DEALING WITH FUTURE ASH EVENTS

European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation

Žarko SIVČEVEUROCONTROL/CFMU

Network Operations

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell EUR/NAT

Volcanic Ash Task

Force

EUR/NAT Volcanic Ash Task

Force

Volcanic Ash Exercises

Volcanic Ash Exercises

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow?

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow? FutureFuture

Future has already

started…

???

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell EUR/NAT

Volcanic Ash Task

Force

EUR/NAT Volcanic Ash Task

Force

Volcanic Ash Exercises

Volcanic Ash Exercises

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow?

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow? FutureFuture

May 2010: European Aviation Crisis Coordination Cell

Lessons learnt from ash crisis

Network management

expertise

Political leadership

EASA

European Aviation Crisis Coordination Cell

(EACCC)

Facilitate management of crisis situationsaffecting aviation in Europe

Activated when circumstances beyond normal environment of ops are evident

Members

EACCC

Regulators…

Airlines

ANSP

Military

Airports

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell EUR/NAT

Volcanic Ash Task

Force

EUR/NAT Volcanic Ash Task

Force

Volcanic Ash Exercises

Volcanic Ash Exercises

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow?

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow? FutureFuture

Three areas of ash

concentration

ATM contingency plan including

AIS & MET

Danger areas declared by

NOTAM

ATM contingency plan primarily for the ANS Provider

States

Ops in area where ash forecast at discretion of AO

ANS Provider State vs. State of the

Operator/Registry

V. Ash TF

EUR/NAT

Normally clearanc

esnot

issued !

AOs assess the risk of operation in volcanic ash !

Low

Medium

High

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell EUR/NAT

Volcanic Ash Task

Force

EUR/NAT Volcanic Ash Task

Force

Volcanic Ash Exercises

Volcanic Ash Exercises

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow?

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow? FutureFuture

Scenario: April 2010 eruption of Eyjafjallajökull

Aim: check the new

contingency plan

Newcomers:EACCC and Regulators

Participants:

EUR/NAT VOLCEX

http://www.paris.icao.int/Met/Volc_Ash/index.htm

Next exercise: April 2011

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell

European Aviation Crisis

Coordination Cell EUR/NAT

Volcanic Ash Task

Force

EUR/NAT Volcanic Ash Task

Force

Volcanic Ash Exercises

Volcanic Ash Exercises

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

International Volcanic Ash Task

Force

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow?

What if another eruption

starts tomorrow? FutureFuture

IAVW:Predict ash

SCIENCE:Detect ash

ATM:Revise

operational response to volcanic ash

AIR:Determine ash

thresholds hazardous for aircraft operations

IVATF

IAVW - monitoring and providing warnings to aircraft

of volcanic ash

• Assess models• New VAAC products

• Safe vs unsafe ops• Aircraft & engine

components at risk

• Ops info dissemination

• Reporting

http://www2.icao.int/en/anb/met-aim/met/ivatf/

• Improve eruption source parameters

• Support AO & REG pre-flight & en-route decisions

What if an eruption starts tomorrow?

Contingency or crisis ?

• Alert: Icelandic MWO VAAC CFMU Crisis CellSIGME

TNOTAMNOPPortal

VA AdvisoryAsh

concentration

Danger

Areas???

Low

Medium

StateA

StateB

State

C ?

• Information exchange: teleconferences

• Information: VAAC

• Measures: States CFMU

High

Harmonised approach

needed!

EUROCONTROLTHANK YOU!