Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 14.02.13

7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 14.02.13

1/14

14TH

FEBRUARY 2013

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2/14

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Pound at Risk on GDP OutlookDowngrade in BOE Inflation Report

The British Pound appears vulnerable torenewed selling as the Bank of England cuts the

outlook for GDP growth in its quarterly Inflation

Report.

The Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report is in

focus in European hours. The document will serve to

guide monetary policy expectations for the next three

months and bets on a downward revision in its

economic growth outlook have been a formidabledriver of British Pound selling recently. A validation of

these bets may help to cement BOE perceptions as

firmly anchored on the dovish side of the spectrum and

push Sterling lower still.

TRADING TIPS

BUY EURUSD ABOVE

1.3493 tgs

1.3513/1.3533 sl

1.3473

BUY USDJPY ABOVE

93.78 tgt

93.92/94.06 SL 93.58

SELL GBPUSD

BELOW 1.5533 tgt

1.5518/1.5503 SL

1.5553

HEADLINES


3/14

HOURLY EURUSD CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 1.3452

HIGH: 1.3493

LOW: 1.3438

CLOSE: 1.3490

EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD

TREND : BULLISH

STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS

MACD =>. 0002(BULLISH SIGNAL)

RSI => 70(BULLISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY EURUSD CHART


4/14

HOURLY USDJPY CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 93.32

HIGH: 93.78

LOW: 92.82

CLOSE: 93.57

USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD

TREND: BULLISH

STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD => 0005( BULLISH SIGNAL)

RSI =>55(BULLISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY USDJPY CHART


5/14

HOURLY GBPUSD CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 1.5675

HIGH: 1.5688

LOW: 1.5533

CLOSE: 1.5565

GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD

TREND: BEARISH

STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

MACD => .-0011( BEARISH SIGNAL)

RSI => 27(BEARISH SIGNAL)

HOURLY GBPUSD CHART


6/14

HOURLY EURGBP CHART

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 0.8581

HIGH: 0.8684

LOW: 0.8571

CLOSE: 0.8666

EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS

TREND: BULLISH

STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS

MACD =>.0017(BULLISH SIGNAL)

RSI =>81(BULLISH SIGNAL)

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HOURLY EURGBP CHART


7/14

HOURLY USDINDEX CHART

ECONOMIC CALENDER

ANALYSIS

OPEN: 80.0370

HIGH: 80.0590

LOW: 79.8860

CLOSE: 79.9880

USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD

TREND: BEARISH

STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

MACD =>0.045(BEARISH SIGNAL)

RSI =>65(BEARISH SIGNAL)


8/14

Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes

Mon

Feb 1100:30

AUD Home Loans(DEC)

Medium -1.5% 0.0% -0.7%

00:30AUD Value of Loans(MoM) (DEC)

Low -2.7% 0.5%

00:30AUD InvestmentLending (DEC)

Low -2.4% -3.2%

13:30

EUR Euro-Area

Finance Ministers Meetin Brussels

High

21:45NZD NZ CardSpending (MoM) (JAN)

Medium 0.4%

21:45NZD NZ CardSpending - Retail(MoM) (JAN)

Medium 0.3% 0.3%

23:50JPY Japan MoneyStock M3 (YoY) (JAN)

Low 2.3% 2.2%

23:50JPY Japan MoneyStock M2+CD (YoY)(JAN)

Low 2.6% 2.6%

Tue

Feb 12

EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(YoY) (JAN)

Low 3.2%

EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.0%

00:01GBP RICS House PriceBalance (JAN)

Medium 1% 0.0%

00:30AUD NAB BusinessConfidence (JAN)

Medium 3

00:30AUD RBA Credit CardPurchases (DEC) Low $A21.8B

00:30AUD RBA Credit CardBalances (DEC)

Low $A49.5B

00:30AUD NAB BusinessConditions (JAN)

Low -4

06:00JPY Machine ToolOrders (YoY) (JAN P)

Medium -27.5%

08:15CHF Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (JAN)

Medium -0.3% -0.4%

08:15CHF CPI - EUHarmonised (YoY)(JAN)

Medium -0.3%

08:15CHF Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (JAN)

Low -0.3% -0.2%

08:15CHF CPI - EUHarmonised (MoM)(JAN)

Low 0.1%

09:30GBP Core ConsumerPrice Index (YoY)(JAN)

High 2.4% 2.4%


9/14

09:30

GBP Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (JAN)

High 2.7% 2.7%

09:30GBP Retail Price Index(YoY) (JAN)

Medium 3.2% 3.1%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output n.s.a.(YoY) (JAN)

Medium 2.0% 2.2%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output Coren.s.a. (YoY) (JAN)

Medium 1.4% 1.5%

09:30GBP Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (JAN)

Medium -0.5% 0.5%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output n.s.a.(MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.2% -0.1%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output Coren.s.a. (MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.1% 0.0%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Input n.s.a. (YoY)(JAN)

Low 1.0% 0.3%

09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Input n.s.a.(MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.8% -0.2%

09:30GBP DCLG UK HousePrices (YoY) (DEC)

Low 2.0% 2.1%

09:30GBP Retail Price Index(MoM) (JAN)

Low -0.5% 0.5%

09:30GBP Retail Price IndexEx Mort Int.Payments(YoY) (JAN)

Low 3.1% 3.0%

09:30GBP Retail Price Index(JAN)

Low 245.6 246.8

12:00USD MortgageDelinquencies (4Q)

Low 7.4%

12:00USD MBA MortgageForeclosures (4Q)

Low 4.1%

12:30USD NFIB SmallBusiness Optimism(JAN)

Low 89 88

15:00USD JOLTs JobOpenings (DEC)

Low 3676

16:30USD Fed's GeorgeSpeaks on theEconomy in Nebraska

Low

19:00USD Monthly BudgetStatement (JAN)

Medium -$2.00B -$27.41B

23:30AUD WestpacConsumer Confidence(FEB)

Medium 0.6%

23:30AUD WestpacConsumer ConfidenceIndex (FEB)

Low 100.6

23:50JPY Tertiary IndustryIndex (MoM) (DEC)

Medium 0.7% -0.3%


10/14

23:50

JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (YoY) (JAN)

Low -0.3% -0.6%

23:50JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.2% 0.3%

Wed

Feb 1300:30

USD Fed's PlosserSpeaks on EconomicOutlook in Stanford

Low

00:30USD Fed's LackerSpeaks on Economics

in Lancaster

Low

08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (YoY) (JAN)

Low 1.0% 1.0%

08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.0% 0.1%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productionw.d.a. (YoY) (DEC)

Medium -2.4% -3.7%

10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productions.a. (MoM) (DEC)

Low 0.2% -0.3%

10:30 GBP Bank of EnglandInflation Report

High

12:00USD MBA MortgageApplications (FEB 8)

Low

13:30USD Advance RetailSales (JAN)

High 0.1% 0.5%

13:30USD Retail Sales LessAutos (JAN)

Medium 0.1% 0.3%

13:30USD Retail Sales ExAuto & Gas (JAN)

Low 0.4% 0.6%

13:30USD Retail Sales"Control Group" (JAN)

Low 0.2% 0.6%

13:30USD Import Price Index(YoY) (JAN)

Low -1.5%

13:30USD Import Price Index(MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.8% -0.1%

15:00USD BusinessInventories (DEC)

Medium 0.3% 0.3%

15:30USD DOE U.S.Gasoline Inventories(FEB 8)

Low

15:30USD DOE U.S.Distillate Inventory(FEB 8)

Low

15:30USD DOE U.S. CrudeOil Inventories (FEB 8)

Low

15:30USD DOE Cushing OKCrude Inventory (FEB8)

Low

16:10

USD Fed's Bullard toSpeak on Economy atArkansas StateUniversity

Low


11/14

21:30

NZD Business NZPerformance ofManufacturing Index(JAN)

Medium 50.1

21:45NZD Food Prices(MoM) (JAN)

Low -0.2%

23:50JPY Nominal GrossDomestic Product(QoQ) (4Q P)

High 0.0% -0.9%

23:50JPY Gross Domestic

Product (QoQ) (4Q P)High 0.1% -0.9%

23:50JPY Gross DomesticProduct Annualized(4Q P)

High 0.4% -3.5%

23:50JPY Gross DomesticProduct Deflator (YoY)(4Q P)

Low -0.5% -0.8%

Thu

Feb 14

JPY Bank of JapanRate Decision (FEB 14)

High -0.2% 0.10%

CNY Actual FDI (YoY)(JAN)

Medium -0.2% -4.5%

00:00AUD ConsumerInflation Expectation(FEB)

Medium 2.0%

00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence (MoM)(FEB)

Low 3.1%

00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence Index(FEB)

Low 118.3

04:00JPY TokyoCondominium Sales(YoY) (JAN)

Low -3.0%

06:30

EUR French Gross

Domestic Product(YoY) (4Q P)

Medium 0.5% 0.0%

06:30EUR French GrossDomestic Product(QoQ) (4Q P)

Low -0.5% 0.1%

07:00EUR German GrossDomestic Productw.d.a. (YoY) (4Q P)

High 0.9%

07:00EUR German GrossDomestic Productn.s.a. (YoY) (4Q P)

High 0.4%

07:00EUR German GrossDomestic Product s.a.(QoQ) (4Q P)

Medium 0.2% 0.2%

09:00EUR ECB PublishesMonthly Report

High

09:00

EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (YoY) (4QP)

Medium -2.4%

09:00

EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (QoQ) (4QP)

Low -0.2%


12/14

10:00

EUR Euro-Zone GrossDomestic Product s.a.(YoY) (4Q A)

High -0.6%

10:00EUR Euro-Zone GrossDomestic Product s.a.(QoQ) (4Q A)

Medium -0.1%

13:30USD Initial JoblessClaims (FEB 10)

Medium 360K 366K

13:30USD Continuing Claims(FEB 3)

Low 3200K 3224K

15:30USD EIA Natural GasStorage Change (FEB8)

Low -118

21:45NZD Retail Sales ExInflation (QoQ) (4Q)

Medium -0.4%

23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Stocks (Yen)(FEB 8)

Low

23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Bonds (Yen)(FEB 8)

Low

23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Stocks (Yen)(FEB 8)

Low 419.5B

23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Bonds (Yen)(FEB 8)

Low

Fri

Feb 15

USD Revisions ofProducer Price Index

Low

01:35CNY MNI FebruaryFlash BusinessSentiment Indicator

Low

02:00NZD Non ResidentBond Holdings (JAN)

Low 64.0%

04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (YoY) (DECF) (DEC F)

Medium -7.8%

04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (MoM)(DEC F) (DEC F)

Low 2.5%

04:30JPY CapacityUtilization (MoM) (DECF) (DEC F)

Low -0.2%

05:00

USD G20 FinanceMinisters and CentralBank Governors

Meeting in Russia

Medium

09:30GBP Retail Salesw/Auto Fuel (YoY)(JAN)

Medium 0.9% 0.3%

09:30GBP Retail Sales (YoY)(JAN)

Medium 1.6% 1.1%

09:30GBP Retail Salesw/Auto Fuel (MoM)(JAN)

Low 0.5% -0.1%

09:30GBP Retail Sales(MoM) (JAN)

Low 0.5% -0.3%


13/14

10:00

EUR Euro-Zone TradeBalance s.a. (euros)(DEC)

Low 10.6B 11.0B

10:00EUR Euro-Zone TradeBalance (euros) (DEC)

Low 12.0B 13.7B

13:30USD EmpireManufacturing (FEB)

Low -2 -7.78

13:30CAD ManufacturingShipments (MoM)(DEC)

Low -0.5% 1.7%

14:00USD Net Long-termTIC Flows (DEC)

Medium $52.3B

14:00CAD Existing HomeSales (MoM) (JAN)

Medium -0.5%

14:00USD Total Net TICFlows (DEC)

Low $27.8B

14:15USD Manufacturing(SIC) Production (JAN)

Medium 0.2% 0.8%

14:15USD IndustrialProduction (JAN)

Medium 0.2% 0.3%

14:15USD CapacityUtilization (JAN)

Low 78.9% 78.8%

14:55USD U. of MichiganConfidence (FEB P)

High 74.5 73.8

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14/14

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Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 14.02.13

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