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Daft AISE Chp06 Final

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    6-1

    Managerial DecisionMaking and Information

    Technology

    Copyright 2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

    Chapter 6

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    Learning Objectives1. Explain why decision making is an important component of

    good management.

    2. Explain the difference between programmed and non

    programmed decisions and the decision characteristics of

    risk, uncertainty, and ambiguity.

    3. Describe the classical, administrative, and political models

    of decision making and their applications.

    4. Identify the six steps used in managerial decision making.

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    Learning Objectives (contd.)5. Explain four personal decision styles used by managers.

    6. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of participative

    decision making.

    7. Identify techniques for improving decision making in

    todays turbulent environment.

    8. Describe the importance of information technology (IT) for

    organizations and the attributes of quality information.

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    Decisions and Decision Making A decision is a choice made from available

    alternatives.

    Decision making is the process of identifying

    problems and opportunities and then resolving

    them.

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    Types of Decisions

    Programmed decisions

    situations that occur often enough to enable

    decision rules to be developed.

    Nonprogrammed decisions

    are made in response to situations that areunique, are poorly defined and largely

    unstructured.

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    Decision Making Conditions

    Certainty

    all the information the decision maker needs is

    fully available.

    Risk

    decision has clear-cut goals.

    good information is available.

    future outcomes associated with each

    alternative are subject to chance.

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    Decision Making Conditions (contd.) Uncertainty

    managers know which goals they wish to

    achieve.

    information about alternatives and future

    events is incomplete.

    managers may have to come up with creative

    approaches to alternatives.

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    Decision Making Conditions (contd.) Ambiguity

    by far the most difficult decision situation.

    goals to be achieved or the problem to be

    solved is unclear.

    alternatives are difficult to define.

    information about outcomes is unavailable.

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    Ex. 6.1 Conditions That Affect the Possibility of

    Decision Failure

    Organizational

    Problem

    Problem

    Solution

    Low HighPossibility of Failure

    Certainty Risk Uncertainty Ambiguity

    Programmed

    Decisions

    Nonprogrammed

    Decisions

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    Three Decision Making Models

    Classical Model

    Administrative Model

    Political Model

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    Selecting a Decision Making Model

    Depends on the managers personal

    preference. Whether the decision is programmed or non-

    programmed.

    Extent to which the decision is characterized

    by risk, uncertainty, or ambiguity.

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    Classical Model

    Based on economic assumptions

    Is considered to be normative

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    Assumptions of the Classical Model Accomplishes goals that are known and agreed

    upon.

    Strives for certainty by gathering complete

    information.

    Criteria for evaluating alternatives are known.

    Decision maker is rational and uses logic.

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    Administrative Model How managers actually make decisions in situations

    characterized by non-programmed decisions, uncertainty,

    and ambiguity.

    Two concepts are instrumental in shaping the administrative

    model.

    bounded rationality: means that people have limits or boundaries

    on how rational they can be.

    satisficing: means that decision makers choose the first solutionalternative that satisfies minimal decision criteria.

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    Political Model Closely resembles the real environment in

    which most managers and decision makers

    operate.

    Decisions are complex.

    Disagreement and conflict over problems

    and solutions are normal.

    Coalition building is important.

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    Ex. 6.2 Characteristics of Classical, Administrative,

    and Political Decision-Making Models

    Classical Model Administrative Model Political Model

    Clear-cut problem and goals.

    Condition of certainty.

    Full information about

    alternatives and their outcomes.

    Rational choice by individual

    for maximizing outcomes.

    Vague problem and goals.

    Condition of uncertainty.

    Limited information about

    alternatives and their outcomes.

    Satisficing choice for resolving

    problem using intuition.

    Pluralistic; conflicting goals.

    Condition of uncertainty/ambiguity.

    Inconsistent viewpoints; ambiguous

    information.

    Bargaining and discussion among

    coalition members.

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    Ex. 6.3 Six Steps in the Managerial Decision-Making Process

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    Diagnosis Questions(Kepner & Tregoe)

    What is the state of disequilibrium affecting us?

    When did it occur?

    Where did it occur?

    How did it occur?

    To whom did it occur?

    What is the urgency of the problem?

    What is the interconnectedness of events? What result came from what activity?

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    Ex. 6.5 Personal Decision Framework

    Situation:

    Programmed/non-programmed

    Classical, administrative,political

    Decision steps

    Decision Choice:

    Best Solution to Problem

    Personal Decision Style:

    Directive

    AnalyticalConceptual

    Behavioral

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    The Vroom-Jago ModelThe Model

    Helps gauge the appropriate amount of participation for

    subordinates.

    LeaderParticipation Styles

    Five styles available, depending on the situation.

    Participation in decision making ranging from highly

    autocratic to highly democratic.

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    Participation in Decision Making

    Diagnostic Questions

    Decision significance

    Importance of commitment

    Leader expertise Likelihood of commitment

    Group support for goals

    Group expertise

    Team competence

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    Information Technology

    The hardware, software, telecommunications,database management, and other technologiesused to store data and make them available inthe form of information for organizationaldecision making.

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    Ex. 6.8 Characteristics ofHigh-Quality Information

    Time

    Timeliness

    Currency

    FrequencyTime Period

    Content

    Accuracy

    Relevance

    Completeness

    ConcisenessScope

    Performance

    Form

    Clarity

    Detail

    Order

    PresentationMedia

    Source: Adapted from James A. OBrien,

    Introduction to Information Systems, 8th ed. (Burr

    Ridge, Ill, Irwin, 1997),284-285.

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    Ex. 6.9 Types of Information SystemsOperations Information Systems

    Transaction-processing systems.

    Process control systems.

    Office automation systems.

    Management Information Systems

    Information-reporting systems.

    Decision support systems.

    Executive information systems.

    Groupware.

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    Ex. 6.10 Basic Elements of Management Information Systems

    Operations

    Information

    Systems

    Management

    Information

    Systems

    Reporting

    Systems

    Decision

    Support

    Systems

    Executive

    Information

    Systems

    Groupware

    Systems

    Corporate

    and

    External

    Databases

    SOURCE: Adapted from Ralph M. Stair and George W. Reynolds, Principles

    of Information Systems: A Managerial Approach, 4th ed. (Cambridge, Mass.:

    Course Technology, 1999), 391.

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    Management and Technology

    Implications

    Improved employee effectiveness.

    Increased efficiency.

    Empowered employees.

    Information overload.

    Enhanced collaboration.


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