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7/27/2019 Daily Technical Report, 31.07.2013
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Daily Technical Report
July 31, 2013
Sensex (19348) / NIFTY (5755)
Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened on a subdued
note considering quiet trading mood across the globe.During the first half, indices remained range bound; but post
midsession markets once again headed downwards on the
back of significant rupee depreciation. The weakness
continued till the fag end of the session, which led indices to
close at the lowest point of the day. During the session, onl
IT sector managed to close in the positive territory; wherea
the Oil & Gas, Realty, Power and PSU counters witnessed
massive correction throughout the day. The Advance to
Decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining counters.
(A=677 D=1593) (Source–www.bseindia.com )
Formation
The ’89-day EMA’ and the ’89-week EMA’ are placed a
19486/ 5878 and 18611 / 5625 levels, respectively.
The ’20-day EMA’ and the ‘20-week EMA’ are placed a
19718 / 5906 and 19476 / 5870, respectively.
The daily ‘RSI-Smoothened’ oscillator’, the ‘5 & 20 EMA’
and the ‘ADX (9)’ indicator are signaling a negative
crossover.
Trading strategy:
Yesterday, the fifth consecutive session has ended in favor o
the bears. As expected, the Nifty has now closed well belo
the psychological level of 5800 and also below the 61.8%
Fibonacci retracement level (5767) of the rise from 5566
(low on June 24, 2013) to 6094 (high on July 23, 2013).
Although the momentum oscillators such as “stochastic” are
in the oversold zone, the overall chart structure is still
negative. Hence, going forward, if Nifty sustains beloyesterday’s low of 5747, then it is likely to fill the upward
gap created on June 28, 2013. In this case, markets ma
test 5699 / 5679, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci
retracement level. On the higher side, 5825 – 5861 level
would act as immediate resistance levels in coming trading
session.
Exhibit 1: Ni fty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon :
Actionable poin ts:
View Bearish below 57 4 7
Expected targets 5699 - 5679
Resistance Levels 5825 – 5861
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Daily Technical Report
July 31, 2013
Bank N ifty Outlook - (10210)
Yesterday, the Bank Nifty too opened on a muted note in-line
with our benchmark indices. We witnessed extreme volatility
in the index just before and after the announcement of RBI
Monetary policy. However, the RBI kept the interest rates
unchanged and as a result, the Bank Nifty tumbled more than
two percent during the session. Going ahead, we maintain
our view that the index is likely to test the 61.8% Fibonacci
retracement level (9924) of the rise from 7766 (low of the
December 16, 2011 weekly candle) and 13415 (high of the
May 24, 2013 weekly candle). However, similar to our
benchmark indices, the momentum oscillators in Bank Nifty
too have entered extreme oversold zone. Hence, the
possibility on near term bounce back cannot be ruled out. On
the upside, 10452 – 10661 levels would act as immediate
resistance for the Bank Nifty.
Actionable points:
View N eutral
Support Levels 10195 – 9924
Resistance Levels 10452 – 10661
Exhibit 2 : Bank N ifty Weekly Chart
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Daily Technical Report
July 31, 2013
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVO T R1 R2
SENSEX 19,106 19,227 19,450 19,571 19,794
NIFTY 5,674 5,715 5,788 5,828 5,902BANKNIFTY
10,031 10,120 10,285 10,374 10,539ACC 1,155 1,165 1,180 1,190 1,205
AMBUJACEM 164 166 168 170 173
ASIANPAINT 492 501 512 521 532
AXISBANK 1,059 1,076 1,104 1,121 1,150
BAJAJ-AUTO 1,857 1,892 1,953 1,988 2,049
BANKBARODA 536 545 560 569 584
BHARTIARTL 307 314 324 331 341
BHEL 148 150 154 157 161
BPCL 286 299 320 333 354
CAIRN 284 288 293 298 303
CIPLA 402 405 411 414 419
COALINDIA 267 271 274 278 281
DLF 150 155 162 167 174
DRREDDY 2,080 2,129 2,194 2,243 2,309
GAIL 294 300 310 316 325
GRASIM 2,663 2,682 2,714 2,733 2,765
HCLTECH 895 900 908 913 920
HDFC 791 799 810 819 830
HDFCBANK 612 619 627 634 642
HEROMOTOCO 1,813 1,832 1,856 1,875 1,899
HINDALCO 81 84 88 90 94
HINDUNILVR 616 621 628 634 641
ICICIBANK 910 918 931 939 952
IDFC 107 109 112 114 116
INDUSINDBK 377 388 404 415 432
INFY 2,911 2,933 2,953 2,975 2,995
ITC 343 347 353 356 362
JINDALSTEL 192 197 204 209 215
JPASSOCIAT 36 37 38 39 41
KOTAKBANK 627 638 659 671 691
LT 835 842 853 860 870
LUPIN 812 826 846 860 880
M&M 884 890 898 904 912
MARUTI 1,326 1,334 1,349 1,357 1,371
NMDC 95 97 100 103 106
NTPC 133 135 139 141 144
ONGC 265 273 287 295 309
PNB 543 554 573 585 604
POWERGRID 103 104 106 108 110
RANBAXY 262 271 285 293 307
RELIANCE 830 844 868 882 906
RELINFRA 316 326 345 356 375
SBIN 1,683 1,703 1,739 1,759 1,794
SESAGO A 118 121 123 126 129
SUNPHARMA 564 570 575 581 586
TATAMOTORS 273 279 288 294 304
TATAPOWER 84 85 87 88 90
TATASTEEL 202 206 211 215 221
TCS 1,761 1,777 1,791 1,806 1,820
ULTRACEMCO 1,842 1,857 1,876 1,891 1,910
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Daily Technical Report
July 31, 2013
esearch Team Tel: 022 - 30940000 E-mail: amee [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni - Head – Technicals Sameet Chavan - Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar - Technical Analyst
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