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Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

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Steve Blank's Berkeley/Columbia Customer Development Class 3 and 4
53
Customer Development in the High Tech Enterprise Customer Development Steve Blank sblank@kandsranch .com
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Page 1: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in theHigh Tech Enterprise

Customer Development

Steve [email protected]

Page 2: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Agenda

! Logistics/Questions! Market vs. Technology Risk! Boyd & the OODA Loop! Customer Development! CASE: IMVU! CASE: WebVan

Page 3: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Market VersusTechnology Risk

Page 4: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Startup Checklist – 1What Vertical Market am I In?

! Web 2.0! Enterprise Software! Enterprise Hardware! Communciaton Hdw! Communication Sftw! Consumer Electronics! Game Software

! Semicondutors! Electronic Design

Automation! Cleantech! Med Dev / Health Care! Life Science / Biotech! Personalized Medicine

Page 5: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

A Plethora of Opportunities

Page 6: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Startup Checklist - 2

! Market Risk?! Technical Risk?! Both?

Page 7: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Market Risk vs. Invention Risk

Page 8: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Startup Checklist - 3

! Opportunity Where does the idea come from?! Innovation Where is the innovation?! Customer Who is the User/Payer?! Competition Who is the competitor/complementor?! Sales What is the Channel to reach the customer?! Marketing: How do you create end user demand?! What does Biz Dev do? Deals? Partnerships? Sales?! Business/Revenue Model(s) How do we organize to make money?! IP/PatentsRegulatory Issues? How and how long?! Time to Market How long does it take to get to market?! Product Development Model How to you engineer it?! Manufacturing What does it take to build it?! Seed Financing How much? When?! Follow-on Financing How much? When?! Liquidity How much? When?

Page 9: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Execution: Lots to Worry About

Page 10: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Execution: Very Different by Vertical

Page 11: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Market Risk Reduction Strategy

Page 12: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

John Boyd & theOODA Loop

Page 13: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Page 14: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Boyd’s OODA “Loop”

Orientation shapes observation, shapes decision, shapes action, and in turn is shaped by the feedbackand other phenomena coming into our observing window.

FeedForward

CulturalTraditions

GeneticHeritage

NewInformation Previous

Experience

Analyses &Synthesis

Feedback

Feedback

Orient

Decision(Hypothesis)

FeedForward

ImplicitGuidance& Control

Decide

Action(Test)

UnfoldingInteraction

WithEnvironment

Act

Competitive advantage comes from quickness over the entire “loop,” not justfrom the O-to-O-to-D-to-A sequence.

FeedForwardObservations

ImplicitGuidance& Control

UnfoldingInteraction

WithEnvironment

OutsideInformation

UnfoldingCircumstances

Observe

Page 15: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

CustomerDevelopment

Page 16: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

IfStartups Fail from a Lack of customers

not Product Development Failure

Then Why Do we have:! process to manage product development

! no process to manage customer development

Page 17: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Product Development Model

Concept/Seed Round

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Page 18: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

What’s Wrong With This?

Concept/Seed Round

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

- Create Marcom Materials- Create Positioning

- Hire PR Agency- Early Buzz

- Create Demand- Launch Event- “Branding”

Marketing

Page 19: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

What’s Wrong With This?

Concept/Seed Round

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

- Create Marcom Materials- Create Positioning

- Hire PR Agency- Early Buzz

- Create Demand- Launch Event- “Branding”

• Build Sales Organization

Marketing

Sales • Hire Sales VP• Hire 1st Sales Staff

Page 20: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

What’s Wrong With This?

Concept/Seed Round

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

- Create Marcom Materials- Create Positioning

- Hire PR Agency- Early Buzz

- Create Demand- Launch Event- “Branding”

• Hire Sales VP• Hire 1st Sales Staff

• Build Sales Organization

Marketing

Sales

• Hire First Bus Dev

• Do deals for FCSBusiness

Development

Page 21: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Chasing The FCS Date! Sales & Marketing costs are front loaded

" focused on execution vs. learning & discovery

! First Customer Ship becomes the goal

! Execution & hiring predicated on business plan hypothesis

! Heavy spending hit if product launch is wrong

! Financial projections, assumes all startups are the same

=You don’t know if you’re wrong until you’re out of

business/money

Page 22: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

An Inexpensive Fix

Focus on Customers and Marketsfrom Day One

How?

Page 23: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Build a Customer Development Process

Customer Development

? ? ? ?

Concept/Seed Round

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

Page 24: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

CompanyBuilding

Customer Development

CustomerDiscovery

Customer Development is as importantas Product Development

Concept/Bus. Plan

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

Page 25: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

CompanyBuilding

Customer Development

CustomerDiscovery

Customer Development is as importantas Product Development

Concept/Bus. Plan

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

Page 26: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer & Product DevelopmentSynchronization

Concept/Bus. Plan

ProductDev.

Alpha/BetaTest

Launch/1st Ship

Product Development

ScaleCompany

Customer Development

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CustomerCreation

Page 27: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Development Heuristics

! There are no facts inside your building, so getoutside

! Develop for the Few, not the Many! Earlyvangelists make your company

" And are smarter than you! Focus Groups are for big companies, not startups! The goal for release 1 is the minimum feature set

for earlyvangelists

Page 28: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer DevelopmentBig Ideas

! Parallel process to Product Development

! Measurable Checkpoints for the CEO

! Not tied to FCS, but to customer milestones

! Iterative to represent reality

! Executed by a small team including CEO

Page 29: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Development is aboutAction

! Never, ever confuse it with a “planning process”! Never, ever confuse it with “focus groups”

Customer Development is about putting theFounders in Continuous Contact and

Engagement with the customer

Page 30: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High TechEnterprise

Customer Discovery: Part 1

Steve [email protected]

Page 31: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Discovery: Step 1

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CompanyBuilding

CustomerCreation

Existing Market: 1 Month – 1 Year

Resegmenting a Market: 6 Months – 3 Years

New Market: 1 Year – 3 Years

Page 32: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Discovery: Step 1

Existing : 1-6 Months

Resegmenting: 3-12 Months

New: 1-2 Years

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CompanyBuilding

CustomerCreation

Page 33: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Methodology

! Customer Development can take months or years! Each Step has a set of phases! Plan what you need to learn in writing so everyone knows:

" what they should be doing" when they should do it" If they succeeded" If they need to do more

! These are checklists, not the inviolable commandments

Page 34: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Before You Start

! Board and Management Buy-In" Learning and discovery not execution

! Customer Development Team" Not traditional hires

! Sufficient funding for 2-3 passes

Page 35: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Modify the Process forYour Company

! Text Example = Enterprise Software Co.! You need to develop your ownyour own

" Specifically for your company/market! Don’t quibble about details but understand there is a process

Page 36: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Discovery = Hypothesis Testing

! What are Hypothesis?! Where do Hypothesis come from?! Why Test them?! How do you test them?

Page 37: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

! Stop selling, start listening

! Test your hypotheses" Two are fundamental: problem and product concept

Customer Discovery: Step 1

CustomerDiscovery

CustomerValidation

CompanyBuilding

CustomerCreation

Page 38: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Discovery

CustomerDiscovery

Phase 1Author

HypothesisPhase 2

TestProblem

Hypothesis

Phase 4Verify, Iterate &

Expand

Phase 3Test

ProductHypothesis

To Validation

Page 39: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Test “Problem” Hypothesis

Customer Discovery

Demand Creation

Hypothesis

Market TypeHypothesis

Product Hypothesis

Customer& ProblemHypothesis

Distribution & Pricing

Hypothesis

CompetitiveHypothesis

Hypotheses

MarketKnowledge

FriendlyFirst Contacts

“Problem”Presentation

CustomerUnderstanding

SecondReality Check

First RealityCheck

“Product”Presentation

Yet MoreCustomer

Visits

Test “Product” Hypothesis

Iterate orExit

Verify the Product

Verify theProblem

Verify theBusiness

Model

Verify

Page 40: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Test “Problem”Hypothesis

Customer Discovery

Demand Creation

Hypothesis

Market TypeHypothesis

Product Hypothesis

Customer& ProblemHypothesis

Distribution & Pricing

Hypothesis

CompetitiveHypothesis

Hypotheses

MarketKnowledge

FriendlyFirst Contacts

“Problem”Presentation

CustomerUnderstanding

SecondReality Check

First RealityCheck

“Product”Presentation

Yet MoreCustomer

Visits

Test “Product” Hypothesis

Iterate orExit

Verify the Product

Verify theProblem

Verify theBusiness

Model

Verify

Inside the Building

Outside the Building

Page 41: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Phase 1: Author Hypothesis

! One-time writing exercise! All other time spent in

front of customers! Assumes you’re smart but

guessingPhase 1Author

Hypothesis

Phase 2Test

ProblemHypothesis

Phase 4Iterate &

Expand

Phase 3ProductConceptTesting

Page 42: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Hypothesis

! Product! Customer/Problem! Distribution/Pricing! Demand Creation! Market Type! Competition

Demand Creation

Hypothesis

Market TypeHypothesis

Product Hypothesis

Customer& ProblemHypothesis

Distribution & Pricing

Hypothesis

CompetitiveHypothesis

Page 43: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Product Hypotheses

! Features! Benefits! Product Delivery Schedule! Intellectual Property! Total Cost of Ownership! Dependency Analysis

Page 44: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer/Problem Hypotheses

! Types of Customers! Magnitude of the problem! Visionaries! A Day in the Life of a customer! Organizational impact! ROI Justification! Problem Recognition! Minimum Feature Set

Page 45: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Distribution/ Pricing Hypotheses

! Distribution Model! Distribution Diagram! Sales Cycle/Ramp! Channel strategy! Pricing (ASP, LTV)! Customer Organization Map! Demand Creation

Page 46: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Demand Creation Hypotheses

! How do competitors create demand?! How will you?

" Viral" Advertising" PR" Trade shows

! Who are influencers/recommendors?! Key trade shows?! Key trends?! Start assembling advisory board

Page 47: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Type of Market Hypotheses

! Positioning and Differentiation" Existing Market

# The product is the basis of competition" New Market

# Creating the market is the basis of competition" Redefine Existing Market

# Resegment the existing market is the basis ofcompetition

Page 48: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Competition Hypotheses

! Who is out there?! Why are they important?! How do customers use them today?! What don’t customers like about them?

Page 49: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

IMVU Case

Page 50: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Intermission

The Customer Development Team

Page 51: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Traditional organizationsand titles Fail

CEO

VP Engineering VP Marketing VP Sales VP Business Dev

Typical Startup

! People equate their titles with their functions" But standard titles describe execution functions" We need new titles = learning & discovery functions

Page 52: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Customer Development in the High-Tech Enterprise Fall 2009

Customer Development TeamTasks Not Titles

CEO

VP Product Dev Technical Visionary Business Visionary Business Execution

Customer DevelopmentDriven Startup

In Front of Customers

Page 53: Customer Development Class 3 And 4 090509

Webvan Case


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