Demographic & Socio-Economic Trends in Johnson County

WarrensburgAugust 21, 2007

Tracy Greever-Rice, Ph.D.Associate Director

Office of Social & Economic Data AnalysisUniversity of Missouri--Columbia

Overview• Big Trends – growth, economy, aging, immigration• Emerging Characteristics in Johnson County

– Demographics– Socio-economic Status– Economic Trends

• New Forms of Information (ACS)• Discussion

WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDUWWW.MCDC2.MISSOURI.EDU

Johnson County = 4.3%

Johnson County < 18 = 23.2< 18 Minority = 13.1< 18 LEP = 0.97

Missouri = 9.6%Johnson County 65+ = 10.2%

0

5

10

15

20

Per

cen

t

1990 2000 2010 2020

Year

Percent Missouri Population Age 65+: 1990-2020

SOURCE: Census Bureau/NCHS. Projection algorithm, programming by OSEDA Chart Prepared by: University of Missouri Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis24March2006

Johnson County 9.3% 11.2% 14.1%

Pct Eligible for Free & Reduced Price Lunch

                                                                                                                                

                                                                       

Dropout Rate Grades 9-12

                                                                                                                                

                                                                       

Cohort Graduation Rate

                                                                                                                                

                                                                       

Pct Births to mothers with less than 12 years education

                                                                                                                                

                                                                       

Adult unemployment rate

Labor Force Annual Averages in 2006 Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

Total Labor Force 25,941 49,588 341,598 16,972

   5-year % change 7.10% 7.30% -2.60% -3.30%

   10-year % change 16.30% 19.00% -4.90% 3.80%

Employed 24,877 47,341 322,350 16,174

   5-year % change 7.00% 6.40% -3.50% -3.90%

   10-year % change 14.80% 17.90% -5.90% 3.50%

Unemployed 1,064 2,247 19,248 798

   5-year % change 8.20% 32.30% 15.10% 10.10%

   10-year % change 70.20% 46.30% 16.20% 12.10%

Unemployment Rate 4.1 4.5 5.6 4.7

   5-year % change 0.00% 21.60% 16.70% 14.60%

   10-year % change 46.40% 21.60% 21.70% 6.80%

Source: US Bureau Labor Statistics

Per Capita Personal Income Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

Per capita income - 2005 $24,573 $28,932 $33,585 $29,023

Per capita income - 1995 (adj. for inflation) $20,075 $26,691 $29,875 $24,587

Per capita income - 1985 (adj. for inflation) $18,569 $24,364 $27,583 $23,862

Per capita income - 1975 (adj. for inflation) $17,182 $18,876 $24,342 $20,445

10-year adjusted % change 22.40% 8.40% 12.40% 18.00%

20-year adjusted % change 32.30% 18.70% 21.80% 21.60%

30-year adjusted % change 43.00% 53.30% 38.00% 42.00%

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

                                                                                                                                

                                                                       

Average Annual Wage & Salary, BEA

Average Annual Wages: Missouri, 2000-2005

SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. $29,000

$30,000

$31,000

$32,000

$33,000

$34,000

$35,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Establishments Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

2005 1,026 2,019 18,619 872

2004 1,007 1,942 18,675 886

2003 973 1,853 18,770 888

2002 944 1,832 19,012 882

2001 926 1,860 18,894 877

2000 920 1,795 18,903 881

1999 911 1,714 18,982 891

1998 906 1,699 19,126 885

1997 876 1,617 18,753 877

1996 854 1,569 18,618 854

1995 841 1,505 18,439 831

10-Year Change 185 514 180 41

10-Year Percent Change

22.0% 34.2% 1.0% 4.9%

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics(BLS)

Total by place of work 30,294 37,222 457,662 14,791

Wage and Salary 21,067 24,951 396,035 9,976

Proprietors 9,227 12,271 61,627 4,815

     Farm 1,774 1,634 813 1,302

     Nonfarm 7,453 10,637 60,814 3,513

 22 Utilities 85 60 2,013 D

 23 Construction 1,915 4,687 27,358 1,253

 31-33 Manufacturing 2,221 1,461 28,956 1,267

 42 Wholesale Trade 496 1,047 18,616 383

 44-45 Retail Trade 2,765 5,589 44,779 2,025

 48 49 Trans. and warehousing 541 1,463 13,353 D

 51 Information 272 340 19,817 165

 52 Finance and insurance 856 1,272 30,589 512

 53 Real Estate and rental and leasing 1,055 2,008 16,796 599

 56 Administrative and waste services 994 1,772 24,814 467

 61 Educational services 251 392 8,315 D

 62 Health care, social assistance 1,701 2,854 44,877 D

 71 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 461 539 9,518 129

 72 Accommodation and food services 1,912 2,255 31,266 800

 81 Other services, exc. public admin. 1,570 2,431 24,401 940

 NA Gov. and gov. enterprises 10,269 5,251 65,668 2,387

Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

BEA Major Sector Jobs (NAICS)

in 2005 (by place of work) Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO

Jobs Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

2005 15,424 22,174 363,767 9,059

2004 14,665 21,133 361,955 9,054

2003 14,375 20,203 365,079 8,991

2002 14,240 19,539 375,227 9,025

2001 14,040 19,357 384,942 9,212

2000 14,345 18,630 393,430 9,248

1999 14,172 17,638 392,171 9,375

1998 13,952 16,616 388,817 9,199

1997 13,440 15,761 388,427 9,213

1996 12,834 15,196 375,631 8,942

1995 12,831 14,521 371,151 9,012

10-Year Change 2,593 7,653 -7,384 47

10-Year Percent Change 20.20% 52.70% -2.00% 0.50%

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics(BLS)

D = Non-Discloseable Data; N/A = Not Available

Avg. Wage Per Job (2005 Dollars) Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

2005 $27,448 $27,088 $41,398 $23,528

2004 $27,479 $26,988 $41,481 $23,759

2003 $27,175 $27,182 $41,140 $23,536

2002 $28,054 $27,027 $41,615 $23,197

2001 $27,273 $26,407 $41,249 $22,849

2000 $27,088 $26,111 $40,943 $22,348

1999 $27,480 $26,188 $39,828 $22,688

1998 $26,666 $25,704 $38,995 $22,344

1997 $26,514 $24,884 $37,698 $21,565

1996 $25,531 $24,490 $37,344 $21,510

1995 $25,078 $23,905 $37,231 $21,037

10-Year Change $2,370 $3,183 $4,167 $2,491

10-Year Percent Change 9.50% 13.30% 11.20% 11.80%

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics(BLS)

Percent of US Avg. Wage Per Job (2005 Dollars) Johnson County, MO Cass County, MO

Jackson County, MO Lafayette County, MO

2005 67.50% 66.60% 101.80% 57.80%

2004 67.50% 66.30% 102.00% 58.40%

2003 67.80% 67.80% 102.60% 58.70%

2002 70.30% 67.70% 104.30% 58.10%

2001 68.30% 66.10% 103.30% 57.20%

2000 67.60% 65.20% 102.20% 55.80%

1999 70.00% 66.70% 101.50% 57.80%

1998 69.60% 67.10% 101.80% 58.30%

1997 70.60% 66.20% 100.30% 57.40%

1996 70.80% 67.90% 103.50% 59.60%

1995 69.00% 65.80% 102.50% 57.90%

10-Year Change N/A N/A N/A N/A

10-Year Percent Change N/A N/A N/A N/A

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics(BLS)

Economic ShareEconomic Share

Source: MERIC

Economic Share in Missouri by County

St. Louis County (20.7%) and Jackson County (11.8%) together tally nearly one-third of the state’s economy.

Overview• Big Trends – growth, economy, aging, immigration• Emerging Characteristics in Johnson County

– Demographics– Socio-economic Status– Economic Trends

• New Forms of Information (ACS)• Discussion

WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDUWWW.MCDC2.MISSOURI.EDU