul 1.9 2.4

Alagoas 6.5 112.4

Bahia 5.2 18.2

Ceará 5.3 20.0

Maranhao 2.6 10.4

Paraíba 7.4 436.2

Pernambuco 6.1 456.7

Piauí 6.5 77.6

Rio Grande do Norte 3.8 168.8

Sergipe 4.7 225.0

Tocantins 5.0 49.8

Rio de Janeiro 5.5 5.8

Total 4.9 99.7

Microcephaly birth rates per 100,000 live births.

Brazil 2010-2014 and 2015

Central West Region

Northeast Region

Northern Region

Southeast Region

(*) Calculated using the average number of Microcephaly cases that occurred between 2010 and 2014 in the numerator, and the number of live births per mother's state of residency from 2013 in the denominator. (**) Calculated using the number of Microcephaly cases that occured up until EW 47, 2015, and the number of live births per state of the mother's residency from 2013 in the denominator.

Page 24: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Lancet, 387: 719-721, 2016.

Page 25: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Mlakar et a., NEJM 374: 951-958, 2016

Page 26: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 27: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Brasil et al., 2016 NEJM

Page 28: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 29: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

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Page 30: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

A total of 301 cases of microcephaly associated to ZIKV were laboratorially confirmed (Real-time RT-PCR and IgM ELISA) in Brazil, EW 21, 2016

MICROCEPHALY IN BRAZIL

Page 31: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Source: WHO, Zika - Epidemiological Update Jun 02 2016

MICROCEPHALY AND MALFORMATIONS IN THE CNS

Page 32: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Microcephaly History Cases

114 120

162

137

168

140

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1 2 3 4 5 6

Cas

es

2010 - 2015

Reference: RIPS-SISPRO Minsalud. Preliminar data October 2015

Microcephaly cases reported in Colombia, 2010-2015

Page 33: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

IMAGENS AUTORIZADAS DE CRIANÇAS COM MICROCEFALIA. REGIÃO METROPOLITANA DE RECIFE, 01/08 A 31/10/2015.

Microcephaly cases

Page 34: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Other patterns

Photos: Courtesy of Dr. Adiana Melo

Page 35: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 36: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Freitas et al., JAMA Ophthalmol. doi:10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2016.0267 Published online February 9, 2016.

Page 37: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

A

D

B C

E

Azevedo et al., 2016 - submitted

Page 38: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

G

H I

F

Azevedo et al., 2016 - submitted

Page 39: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 40: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

40

ZIKV - causal agent of GBS

Page 41: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert
Page 42: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

GUILLAIN-BARRÉ SYNDROME (GBS)

13 countries and territories have reported increase inthe incidence of GBS or confirmed by laboratory results infection by ZIKV in patients with GBS.

Source: WHO, 2 June 2016

Page 43: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Reference: Sivigila – National Institut of Health

Zika cases notification of virus infection and the infection report of Guillain-Barré Syndrome, Epidemiological weeks 07 of 2016 in Colombia

Page 44: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

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Conclusion remarks

Page 45: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

• Although actually dengue is the most important and widespread infectious diseases (many times more reported cases than malaria), the emergence of other Aedes-borne viruses especially ZIKV with its new, explosive and severe presentation is of concern;

• Air transportation and large sportive events are important mechanisms for spreading of arboviruses from one place to another facilitating virus introduction and local transmission;

• The specific serologic diagnostic of exanthematic viral disease including DENV, CHIKV and ZIKV is a big challenger and is a problem to epidemiologic studies;

• The occurrence of microcephaly and other CNS malformations, abortion, stillbirth, cases of GBS and deaths of adults with autoimmune disorders by ZIKV are of concern, and today there are consensus of the ZIKV causality, but need studies to support incidence/case fatality rates;

• The fast spread of ZIKV in the Americas is of concern; the simultaneous occurrence of three different Aedes-borne viruses (DENV, CHIKV, ZIKV) in the region is noteworthy; and the risk of spread to other countries is seriously considered in the next years, during the rainy season;

• It is urgent to strenghth the Aedes aegypti control programs in the Americas, including using of new technologies, in order to stop the spread of ZIKV in the region;

• The occurrence of atypical severe (some fatal) cases of both CHIKV and ZIKV needs special investigation and is an opportunity to scientific studies on molecular/molecular epidemiology, clinical, diagnostic and pathogenesis , etc.;

• The development of vaccine against ZIKV is an international emergency;

Page 46: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

Acknowledgements

IEC, Ananindeua

Bruno Tardelli

Consuelo Oliveira

Daniele Medeiros

Eliana Silva

Socorro Azevedo

Sueli Rodrigues - and all other people at IEC

SVS -MoH, Brasília

Wanderson Oliveira and all people of CIEVS

Giovanini Coelho and all people of PNCD

Alexander Vargas and people of EPI-SUS

• Dominican Republic MoH

• CDC

• SMS de São Luís

• WHO

Financial support

CNPq, CAPES, FAPESPA, EU, MoH-SVS, TDR, PAHO/WHO

UFPE/IMIP, Recife

Carlos Brito

FIOCRUZ, Recife

Rafael Dhalia

Rafael França

SMS/Instituto Elpidio de Almeida,

Campina Grande

Adriana Melo

PAHO, Washington

Sylvain Aldighieri

MoH, Bogota

Fernando Ruiz Goméz

Page 47: Current Understanding of Zika Virus Epidemiology · Brian D. Foy, Kevin C. Kobylinski, Joy L. Chilson Foy, Bradley J. Blitvich, Amelia Travassos da Rosa, Andrew D. Haddow, Robert

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

www.iec.pa.gov.br

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

www.iec.pa.gov.br

Thank you!

New Campus of Instituto Evandro Chagas in Ananindeua/Pará.

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2011

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers

www.iec.pa.gov.br

INSTITUTO EVANDRO CHAGAS 1936-2016

Arbovirology and Hemorrhagic Fevers


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