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Daily Technical Report, 31.07.2013

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 www.angelbroking.com 1 Daily Technical Report J uly 31, 2013 Sensex (193 48) / NIFT Y (575 5)  Ye ste r da y, our b enc h m ar k in di ces op ene d on a su bd ue d note considering quiet trading mood across the globe. During the first half, indices remained range bound; but post midsession markets once again headed downwards on the back of significant rupee depreciation. The weakness continued till the fag end of the session, which led indices to close at the lowest point of the day. During the session, onl IT sector managed to close in the positive territory; wherea the Oil & Gas, Realty , Powe r and PSU counters w itnessed massive correction throughout the day. The Advance to Decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining counters. (A=677 D=1593) (S ource–ww w.bseindia.com ) Formation   T he ’89-d ay EMA’ and the ’89-we e k E MA ’ ar e p laced a 19486/ 5878 and 18611 / 5625 leve ls, respe ct ive ly.   T he ’2 0-d ay EMA’ an d t h e ‘20-we e k E MA ’ ar e p la ce d a 19718 / 5906 and 19476 / 5870, res pec tive ly.   T he d ail y ‘R S I-S moo t h en e d’ os c ill at or ’, t h e ‘5 & 20 EMA’ and the ‘ADX (9)’ indicator are signaling a negative crossover. Trading strategy:  Ye ste r da y , t he fi ft h consecutive session has ended in fa v or o the bears. As expected, the Nifty has now closed well belo the psychological level of 5800 and also below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (5767) of the rise from 5566 (low on June 2 4, 2013) t o 6094 (high on J uly 23, 2013). Although the momentum oscillators such as “stochastic” are in the oversold zone, the overall chart structure is still negative. Hence, going forward, if Nifty sustains belo yesterday’s low of 5747, then it is likely to fill the upward gap created on J une 28, 2013. In this case , markets ma te st 5699 / 5679, which coincides w ith t he 78.6% Fibonacci retracem ent level. O n th e higher side, 5825 – 5861 lev el would act as immediate resistance levels in coming trading session. E xhibit 1: Ni fty Daily Chart Source: Falcon : Actionabl e poin ts: View Bearish below 57 4 7 Ex pected targets 5699 - 5679 Res istance Leve ls 5825 5861
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Daily Technical Report

July 31, 2013 

Sensex (19348) / NIFTY (5755)

 Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened on a subdued

note considering quiet trading mood across the globe.During the first half, indices remained range bound; but post

midsession markets once again headed downwards on the

back of significant rupee depreciation. The weakness

continued till the fag end of the session, which led indices to

close at the lowest point of the day. During the session, onl

IT sector managed to close in the positive territory; wherea

the Oil & Gas, Realty, Power and PSU counters witnessed

massive correction throughout the day. The Advance to

Decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining counters.

(A=677 D=1593) (Source–www.bseindia.com )

Formation

   The ’89-day EMA’ and the ’89-week EMA’ are placed a

19486/ 5878 and 18611 / 5625 levels, respectively.

   The ’20-day EMA’ and the ‘20-week EMA’ are placed a

19718 / 5906 and 19476 / 5870, respectively.

   The daily ‘RSI-Smoothened’ oscillator’, the ‘5 & 20 EMA’

and the ‘ADX (9)’ indicator are signaling a negative

crossover.

Trading strategy:

 Yesterday, the fifth consecutive session has ended in favor o

the bears. As expected, the Nifty has now closed well belo

the psychological level of 5800 and also below the 61.8%

Fibonacci retracement level (5767) of the rise from 5566

(low on June 24, 2013) to 6094 (high on July 23, 2013).

Although the momentum oscillators such as “stochastic” are

in the oversold zone, the overall chart structure is still

negative. Hence, going forward, if Nifty sustains beloyesterday’s low of 5747, then it is likely to fill the upward

gap created on June 28, 2013. In this case, markets ma

test 5699 / 5679, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci

retracement level. On the higher side, 5825 – 5861 level

would act as immediate resistance levels in coming trading

session.

Exhibit 1: Ni fty Daily Chart

Source: Falcon : 

Actionable poin ts:

View Bearish below 57 4 7

Expected targets 5699 - 5679

Resistance Levels 5825 – 5861

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Daily Technical Report

July 31, 2013 

Bank N ifty Outlook - (10210)

 Yesterday, the Bank Nifty too opened on a muted note in-line

with our benchmark indices. We witnessed extreme volatility

in the index just before and after the announcement of RBI

Monetary policy. However, the RBI kept the interest rates

unchanged and as a result, the Bank Nifty tumbled more than

two percent during the session. Going ahead, we maintain

our view that the index is likely to test the 61.8% Fibonacci

retracement level (9924) of the rise from 7766 (low of the

December 16, 2011 weekly candle) and 13415 (high of the

May 24, 2013 weekly candle). However, similar to our

benchmark indices, the momentum oscillators in Bank Nifty

too have entered extreme oversold zone. Hence, the

possibility on near term bounce back cannot be ruled out. On

the upside, 10452 – 10661 levels would act as immediate

resistance for the Bank Nifty.

Actionable points:

View N eutral

Support Levels 10195 – 9924

Resistance Levels 10452 – 10661

Exhibit 2 : Bank N ifty Weekly Chart

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Daily Technical Report

July 31, 2013 

Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks

SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVO T R1 R2

SENSEX 19,106 19,227 19,450 19,571 19,794

NIFTY 5,674 5,715 5,788 5,828 5,902BANKNIFTY

10,031 10,120 10,285 10,374 10,539ACC 1,155 1,165 1,180 1,190 1,205

AMBUJACEM 164 166 168 170 173

ASIANPAINT 492 501 512 521 532

AXISBANK 1,059 1,076 1,104 1,121 1,150

BAJAJ-AUTO 1,857 1,892 1,953 1,988 2,049

BANKBARODA 536 545 560 569 584

BHARTIARTL 307 314 324 331 341

BHEL 148 150 154 157 161

BPCL 286 299 320 333 354

CAIRN 284 288 293 298 303

CIPLA 402 405 411 414 419

COALINDIA 267 271 274 278 281

DLF 150 155 162 167 174

DRREDDY 2,080 2,129 2,194 2,243 2,309

GAIL 294 300 310 316 325

GRASIM 2,663 2,682 2,714 2,733 2,765

HCLTECH 895 900 908 913 920

HDFC 791 799 810 819 830

HDFCBANK 612 619 627 634 642

HEROMOTOCO 1,813 1,832 1,856 1,875 1,899

HINDALCO 81 84 88 90 94

HINDUNILVR 616 621 628 634 641

ICICIBANK 910 918 931 939 952

IDFC 107 109 112 114 116

INDUSINDBK 377 388 404 415 432

INFY 2,911 2,933 2,953 2,975 2,995

ITC 343 347 353 356 362

 JINDALSTEL 192 197 204 209 215

 JPASSOCIAT 36 37 38 39 41

KOTAKBANK 627 638 659 671 691

LT 835 842 853 860 870

LUPIN 812 826 846 860 880

M&M 884 890 898 904 912

MARUTI 1,326 1,334 1,349 1,357 1,371

NMDC 95 97 100 103 106

NTPC 133 135 139 141 144

ONGC 265 273 287 295 309

PNB 543 554 573 585 604

POWERGRID 103 104 106 108 110

RANBAXY 262 271 285 293 307

RELIANCE 830 844 868 882 906

RELINFRA 316 326 345 356 375

SBIN 1,683 1,703 1,739 1,759 1,794

SESAGO A 118 121 123 126 129

SUNPHARMA 564 570 575 581 586

 TATAMOTORS 273 279 288 294 304

 TATAPOWER 84 85 87 88 90

 TATASTEEL 202 206 211 215 221

 TCS 1,761 1,777 1,791 1,806 1,820

ULTRACEMCO 1,842 1,857 1,876 1,891 1,910

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Daily Technical Report

July 31, 2013 

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