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Developing A New Asset Classin Russia: Mortgage-Backed Securities
Securitization in Russia and the CIS 13 October, 2006London
ABS/MBS Markets in Russia Should Become a Large Proportion of Total Public & Private Debt Government budget surplus Cost advantages Need to leverage bank’s balance sheets Need for new high yielding assets by domestic and
foreign investment community
Overview of the U.S. Mortgage Securities Market
Largest sector of the U.S. fixed income market MBS can enhance portfolio performance significantly High credit quality
.
Outstanding Level of US Public & Private Bond Market Debt (USD Billions)
Municipal
U.S. Mortgage-
Corporate*
Fed Money Asset-
TotalTreasury(1) Related(2) Agencies Market(3) Backed*(4)
1997 1,318.70 3,441.80 2,680.20 2,359.00 1,022.60 1,692.80 535.8 13,050.90
1998 1,402.90 3,340.50 2,955.20 2,708.60 1,300.60 1,977.80 731.5 14,417.10
1999 1,457.20 3,266.00 3,334.20 3,046.50 1,620.00 2,338.80 900.8 15,963.50
2000 1,480.90 2,951.90 3,564.70 3,358.60 1,854.60 2,662.60 1,071.80 16,945.10
2001 1,603.70 2,967.50 4,125.50 3,835.40 2,149.60 2,566.80 1,281.10 18,529.90
2002 1,763.10 3,204.90 4,704.90 4,094.10 2,292.80 2,546.20 1,543.30 20,149.20
2003 1,892.20 3,574.90 5,309.10 4,462.00 2,636.70 2,526.30 1,693.70 22,101.20
2004 2,131.30 3,943.60 5,472.50 4,704.50 2,745.10 2,872.10 1,827.80 23,671.20
2005 2,227.00 4,165.80 5,915.60 4,989.90 2,613.80 3,468.90 1,955.20 25,336.20
2006 2,287.30 4,235.10 6,212.40 5,208.90 2,722.70 3,704.90 1,985.90 26,357.20
% of Total
2006 8.63% 16.07% 23.56% 19.75% 10.32% 14.09% 7.58% 100.00%*The Bond Market Association estimates**Denotes break in series due to the inclusion of additional source data on non-agency MBS/CMOs.(1) Interest bearing marketable public debt.(2) Includes GNMA, FNMA, and FHLMC mortgage-backed securities and CMOs and non-agency MBS/CMOs.(3) Includes commercial paper, bankers' acceptances, and large time deposits.(4) Includes public and private placements.
Source: The Bond Market Association
Source: The Bond Market Association
Mortgage/Treasury/Corporate Market
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
Ou
tsta
nd
ing
US
D T
rill
ion
s
Treasury
Mortgage
Corporate
Main Risks of Securitization in Russia
RISK STATUS Legal Solved
- Possibility of “true sale”- Consumer protection- Enforcement in local courts
Operational Solved- Quality of Servicing- Quality of Reporting
Credit Understood- Relatively low credit ratings of originating banks- Lack of historical default/delinquency data- No credit cycle statistics/experience
Prepayment Still Unknown- Lack of data
Did We Separate Credit Risk and Prepayment Risk?…YES!
A-FL bond carries almost entire credit risk of the senior cash flow
A-IIO bond carries almost entire prepayment risk of the senior cash flow
Structure of the CMMBS Transaction
A-FL
$63,127,964
B - Mezzanine Tranche $6,288,610
Subordinated Z Tranche $3,144,305
Senior Classes A-FL, A-IIO
• Rating: Baa3 by Moody’s
• A-FL - Floating Rate Coupon 1M Libor + Spread,
•A-IIO – Inverse Floater
Mezzanine Class B
•Rating: B
• Coupon Fixed at 9.25%
• Pays principal after A1 & A2 are retired
Subordinated Class Z
• No rating
• Structured as an accrual or “Z” bond
• Retained by Originator
A-IIO
Interest Only
OPIC Direct Loan for CityMortgage MBS
9
Supported by
Supported by
Su
pp
orte
d b
y
First Loss Note toCityMortgage Bank
Moscow
Senior Notes toCapital Markets
Mezzanine Note:OPIC Funded
Greenwich FinancialServices
Deal Description Bloomberg DES <go>
CityMortgage Senior Notes-Bloomberg Analytics
CityMortgage Mezzanine Notes-Bloomberg Analytics
Deal Description Bloomberg DES <go>
Why is Greenwich Financial Services Involved? Since 1995 Greenwich Financial Services has
added value to a vast array of institutional investors by structuring REMIC cashflows that meet the specific parameters requested by each investor. Our MBS market experience has allowed our structuring group to tailor innovative CMO structures that fit the risk/reward profiles and funding opportunities of our clients.
We are applying this expertise to the new Russian MBS market.
Contact InformationGreenwich Financial Services+1-203-862-3600
Bill Frey Jaye Hohman