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DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION: AN OECD PERSPECTIVE Carlos González-Sancho OECD Directorate for Education and Skills Centre for Educational Research and Innovation (CERI) 25 October 2018 Dushanbe, Republic of Tajikistan CENTRAL ASIA SYMPOSIUM ON ICT IN EDUCATION 2018 Strengthening Education Management Information Systems to monitor SDG4
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Page 1: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION

IN EDUCATION: AN OECD PERSPECTIVE

Carlos González-Sancho

OECD Directorate for Education and Skills

Centre for Educational Research and Innovation (CERI)

25 October 2018

Dushanbe, Republic of Tajikistan

CENTRAL ASIA SYMPOSIUM ON ICT IN EDUCATION 2018

Strengthening Education Management Information Systems

to monitor SDG4

Page 2: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Outline

1. Role of data for education policy planning and evaluation

OECD work on SDG 4 monitoring

Some examples of analysis with PISA data

2. Longitudinal information systems in education in OECD countries: current state and future directions

Insights from the OECD/CERI survey of information systems

A typology: four model approaches to using longitudinal systems

Some challenges

Page 3: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Key messages

OECD is strongly engaged in 2030 Agenda and SDG 4 monitoring

Education SDG architecture, TCGs, reporting, data collection, capacity building

EMIS development should enable a wider range of uses of education data

From statistical reporting and evaluation, to research and innovation for improvement

Requires enhancing the capacities of information systems, most importantly with

student longitudinal identifiers, new types of data and more flexible access

Longitudinal education information systems in OECD countries provide

examples of what is possible for EMIS going forward

Many good models and solutions can already be found in the education sector

No need to restart from scratch – strong longitudinal information systems can often

be built from legacy systems

Page 4: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

OECD role in SGD 4

framework and monitoring

Page 5: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Not all OECD countries are at the same level

when it comes to meeting the SDG 4 targets

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

4.a.1.% of studentswith access to

computers andInternet

4.2.2.Enrolment rate

a year beforeprimary entry

age

4.c.7.% of teacherswho received

in-servicetraining

4.7.5.Proficiency of

15-year-olds inscience

4.6.1.Adult

proficiency inliteracy andnumeracy

4.1.1.Proficiency of

15-year-olds inmaths and

reading

4.a.2.% of studentsexperiencing

bullying

4.1.5.Out-of-school

rate

Indicators for which higher values are desirable Indicators for which lower

values are desirable

General overview of selected SDG indicators

Page 6: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

OECD’s support for the Education SDG Action

Plan

Leverage OECD indicators and collect

data for the SDG 4 UN database

Joint validator of SDG 4 indicators and advisor

within the SDG 4 framework

Reporter of progress towards SDG 4

SGD lens to education strategies and support for education policy-

making at country level

Page 7: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Some indicators produced and/or with input by OECD teams:

PISA: SDG Target 4.1

Early Learning and Child Well-being Study: SDG Target 4.2

PIAAC: SDG Target 4.6

TALIS: SDG Target 4.c

UOE questionnaires and additional data collections: e.g. on Indicator 4.a.1 on the infrastructure of schools

Collecting data for the UN database (UIS) for OECD and partner countries

About 90% coverage of global indicators currently

1. Leverage OECD data to analyse progress on

SDG4 and collect data for UN database

Page 8: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

A common SDG 4 database requires agreement on methodology and sources for calculation of SDG indicators

TCG Working Group 1 on Indicator Development

Provide feedback on relevant indicators, esp. refinement

Examples classified as “requires further development”: 4.3.1; 4.6.3; 4.7.1; 4.7.2; 4.a.2; 4.a.3.

TCG Working Group 3 on Data Reporting, Validation and Dissemination

Terminology document

Data validation package

2. Joint validator of SDG 4 indicators and advisor

within the SDG 4 framework

Page 9: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

3. Reporter of progress towards SDG 4

EAG : a vehicle for reporting on SDG 4 on OECD and partner countries, with a dedicated chapter

EAG 2018 focus on equity SDG4 Target 4.5

Dedicated sections in other publications as well

Page 10: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

4. Apply SDG lens to OECD education strategies

and policy tools, including capacity building

PISA for Development is enhancing PISA to make it relevant for low-and-middle-income countries

Successful pilot: Bhutan, Cambodia, Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, Paraguay, Senegal and Zambia

Mainstreamed in PISA from 2021 onwards

Assistance to countries in building national assessment and data-collection systems

Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia)

Integrate SDG4 and its targets and indicators in on-going and future support for education policy-making at the country level, e.g. country reviews

Page 11: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

some examples of analysis

with PISA data

Page 12: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

100

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Level 1a Level 1b

Below Level 1b Level 2

Level 3 Level 4

Level 5 Level 6

Comparing average system performance:

Students’ proficiency in science

PISA 2015, Figure I.2.15

%

Students at or

above Level 2

Students below

Level 2

Page 13: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Across OECD countries, disadvantaged students are 3 times more likely to not attain baseline

proficiency in science – in France and Singapore, about 4 times

1

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Odds ratio Increased likelihood of students in the bottom quarter of ESCS scoring below Level 2in science, relative to non-disadvantaged students (3 other quarters of ESCS)

Comparing the relative strength of the socio-economic

gradient on student performance

PISA 2015, Figure I.6.9

Page 14: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Comparing the variation between and within

schools in student performance (in science)

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% Between-school variation Within-school variation

Total variation as a

proportion of the OECD

average

OECD average 69%

OECD average 30%

PISA 2015, Figure I.6.11

Page 15: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Comparing how learning time is associated with

student performance in science

6

7

8

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12

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of to

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HoursIntended learning time at school (hours) Study time after school (hours)

Score points in science per hour of total learning time

PISA 2015, Figure II.6.23

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longitudinal education information

systems in OECD countries:

current state and future directions

Page 17: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Longitudinal information systems: a general-purpose

technology supporting the innovation ecosystem

Longitudinal systems maintain and link

individual-level data over time, provide

detailed information on students’ learning

outcomes, schooling environments and

demographics; and facilitate access to data

through reporting and analysis tools

Next-generation systems integrate

statistical data with learning management

systems, including banks of digital resources

Data-driven innovation in education:

mainly about transforming information in

actionable knowledge – much more

than a technical issue

Page 18: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

The opportunities around longitudinal information

systems in education

Improve efficiency and reduce administrative costs

Creation of a better data infrastructure for educational research

Faster and richer feedback to stakeholders:

New conversations around evidence on the impact of policies and practices

More applications around formative assessment and instruction

Platforms to access and share digital resources to support teachers and

learners – and develop a stronger educational industry

Mobilise practical knowledge - networks of educators and schools with

similar concerns (learning communities)

Page 19: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

the OECD/CERI survey of

information systems in education

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The OECD/CERI survey on information systems

in education

As of 2016, it covers 67 systems from 32 countries/economies

Australia [3], Austria [2], Belgium [2], Brazil [2], Canada [2], Chile [2], Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Germany, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea [2], Lithuania, Mexico, Netherlands [3], New Zealand, Norway [2], Portugal, Slovak Republic [2], Slovenia [2], South Africa, Spain [2], Sweden [2], Turkey, UK [2], US [20]

Administered to systems managers

US state-wide systems: from DQC

Survey sections

1. Goals of the system

2. Data model

3. Coverage and frequency of collection

4. Data linkages

5. Quality processes

6. Access and privacy

7. Comparison possibilities

8. Accountability usage

9. Instructional support, networking facilities and PD

10. Other features

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Longitudinal identifiers and linkages

All systems have school-level identifiers, and 4 in 5 can track students longitudinally

Fewer systems provide teacher and course identifiers

Student- and school-level data matched, but teacher and student data linked only by a third of the systems, mainly US

Some cases where link does not exist despite availability of both identifiers

81%

61% 61%

39%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

School ID Longit StudentID

Longit TeacherID

All 3 Longit student-teacher link

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Speed of feedback

Timeliness of feedback is a critical condition to maintain data value

Many systems take more than 1 month to make data available, regardless of access rights

– many impose >6 months delays

Cited reasons for delay include data cleaning and anonymization

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Administrator Schoolprincipals

Teachers Parents Students Researchers

Real Time <1 month 1-3 M 4-6 M > 6 M

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Many strengths but also areas of improvement for

current information systems in OECD countries

No single model –wide variation in goals, data elements and functionalities enabled

Unique, student longitudinal identifiers are the most critical feature of effective information systems. Linkages to teacher data as well as to data from other agencies (e.g. labour market) would open more possibilities for innovative uses of data

Cover a broader range of student outcomes. Summative and subject-based indicators fall short of capturing the set of skills that students are expected to develop

Access policies remain highly restrictive. Generally open to policy makers and administrators, but not to researchers and educators

Faster feedback is needed. Many take too long to report back and make data available. Feedback delays are at odds with aim of supporting timely decision-making

More user-friendly analysis and visualisation tools needed. Compatible with tiered access policies and important to prevent that valuable data remain underused

Integration with digital educational resources and automated analysis and recommendations will be important features of next-generation systems

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a typology of information systems

in education

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Current features and uses suggest 4 ideal-types or approaches:

1. Reporting and research data systems

2. E-government data systems

3. School improvement data systems

4. Expert data systems

A typology of information systems in education

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1. Reporting and research approach

Statistical and evaluation approach – from the traditional focus on reporting and accountability requirements

Accountability of systems and school performance cards enriched thanks to longitudinal, individual-level data

Reports seek to inform mainly policy makers and the public

In some cases, also designed to develop research capacity about educational issues

Page 27: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Ontario (Canada): Ontario School Information System

(OnSIS)

Examples: Board Interface reports (left) and Ontario Notable Education Trends (right)

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Mexico: Sistema Integral de Resultados de las

Evaluaciones (SIRE)

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2. e-Government data systems

Inspired by e-government approach promoting automated data integration across government agencies

Takes advantage of data trails generated by the use of digital ID-cards and digital signatures

Major objectives include making administrative processes more efficient (e.g. school transfer, school choice, university application, etc.) and informing resource allocation (e.g. school funds)

Great potential for linkage of education data with data from other sectors (e.g. labour market, taxation, health, etc.)

Page 30: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Estonia: Estonian Education Information System

(EHIS)

Page 31: DATA-DRIVEN POLICY ANALYSIS AND INNOVATION IN EDUCATION ... · assessment and data-collection systems Peer-to-peer partnerships (e.g. Korea and Cambodia) Integrate SDG4 and its targets

Korea: National Education Information System (NEIS)

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3. School improvement data systems

Systems designed to support school improvement efforts by putting data in the hands of principals and teachers

Key features include customisable school reports and visualisation tools such as dashboards

Enable new « improvement routines » (data teams, enquiry teams, etc.) and digital communities of practice

Try to provide information at the individual level and with a granularity that makes data more relevant to teachers

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England: RAISEonline - now replaced by the new

Analyse School Performance (ASP) system)

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Portugal: Escola 360° (E-360°)

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4. Expert data systems

Aim to help personalise teaching and learning and to provide real-time feedback to teachers, students and principals

Combine administrative data with process and formative assessment data from learning management systems

Learning analytics and other diagnosis techniques

Allow adjustments in ongoing instruction cycles – vs. end-of-year feedback

Advanced features: links to banks of educational resources, recommendations and networking platforms for teachers

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Colorado (US) state-wide longitudinal system and

SchoolView website

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some challenges

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The interoperability challenge

The data ecosystem is highly fragmented: “silo” systems that cannot

communicate with each other

Legacy systems, designed for specific functions (accounts, registration, VLEs…)

Inconsistent definitions, formats, coding procedures, etc.

Interoperability: capacity to combine and use data from disparate

systems and content platforms with ease, coherence and efficiency

Technical layer: software and connectivity

Semantic layer: data models, consistent definitions and coding rules

European Interoperability Framework (EIF)

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The privacy challenge

Greater data integration and increasing involvement of technology and data

service providers raise stakes for privacy protection

Potential harms: profiling and discrimination, commercial uses, etc.

Blurring distinction between personal and non-personal data: more

possibilities for re-identification

Informed consent and over-restrictive access are inefficient solutions

Need to combine data-focused and governance-focused solutions

Anonymization techniques – make re-identification more difficult

Control access and use for legitimate purposes (e.g. research)

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Towards a new generation of systems: from statistical

reporting to timely and actionable feedback

Old/current data systems Next-generation systems

Privacy protected by limited access and data redaction

Risk assessment, tiered access, privacy-enabling technologies

Cross-sectional snapshots Longitudinal perspective

Data silos Interoperability

End-of-year feedback “Real time” feedback

Statistical reports Learning analytics and suggestions

Use by administrators mainlyExtended to educators, students, and researchers

Aggregate-level indicators Individual-level indicators

Benchmarking, contextual dataLocal, isolated data points

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Carlos González-Sancho

[email protected]

OECD Directorate for Education and Skills

http://www.oecd.org/edu

Centre for Educational Research and Innovation (CERI)

http://www.oecd.org/edu/ceri

Thank you for your attention


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