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1| www.inl.gov Determination of impact of feedstock composition on fast pyrolysis oil yield and quality using multiple linear regression modeling Tyler L. Westover (INL) Rachel Emerson (INL) Sergio Hernandez (INL) Danny Carpenter (NREL) Dan Howe (PNNL) TCS2016 Nov. 1 4, 2016 Chapel Hill, North Carolina
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Page 1: Determination of impact of feedstock composition on fast ... 1... · Danny Carpenter (NREL) Dan Howe (PNNL) TCS2016 ... Ellen Panisko Ken Rappe Benjamin Roberts Daniel Santosa Lesley

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ww

w.inl.gov

Determination of impact of feedstock

composition on fast pyrolysis oil yield

and quality using multiple linear

regression modeling

Tyler L. Westover (INL)

Rachel Emerson (INL)

Sergio Hernandez (INL)

Danny Carpenter (NREL)

Dan Howe (PNNL)

TCS2016

Nov. 1 – 4, 2016

Chapel Hill,

North Carolina

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Intra-lab collaboration (people)

Rachel Emerson

Sergio Hernandez

Chad Ryan

Tyler Westover

Luke Williams

Stuart Black

Daniel

Carpenter

Mark Davis

Steve Deutch

Abhijit Dutta

Robert Evans

Rick French

David Lee

Michele Myers

Kelly Orton

Scott Palmer

Kailee Potter

Josh Schaidle

Anne Starace

Eric Tan

Corinne Drennan

John Frye

Dan Howe

Sue Jones

Igor Kutnyakov

Teresa Lemmon

Richard Licke

Craig Lukins

Aye Meyer

Balakrishna Maddi

Tessa Oxford

Asanga

Padmaperuma

Ellen Panisko

Ken Rappe

Benjamin Roberts

Daniel Santosa

Lesley Snowden-

Swan

Huamin Wang

Thomas Wietsma

Alan Zacher

This work was supported by the Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Energy

Efficiency and Renewable Energy.

National Renewable Energy Laboratory is operated by The Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC under Contract no. DE-AC36-08-

GO28308.

Idaho National Laboratory is operated by Battelle under contract no. DE-AC07-05ID14517 with the Department of Energy Idaho

Operations Office.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory is operated by Battelle under contract DEAC05-76RL01830.

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SyngasLiquid fuels

Indirect LiquefactionGasification (NREL)

Synthesis(NREL)

Liquid fuels

Feedstock

Bio-oil/ vapor

Raw BiomassSystems/Assembly

LogisticsCharacterization

(INL)

Direct Liquefaction(NREL/PNNL)

Pyrolysis/Bio-oil Catalytic Pyrolysis Hydrothermal Liq.

Hydroprocessing(PNNL)

Inte

rfac

e

Process specifications impact

feedstock development

Feedstock cost/properties impact

conversion R&D decisionsInterface

Bio-oil/vapor/syngas•Yield•Quality, composition•Contaminants

Upgrading• CFP, HDO

• Catalyst development

• Process conditions

• H2 consumption

Conversion• Feed handling

• Process conditions

(T, P, hot filtering,

condensation

systems)

TEA• Model

assumptions

• Correlations

• Wastewater

treatment

Impact

Intra-lab collaboration (approach)

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Overview and preview of conclusions

Preview of Conclusions

1. Conversion yields of blended materials

are ~ linear functions of components • Interactions between components appears small (< test uncertainty)

2. Must be very careful with multivariate analysis because of

correlation among variables. Many relationships are not causal.

• Background and motivation

• Blended vs. pure feedstocks

• Blended feedstocks as replications of pure feedstocks

• Methods: step-wise multilvariate linear regression

• Repeatability of results

• Influence of predictor variables

• Accuracy and precision of models

• Impacts/conclusions

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U.S. Resource Assessment

Goal of this effort: Facilitate the coordinated development of biomass

resources and conversion technologies by understanding the field-to-fuel

impact of feedstocks on thermochemical processes.

• Biomass feedstock = largest operating cost (~40%) and risk factor for biorefinery process developers

• Billion Ton 2016 Update (BT16) includes economic availability of biomass with county level estimates as well as sustainability considerations

• Technoeconomic analyses identify areas for process cost reduction

• Need to understand process sensitivities to adding low-cost feedstocks into the supply chain

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Biomass Supply/Cost Curves

Biomass supply projections for feedstock prices between $20

and $200/dry ton in 2022

Source: Williams, Westover, et al. BioEnergy Research, March 2016, Volume 9, Issue 1, pp 1-14.

For example…Per BT16, ~1,200 million dry

tons converted to 160 million

barrels gas equivalent or:

~1.5 billion barrels of

bio-crude oil

Comparison:In 2015, the U.S. consumed

~7 billion barrels of

crude oil

www.eia.gov/tools/faqs

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Importance of Blending−Woody Supply/Cost Curves

Woody feedstock supply as functions of

projected average cost

• Combining woody feedstocks in blend

accesses all 315 million tons for average

cost of $85/dry ton ($2011).

• Blending feedstocks increases supply

while reducing costs and risks

• ~315 million tons projected available in 2022

• Projections depend upon assumptions; − EPA estimated that 164 million tons of C&D

waste were generated in the U.S. in 2003 (EPA, 2011; Paper in Support of Final Rulemaking:

Identification of Nonhazardous Secondary Materials

That Are Solid Waste)

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Feedstocks and regression (predictor) variables

Pure feedstocks (10)1. Clean pine (CP) (5x)

2. Hybrid poplar (HP)

3. Tulip poplar (TP)

4. Piñion/juniper (PJ)

5. Oriented strand board (OSB)

6. Corn stover (CS)

7. Switchgrass (SG)

8. Construction & demo-lition waste (C&D-0.5mm)

9. Air classified forest residues (acFR-0.5mm)

10. Miscanthus (MS-0.5mm)

• CP-0.5mm

• SG-450oC

Blends (8)1. CP2HP1

2. CP1TP1SG1 (2x)

3. CP8SOB2

4. CP7OSB2SG1

5. CP4OSB2SG4

6. CP30acFR60HP10-0.5mm

7. CP45FR25C&D30-0.5mm

8. CP30FR35C&D25SG10-0.5mm

Response variables• Dry, ash-free pyrolysis oil yield

• Ash-free pyrolysis char yield

• Dry hydrotreating oil yield

Independent tests (pure feedstocks): 10

Effective replicates: 13

Predictor variables: 22• Ultimate (C, H, N, S, O, HHV, LLV)

• Proximate (Volatiles, Fixed C, Ash)

• Ash speciation (Al, Ca, K, Mg, Na, S, Si)

• Composition (H20 Ext, Protein, Arabinan, Glucan, Lignin)

Materials ground to 1 mm and temperature of pyrolysis reactor was 500oC except as noted

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Summary: FP and HT Performance Data vs. Feedstock

• FP oil yield (goil/gbiomass)ranged from CS (35%) to tulip poplar (60%)

• HT oil yield ranged from TP (40% to CS (57%)

• FP char yield ranged from C&D (6%) to CS (16%)

• Milling to 0.5 mm increased FP oil yield of CP from 51% to ~58%

• Decreasing reactor temperature to 4500C increased FP oil yield of switchgrass from 41% to 49%.

• FP: fast pyrolysis• HT: hydrotreating

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Meas. FP & HT oil yields of blends vs. expected yields

• Fast pyrolysis (FP), hydrotreating, (HT) oil organic oil yields and FP char yield appear linear with blend components

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Weighted-average process yields

FP oil yield and FP char yield of CP/OSB/SG

blends as functions of SG content.

Uses multivariate linear regression to determine weighted average process yields• For simple example of

switchgrass/woody blends, this is equivalent to finding the equation of a line for each response variable

• Linear combination assumption for blend yields appears good for fast pyrolysis organic oil yield

• Assumption not so good for fast pyrolysis char yields; however, as will be shown, char yields have lower repeatability

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Weighted average yields vs. measured values

• Process yields from blends considered as linear combinations of pure feedstocks to determine weighted average values using multivariate linear regression

• Estimates are close to individually measured values• Largest corrections are for hydrotreating: CP4OSB2SG4 (3%) & CP1TP1SG1 (2.5%)

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FP char yields

• FP char yield best predicted by Fixed C (R2 = 0.43)

• Also predicted by Water Ext., Arabinan, and Protein (R2 = 0.46)

• WATCH OUT! This model is may not be causal

• Water Ext. Arab., Prot. predict Fixed C• Adding Water Ext, Arab., or Prot. to

Fixed C model does not significantly improve the model

• Need to know predictor variables!

• Largest corrections are for hydrotreating: CP4OSB2SG4 (3%) & CP1TP1SG1 (2.5%)

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Water content of FP oil

• Water content of FP oil char best predicted by K+Na and P (R2 = 0.88)

• Also predicted by K+Na alone (R2 = 0.74)

• Again, due to correlation between variables, relationship may not be causal

• Extra sum of squares F statistic analysis indicates that P is significant in predicting water content (increase in F is 7 times F statistic of 3.5

• Adjusting water content of CP2HP1

brings value into agreement with measurements of CP and HP.

Model: K+Na, P

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Fast Pyrolysis Yield/Composition Correlations

• FP oil yield model with two parameters: K+Na and

VolMat (R2 = 0.76)

• FP oil yield model with 3 parameters: K+Na,

VolMat, and FixedC (R2 = 0.83)

• More tests still needed to fully deconvolve

correlations among variables

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Other Processes to Investigate...

• Catalytic fast pyrolysis (vapor phase upgrading)

– Bench-scale testing

– Hydrocarbon yield vs. feedstock

– Catalyst lifetime vs. feedstock

• Hydrothermal liquefaction

– Field-to-fuel tests using same feedstocks

– Upgraded oil yields vs. feedstock

– Potential 1-step upgrading (vs. 2)

• Gasification

– Integrated bench-scale gasification/fuel synthesis (sensitivity to feedstock)

– Inorganic byproducts, bed interactions, loading on syngas cleanup systems

Agglomerated bed material after feeding corn stover

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Conclusions

1. Conversion yields of blended materials

appear to be linear functions of

components • Interactions between components appears small

(< test uncertainty)

2. Must be very careful with multivariate

analysis because of correlation among

variables. Many relationships are not

causal.

3. Tentative: Each component in blends will

likely need to meet conversion

processability specifications (i.e. not all

specifications are equal)

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ACKNOWLEDEGMENTS

Rachel Emerson

Sergio Hernandez

Chad Ryan

Tyler Westover

Luke Williams

Stuart Black

Daniel

Carpenter

Mark Davis

Steve Deutch

Abhijit Dutta

Robert Evans

Rick French

David Lee

Michele Myers

Kelly Orton

Scott Palmer

Kailee Potter

Josh Schaidle

Anne Starace

Eric Tan

Corinne Drennan

John Frye

Dan Howe

Sue Jones

Igor Kutnyakov

Teresa Lemmon

Richard Licke

Craig Lukins

Aye Meyer

Balakrishna Maddi

Tessa Oxford

Asanga

Padmaperuma

Ellen Panisko

Ken Rappe

Benjamin Roberts

Daniel Santosa

Lesley Snowden-

Swan

Huamin Wang

Thomas Wietsma

Alan Zacher

This work was supported by the Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Office of Energy

Efficiency and Renewable Energy.

National Renewable Energy Laboratory is operated by The Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC under Contract no. DE-AC36-08-

GO28308.

Idaho National Laboratory is operated by Battelle under contract no. DE-AC07-05ID14517 with the Department of Energy Idaho

Operations Office.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory is operated by Battelle under contract DEAC05-76RL01830.

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Questions?

Thank you for listening

Publications so farCarpenter D, et al. Catalytic Hydroprocessing of Fast Pyrolysis Oils: Impact of Biomass

Feedstock on Process Efficiency, accepted for publication in Biomass and Bioenergy.Meyer et al.,

Howe D, et al. Field-to-Fuel Performance Testing of Lignocellulosic Feedstocks: An Integrated Study of the Fast Pyrolysis/Hydrotreating Pathway, Energy&Fuels 2015;

29: 3188-3197.

Email [email protected]


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