DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE & ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS · demographic and socio economic information about...

2019-2020

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE & ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

Prepared by the Business Services Department of the Park Hill School District &

Business Informa on Services, LLC

Spring, 2020

1

2019-2020 Demographic Profile of the

Park Hill School District

March 2020

Park Hill Board of Education

President, Bart Klein

Vice President, Kimberlee Ried

Treasurer, Janice Bolin

Member, Todd Fane

Member, Scott Monsees

Member, Susan Newburger

Member, Kyla Yamada

Superintendent of Schools, Dr. Jeanette Cowherd

Secretary to the Board, Opal Hibbs

Prepared by the Business Services Department of the Park Hill School District &

Business Information Services, LLC

This document is available for download at http://www.parkhill.k12.mo.us/

District Information - Data and Reports - Demographic Profile

http://www.parkhill.k12.mo.us/

2

This Page Left Intentionally Blank

3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................................................. 5

INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................................................... 7

About The 2019-2020 Demographic Profile ......................................................................................................................... 7

About The Park Hill School District ...................................................................................................................................... 8

District Geography .............................................................................................................................................................. 9

District Municipalities ........................................................................................................................................................10

District Maps ......................................................................................................................................................................11

Map Of Area School Districts ................................................................................................................................................. 12

Map Of Park Hill School District MunicIpalities ...................................................................................................................... 13

Aerial Overview Map Of Park Hill School District ................................................................................................................... 14

Zip Codes Within Park Hill School District Boundaries ........................................................................................................... 15

Map Of 2019-2020 Park Hill School District Boundaries ........................................................................................................ 16

Map of Missouri School Districts by County boundaries ....................................................................................................... 17

2018-2019 Statistics of Missouri Public Schools ..................................................................................................................18

Demographic Comparisons – State of Missouri Public Schools ............................................................................................20

Twenty-Five Largest School Districts in Missouri (Enrollment) .............................................................................................. 20

Largest School Districts in Missouri (Geographic) .................................................................................................................. 21

Demographic Comparisons – Benchmark School Districts ...................................................................................................22

Benchmark Demographic Data – 2019-2020 Preliminary K-12 Enrollment ........................................................................... 22

Benchmark Demographic Data – K-12 Enrollment................................................................................................................. 23

Benchmark Demographic Data – K-12 Enrollment Growth ................................................................................................... 24

Benchmark Population Data .................................................................................................................................................. 25

Benchmark Household Data .................................................................................................................................................. 26

Benchmark School Finance Data ............................................................................................................................................ 27

STUDENT ENROLLMENT ..........................................................................................................................................................28

Historical Enrollment Data .................................................................................................................................................28

Student Enrollment Table By Grade – 25-Year Historical (1996-2020) .................................................................................. 29

K-12 Student Enrollment Chart– 25-Year Historical (1996-2020) .......................................................................................... 30

Annual Growth In K-12 Student Enrollment – 25-Year Historical (1996-2020) ...................................................................... 31

Current Enrollment ............................................................................................................................................................32

K-12 Student Program Enrollment (2019-2020) .................................................................................................................... 34

Change In K-12 Student Program Enrollment From Prior Year (2018-2019 to 2019-2020) ................................................... 35

K-12 Enrollment By School (Resident Enrollment) (2019-2020) ............................................................................................ 36

Park Hill School District Grade Level Distribution (2019-2020) .............................................................................................. 37

Park Hill School District Cohort Size Analysis ......................................................................................................................... 38

Park Hill School District Student Geographic Distribution ..................................................................................................... 39

Park Hill School District Student Enrollment Density ............................................................................................................. 40

Park Hill School District Grade Level Distribution and Cohort Growth Since Kindergarten - 2018-2019 Enrollment ............ 41

4

Park Hill School District Class of 2019 Cohort Growth – Kindergarten Through 12th Grade .................................................. 42

Park Hill School District Diversity Of Enrollment (2019-2020) ............................................................................................... 43

Park Hill School District Change in Diverse Populations (2011-2020) .................................................................................... 44

Park Hill School District Diverse Populations By School (2019-2020)..................................................................................... 45

Park Hill School District Growth In Free and Reduced Lunch Population* (2019-2020) ........................................................ 46

Park Hill School District Free and Reduced Lunch Population By School* (2019-2020) ......................................................... 47

Park Hill School District Mobility Data ................................................................................................................................... 48

UPPORTING DEMOGRAPHIC DATA .........................................................................................................................................52

Platte County Live Birthrates And Kindergarten Enrollments ..............................................................................................52

Collecting Birthrate Data ........................................................................................................................................................ 52

Birthrate and Kindergarten Class Size Data ............................................................................................................................ 52

Household Data ..................................................................................................................................................................... 53

New Households Within The School District – 10 Year History.............................................................................................. 54

School-Age Children Within Park Hill School District Households.......................................................................................... 55

FUTURE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS ......................................................................................................................................56

Projection Methods............................................................................................................................................................56

Cohort Survival Method ......................................................................................................................................................... 56

Household Projections Method ............................................................................................................................................. 60

Student Enrollment Projections ..........................................................................................................................................62

Student Enrollment Projection Summary – Tables ................................................................................................................ 62

Student Enrollment Projection Summary – Graph ................................................................................................................. 65

Facility Planning .................................................................................................................................................................66

Planning Criteria ..................................................................................................................................................................... 66

Long-Range Facility Plan ........................................................................................................................................................ 69

School Capacity Analysis ........................................................................................................................................................ 70

Future District Growth Trends ............................................................................................................................................74

Estimated Population of the Park Hill School District (2019) ................................................................................................. 75

Estimated Rate of Change in Population (2019-2029) ........................................................................................................... 76

Estimated Children Under the Age of 5 (2019) ...................................................................................................................... 77

Estimated Change In Number of Children Under the Age of 5 (2019-2029) .......................................................................... 78

5

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District is produced annually to assist school district leaders and planners in annual budgeting, review of district attendance boundaries, and long-range planning efforts.

The following reflects some of the significant data points found within the 2019-2020 Demographic Profile:

• Park Hill's K-12 student enrollment for 2019-2020 is 11,709. This is a 0.79% increase from the prior year and the thirty-sixth (36) consecutive year of enrollment growth.

• The estimated population of the school district is 72,882 with the populations within the municipality of the city of Kansas City and the unincorporated portions of Platte County making up over 80% of the population. This makes approximately 16% of the district population school age.

• Based on 2019-2020 K-12 enrollment, Park Hill School District is the 16th largest school district in Missouri. Since 2017-2018, the Park Hill School District has moved from 18th largest to 16th largest school district in Missouri, surpassing the St. Joseph and Fox C-6 school districts in total student enrollment.

• Of twelve suburban Kansas City, Missouri school districts . . .

o Liberty (+2,125), North Kansas City (+1,808), and Park Hill School District (+1,452) have grown by the highest number of students over the last 10 years.

o Park Hill ranks first in estimated median home value ($257,437).

o Park Hill has the fourth lowest total tax levy ($5.3955).

o Park Hill ranks first in estimated college graduates or professional degrees within the district population (51.6%).

• Five of thirteen grade levels in 2019-2020 are at their highest enrollment ever (K, 5, 6, 7, and 8). Total aggregate enrollment in elementary grades (K-5), and middle school grades (6-8) are at their historical highs.

• 2019-2020 elementary school program enrollments range from 393 (Line Creek) to 550 (Union Chapel). The enrollment difference between Park Hill High School (1,650) and Park Hill South (1,519) is 131.

• The ethnic diversity of student enrollment continues to increase with diverse populations currently making up 33.5% of the total student enrollment (an all-time high).

• For the fifth consecutive year, the percentage of students qualifying for free and reduced lunch through the National School Lunch Program has decreased slightly. The value in 2014-2015 was 29.7% (all-time high) and is currently 27.1%.

• The mobility of students is stable with nearly 9.5% of students being in the district less than one year, and 17.5% of students being within the district less than two years. This statistic excludes kindergarteners and first graders.

• The 2019-2020 kindergarten class is 865, the largest kindergarten class ever.

• In 2019, 678 new households were constructed within the district, up from 391 the prior year.

• Enrollment projections made from mathematical models estimates student enrollment to continue to increase over the next decade, with total enrollment anticipated to be between 13,164 and 13,604 in 2029-2030.

• Population estimates show that the three largest census blocks of future school age children (currently children under 5 years of age) are situated adjacent to Interstate 29.

6


7

INTRODUCTION

ABOUT THE 2019-2020 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE

The purpose of the 2019-2020 Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District is to provide Park Hill School District patrons, business leaders, civic organizations and other interested persons detailed demographic and socioeconomic information about the Park Hill School District and Park Hill community. The demographic profile includes historical information, current trends, and future enrollment projections that assist district leaders in annual budgeting, review of district attendance boundaries, and long-range planning efforts.

Enrollment data presented in this report was compiled from Park Hill School District core data and through historical figures maintained by the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education. Data used in this report comes from multiple sources, including:

• 2010 decennial United States Census compiled by the United States Census Bureau • Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services • Missouri Spatial Data Information Service • STI: POPSTATS projections from Synergos Technologies, Inc.

This report is divided into four major parts: (1) Introduction (2) Student Enrollment, (3) Supporting Demographic Data, and (4) Future Enrollment Projections.

8

ABOUT THE PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT

Park Hill School District (PHSD) is a public school district, with pre-kindergarten (pre-K) programs through grade 12. The district includes eleven K-5 elementary schools, four 6-8 middle schools, two 9-12 high schools, a day treatment school (Russell Jones Education Center), and an Early Childhood Education Center (Gerner Family Early Education Center). Other support facilities include a district Aquatic Center, Support & Transportation Services, and the District Office. As a part of the district’s long-range facility planning to support enrollment growth, the district will open the LEAD Innovation Studio in a new facility in fall 2020. This 9-12 high school program serves students from the existing two high schools, and is currently housed at a leased office building.

PHSD provides comprehensive educational services for students in pre-K through grade 12. Specifically, two district high schools provide comprehensive educational services for students in grades 9-12. Four district middle schools provide comprehensive educational services for students in grades 6-8. Eleven district elementary schools provide comprehensive educational services for students in grades K-5. The Russell Jones Education Center provides educational services in a day treatment setting for K-12 students with special needs. The LEAD Innovation Studio provides specialized educational programming to 9-12 grade students from both high schools.

PHSD’s Gerner Family Early Education Center (GFEEC) provides fee-based educational services for pre-K students (ages 3-5), early childhood special education (ECSE) students, and English Language Learners (ELL), Head Start, and supports Parents as Teachers (PAT).

PHSD also offers an array of community services including Adventure Club (Day Care), Community Education and a district natatorium (Aquatic Center).

9

DISTRICT GEOGRAPHY

The Park Hill School District, formally organized in 1951 under the provisions of Missouri’s School Reorganization Statute of 1948, encompasses 73 square miles located in the southern third of Platte County, located just north of downtown Kansas City, Missouri. The Missouri River forms the southern and western boundaries of the district and also delineates the state line between Missouri and Kansas. The northern boundary gerrymanders in stair-step fashion from Northwest 76th Street and the Clay County line to Northwest 120th Street, the northern most point of the district. The northern boundary divides the Kansas City International Airport, with one of the three airport terminals lying within

district boundaries, and the remaining portions of the airport lying within the Platte County R-3 School District, the neighboring district to the north.

10

DISTRICT MUNICIPALITIES

Predominantly rural-oriented in the past, the district has steadily changed to a more suburban type district, blending both residential and commercial growth. Approximately 43% of the school district lies within the city limits of Kansas City, Missouri. There are seven other incorporated communities: Parkville, Lake Waukomis, Houston Lake, Northmoor, Riverside, Platte Woods, Weatherby Lake, and the unincorporated communities of Waldron and Platte County. The 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census counts for each of these communities is listed in the table below. In addition, estimates of the 2019 population, and projections for the 2029 population are provided.

Community 2000 Population

2010 Population

Estimated 2019 Population

% Growth 2000-2019

Projected 2029 Population

% Estimated Growth 2019-2029

Kansas City (within Park Hill District only) 33,270 37,100 46,720 40.4% 56,928 21.8% Houston Lake 284 235 211 -25.7% 230 9.0% Lake Waukomis 918 870 790 -13.9% 1,002 26.8% Northmoor 399 325 245 -38.6% 300 22.4% Parkville 4,189 5,554 6,754 61.2% 7,813 15.7% Platte Woods 474 385 908 91.6% 1,081 19.1% Riverside 2,979 2,937 3,706 24.4% 4,542 22.6% Weatherby Lake 1,873 1,723 1,788 -4.5% 2,099 17.4% Unincorporated Platte County (estimated) 9,899 13,132 11,760 18.8% 13,834 17.6%

Park Hill School District 54,285 62,261 72,882 34.3% 87,829 20.5%

Estimated 2019 population analysis shows a 34.3% population growth in the Park Hill School District since 2000. This is strong, and nearly twice the national population growth rate during the last decade. Nearly 80% of the school district's population resides in the city of Kansas City and the unincorporated portion of the school district.

Homes that are presently being built range from $150,000 to more than $1,000,000, with the median home value of $257,437.

11

DISTRICT MAPS

The following pages include the following maps of the Park Hill School District:

Map of Area School Districts. This map shows school districts that surround the Park Hill School District on both sides of the state line and the interstates.

Map of Park Hill School District Municipalities. This map shows the geography of the eight municipalities included within the Park Hill School District: Houston Lake, Kansas City, Lake Waukomis, Northmoor, Parkville, Platte Woods, Riverside and Weatherby Lake. Unincorporated sections of Platte County within the district boundaries are also included.

Aerial Overview Map of Park Hill School District. This map shows the aerial geography of the municipalities included within the Park Hill School District. Unincorporated sections of Platte County within the district boundaries are also included.

Zip Codes Within Park Hill School District Boundaries. This map overlays the United States Postal Service Zip Codes within the Park Hill School District.

Map of 2019-2020 Park Hill School District Boundaries. This map shows the Park Hill School District school boundaries as of July, 2019 when the boundaries were last changed.

Map of Missouri School Districts by County Boundaries. This map shows Missouri school districts by county.

12

MAP OF AREA SCHOOL DISTRICTS

13

MAP OF PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT MUNICIPALITIES

14

AERIAL OVERVIEW MAP OF PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT

15

ZIP CODES WITHIN PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT BOUNDARIES

16

MAP OF 2019-2020 PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT BOUNDARIES

17

MAP OF MISSOURI SCHOOL DISTRICTS BY COUNTY BOUNDARIES

18

2018-2019 STATISTICS OF MISSOURI PUBLIC SCHOOLS

The data on the following page is published annually by the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE) at the conclusion of each school year. Data for 2019-2020 will not be made available until Fall 2020. This information is found at https://apps.dese.mo.gov/MCDS/home.aspx under “Missouri School Statistics”.

.

https://apps.dese.mo.gov/MCDS/home.aspx

2018-2019 STATISTICS OF MISSOURI PUBLIC SCHOOLS Administrative and Supervisory Personnel School Nurse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,672 Superintendent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 508 Diagnostic Speech/Language . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 384 Assistant Superintendent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292 Audiologist . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Administrative Assistant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 Educational Diagnostician . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 252 Instructional Assistant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Occupational Therapist . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 571 Career Education Administrator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 Physical Therapist . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Special Education Administrator . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Orientation and Mobility Specialist . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Federal Programs Coordinator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 School/Home Coordinator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,394 Voc. Adjustment/Work Experience Coordinator. . . . . . 3 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,424 High School Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 560 Assistant High School Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 600 Total Administrative and Supervisory Personnel 16,617 Junior High Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 (duplicated count) Assistant Junior High Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Middle School Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377 Classroom Teachers

Assistant Middle School Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 High School . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20,294 Elementary Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,252 Junior High . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,955 Assistant Elementary Principal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 429 Middle School . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,167 Director of Elementary Education . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Elementary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33,112 Director of Secondary Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Early Childhood Education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,626 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,671 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,322 Total Classroom Teachers (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . 69,475 High School Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Total Certificated Staff (duplicated count). . . . . . . . . . . . 86,092 Junior High Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Middle School Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Number of School District

Elementary Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 (Actual as of July 1, 2019) Career Education Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Elementary Districts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 General Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270 Districts Maintaining High School . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 448 Other Supervisor/Coordinator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,321 Total Number of School Districts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 518 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,768 Charter LEA’s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 State Board Operated Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 High School Librarian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 474 Missouri Course Access & Virtual Sch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Junior High Librarian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Middle School Librarian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 Number of School Buildings

Elementary Librarian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 899 (Actual as of July 1, 2019) Instructional Media Technologist . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 High Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 567 Library Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Jr. High Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Learning Resource Director . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Middle Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291 Instructional Technology Director . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 Elementary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,229 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,857 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 Charter High Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 High School Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,030 Charter Middle Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Junior High Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Charter Elementary Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Middle School Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 529 State Board Operated Programs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Elementary Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,276 Missouri Course Access & Virtual Sch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 Guidance Supervisor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 Voc. Special Needs Guidance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Fall Enrollment Voc. Placement Coordinator . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 (2018-2019) School Psychological Examiner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222 Elementary Schools (Grades K-8) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 614,714 School Psychologist . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 Secondary Schools (Grades 9-12) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266,638 School Social Worker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 471 Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 881,352 Other Pupil Personnel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 561 Total (duplicated count) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,502

20

DEMOGRAPHIC COMPARISONS – STATE OF MISSOURI PUBLIC SCHOOLS

According to the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE) data collection, the state of Missouri educates 916,371 students within 559 school districts and charter schools. The Park Hill School District currently ranks as the 16th largest school district in the state with a 2019-2020 official K-12 enrollment of 11,707, and a pre-K to 12 enrollment of 12,145. Park Hill School District was also the 16th largest Missouri public school district in 2018-2019.

TWENTY-FIVE LARGEST SCHOOL DISTRICTS IN MISSOURI (ENROLLMENT)

Rank School District 2019-2020 K-12 Enrollment

2019-2020 Pre-K-12 Enrollment

1 039141 - SPRINGFIELD R-XII 24,685 25,753 2 096091 - ROCKWOOD R-VI 20,998 21,728 3 024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 74 20,435 21,146 4 115115 - ST. LOUIS CITY 19,222 21,301 5 010093 - COLUMBIA 93 18,283 18,961 6 048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 17,907 18,222 7 096095 - PARKWAY C-2 17,526 17,877 8 092087 - FT. ZUMWALT R-II 17,518 17,791 9 092089 - WENTZVILLE R-IV 17,327 17,747 10 092088 - FRANCIS HOWELL R-III 16,767 17,548 11 096088 - HAZELWOOD 16,570 17,223 12 048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 14,487 14,679 13 048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 14,155 14,868 14 048078 - KANSAS CITY 33 14,076 15,154 15 024090 - LIBERTY 53 12,559 12,828 16 083005 - PARK HILL 11,707 12,145 17 050012 - FOX C-6 11,136 11,261 18 011082 - ST. JOSEPH 10,731 10,960 19 096094 - MEHLVILLE R-IX 9,963 10,297 20 096089 - FERGUSON-FLORISSANT R-II 9,480 10,092 21 026006 - JEFFERSON CITY 8,770 9,012 22 048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 8,228 8,563 23 049148 - JOPLIN SCHOOLS 7,631 7,874 24 096093 - LINDBERGH SCHOOLS 7,087 7,241 25 096110 - RITENOUR 6,381 6,559

21

LARGEST SCHOOL DISTRICTS IN MISSOURI (GEOGRAPHIC)

At 73 square miles, Park Hill School District ranks as the 374th largest school district geographically. The largest school district geographically in Missouri is Putnam County R-1 (570 square miles).

Park Hill School District ranks 34th in student density (160 K-12 students per square mile). Clayton School District ranks the highest in student density (815 students per square mile).

22

DEMOGRAPHIC COMPARISONS – BENCHMARK SCHOOL DISTRICTS

The Park Hill School District utilizes eleven other suburban Kansas City, Missouri school districts to benchmark statistics throughout the organization, including Academic Services (i.e. student achievement scores), Human Resources (i.e. employee compensation), and Business Services (i.e. tax rates). The following tables compare Park Hill to these benchmark districts in various demographic categories. This data is collected by the Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education and the U.S. Census Bureau. The benchmark school districts are: 024090 - LIBERTY 53 024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 048080 - CENTER 58 083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 083005 - PARK HILL

BENCHMARK DEMOGRAPHIC DATA – 2019-2020 PRELIMINARY K-12 ENROLLMENT

School District Area (Sq Miles) 2019-2020 K-12 Enrollment (preliminary DESE values)

024090 - LIBERTY 53 82.6 12,559 024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 87.4 20,435 048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 118.4 4,906 048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 56.6 14,487 048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 116.4 17,907 048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 30.4 5,103 048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 32.1 8,228 048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 38.2 4,101 048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 42.7 14,155 048080 - CENTER 58 11.6 2,522 083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 99.4 4,256 083005 - PARK HILL 73.2 11,707

23

BENCHMARK DEMOGRAPHIC DATA – K-12 ENROLLMENT

The following data is compiled from Missouri’s Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE) reported by school districts for the 2018-2019 school year. Final 2019-2020 data for all Missouri school districts will become available from DESE in October, 2020.

District 2018-2019

K-12 Enrollment

% Asian

% Black

% Hispanic

% Indian

% Multi Racial

% Pacific Islander

% Non White

% White

% Free / Reduced

Lunch % ELL LEP %

IEP

024090 - LIBERTY 53 12,504 2.8% 5.2% 7.1% 0.3% 4.6% 0.2% 20.1% 79.9% 19.0% 1.5% 9.8%

024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 20,096 3.3% 13.9% 14.6% 0.3% 10.1% 1.3% 43.5% 56.5% 47.3% 6.7% 10.7%

048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 4,892 1.0% 10.0% 10.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.1% 25.7% 74.3% 53.0% 1.4% 11.5%

048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 14,386 2.3% 10.6% 8.0% 0.4% 7.0% 0.4% 28.7% 71.3% 30.7% 0.8% 11.7%

048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 18,075 2.3% 12.4% 3.8% 0.3% 6.1% 0.3% 25.0% 75.0% 19.9% 2.0% 9.0%

048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 5,339 1.7% 71.4% 12.4% 0.2% 4.7% 0.3% 90.7% 9.3% 7.5% 14.2%

048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 8,414 1.0% 48.5% 13.4% 0.4% 8.3% 0.3% 72.0% 28.0% 64.7% 4.9% 15.0%

048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 4,135 0.5% 50.9% 22.4% 0.4% 6.0% 0.2% 80.3% 19.7% 77.7% 10.1% 12.0%

048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 14,153 0.9% 12.7% 20.7% 0.4% 8.8% 1.0% 44.5% 55.5% 69.9% 7.9% 10.5%

048080 - CENTER 58 2,531 1.2% 62.2% 8.4% 0.4% 8.4% 19.3% 74.5% 4.7% 14.8%

083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 4,178 1.9% 8.1% 7.9% 0.1% 4.2% 1.0% 23.3% 76.7% 23.0% 1.6% 8.9%

083005 - PARK HILL 11,611 3.4% 12.3% 10.1% 0.4% 5.5% 0.8% 32.6% 67.4% 27.1% 4.9% 10.1%

24

BENCHMARK DEMOGRAPHIC DATA – K-12 ENROLLMENT GROWTH

K-12 Enrollment District 1994-

1995 1999-2000

2004-2005

2009-2010

2014-2015

2018-2019

25 Year Growth

20 Year Growth

15 Year Growth

10 Year Growth

5 Year Growth

5 Year Growth %

024090 - LIBERTY 53 5,123 6,517 7,982 10,379 11,770 12,504 + 7,381 + 5,987 + 4,522 + 2,125 + 734 + 6.2%

024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 16,406 16,920 17,193 18,288 19,253 20,096 + 3,690 + 3,176 + 2,903 + 1,808 + 843 + 4.4%

048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 4,940 4,831 4,852 4,701 4,965 4,892 -48 + 61 + 40 + 191 -73 -1.5%

048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 11,965 12,545 13,237 13,813 14,244 14,386 + 2,421 + 1,841 + 1,149 + 573 + 142 + 1.0%

048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 11,119 13,920 15,934 17,287 17,575 18,075 + 6,956 + 4,155 + 2,141 + 788 + 500 + 2.8%

048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 7,114 7,319 7,094 6,445 6,236 5,339 -1,775 -1,980 -1,755 -1,106 -897 -14.4%

048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 8,260 8,367 8,664 8,651 8,845 8,414 + 154 + 47 -250 -237 -431 -4.9%

048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 4,228 4,279 4,184 3,910 4,200 4,135 -93 -144 -49 + 225 -65 -1.5%

048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 11,345 11,313 10,920 13,413 14,308 14,153 + 2,808 + 2,840 + 3,233 + 740 -155 -1.1%

048080 - CENTER 58 2,596 2,695 2,372 2,309 2,412 2,531 -65 -164 + 159 + 222 + 119 + 4.9%

083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 1,709 1,957 2,541 3,318 3,893 4,178 + 2,469 + 2,221 + 1,637 + 860 + 285 + 7.3%

083005 - PARK HILL 8,049 8,845 9,498 10,159 10,713 11,611 + 3,562 + 2,766 + 2,113 + 1,452 + 898 + 8.4%

25

BENCHMARK POPULATION DATA This table provides values for various population data of twelve benchmark school districts.

School District Est Total Population (2019)

2019 Estimated Percent Population 17 years old

or younger

2019-20 K-12 School Enrollment

2019 Estimated School-Age Population

Est 2019 Percentage of School-Age Children Living in the District Who Attend District

Schools 2018* 024090 - LIBERTY 53 61,372 26.2% 12,559 12,281 102.3%

024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 138,409 24.0% 20,435 24,100 84.8%

048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 25,823 23.6% 4,906 4,505 108.9%

048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 81,630 22.7% 14,487 13,597 106.5%

048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 100,899 22.7% 17,907 17,120 104.6%

048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 47,697 26.2% 5,103 9,040 56.4%

048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 59,726 22.2% 8,228 9,611 85.6%

048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 32,549 23.3% 4,101 5,507 74.5%

048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 96,527 22.8% 14,155 16,097 87.9%

048080 - CENTER 58 25,958 23.2% 2,522 4,182 60.3%

083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 26,938 24.6% 4,256 4,772 89.2%

083005 - PARK HILL 72,882 22.3% 11,707 11,869 98.6%

* More than 100% market share can occur when: (1) Students living outside the school district enroll in the district's schools; and (2) The estimated school-age population is too low.

2020 Census data is anticipated to be available in March, 2021

26

BENCHMARK HOUSEHOLD DATA The following table provides values for household data of twelve benchmark school districts.

School District Number of Households (2019)

Est. 2019 Average Household Size

Est 2019 Estimated College Graduate or Professional Degree (includes Associate Degree)

Est. 2019 Estimated Median Home Value

2019 Estimated Percentage of Households in Poverty

024090 - LIBERTY 53 21,877 2.74 50.8% 250,819 6.2%

024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 57,279 2.41 38.5% 185,489 9.3%

048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 9,242 2.78 22.9% 153,408 12.6%

048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 31,142 2.60 46.4% 226,184 7.1%

048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 37,636 2.66 51.0% 261,605 5.9%

048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 18,875 2.51 28.3% 126,644 17.5%

048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 24,664 2.39 29.1% 140,396 12.3%

048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 12,831 2.46 36.6% 177,542 13.1%

048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 40,876 2.34 24.5% 131,860 15.2%

048080 - CENTER 58 12,528 2.05 45.1% 184,179 12.9%

083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 11,414 2.34 46.9% 256,589 8.6%

083005 - PARK HILL 29,386 2.46 51.6% 257,437 7.0%

27

BENCHMARK SCHOOL FINANCE DATA The table below provides values and relative ranks for school finance data.

School District 2010 Total Tax Rate

2020 Total Tax Rate

10 Year Rate Change

2017-2018 Expenditure Per Pupil

2018-2019 Expenditure Per Pupil

1 Year Change Expenditure Per Pupil

024090 - LIBERTY 53 5.9069 6.4550 0.5481 10,116 10,554 + 438

024093 - NORTH KANSAS CITY 5.8898 6.2023 0.3125 10,978 11,327 + 349

048066 - FORT OSAGE R-I 5.3812 6.3700 0.9888 10,223 10,351 + 128

048068 - BLUE SPRINGS R-IV 5.5307 5.5500 0.0193 9,902 10,531 + 629

048071 - LEE'S SUMMIT R-VII 5.9347 5.3280 -0.6067 11,320 11,499 + 179

048072 - HICKMAN MILLS C-1 6.2717 5.5784 -0.6933 12,948 13,198 + 250

048073 - RAYTOWN C-2 6.1992 6.3200 0.1208 11,617 12,127 + 510

048074 - GRANDVIEW C-4 5.7936 5.1430 -0.6506 12,622 12,984 + 362

048077 - INDEPENDENCE 30 5.2800 5.4977 0.2177 10,239 10,505 + 266

048080 - CENTER 58 5.8151 5.4374 -0.3777 15,268 15,178 - 90

083003 - PLATTE CO. R-III 4.1953 5.0193 0.8240 10,157 10,189 + 32

083005 - PARK HILL 5.3027 5.3955 0.0928 11,972 12,474 + 502

28

STUDENT ENROLLMENT

In this section of the 2019-2020 Demographic Profile the Park Hill School District historical enrollment data is depicted in various tables and graphs. In addition, data on district housing and birthrates are shared in order to establish trends relevant to enrollment growth in future years.

HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT DATA

This section includes the following tables, charts, and graphs: Student Enrollment Table By Grade – 25-Year Historical (1996-2020). This table summarizes official enrollment in the district over the last twenty-five years. K-12 Student Enrollment Chart – 25-Year Historical (1996-2020). This graph represents enrollment and enrollment growth over the last twenty-five years. Annual Growth in K-12 Student Enrollment – 25-Year Historical (1996-2020). This graph represents enrollment growth (number of students) over the last twenty-five years.

29

STUDENT ENROLLMENT TABLE BY GRADE – 25-YEAR HISTORICAL (1996-2020)

School Year k 1 2 3 4 5 K-5

Subtotal 6 7 8 6-8

Subtotal 9 10 11 12 9-12

Subtotal Grand Total

1995-1996 623 630 695 621 646 636 3,851 684 605 586 1,875 687 633 631 543 2,494 8,220

1996-1997 634 652 635 694 599 661 3,875 635 709 595 1,939 612 705 608 579 2,504 8,318

1997-1998 667 670 651 634 713 603 3,938 673 663 705 2,041 617 627 692 557 2,493 8,472

1998-1999 646 694 679 660 635 739 4,053 642 697 665 2,004 753 624 629 589 2,595 8,652

1999-2000 658 686 690 730 690 664 4,118 746 653 722 2,121 710 742 611 556 2,619 8,858

2000-2001 609 669 693 708 737 698 4,114 674 770 661 2,105 758 724 748 555 2,785 9,004

2001-2002 640 659 685 692 726 750 4,152 738 685 799 2,222 700 737 694 666 2,797 9,171

2002-2003 719 679 682 686 700 745 4,211 771 753 684 2,208 829 707 738 650 2,924 9,343

2003-2004 688 747 704 656 708 703 4,206 775 788 765 2,328 719 814 684 709 2,926 9,460

2004-2005 713 670 740 718 659 696 4,196 726 770 799 2,295 806 709 804 688 3,007 9,498

2005-2006 676 727 695 742 724 687 4,251 722 755 796 2,273 839 798 692 795 3,124 9,648

2006-2007 706 711 721 716 742 747 4,343 739 763 787 2,289 842 828 765 698 3,133 9,765

2007-2008 704 740 721 748 742 755 4,410 765 767 759 2,291 826 810 796 746 3,178 9,879

2008-2009 727 745 761 750 773 758 4,514 788 799 783 2,370 822 801 798 801 3,222 10,106

2009-2010 705 766 764 787 760 794 4,576 762 781 805 2,348 831 812 798 794 3,235 10,159

2010-2011 745 713 776 786 780 768 4,568 784 787 803 2,374 855 813 793 796 3,257 10,199

2011-2012 753 740 725 793 793 790 4,594 781 820 787 2,388 858 847 811 801 3,317 10,299

2012-2013 771 793 769 747 824 805 4,709 810 825 824 2,459 830 843 817 790 3,280 10,448

2013-2014 789 794 788 779 755 820 4,725 817 849 812 2,478 864 820 799 818 3,301 10,504

2014-2015 822 813 831 795 795 774 4,830 846 837 867 2,550 851 850 831 801 3,333 10,713

2015-2016 852 865 836 869 826 792 5,040 817 905 867 2,589 952 862 835 835 3,484 11,113

2016-2017 793 871 879 851 884 869 5,147 809 870 895 2,574 930 935 870 831 3,566 11,287

2017-2018 831 829 914 894 871 905 5,244 874 849 869 2,592 950 896 927 849 3,622 11,458

2018-2019 819 879 828 923 933 893 5,275 913 910 850 2,673 945 949 886 889 3,669 11,617

2019-2020 865 826 890 846 925 933 5,285 948 931 911 2,790 911 926 925 872 3,634 11,709

*Highlighted cells (orange) denote the largest historical enrollments for each grade level (K, 1, 2, etc.) and grade spans (Elementary, Middle, High School).

30

K-12 STUDENT ENROLLMENT CHART– 25-YEAR HISTORICAL (1996-2020)

82208,472

8,8589,171

9,460 9,6489,879

10,159 10,29910,504

11,11311,458

11,709

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

31

ANNUAL GROWTH IN K-12 STUDENT ENROLLMENT – 25-YEAR HISTORICAL (1996-2020)

98

154

180

206

146

167 172

117

38

150

117 114

227

5340

100

149

56

209

400

174 171159

92

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

32

CURRENT ENROLLMENT

This section of the 2019-2020 Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District shows data collected on the state’s official student count day and is reflected in various tables, charts and graphs. The Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education has established the annual official enrollment count as the number of students in grades K-12 enrolled on the last Wednesday in September of each year. A second enrollment count is taken in January of each year by all Missouri school districts but is not a part of this report.

The student enrollment value should not be confused with the rate of pupil attendance or average daily attendance (ADA), which is the total hours of student attendance divided by the total hours school is in session. In addition, the state utilizes a third measure to calculate student population – membership. Membership totals are used to differentiate full-time students from part-time. The membership of a student is reported as a full-time equivalency (FTE), such that a student enrolled the last Wednesday of September for 6 hours of a 6-hour day would be reported as a 1.00 FTE for September membership. If that same student was enrolled for 2 hours of a 6-hour day the last Wednesday of January, the January membership would be 0.33 FTE.

The report also distinguishes between Program Enrollment and Resident Enrollment. Resident Enrollment is the count of student assigned to a “home” school, or the school attendance area in which they reside. Program Enrollment is the enrollment within a school or special program such as the LEAD Innovation Studio or Russell Jones Education Center.

For the purposes of this report and the projections made at the end of the report, the September enrollment count has been utilized as the benchmark for comparison from year to year. Any exceptions to this are highlighted throughout the report.

This section includes the following tables, charts, and graphs:

K-12 Student Program Enrollment (2019-2020). This table summarizes enrollment by school and by grade level.

Change In K-12 Student Program Enrollment From Prior Year (2018-2019 To 2019-2020) This table summarizes where the changes in enrollment occurred (by school and grade level) over the last year.

K-12 Enrollment By School (Resident Enrollment) (2019-2020). This graph summarizes resident enrollment by school.

Park Hill School District Grade Level Distribution (2019-2020). This graph summarizes enrollment by grade level.

Park Hill School District Cohort Size Analysis. This table summarizes enrollment by grade level and compares these enrollments to benchmark years.

33

Park Hill School District Student Geographic Distribution. This map plots all students from the 2019-2020 school year on a district map.

Park Hill School District Student Enrollment Density. This shows the density of students enrolled from the 2019-2020 school year on a district map.

Park Hill School District Grade Level Distribution and Cohort Growth Since Kindergarten - 2018-2019 Enrollment. This graph represents a key concept in projecting student enrollment – “cohort growth”. This graph shows current enrollment by grade level, and includes the size of the same cohort when they were kindergarteners. As depicted in the graph, Park Hill School District classes generally increase in size as they pass from grade level to grade level.

Park Hill School District Class of 2019 Cohort Growth – Kindergarten Through 12th Grade. The graph shows the cohort change over the last 13 years of the current graduating class, beginning when they were kindergarteners.

Park Hill School District Diversity of Enrollment (2019-2020). This pie chart represents the diversity of the student population.

Park Hill School District Change in Diverse Populations (2011-2020). This graph and corresponding data table shows the increase of diverse populations over the last ten years.

Park Hill School District Diverse Populations by School (2019-2020). This graph illustrates the percentage of non-white students within each school.

Park Hill School District Growth in Free and Reduced Lunch Population (2011-2020). This chart reports the rate of students who receive free and reduced lunch over the last ten years. For the purpose of this annual report and to be consistent with state reporting, the district has utilized the official January membership count to compare free and reduced values.

Park Hill School District Free and Reduced Lunch Population by School (2019-2020). This graph illustrates the percentage of free and reduced students within each school. For the purposes of this annual report, the district has utilized the official January count to compare free and reduced values.

34

K-12 STUDENT PROGRAM ENROLLMENT (2019-2020)

35

CHANGE IN K-12 STUDENT PROGRAM ENROLLMENT FROM PRIOR YEAR (2018-2019 TO 2019-2020)

36

K-12 ENROLLMENT BY SCHOOL (RESIDENT ENROLLMENT) (2019-2020)

453 467509 520

472395 433 454

515 513 554

698 687 709 696

1,908

1,726

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

37

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT GRADE LEVEL DISTRIBUTION (2019-2020)

865*

826

890

846

925

933*

948*

931*

911* 911

926 925

872

750

770

790

810

830

850

870

890

910

930

950

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12* denotes the largest cohorts in this grade level

38

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT COHORT SIZE ANALYSIS

Grade Level Value School Year

0 865 2019-2020

1 879 2018-2019

2 914 2017-2018

3 923 2018-2019

4 933 2018-2019

5 933 2019-2020

K-5 Subtotal 5,285 2019-2020

6 948 2019-2020

7 931 2019-2020

8 911 2019-2020

6-8 Subtotal 2,790 2019-2020

9 952 2015-2016

10 949 2018-2019

11 927 2017-2018

12 889 2018-2019

9-12 Subtotal 3,669 2018-2019

Grand Total 11,709 2019-2020

Enrollment Growth 400 2015-2016

Enrollment Growth % 3.7% 2015-2016

39

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT STUDENT GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION

40

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT STUDENT ENROLLMENT DENSITY

41

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT GRADE LEVEL DISTRIBUTION AND COHORT GROWTH SINCE KINDERGARTEN - 2018-2019 ENROLLMENT

865

819 831793

852822

789771

753 745

705727

704

865

826

890

846

925 933 948931

911 911 926 925

872

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Enrollment.Kindergarten Enrollment.Current

42

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT CLASS OF 2019 COHORT GROWTH – KINDERGARTEN THROUGH 12TH GRADE

704

745764

786 793 805 817837

867

930896 886 872

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2007-2008(K)

2008-2009(1)

2009-2010(2)

2010-2011(3)

2011-2012(4)

2012-2013(5)

2013-2014(6)

2014-2015(7)

2015-2016(8)

2016-2017(9)

2017-2018(10)

2018-2019(11)

2019-2020(12)

43

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT DIVERSITY OF ENROLLMENT (2019-2020)

Pacific Islander1.0%

Native American0.5%

Asian3.3%

Multi Racial5.6%

Hispanic10.6%

African American12.6%

White66.5%

44

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT CHANGE IN DIVERSE POPULATIONS (2011-2020)

2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020Pacific Islander 90 105 122 115 130 152 155 91 98 114Native American 60 56 54 49 49 47 49 40 49 54Asian 351 340 332 339 347 351 360 401 401 382Multi Racial 355 416 441 466 493 523 510 583 641 660Hispanic 875 892 943 992 1,001 1,019 1,053 1,113 1,171 1,238African American 1,071 1,104 1,088 1,074 1,145 1,283 1,318 1,380 1,425 1,471White 7,397 7,386 7,468 7,469 7,548 7,736 7,842 7,850 7,832 7,790

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Pacific Islander

Native American

Asian

Multi Racial

Hispanic

African American

White

45

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT DIVERSE POPULATIONS BY SCHOOL (2019-2020)

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

District Average

46

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT GROWTH IN FREE AND REDUCED LUNCH POPULATION* (2011-2020)

25.1%

27.2%

28.6% 29.1%29.7%

28.9%27.9%

27.3% 27.2% 27.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020

* Official Free and Reduced Lunch Counts are based on January Membership Counts

47

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT FREE AND REDUCED LUNCH POPULATION BY SCHOOL* (2019-2020)

36.8%

30.6%

20.2%18.2%

30.8%

36.5%

28.9%

40.7%

35.5%

23.1%

15.1%

24.7%

28.7%

31.4% 30.8%

24.8%23.2%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

F/R Lunch Rate District Average

* Official Free and Reduced Lunch Counts are based on January Membership Counts

48

PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT MOBILITY DATA One of the major challenges facing schools is student mobility. A student is considered mobile when they transfer schools. Unfortunately, mobility has been demonstrated to be associated with many negative outcomes, including low achievement, grade retention, and dropping out. Students who are in a school or district for a relatively short time do not have as great of an opportunity to benefit from consistent educational programming. Park Hill School District, like any district, is forced to deal with issues related to mobility. While the educational programming that students receive may not differ significantly when transferring from one building to the next within the district, the same cannot be assumed for transferring in from other districts. The following charts display student mobility rates for Park Hill School District, as defined by the percentage of students who are new to the district. “One-year mobility” is the percentage of current students who were not in Park Hill last year. More specifically, these students were here on the 2018-2019 September count day but not here on the 2017-2018 September count day. “Two-year mobility” is the percentage of current students who were not in the Park Hill School District two years ago, based on them not being in the district on the past two years’ count days. Kindergarten students are not included in the one-year student mobility rates. Likewise, kindergarten and first grade students are not included in the two-year student mobility calculation.

This section of the 2019-2020 Demographic Profile of the Park Hill School District depicts seven graphs showing student mobility rates for Park Hill School District, as defined by the percentage of students who are new to the Park Hill School District.

District Mobility (2018-2019). This graph shows the number of students new to the district for the last two school years.

Mobility By Grade Span (2018-2019). This graph disaggregates the mobility data by grade span for the last two school years.

Mobility By Ethnicity (2018-2019). This graph disaggregates the mobility data by ethnicity for the last two school years.

Mobility By Free and Reduced Lunch Status (2018-2019). This graph disaggregates the mobility data by free and reduced lunch status .

Mobility By School (2018-2019). This graph disaggregates the mobility data by school.

Continuous Park Hill Enrollment Since Kindergarten (2018-2019). This graph shows the number of students in each grade level that have been Park Hill School District students for their entire school careers.

10 Year Historical Mobility of Students. This graph shows the 1- and 2-year mobility rate over the last 10 years.

49

DISTRICT MOBILITY (2018-2019)

District Mobility Mobility by Grade Span

Mobility by Ethniciy Mobility by Free and Reduced Lunch Status

9.5%

17.5%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

Students New Since 2018-2019 Students New Since 2017-2018

11.1%10.0%

7.3%

20.2%18.3%

14.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

K-5 Students 6-8 Students 9-12 Students


8.9%

17.6%15.4%

6.7%

15.8%

31.3%

24.9%

13.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Asian African American Hispanic White


16.7%

6.9%

28.5%

13.6%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Free or Reduced Qualify Non Free or Reduced Qualify


50

Mobility by School

14.3%

9.4%8.7%

6.9%

13.3%

9.9%10.5%

13.8%

11.6%

14.3%

10.2%

8.5% 8.5%

11.9% 11.4% 11.9%

8.0%

21.2% 21.1%

15.9%

13.4%

23.8%

21.0%

17.9%

23.9% 24.0%22.8%

17.5%

15.3%

17.1%

20.7% 20.4%

13.3%

15.6%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%


51

CONTINUOUS PARK HILL ENROLLMENT SINCE KINDERGARTEN (2019-2020)

The table below shows the percentage of each current grade level cohort that have been enrolled continuously since kindergarten.

10 YEAR HISTORICAL MOBILITY OF STUDENTS

School Year Students in Park Hill

School District < 1 Year

Students in Park Hill School

District < 2 Years

2010-2011 10.6% 16.9% 2011-2012 10.9% 18.7% 2012-2013 11.7% 19.1% 2013-2014 11.0% 19.3% 2014-2015 11.1% 19.2% 2015-2016 11.1% 19.8% 2016-2017 10.2% 19.4% 2017-2018 9.4% 18.8% 2018-2019 10.3% 17.8% 2019-2020 9.5% 17.5%

90.4%

79.2%74.2%

66.3%60.5%

54.6% 53.0%48.0%

55.0%

47.2%52.3%

42.3%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

52

SUPPORTING DEMOGRAPHIC DATA

PLATTE COUNTY LIVE BIRTHRATES AND KINDERGARTEN ENROLLMENTS

COLLECTING BIRTHRATE DATA Birthrate data is collected for Platte County by the Missouri Department of Health and is utilized in projecting future kindergarten class sizes. Although not all Platte County births ultimately attend Park Hill schools (four public school districts service families in Platte County), there has been a historical link between the live birthrate in the county, and the subsequent kindergarten enrollment. For example, 2010 yielded one the highest number of births that Platte County had ever seen (1,157), and subsequently yielded Park Hill School District’s largest kindergarten class during the 2015-2016 school year (852). This cohort will continue to grow as they move through their educational careers in Park Hill – a phenomenon known as “cohort growth”. The kindergarten class of 2018-2019 is 819 students and represents a decrease in the kindergarten class from 2017-2018 (-12). The percentage of Platte County births compared to kindergarten enrollment five years later continues to fall within the range of 67-73%, currently at a five-year average of 72.5%.

BIRTHRATE AND KINDERGARTEN CLASS SIZE DATA The table below lists the Platte County birth data and corresponding kindergarten enrollment (5 years later).

Birth Year Platte County Live Births

Increase Kindergarten Year

Park Hill Kindergarten Enrollment

% of Platte County Live Births as

Students in PHSD Kindergarten Class

Kindergarten Increase

2004 1,062 49 2009-2010 705 66.4% -22 2005 1,112 50 2010-2011 745 67.0% +40 2006 1,068 -44 2011-2012 753 70.5% +8 2007 1,092 24 2012-2013 771 70.6% +18 2008 1,088 -4 2013-2014 789 72.5% +18 2009 1,091 3 2014-2015 822 75.3% +33 2010 1,157 66 2015-2016 852 73.6% +30 2011 1,158 1 2016-2017 793 68.5% -59 2012 1,136 -22 2017-2018 831 73.2% +38 2013 1,142 6 2018-2019 819 71.7% -12 2014 1,106 -36

2015 1,198 92

2016 1,242 44

2017 1,190 -52

53

HOUSEHOLD DATA

New households within the Park Hill School District are calculated through review of monthly reports submitted to the district by the Home Builders Association of Greater Kansas City, Platte County (Permit Reports), and the Kansas City Planning and Development Department. Households are classified as either single-family residences, or multi-family residences. Multi-family residences include duplexes, four-plexes and apartment complexes.

As of 2018-2019, the Park Hill School District includes 32,563 households. This equates to approximately 0.36 school-aged (K-12) children per household. Households have steadily increased over the last twenty years as more residential development has occurred. Since 1980, the district has seen an annual increase in new households at approximately 480 new households per year. In 2018, 391 new households were constructed, reflecting the lowest number of new households since 2014 (275). New home construction in the Park Hill School District is consistent with the metropolitan Kansas City area.

The next page includes the graph: New Households within the School District – 10 Year History. This graph shows the number of new homes constructed within the school district over the last ten years.

54

NEW HOUSEHOLDS WITHIN THE SCHOOL DISTRICT – 10 YEAR HISTORY

136104

265 261 275

419

889

650

391

678

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020

New Homes

55

SCHOOL-AGE CHILDREN WITHIN PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT HOUSEHOLDS The number of students per household in the Park Hill School District has remained steady over the last decade. The table below shows data from the last ten years, with the number of households in the Park Hill School District in 2009-2010 at 29,173. As of 2018-2019, each Park Hill household yields 0.357 K-12 students, or approximately 1 student per every 3 households. The number of K-12 students per household in the district has remained between 0.348 to 0.363 over the last ten years.

School Year District Enrollment Households in PHSD

Students Per Household

2009-2010 10,159 29,173 0.348 2010-2011 10,199 29,309 0.348 2011-2012 10,299 29,413 0.350 2012-2013 10,448 29,678 0.352 2013-2014 10,504 29,939 0.351 2014-2015 10,713 30,214 0.355 2015-2016 11,113 30,633 0.363 2016-2017 11,287 31,522 0.358 2017-2018 11,458 32,172 0.356 2018-2019 11,617 32,563 0.357

3 Year Average 0.357 7 Year Average 0.356

56

FUTURE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

One benefit to tracking district enrollment trends is the ability to utilize the trend data to project future enrollment. Predicting future enrollment is an important piece in many school processes: long-range planning, budgeting, staffing, and predicting future building and capital needs. The Park Hill School District has utilized two tools to predict future enrollment – cohort growth and household construction patterns. These tools allow for three projection models (3-Year Cohort, 7-Year Cohort, Household) that create an anticipated range of enrollment for future years.

PROJECTION METHODS

COHORT SURVIVAL METHOD Two of the three methods of projecting student enrollment for future years involve the use of “cohort survival.” Cohort survival is a measure of the rate at which students grouped by grade level pass into the next grade level a year later. For example, in 2017-2018 Park Hill School District’s class of 2nd graders was 914. A year later, this class became a third-grade class of 923. Using this example, the rate of cohort survival (0.98% increase) is calculated in the following way:

(894-879)/879 = 0.98%

The 0.98% increase is a measure of the likelihood our second grade class will become larger or smaller as the class passes into the third grade the following year. To minimize the effects of an exceptional year, three and seven-year cohorts are calculated by averaging the cohort survival for three and seven-years respectively. The following tables show how three-year and seven-year cohort survival averages are calculated.

57

3-YEAR COHORT PROJECTION METHOD To determine projections based upon the three-year cohort, the three-year cohort survival rate is calculated for each grade level, and these rates are added to the previous year’s enrollment. For example, projections for the 1st grade class of 2020-2021 are based upon the 2019-2020 kindergarten enrollment (a known value of 865) and the survival rate of the last three years in which a kindergarten class has become 1st graders (+3.72%). Therefore, the projection for the 2019-2020 1st grade class using this method is 897 students [865 + (865x 3.72%) = 897].

Kindergarten to First Grade 3-Year Cohort Growth

Year Students in Kindergarten

Students in 1st Grade 1 Year

Later % Increase

2016-2017 793 829 4.54%

2017-2018 831 879 5.78%

2018-2019 819 826 0.85%

3 Year Average Increase 2,443 2,534 3.72%

Projections for subsequent years are calculated using the same three-year cohort survival rates for each grade level.

7-YEAR COHORT PROJECTION METHOD To determine projections based upon the seven-year cohort, the seven-year cohort survival rate is calculated for each grade level, and these rates are added to the previous year’s enrollment. For example, projections for the 2020-2021 9th grade class is based upon the 2019-2020 8th grade enrollment (a known value of 911) and the survival rate of the last seven years in which an 8th grade class becomes the 9th grade class (+7.00%). Therefore, the projection for the 2020-2021 9th grade class using this method is 975 students [911 + (911 x 7.00%) =975].

58

8th Grade to 9th Grade 7-Year Cohort

Year Students in Eighth Grade

Students in Ninth Grade 1 Year Later % Increase

2012-2013 824 864 4.85%

2013-2014 812 851 4.80%

2014-2015 867 952 9.80%

2015-2016 867 930 7.27%

2016-2017 895 950 6.15%

2017-2018 869 945 8.75%

2018-2019 850 911 7.18%

3-Year Average Increase 5,984 6,403 7.00% Projections for subsequent years are calculated using the same seven-year cohort survival rates for each grade level.

COHORT INDICES The chart below represents the indices used to project growth from one grade level to the next, utilizing 3-year and 7-year cohort figures. These are current values utilizing data from 2008-2009 to 2018-2019 enrollments.

Cohort Movement 3 YEAR AVG 7 YEAR AVG

K-1 3.72% 3.52% 1-2 2.06% 2.09% 2-3 1.60% 1.92% 3-4 2.29% 2.24% 4-5 1.60% 1.66% 5-6 2.55% 2.83% 6-7 3.62% 4.50% 7-8 0.04% 0.43% 8-9 7.35% 7.00%

9-10 -1.91% -1.33% 10-11 -1.51% -1.33% 11-12 -2.72% -1.17%

59

PREDICTING BIRTHRATES One challenge posed in using cohort survival as a projection method is estimating the size of the kindergarten class in future years. Since cohort survival cannot be calculated for the kindergarten class (no class comes before it in previous years), Platte County birthrates are used to estimate the kindergarten class size each year. Over the last three years, an average of 77.7% of births in Platte County (known as “live births”) have attended kindergarten in Park Hill School District schools five years later. For example, in 2014 Platte County reported 1,106 live births. Five years later, in school year 2019-2020, 865 kindergarten students were enrolled in Park Hill School District. Using known values for Platte County birthrates in years 2015 through 2018, kindergarten enrollment for school years 2020-2021 through 2023-2024 can be estimated based upon known birthrates. To calculate this, a regression with live birth as the dependent variable and change per year as the independent variable is utilized to produce a growth curve model that takes into account the non-linear change pattern. Kindergarten enrollment estimations past the school year 2023-2024 cannot be calculated based upon known births (these children have not yet been born). Values for these kindergarten enrollments are based upon a predicted number of children born in Platte County. To predict this, the same growth curve explained above is used and a regression using kindergarten enrollment as the dependent variable and live births and current year as the independent variable is made. Projections made from 3 years of birth data are input into the 3-year cohort projection model, and projections made from 7 years of birth data are included in the 7-year cohort projection model.

KINDERGARTEN CLASS SIZE PROJECTIONS

School Year 3-Years of Data 7-Years of Data

2020-2021 855 849 2021-2022 903 897 2022-2023 895 889 2023-2024 891 884 2024-2025 911 896 2025-2026 905 912 2026-2027 912 927 2027-2028 919 940 2028-2029 920 946 2029-2030 928 951

Using these projection models, the kindergarten class size for 2020-2021 is projected to be between 849 (7-Year Projection) and 855 (3-Year Projection) students.

60

HOUSEHOLD PROJECTIONS METHOD Enrollment projections, based on households, also provides an opportunity to determine student enrollment. By dividing the number of school-age children (currently 11,709) into the number of homes in the school district (33,241), the average number of school-age children per household can be calculated. The 2019-2020 rate is 0.3522 students per household. As the district continues to increase households, the number of students per household multiplied by the projected households will provide an enrollment projection. To make these projections the following steps are followed:

1. Project the number of households in the Park Hill School District based upon historical growth.

2. Project the number of students per household based upon historical growth.

3. Calculate district enrollment based upon the above two projections.

4. Distribute the enrollment across grade levels based on historical distribution.

For the household projection method, the district is anticipating the new homes in each year and the students per household values as described in the following table. For these projections, a 3-year average of students per household is used (0.3550).

Year District Households

Students Per Household

Projected Enrollment

2020-2021 33,750 0.3550 11,983 2021-2022 34,259 0.3550 12,164 2022-2023 34,768 0.3550 12,344 2023-2024 35,277 0.3550 12,525 2024-2025 35,786 0.3550 12,706 2025-2026 36,295 0.3550 12,887 2026-2027 36,804 0.3550 13,067 2027-2028 37,313 0.3550 13,248 2028-2029 37,822 0.3550 13,429 2029-2030 38,331 0.3550 13,609

The following pages include the student enrollment projections described below:

Student Enrollment Projection Summary – Tables. These three tables summarize the grade span sizes projected for the next ten years by three different methods. Student Enrollment Projection Summary – Graph. This graph summarizes the grade span sizes for the current school year and projections for the next ten years by three different methods.

61


62

STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTION SUMMARY – TABLES

Projections made from 3-Year Cohort Growth Data

Grade Level 2019-2020

2020-2021

2021-2022

2022-2023

2023-2024

2024-2025

2025-2026

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

K 865 855 903 895 891 911 905 912 919 920 928

1 826 897 887 937 928 924 945 939 946 953 954

2 890 843 915 905 956 947 943 964 958 965 973

3 846 904 857 930 920 971 962 958 979 973 980

4 925 865 925 877 951 941 993 984 980 1,001 995

5 933 940 879 940 891 966 956 1,009 1,000 996 1,017

6 948 957 964 901 964 914 991 980 1,035 1,025 1,021

7 931 982 992 999 934 999 947 1,027 1,015 1,072 1,062

8 911 931 982 992 999 934 999 947 1,027 1,015 1,072

9 911 978 999 1,054 1,065 1,072 1,003 1,072 1,017 1,102 1,090

10 926 894 959 980 1,034 1,045 1,052 984 1,052 998 1,081

11 925 912 880 945 965 1,018 1,029 1,036 969 1,036 983

12 872 900 887 856 919 939 990 1,001 1,008 943 1,008

Total

11,709 11,858 12,029 12,211 12,417 12,581 12,715 12,813 12,905 12,999 13,164

63

Projections made from 7-Year Cohort Growth Data


2020-2021

2021-2022

2022-2023

2023-2024

2024-2025

2025-2026

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

K 865 849 897 889 884 896 912 927 940 946 951

1 826 895 879 929 920 915 928 944 960 973 979

2 890 843 914 897 948 939 934 947 964 980 993

3 846 907 859 932 914 966 957 952 965 982 999

4 925 865 927 878 953 934 988 978 973 987 1,004

5 933 940 879 942 893 969 950 1,004 994 989 1,003

6 948 959 967 904 969 918 996 977 1,032 1,022 1,017

7 931 991 1,002 1,011 945 1,013 959 1,041 1,021 1,078 1,068

8 911 935 995 1,006 1,015 949 1,017 963 1,045 1,025 1,083

9 911 975 1,000 1,065 1,076 1,086 1,015 1,088 1,030 1,118 1,097

10 926 899 962 987 1,051 1,062 1,072 1,002 1,074 1,016 1,103

11 925 914 887 949 974 1,037 1,048 1,058 989 1,060 1,002

12 872 914 903 877 938 963 1,025 1,036 1,046 977 1,048

Total

11,709 11,886 12,071 12,266 12,480 12,647 12,801 12,917 13,033 13,153 13,347

64

Projections made from Household Growth Data


2020-2021

2021-2022

2022-2023

2023-2024

2024-2025

2025-2026

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

K 865 866 879 892 905 918 931 944 957 970 983

1 826 872 886 899 912 925 938 951 965 978 991

2 890 906 920 934 947 961 975 988 1,002 1,016 1,030

3 846 917 931 945 959 972 986 1,000 1,014 1,028 1,042

4 925 939 954 968 982 996 1,010 1,025 1,039 1,053 1,067

5 933 940 954 969 983 997 1,011 1,025 1,040 1,054 1,068

6 948 941 956 970 984 998 1,013 1,027 1,041 1,055 1,069

7 931 926 940 954 968 982 996 1,010 1,024 1,038 1,052

8 911 905 919 933 946 960 974 987 1,001 1,015 1,028

9 911 966 981 996 1,010 1,025 1,039 1,054 1,068 1,083 1,098

10 926 954 968 983 997 1,012 1,026 1,040 1,055 1,069 1,084

11 925 943 957 971 986 1,000 1,014 1,028 1,042 1,057 1,071

12 872 899 912 926 939 953 966 980 994 1,007 1,021

Total 11,709 11,974 12,157 12,340 12,518 12,699 12,879 13,059 13,242 13,423 13,604

65

STUDENT ENROLLMENT PROJECTION SUMMARY – GRAPH

2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-20303.yr 11,709 11,858 12,029 12,211 12,417 12,581 12,715 12,813 12,905 12,999 13,1647.yr 11,709 11,886 12,071 12,266 12,480 12,647 12,801 12,917 13,033 13,153 13,347Household 11,709 11,974 12,157 12,340 12,518 12,699 12,879 13,059 13,242 13,423 13,604

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

3.yr 7.yr Household

66

FACILITY PLANNING

One use of student enrollment projections is to anticipate the need for additional school buildings. Although projections are not made for growth of each school, projections are made for each school level – elementary (Kindergarten through 5th Grade), middle (6th through 8th Grade) and high school level (9th through 12th Grade). Also, facility needs for early childhood services (pre-Kindergarten), students with special needs, and support services are also influenced by enrollment growth. Projections when each level will reach effective capacity can be anticipated through the use of planning criteria.

PLANNING CRITERIA In the Fall, 2014, the Board of Education approved a set of facility planning criteria to assist the district in preparing for future space and/or facility needs. The 19 criteria were each tied to a Comprehensive School Improvement Plan (CSIP) goal, which form the foundation of the district’s strategic plan. The criteria and CSIP goal alignment are detailed below.

21st Century Learning. We will continue to improve how we educate our learners. Our district will seek out new opportunities to teach and model to our students the effective use of technology to support learning, collaboration, critical thinking, and problem solving skills.

Grade Configurations. We will provide grade configurations that ensure educational success through (1) minimizing the number of student transitions between district attendance centers; (2) seeking to streamline district feeder patterns to build a greater sense of tradition and community; and (3) identifying grade configurations that encourage and foster relationships between students, teachers, administrators and parents.

Specialized Spaces. We value diverse opportunities for each learner. Specialized and innovative facilities will be provided that support instruction of core curriculum, electives, student activities and athletics to ensure that each student is provided a balanced learning experience. Specialized spaces may include, but are not limited to, science labs, music rooms, auditoriums, media centers, gymnasiums, and athletic fields.

Special Education. We will provide appropriately designed and equipped spaces for each learner.

Student-Teacher Ratio. We will provide effective student-teacher ratios based on district standards and Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education recommendations for considering building capacities and staffing.

Maintain Quality Facilities. We will provide quality facilities to our students through ongoing maintenance, renovations and repurposing of existing facilities.

Early Childhood Programming. We will continue to provide an early childhood education program to address the learning needs of young children and to prepare them for future success.

Safety and Security. We will include safety and security features in our building projects that help staff and students respond to natural disasters, potential violent acts and general supervision.

67

Temporary Classrooms. For educational, financial and safety reasons, we will not consider mobile or other temporary classrooms as a long-term solution to growth in enrollment or programs.

Land Requirements for Schools. We will plan for the purchase of land for new and existing facilities prior to need.

• Elementary Schools: 14-20 acres (provide 10-15 acres, plus one acre for every 100 students)

• Middle Schools: 26-40 acres (provide 20-30 acres, plus one acre for every 100 students)

• High Schools: 40-55 acres (provide 30-40 acres plus one acre for every 100 students, and consider an additional 40 acres for competitive playfields and parking)

These are consistent with local school planning standards.

Appropriate Areas for Learning. We will provide appropriate space for each learner based upon a local, regional and national set of standards. 2014 standards have been set at the following:

• High Schools: 175 square foot per learner

• Middle Schools: 150 square foot per learner

• Elementary Schools: 120 square foot per learner

• District Wide: 145 square foot per learner

The standards are consistent with Council of Educational Facility Planners International and recent school construction projects.

School Size. We will establish effective school size based upon research, community input and the maximization of existing resources. 2014 standards have been set at the following:

• High Schools: 1,200 to 1,800 students

• Middle Schools: 500 to 900 students

• Elementary Schools: 400 to 650 students

Partnering for Success. We will look for opportunities to maximize student academic success through partnerships with external organizations such as post-secondary, technical trade, business, non-profit and civic organizations.

Recruit, Retain and Develop Staff. We will deploy strategies to recruit, retain and develop the highest quality staff that create the highest quality students. Needs for specialized environments for training, coaching and collaboration for 21st century learning will be considered.

Technology. We will address strategies to maintain and improve technology hardware, software, training, delivery, dependability and the security of data to support students and staff.

68

Support Service. We will demonstrate operational effectiveness and address district growth by providing quality support services, such as Food Service, Transportation, Maintenance and Operations, Technology, and community use of facilities.

Financial Stewardship. We will seek out strategies to minimize the overall cost of financing capital improvements. Broad considerations of costs related to both short and long-term debt and potential “no-tax-increase” bond issues will be integrated into planning strategies.

Focus on Long-Term Value. We will emphasize long-term value when designing, constructing and renovating district facilities. Decisions will be based on return-on-investment and life cycle methodologies and long-term maintainability and sustainability.

Future Enrollment. We will use current and historical data in association with proven enrollment projection methodologies to forecast future district enrollment growth.

69

LONG-RANGE FACILITY PLAN

In the Spring, 2015, the Park Hill Board of Education adopted the following plan to address future space needs brought on by the projected enrollment growth over the next ten years. The plan entails the construction of a facility for support services, the addition of two elementary schools, the addition of a Middle School, and additional classroom space for high school programming.

70

SCHOOL CAPACITY ANALYSIS In educational planning, one way to calculate building capacity is based upon gross square footage per student calculations. The Council of Educational Facility Planners International (CEFPI) and other organizations and states have created standards for the amount of gross square footage needed within schools to effectively maintain the educational programming demands of today’s schools. The gross square footage standards in the table below have been established based upon standards published by CEFPI, and from a review of state and local standards on construction of new facilities for each grade span. These square footage standards have been adopted by the Park Hill School District Board of Education in the Facility Planning – Planning Criteria.

School Type Target Square Footage Per

Student “Effective Capacity”

Highest Limit Square Footage Per

Student “Efficiency Capacity”

Lower Limit Square Footage Per

Student “Functional Capacity”

Elementary Schools 120 129 111 Middle Schools 150 165 135 High Schools 175 197 153 Support Services 12 14 10

Target square footage per student capacities are listed above as “Effective Capacity”. Ranges have been established around the target and defined as “Efficiency Capacity” which is the upper limit of space needed per student before the space available exceeds what is needed, and the “Functional Capacity” which is the lower limit of square footage per student before the operation of the school and programs is hindered by lack of space.

71

CURRENT FACILITY CAPACITY The table below details the anticipated square footage in each Park Hill facility for the 2020-2021 school year, including a new facility for LEAD Innovation Studio opening in August, 2020. Percent utilization refers to the ratio of projected students to the effective capacity of the school as measured by the district’s square footage standards described on the prior page. In addition, each grade span is totalled to better understand the overall district condition for each grade level.

72

FUTURE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS BY GRADE SPAN

The table below shows enrollment projections for the following ten years. The highlighted values in the Elementary and Middle Schools section indicate enrollments that exceed the 100% utilization mark for the total square footage in each school. The High School enrollments have been highlighted in the year in which all three projection models show the high school enrollment over 4,000 district high school students.

Row Labels 2019-2020

2020-2021

2021-2022

2022-2023

2023-2024

2024-2025

2025-2026

2026-2027

2027-2028

2028-2029

2029-2030

5000 - ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS

3 Year Cohort Growth Model 5,285 5,304 5,366 5,484 5,537 5,660 5,704 5,766 5,782 5,808 5,847


Household Growth Model 5,285 5,440 5,524 5,607 5,688 5,769 5,851 5,933 6,017 6,099 6,181

3000 - MIDDLE SCHOOLS




1000 - HIGH SCHOOLS




73


74

FUTURE DISTRICT GROWTH TRENDS

The school district also monitors population trends within the entire community to assist in long-range planning. By looking at current and projected trends in the populations of school-aged children, child bearing females, and the entire population, critical decisions can be made regarding future programming demands, as well as facility neeeds. The next section includes the following maps: Estimated Population of the Park Hill School District (2019). This map shows the estimated population density by census block within the school district. A census block group is a geographical unit used by the United States Census Bureau. It is the smallest geographical unit for which the bureau publishes sample data, i.e. data which is only collected from a fraction of all households. Estimated Rate of Change in Population (2019-2029). This map shows the projected change in total population by census block group within district boundaries over ten years. Estimated Children Under the Age of 5 (2019). This map shows the estimated population of children under the age of 5 with each census block. Estimated Change In the Number of Children Under the Age of 5 (2019-2029). This map shows the projected change in the number of children less than five years of age population by census block group within district boundaries over ten years.

75

ESTIMATED POPULATION OF THE PARK HILL SCHOOL DISTRICT (2019)

76

ESTIMATED RATE OF CHANGE IN POPULATION (2019-2029)

77

ESTIMATED CHILDREN UNDER THE AGE OF 5 (2019)

78

ESTIMATED CHANGE IN NUMBER OF CHILDREN UNDER THE AGE OF 5 (2019-2029)

Date post:	20-Jul-2020
Category:	Documents
Upload:	others
View:	4 times
Download:	0 times

DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE & ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS · demographic and socio economic information about...

Documents