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INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS, INTERNET AND DEMOCRACY
2020The pursuit of democracy 2020
Ahmed AbdelHamid, AljazeeraTalk
Get rid of 20%...
2010: We are the world?
Haiti…
• Who was the most generous donor?
• 12K wikileaks cables, of 7 years
• USA intervened in the elections to reverse the results of the 1st round of results
• Michel Martelly: 2010 elections results falsification?
• US embassy: showed displeasure to raise the min. wage for workers since a “5$/day wage is not taking the economic reality into consideration, suggesting 3$/day instead”, why?
• History: Slaves revolution, occupation, hate… Assacinations, Hugo Chavez: USA occupying Haiti in the name of aid (3ooo), ….
A demonstrator on Oct. 7 supporting Batay Ouvriye's
unionisation campaign holds a sign that says, "Respect the rights
of working people." Credit:Ansel Herz/IPS
USA: 80 c ppCAD: 12.13 ppNorway: 8.44$ pp
"Political language is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable, and to give an appearance of solidity to pure wind.“ -- George Orwell
2019
2032
G7: Fr,It, uK, us, cAD, DE, JE7: China, India, Br, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, Indonesia
Couple of our Heroes today…
Map of Königsberg in Euler's time showing the actual layout of the seven bridges, highlighting the river Pregel and the bridges.
Leonhard
Euler1707-1783
Al-Khwārizmī's 780c-850c•Algorithsms •Algebra is named after his book “Al-Gabr wal Muqabalah” •contributions to mathematics, geography, astronomy, trigonometry, …
The network of Global Control
Authors: Stefania Vitali, James B. Glattfelder, Stefano Battiston. ETHZ-Sep2011
•10 companies control 19.45%•50 companies control 39.78% of the global financial network
Source Data: Orbis 2007 DB, 30M economic actor, reduced to 43K+
iBlog
Research in china, source: http://rconversation.blogs.com/rconversation/2006/12/blogs_and_china.html
Arabs are more into Maktoob (Yahoo), Blogger(Google), WordpressEx: Wordpress: •18.9M Blogs (~0.5M arabic)•English 66% ,Spanish 8.7%, …,
Dutch 0.8%, Arabic 0.3%
Change is on going…
• In Egypt:
• 8M+ on facebook (~10%)
• 4.5M are 18-22Y• In Tunisia
• 2.2M on facebook (~20%)
• 1.3M are 18-22Y •They speak A LOT about politics, they dream, & they Compare!• The real revolution is “in progress”!!
More than 900 million objects that people interact with (pages, groups,
events and community pages)
Effectiveness and communication
Before Now
Average Facebook user(800M) has 130 friends, and is connected to 80
community pages, groups and events
Internet is down… 28th -2010, TV reporters detained, Only the people can do it!
CAN WE KNOW, PREDICT A FUTURE SOCIAL
BEHAVIOUR? MORE?
Are we Happy?
Source: http://www.facebook.com/blog.php?post=150162112130
Facebook Gross National Happiness Index•Christmas, New Year's Eve and Valentine's Day are still among the happiest days for all of these nations, and Friday, Saturday and Sunday are happiest days of the week.•Canadians are happier the day before Canadian Thanksgiving (a Sunday) than on the actual Canadian Thanksgiving Day (a Monday). --2009
Swine Flue Hysteria
Mississippi doesn't care about the swine flu!
But, Can we predict a revolution?Well, Fischer Black and Myron Scholes knew it!
Image Source: http://news.cnet.com/8301-13515_3-10229749-26.html
Explosions… have no derivatives
18 December 2011
AljazeeraTalk facebook insights
18th DEC Tunisia14th JAN BenAli escaped25th JAN Egypt11th Feb Military Council in…
Post views51,332,519
mneuropa-page (mainly Egyptians)
Post views10,570,888
18th DEC Tunisia14th JAN BenAli escaped25th JAN Egypt11th Feb Military Council in…
Prediction…
• Monitor, Picture and Blog initiative• Started 24th of Jan night • 1M+ followers in few days
Your Effectiveness in 2020Your Effectiveness= Reach * Affinity
Source: http://www.blogging4jobs.com/business/relationship-recruiting-how-to-recruit-employees
Who is/are in control?
Running Large Graph Algorithms, Lawerence Livermore National Laboratory - Andy Yoohttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=
PBLgUBGWcz8
Can your behavior be predicted?
A Universe of Hubs: Mauro Martino, of Barabasi's lab, Hubs act as an organizing principle within complex networks by plotting the 325,729 Web pages in the University of Notre Dame Web domain [green points]. He also mapped the 1,497,134 links that connect these pages.Q: Min starting nodes to cover the network?A: Cancer fighting, Neurology, Disease spread, …Q: If he can map them, can we predict a behavior?Case: @2006, 6M subscribers, 93%prediction… control?Q: can we create a “human engine?”
This Man Could Rule the Worldpopsci.com
Albert-László Barabási
Freedom Engine?
ForaTV interview
Conclusion….Democracy/Corporatocracy 2020 is an
ongoing soccer league between People/Governments/ Corporates on
Money-Media territories!
3M2
Identity re-defined