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•Daily Operations Briefing August 18, 2012

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: August 17-18 Significant Events: Western wildfires

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Hurricane Gordon; TS Helene; Area 2 (Medium/40%)

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday night

• Western Pacific – No tropical cyclones affecting U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Heavy rains continue over the Desert Southwest and Great Basin

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Central/Southern Plains & Mid-Atlantic/Coastal Carolinas

• Critical Fire Weather Areas - Dry thunderstorms possible in central Oregon/northern CA

• Red Flag Warnings: WA, OR, NV & CA

• Space Weather: Moderate/R2 radio blackouts occurred; Minor space storms predicted.

Earthquake Activity: M 6.6 - Indonesia

Disaster Declaration Activity: Amendment #4 to FEMA-4067-DR-Colorado

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Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Hurricane Gordon As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 760 miles WSW of the Azores

• Moving east at 18 mph

• This motion is forecast to continue today; a turn

toward the ENE is expected on Sunday

• The government of Portugal issued a Tropical Storm

Watch for the central and eastern Azores.

• Max sustained winds 80 mph with higher gusts

• Hurricane-force winds extend outward 30 miles

• Tropical storm-force winds extend outward 125 miles

from the center

• No threat to U.S.

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Atlantic – Tropical Storm Helene As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

Located 35 miles SE of Tampico, Mexico

Moving NW at 8 mph

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph

Tropical storm-force winds extend outwards up to 35

miles from the center

Little change in strength is expected before landfall

The government of Mexico issued a tropical storm

warning for the coast of Mexico from Barra de Nautla

to La Cruz.

The center of Helene will move inland within the

warning area soon

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Atlantic – Area 2 (Invest 94L) As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

Showers and thunderstorms continue in

association with a tropical wave

Located a couple hundred miles southwest of the

Cape Verde Islands.

System is moving west at 15-20 mph

Conditions appear conducive for gradual

development during the next few days

Medium chance (40%) of becoming tropical

cyclone next 48 hrs

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15

to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

Daily: 0400 a.m. and 1600

National Weather Forecast

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http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

Active Watches/Warnings

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Precipitation Forecast 1-3 Day

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Flood Outlook – 7 Day

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Convective Outlook Days 1-3

Day 3

Day 1 Day 2

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1-8

Day 3-8

Day 1 Day 2

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MAP: http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7.png

TEXT: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: August 20-24

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Hazard Outlook: August 20-31

• Aug 20-23: Heavy rain for the central Gulf Coast and part of the

Southeast.

• Severe drought for parts of the Southeast, Midwest, Lower/Middle

Mississippi Valley, Great Plains, Rio Grande Valley, Rockies, Southwest,

Great Basin, Maryland, Delaware, and Hawaii.

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http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/aviation/index.html http://spaceweather.com/

www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather

NOAA Scales Activity Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)

Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours

Space Weather: Moderate None Minor

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R2 None R1

HF Communications Impact Sunspot Activity

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Earthquake Activity US Activity

• No significant U.S. activity

International Activity

• M 6.6 occurred 5:41 a.m. EDT

• 26 miles SE of Palu, Indonesia

• Depth 12.6 miles

• No damage/injuries reported

• Tsunami was not generated

• Green PAGER Alert issued – low

likelihood of shaking related

fatalities/economic losses

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/

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US Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of August 18, 2012

National Preparedness Level: 4 Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists between Geographic Areas.

Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed..

PL 4

PL 4

PL 3

PL 5

PL 3

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 4

PL 1

PL 2

PL 1

PL 2

PL 3

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August 18, 2012:

• National Preparedness Level: 4

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (133)

• New Large Fires: 2

• Large Fires Contained: 9

• Uncontained Large Fires: 42

• Area Command Teams committed: 1

• NIMOs committed: 1

• Type 1 IMT(s) committed: 11

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 15

• States Affected: ID, UT, WY, AZ, CA, NV,

OR, WA, MT, OK, TX & AR

National Fire Activity

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Western Wildfire Summary

Fire Name (County)

FMAG # Acres

burned % Contained

Evacuations (Type)

Structures Threatened

Structures Destroyed

Fatalities / Injuries

Washington (1)

Taylor Bridge Fire

(Kittitas County, WA)

5005-FM-WA

August 14 23,113 40%

Yes

(Voluntary) 400

70 homes

210 other 0/1

California (1)

Chips Fire

(Plumas County, CA)

Not

Requested

44,343

(+597) 34% (+14)

Yes

(Mandatory) 940 0 0/10 (+1)

Oregon (1)

Barry Point Fire

(Klamath County, OR)

Not

Requested

84,160

(+4,888) 32 (+2)% Yes 201 0 0/2

Idaho (2)

Halstead Fire

(Custer County, ID)

Not

Requested 83,857 3%

Yes

(Mandatory) 315 0 0/1

Trinity Ridge Fire

(Elmore County, ID)

5006-FM-ID

August 15 72,594 5% (+1)

Yes

(Voluntary) 547 8 0/5

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Halstead Fire, ID Fire

Name Location

Acres

burned

%

Contained Est. Full Containment FMAG

Structures Lost /

Threatened

Fatalities /

Injuries

Halstead

Fire

Salmon-Challis

National Forest

(Custer County)

83,857 3% October 16, 2012 Not requested 0 / 315 0 / 1

• Fire began July 27; located in inaccessible terrain,18

miles NW of Stanley (est. pop 63)

• Burning primarily timber and bug-killed trees

• Significant growth reported over the last 36 hours

• 315 structures are threatened, including 80 homes

• Mandatory evacuations in effect for local communities

• No shelters reported open

• Type 1 IMT and 301 personnel responding

• Governor declared a Disaster Emergency

• SEOC partially activated; FEMA Region X monitoring

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Disaster Requests & Declarations

Declaration Requests in Process

Requests

APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

3 Date Requested 0 0

NM – DR Flooding August 10, 2012

OH – DR Severe Storms and High Winds August 10, 2012

OK – DR Wildfires August 13, 2012

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Declaration

Amendment Number

Effective

Date Amendment Action

Amendment #4 to

FEMA-4067-DR-Colorado August 17, 2012

Includes Teller County for emergency

protective measures (Cat B) under the

Public Assistance program.

Disaster Amendments

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FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 0

Requests Expected Next 24 Hours 0 None as of 1200 8/17/12

As of August 16, 2012 2012 2011*

FMAGs Approved 33 90

FMAGs Denied 15 28

* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in 2011

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

16 2 17 2 37

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

20* 3* 11 5 0

As of: 08/17/12

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Positions On Board Available Deployed Pending Hire

10 5 4 1 0

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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Open Field Offices as of August 18, 2012

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Number of Counties

Region State Event IA/PA Requested Ongoing Complete Begin/End

V MN Severe Storms/High Winds

July 2 – 4, 2012 PA

5 counties

2 tribes 0

5 counties

2 tribes

Began: 7/25

Ended: 8/17

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 57

Partially Mission Capable 0

Non-Mission Capable 0

Total Not Deployed 57

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned

Available

FMC

Deployed

Committed PMC NMC DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

DC Atlanta 21 21 0 0 0 0 0

DC Cumberland 10 10 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 15 15 0 0 0 0 0 0

DC Moffett 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0

Holliston, MA 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Denver, CO 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

Bothell, WA 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0

TOTAL 57 57 0 0 0 TOTAL 0 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units

en route for turn-in.

Data as of: 08/16/12 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters

AL

4052-DR

1971-DR

AZ AR

CA

CO

FL

ID

IL

1991-DR

IN

IA

1998-DR

KS

LA

ME

MA

4028-DR

1994-DR

WI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

NC

4019-DR

1969-DR

ND

OH

OR

SC

SD

TN

4060-DR

1979-DR

1974-DR

TX

4029-DR

UT

VA

WA

WY

DE MD

KY

4057-DR

4008-DR

1976-DR

OK

1989-DR

1970-DR

GA

1973-DR

AR

4000-DR

1975-DR

MO

4012-DR

1980-DR

VT

4022-DR

4001-DR

1995-DR ND

1981-DR

MS

MT

1996-DR

NE

4013-DR

SD

1984-DR

PR

4040-DR

4017-DR

NY

4031-DR

4020-DR

NH

4026-DR

PA

4030-DR

4025-DR

VA

4042-DR

NJ

4021-DR

CT

4023-DR

WV

MS

1983-DR

1972-DR

# of DRs Legend

Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration,

unless extended)

IHP Active – IHP Assistance period remains open

(18 Months from Declaration)

IHP Closing Within 60 Days

1

44

0 Data as of: 08/16/12 @ 1500

IN

4058-DR WV

4059-DR

4061-DR

MI

FL

4068-DR

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IA Registration Statistics

Cumulative as of August 16, 2012 @ 1500

DR # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants

Total HA

Approved

Total ONA

Approved

Total IHP

Approved

4068 – FL 14,998 5,519 $18,175,283 $2,517,724 $20,693,007

Totals 14,998 5,519 $18,175,283 $2,517,724 $20,693,007

24 hour change +86 +44 +$168,316 +$18,456 +$186,771

NPSC Call Data for August 15, 2012

Total NPSC Calls Answered (Helpline + Registration Intake) 1,119

Average time to answer call 11 seconds

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IHP Referral Status & Awards

Data includes the 45 IHP Active DRs

# Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($30,200 as of FY2012) Data as of: 08/16/12 @ 1500

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Housing Inspection Statistics

* Only displaying inspectors for DRs that currently have open registration periods

Data as of August 16, 2012 @ 1600

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4068 – FL 20 12,241 12,072 98.6% 1.7

TOTAL 20 12,241 12,072 98.6% 1.7

24 hour change +2 +94 +99 +0.1% -0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

BLUE (East)

WHITE (Central)

RED (West)

Regional Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region IX-1

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-2

Region III VA Region VI-2 Region X

Region IV-1 Region VII

Region IV-2 FL Region VIII

= Assigned/Deployed

= Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Available PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available = Assigned/Deployed

= Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Level III (Monitoring 24/7) 24/7

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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